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2019 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2019 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
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Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadEIU aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreEIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:10 · Robert Columbus run for 5 yds to the EIlln 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:05: Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Miles Marshall for 10 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK) — EIU win probability +0.3 pts (now 2%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:28: Stevie Scott III run for 5 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK) — IU win probability +0.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 1:34: Cole Gest run for 3 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK) — IU win probability +0.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:44: Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 8 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK) — IU win probability +0.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:19: Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Donavan Hale for 43 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK) — IU win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6EIU made the numbers' call on 11 of 13
  1. Q1 11:05EIU 4th & 16 at EIU 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:28EIU 4th & 17 at EIU 18, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:34EIU 4th & 7 at EIU 28, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00IU 4th & 11 at IU 41, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:16EIU 4th & 2 at EIU 34, down 21
    Close callPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:50IU 4th & 9 at IU 30, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:55EIU 4th & 13 at IU 43, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:30EIU 4th & 5 at EIU 30, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00EIU 4th & 2 at EIU 46, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00EIU 4th & 5 at IU 41, down 35
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:19EIU 4th & 7 at EIU 28, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:51IU 4th & 2 at EIU 30, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:36EIU 4th & 6 at EIU 38, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:28EIU 4th & 1 at EIU 34, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:54IU 4th & 9 at EIU 30, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    56% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:54EIU 4th & 10 at EIU 25, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:33IU 4th & 1 at EIU 44, up 52
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:32EIU 4th & 5 at EIU 14, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:21IU 4th & 3 at EIU 3, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 11:05IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:28IU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:34IU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:44IU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:07IU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:19IU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:28IU Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1TD
12 plays · 59 yds · 3:5599% → 98%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
98.5%
Stevie Scott III run for 10 yds to the EIlln 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
98.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
98.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+18
98.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 18 yds to the EIlln 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
98.5%
Stevie Scott III run for 8 yds to the EIlln 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 23
-5
98.5%
INDIANA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the EIlln 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 28
-9
98.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Whop Philyor for 6 yds to the EIlln 22 INDIANA Penalty, illegal block (Stevie Scott III) to the EIlln 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 37
+15
98.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 15 yds to the EIlln 22Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+4
98.5%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 4 yds to the EIlln 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
98.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Donavan Hale for 8 yds to the EIlln 10Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+10
98.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Miles Marshall for 10 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
98.2%
Jaelin Hayes-Benefield run for a loss of 1 yard to the EIlln 24Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-3
98.2%
Johnathan Brantley run for a loss of 3 yards to the EIlln 21Similar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 14
OWN 21
-2
98.2%
Johnathan Brantley sacked by Demarcus Elliott for a loss of 2 yards to the EIlln 19Similar
Q1 11:05
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+48
98.2%
Josh Delgado punt for 48 yds , Whop Philyor returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3TD
11 plays · 68 yds · 4:1898% → 98%
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
98.0%
Stevie Scott III run for 8 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 2
OWN 40
-10
98.1%
INDIANA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Ind 30Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+5
98.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 5 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q1 8:46
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+36
98.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Whop Philyor for 36 yds to the EIlln 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+12
