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ILL

Illinois 24 at Purdue 6

PUR
2019 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2019 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadILL aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreILL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · David Bell run for 1 yd to the Illin 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 136Home team on offense−36.7Pregame prior+6.5Score differential−22.9Garbage-time factor−12.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:58: Jack Plummer pass intercepted for a TD Tony Adams return for 13 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK) — ILL win probability +9.5 pts (now 41%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:41: Brandon Peters run for 1 yd for a TD, (James McCourt KICK) — ILL win probability +17.4 pts (now 69%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:41: Jack Plummer pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 3 yds to the Prdue 28 — PUR win probability +8.1 pts (now 41%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 3:36: Ra'Von Bonner run for 6 yds to the Prdue 16 — ILL win probability +7.6 pts (now 84%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:35: Reggie Corbin run for 20 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK) — ILL win probability +11.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 11 of 11ILL made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00PUR 4th & 9 at ILL 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    74.6%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    74.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:12ILL 4th & 16 at ILL 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:27PUR 4th & 5 at PUR 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:16ILL 4th & 7 at ILL 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.2%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:52PUR 4th & 11 at ILL 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.9%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    72.8%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    73.0%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:47ILL 4th & 3 at PUR 20, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.8%−0.2
    75% to make
    Punt
    27.3%−1.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00PUR 4th & 17 at ILL 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.4%−0.7
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    68.6%−0.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    69.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:13ILL 4th & 8 at ILL 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:58PUR 4th & 10 at PUR 23, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.7%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:06ILL 4th & 14 at PUR 14, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%−1.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.0%
    84% to make
    Punt
    41.2%−3.8
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:06PUR 4th & 9 at PUR 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.0%−1.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.2%
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:41PUR 4th & 8 at PUR 39, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 15:00ILL 4th & 13 at ILL 22, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%−4.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 13:09PUR 4th & 13 at ILL 47, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%−1.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.7%
    average punt
  15. Q3 11:49ILL 4th & 9 at ILL 17, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.2%−2.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.6%
    average punt
  16. Q3 8:48PUR 4th & 13 at ILL 40, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%−1.0
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    27.7%−0.4
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    28.1%
    average punt
  17. Q3 6:51ILL 4th & 5 at ILL 30, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.0%
    average punt
  18. Q3 2:35PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 32, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.2%−0.6
    average punt
  19. Q4 15:00PUR 4th & 2 at ILL 49, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.3%−0.3
    average punt
  20. Q4 14:55ILL 4th & 5 at PUR 37, up 24
    Close callPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    95.5%−0.2
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.4%−0.2
    average punt
  21. Q4 5:49ILL 4th & 26 at ILL 46, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%−1.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 0 of 1ILL made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 9:58ILL Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:41ILL Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:35ILL Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 5:49PUR Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    4.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
75.3%
King Doerue run for 5 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
75.3%
Milton Wright run for 2 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+11
75.3%
King Doerue run for 11 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
75.3%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Milton Wright for 11 yds to the Illin 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
75.3%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Jackson AnthropSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+1
75.3%
King Doerue run for 1 yd to the Illin 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 45
0
75.3%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 45
0
75.3%
Zac Collins punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+10
74.7%
Brandon Peters run for 10 yds to the Illin 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
74.7%
Reggie Corbin run for 3 yds to the Illin 28Similar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
74.6%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Josh ImatorbhebheSimilar