98.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 12 yds to the EIlln 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
98.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+4
98.1%
Stevie Scott III run for 4 yds to the EIlln 13Similar
Q1 5:49
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+8
97.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 8 yds to the EIlln 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
97.8%
Stevie Scott III run for no gain to the EIlln 5Similar
Q1 4:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
98.1%
Stevie Scott III run for 5 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.9%
Johnathan Brantley pass complete to Marques Ray for no gain to the EIlln 25Similar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
97.9%
Johnathan Brantley sacked by James Head Jr. for a loss of 10 yards to the EIlln 15Similar
Q1 4:28
3RD & 20
OWN 15
-5
97.9%
EASTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the EIlln 10Similar
Q1 4:28
3RD & 25
OWN 10
+8
97.9%
Jaelin Hayes-Benefield run for 8 yds to the EIlln 18Similar
Q1 4:28
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
97.9%
TEAM puntSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5TD
2 plays · 32 yds · 0:2998% → 99%
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+29
97.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Whop Philyor for 29 yds to the EIlln 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.5%
Cole Gest run for 3 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
98.4%
Darshon McCullough run for a loss of 1 yard to the EIlln 24Similar
Q1 1:34
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+4
98.4%
Darshon McCullough run for 4 yds to the EIlln 28Similar
Q1 1:34
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
98.4%
Johnathan Brantley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:34
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
98.4%
Josh Delgado punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:1099% → 98%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
98.5%
Stevie Scott III run for 1 yd to the Ind 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 43
-5
98.5%
INDIANA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ind 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 38
+3
98.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Cole Gest for 3 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 41
0
98.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ty FryfogleSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 41
+44
98.3%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Darshon McCullough at the INDIANA 10 INDIANA Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the EIlln 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
98.4%
Johnathan Brantley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+11
98.4%
Johnathan Brantley pass complete to Robbie Lofton for 11 yds to the EIlln 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
98.4%
Johnathan Brantley pass complete to Robbie Lofton for 5 yds to the EIlln 31Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+3
98.4%
Johnathan Brantley run for 3 yds to the EIlln 34Similar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 2
OWN 34
0
98.4%
Chris Walker run for no gain to the EIlln 34Similar
Q2 14:16
4TH & 2
OWN 34
0
98.4%
Josh Delgado punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
98.6%
Sampson James run for 1 yd to the Ind 30Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 9
OWN 30
0
98.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 9
OWN 30
0
98.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Whop PhilyorSimilar
Q2 11:50
4TH & 9
OWN 30
0
98.5%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EIlln 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 10PUNT
12 plays · 27 yds · 3:072% → 2%
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
98.3%
Jaelin Hayes-Benefield run for no gain to the EIlln 30Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
98.4%
Johnathan Brantley pass incomplete to Jaelin Hayes-BenefieldSimilar
Q2 11:02
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+14
98.4%
Johnathan Brantley pass complete to James Sheehan for 14 yds to the EIlln 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
98.3%
Darshon McCullough run for 7 yds to the Ind 49Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 3
OPP 49
0
98.2%
Darshon McCullough run for no gain to the Ind 49Similar
Q2 11:02
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+9
98.3%
Johnathan Brantley run for 9 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
98.2%
EASTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ind 45Similar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 15
OPP 45
0
98.3%
Johnathan Brantley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 15
OPP 45
-5
98.4%
Johnathan Brantley run for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:55
3RD & 20
50
+7
98.5%
Johnathan Brantley run for 7 yds to the Ind 43Similar
Q2 7:55
4TH & 13
OPP 43
0
98.4%
Josh Delgado punt for 23 yds, fair catch by Whop Philyor at the Ind 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 4:4199% → 100%
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
98.8%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 5 yds to the Ind 25Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+3
98.8%
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 3 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q2 6:25
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+6
98.7%
Stevie Scott III run for 6 yds to the Ind 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+23
98.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Donavan Hale for 23 yds to the EIlln 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+16
98.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Stevie Scott III for 16 yds to the EIlln 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
98.8%
Michael Penix Jr. run for 5 yds to the EIlln 22Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+6
98.8%
Stevie Scott III run for 6 yds to the EIlln 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
98.8%
Stevie Scott III run for 1 yd to the EIlln 15Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+7
98.8%
Michael Penix Jr. run for 7 yds to the EIlln 8Similar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+8
99.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 8 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:140% → 0%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Johnathan Brantley pass incomplete to Robbie LoftonSimilar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Johnathan Brantley pass incomplete to James Sheehan, broken up by Andre Brown Jr.Similar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.7%
Darshon McCullough run for 5 yds to the EIlln 30Similar
Q2 1:30
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+5
99.6%
Josh Delgado punt for 39 yds , Whop Philyor returns for 5 yds to the Ind 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13TD
1 play · 64 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
99.6%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Ronnie Walker Jr. for 64 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 14END OF HALF
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.7%
Chris Walker run for 1 yd to the EIlln 26Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
99.7%
Chris Walker run for no gain to the EIlln 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 15PUNT
11 plays · 34 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.7%
Jaelin Hayes-Benefield run for 3 yds to the EIlln 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
99.7%
Johnathan Brantley pass complete to Marques Ray for 10 yds to the EIlln 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.7%
Jaelin Hayes-Benefield run for no gain to the EIlln 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
99.7%
Johnathan Brantley pass incomplete, broken up by James Head Jr.Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+8
99.7%
Johnathan Brantley pass complete to Jaelin Hayes-Benefield for 8 yds to the EIlln 46Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 46
+8
99.7%
Johnathan Brantley run for 8 yds to the Ind 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
99.7%
Jaelin Hayes-Benefield run for 4 yds to the Ind 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+2
99.7%
Darshon McCullough run for 2 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 40
-1
99.7%
Johnathan Brantley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 41Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 41
0
99.7%
Christiaan Masucci punt for 37 yds, downed at the Ind 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16TD
7 plays · 96 yds · 3:07100% → 100%
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
99.8%
Stevie Scott III run for 5 yds to the Ind 9Similar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 5
OWN 9
+10
99.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Stevie Scott III for 10 yds to the Ind 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
99.8%
INDIANA Penalty, illegal formation (Whop Philyor) to the Ind 14Similar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 15
OWN 14
+12
99.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 12 yds to the Ind 26Similar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+4
99.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Whop Philyor for 4 yds to the Ind 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+27
99.8%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Donavan Hale for 27 yds to the EIlln 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
99.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Donavan Hale for 43 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
Chris Walker run for 3 yds to the EIlln 28Similar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.8%
Johnathan Brantley pass complete to Chris Walker for no gain to the EIlln 28Similar
Q3 7:19
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Johnathan Brantley pass incomplete to Xander Richards, broken up by Jaylin WilliamsSimilar
Q3 7:19
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Christiaan Masucci punt for 38 yds, downed at the Ind 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18DOWNS
8 plays · 32 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
99.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Turon Ivy Jr. for 6 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 4
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Stevie Scott III, broken up by Grant EdwardsSimilar
Q3 5:51
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+7
99.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Miles Marshall for 7 yds to the Ind 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
99.9%
Ramsey, Peyton pass incomplete to Marshall, Miles, PENALTY EIU pass interference (WILLIAMS, Mark) 15 yards to the EIU38, 1ST DOWN IND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
99.9%
Stevie Scott III run for 7 yds to the EIlln 31Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 3
OPP 31
-3
99.9%
Sampson James run for a loss of 3 yards to the EIlln 34Similar
Q3 5:51
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+4
99.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Turon Ivy Jr. for 4 yds to the EIlln 30Similar
Q3 5:51
4TH & 2
OPP 30
-4
99.9%
Donavan Hale run for a loss of 4 yards to the EIlln 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Johnathan Brantley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+1
99.9%
Johnathan Brantley pass complete to Chris Walker for 1 yd to the EIlln 35Similar
Q3 2:36
3RD & 9
OWN 35
+3
99.9%
Johnathan Brantley run for 3 yds to the EIlln 38Similar
Q3 2:36
4TH & 6
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Christiaan Masucci punt for 17 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 2:37100% → 100%
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