Q1 12:12
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-9
74.7%
Brandon Peters sacked by George Karlaftis for a loss of 9 yards to the Illin 19Similar
Q1 12:12
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
74.9%
Blake Hayes punt for 48 yds, downed at the Prdue 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
74.4%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 7 yds to the Prdue 40Similar
Q1 10:27
2ND & 3
OWN 40
-2
74.7%
King Doerue run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 38Similar
Q1 10:27
3RD & 5
OWN 38
0
74.4%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Jackson AnthropSimilar
Q1 10:27
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
74.2%
Zac Collins punt for 46 yds, downed at the Illin 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
74.0%
Reggie Corbin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 15Similar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 11
OWN 15
0
74.0%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Josh ImatorbhebheSimilar
Q1 9:16
3RD & 11
OWN 15
+4
74.2%
Dre Brown run for 4 yds to the Illin 19Similar
Q1 9:16
4TH & 7
OWN 19
0
74.3%
Blake Hayes punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
74.1%
Jackson Anthrop run for 5 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+8
74.2%
Jack Plummer run for 8 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
74.3%
Jack Plummer sacked by Owen Carney Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 46Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 11
OPP 46
0
74.2%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Jackson AnthropSimilar
Q1 7:52
3RD & 11
OPP 46
0
73.9%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Milton Wright, broken up by Devon WitherspoonSimilar
Q1 7:52
4TH & 11
OPP 46
0
73.5%
Zac Collins punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 6FG
8 plays · 67 yds · 3:3028% → 29%
Q1 6:17
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+7
72.4%
Reggie Corbin run for 7 yds to the Prdue 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+44
73.2%
Dre Brown run for 44 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
72.4%
Dre Brown run for 5 yds to the Prdue 38Similar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+4
72.3%
Brandon Peters run for 4 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-2
72.1%
Reggie Corbin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 29Similar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 12
OPP 29
+8
72.2%
Dre Brown run for 8 yds to the Prdue 21Similar
Q1 6:17
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+1
72.4%
Brandon Peters run for 1 yd to the Prdue 20Similar
Q1 2:47
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+38
70.9%
James McCourt 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 2:4771% → 69%
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
71.0%
King Doerue run for 5 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-3
71.2%
King Doerue run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 27Similar
Q1 2:47
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+22
70.5%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 22 yds to the Prdue 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
72.1%
Jack Plummer run for 8 yds to the Illin 43Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+5
72.3%
King Doerue run for 5 yds to the Illin 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
72.3%
King Doerue run for 2 yds to the Illin 36Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 8
OPP 36
-3
72.3%
King Doerue run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 39Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 39
-6
70.4%
Jack Plummer sacked by Jamal Milan for a loss of 6 yards to the Illin 45Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 17
OPP 45
0
69.3%
Zac Collins punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:0031% → 30%
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
69.1%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 6 yds to the Illin 26Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+7
68.8%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 7 yds to the Illin 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
68.8%
Bonner,RaVon rush for 2 yards to the ILL35 (B. Thineneman), PENALTY PUR offside (Kai Higgins) 5 yards to the ILL38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 5
OWN 38
+1
68.1%
Dre Brown run for 1 yd to the Illin 39Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+1
68.1%
Dre Brown run for 1 yd to the Illin 40Similar
Q2 14:13
3RD & 3
OWN 40
-5
68.3%
ILLINOIS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Illin 35Similar
Q2 14:13
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
69.4%
Brandon Peters pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:13
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
69.8%
Blake Hayes punt for 64 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9INT TD
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3868% → 59%
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+6
68.3%
Jack Plummer run for 6 yds to the Prdue 7Similar
Q2 11:36
2ND & 4
OWN 7
+5
68.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 5 yds to the Prdue 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-3
68.4%
Jack Plummer run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 9Similar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 13
OWN 9
+13
58.9%
Jack Plummer pass intercepted for a TD Tony Adams return for 13 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0059% → 58%
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
59.3%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for no gain to the Prdue 23Similar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
59.2%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:58
3RD & 10
OWN 23
0
58.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to King DoerueSimilar
Q2 9:58
4TH & 10
OWN 23
0
57.9%
Zac Collins punt for 32 yds , Jordan Holmes returns for no gain to the Illin 48 Jordan Holmes fumbled, recovered by Illin Jordan HolmesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 11MISSED FG