99.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Turon Ivy Jr. for 14 yds to the EIlln 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
99.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Donavan Hale for 9 yds to the EIlln 32Similar
Q3 1:05
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+12
99.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to David Ellis for 12 yds to the EIlln 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+14
99.9%
Peyton Ramsey pass complete to David Ellis for 14 yds to the EIlln 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
99.9%
Sampson James run for 5 yds to the EIlln 1Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
Sampson James run for no gain to the EIlln 1Similar
Q4 13:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Sampson James run for 1 yd for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 21DOWNS
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
Harry Woodbery pass complete to Eric Rooks for 5 yds to the EIlln 30Similar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
99.9%
Harry Woodbery pass complete to James Sheehan for 4 yds to the EIlln 34Similar
Q4 13:28
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Harry Woodbery pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:28
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-3
99.9%
Courtney Rowell run for a loss of 3 yards to the EIlln 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22FG
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:45100% → 100%
Q4 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
99.9%
Sampson James run for 1 yd to the EIlln 30Similar
Q4 12:39
2ND & 9
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Jack Tuttle pass incomplete to Matt Bjorson, broken up by Charlie BrooksSimilar
Q4 12:03
3RD & 9
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Jack Tuttle pass incomplete to Ahrod LloydSimilar
Q4 11:54
4TH & 9
OPP 30
+48
99.9%
Charles Campbell 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Harry Woodbery pass incomplete to Robbie LoftonSimilar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Harry Woodbery pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:54
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Harry Woodbery pass incomplete, broken up by Reese TaylorSimilar
Q4 11:54
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Christiaan Masucci punt for 28 yds, fair catch by David Ellis at the Ind 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
99.9%
Sampson James run for 8 yds to the EIlln 45Similar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 2
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Jack Tuttle pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:33
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+1
99.9%
Sampson James run for 1 yd to the EIlln 44Similar
Q4 11:33
4TH & 1
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Haydon Whitehead punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Darshon McCullough at the EIlln 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:380% → 0%
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
100.0%
Chris Walker run for 4 yds to the EIlln 13Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 6
OWN 13
-5
100.0%
EASTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the EIlln 8Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 11
OWN 8
+6
100.0%
Harry Woodbery pass complete to Kirk Pinkston Jr. for 6 yds to the EIlln 14Similar
Q4 10:10
3RD & 5
OWN 14
0
100.0%
Harry Woodbery pass incomplete to Marques RaySimilar
Q4 8:32
4TH & 5
OWN 14
+9
100.0%
Christiaan Masucci punt for 36 yds , David Ellis returns for 9 yds to the EIlln 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 26DOWNS
12 plays · 38 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
100.0%
Jack Tuttle run for 4 yds to the EIlln 37Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+3
100.0%
Sampson James run for 3 yds to the EIlln 34Similar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+3
100.0%
Sampson James run for 3 yds to the EIlln 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
100.0%
Jack Tuttle pass complete to Sampson James for 11 yds to the EIlln 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-3
100.0%
Jack Tuttle pass complete to Josh Sanguinetti for a loss of 3 yards to the EIlln 23Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 13
OPP 23
+10
100.0%
Jack Tuttle pass complete to Sampson James for 10 yds to the EIlln 13Similar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+4
100.0%
Sampson James run for 4 yds to the EIlln 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
100.0%
Jack Tuttle run for 3 yds to the EIlln 6Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
100.0%
Sampson James run for a loss of 2 yards to the EIlln 8Similar
Q4 8:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
100.0%
Tuttle, Jack pass incomplete to Marshall, Miles, PENALTY EIU offside 4 yards to the EIU4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
100.0%
Ahrod Lloyd run for 1 yd to the EIlln 3Similar
Q4 8:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
0
100.0%
Jack Tuttle pass incomplete to David Ellis, broken up by Brandon GuidoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
100.0%
Robert Columbus run for no gain to the EIlln 4Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+2
100.0%
Robert Columbus run for 2 yds to the EIlln 6Similar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 8
OWN 6
+5
100.0%
Robert Columbus run for 5 yds to the EIlln 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:44
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 8 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK)
+0.7
TD · Q1 1:34
Cole Gest run for 3 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK)
+0.6
TD · Q1 11:05
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Miles Marshall for 10 yds for a TD, (Logan Justus KICK)
-0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com