11 plays · 38 yds · 4:0141% → 44%
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
59.1%
Reggie Corbin run for 12 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
59.0%
Reggie Corbin run for 1 yd to the Prdue 39Similar
Q2 9:07
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+17
59.1%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Donny Navarro for 17 yds to the Prdue 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
58.8%
Reggie Corbin run for 5 yds to the Prdue 17Similar
Q2 9:07
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+7
58.8%
Reggie Corbin run for 7 yds to the Prdue 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
55.1%
Brown,Dre rush for 2 yards to the PUR8 (TJ Sheffield), PENALTY ILL illegal formation 5 yards to the PUR15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
+1
55.1%
Dre Brown run for 1 yd to the Prdue 14Similar
Q2 6:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
0
55.2%
Casey Washington pass incomplete to Brandon PetersSimilar
Q2 6:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
0
55.7%
Brandon Peters run for no gain to the Prdue 14Similar
Q2 5:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+32
55.7%
James McCourt 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0055% → 54%
Q2 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
55.0%
Tario Fuller run for 1 yd to the Prdue 21Similar
Q2 5:06
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
55.0%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:06
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
54.1%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to Milton WrightSimilar
Q2 5:06
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
53.6%
Zac Collins punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jordan Holmes at the Illin 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 13TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 2:3546% → 69%
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
53.7%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 10 yds to the Illin 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
53.0%
Brandon Peters run for 4 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q2 4:16
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+21
53.0%
Dre Brown run for 21 yds to the Prdue 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+25
52.6%
Dre Brown run for 25 yds to the Prdue 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
52.7%
Dre Brown run for 2 yds to the Prdue 1Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
30.6%
Brandon Peters run for 1 yd for a TD, (James McCourt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
40.9%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 3 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
41.1%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 6 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q2 1:41
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
41.8%
King Doerue run for 3 yds to the Prdue 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
42.0%
Jack Plummer run for 2 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
42.3%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q2 1:41
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
41.2%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Zander HorvathSimilar
Q2 1:41
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
40.9%
Zac Collins punt for 38 yds, downed at the Illin 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
34.8%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:0065% → 64%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
34.6%
Brandon Peters run for 4 yds to the Illin 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-2
34.4%
Reggie Corbin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
35.1%
Brandon Peters run for no gain to the Illin 27Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
-5
35.6%
Hayes,Blake punt 46 yards to the PUR27, out-of-bounds, PENALTY ILL illegal formation 5 yards to the ILL22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+14
35.8%
Blake Hayes punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Illin 44 , Jackson Anthrop returns for 14 yds to the Illin 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0036% → 34%
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-3
36.0%
King Doerue run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 47Similar
Q3 13:09
2ND & 13
OPP 47
0
34.9%
Jack Plummer run for no gain to the Illin 47Similar
Q3 13:09
3RD & 13
OPP 47
0
34.2%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Jackson AnthropSimilar
Q3 13:09
4TH & 13
OPP 47
0
34.0%
Zac Collins punt for 44 yds, downed at the Illin 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0071% → 70%
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+6
29.3%
Dre Brown run for 6 yds to the Illin 9Similar
Q3 11:49
2ND & 4
OWN 9
+7
29.4%
Brandon Peters run for 7 yds to the Illin 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
29.1%
Dre Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 18Similar
Q3 11:49
2ND & 8
OWN 18
-2
29.2%
Dre Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 16Similar
Q3 11:49
3RD & 10
OWN 16
+1
29.9%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Caleb Reams for 1 yd to the Illin 17Similar
Q3 11:49
4TH & 9
OWN 17
+7
30.3%
Blake Hayes punt for 42 yds , Amad Anderson Jr. returns for 7 yds to the Prdue 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:0029% → 28%
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
28.9%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Amad Anderson Jr., broken up by Nate HobbsSimilar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+15
28.6%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 15 yds to the Illin 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
29.4%
King Doerue run for 5 yds to the Illin 32Similar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 5
OPP 32
0
30.3%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete, broken up by Tymir OliverSimilar
Q3 8:48
3RD & 5
OPP 32
-8
29.7%
Jackson Anthrop run for a loss of 8 yards to the Illin 40 Jackson Anthrop fumbled, recovered by Prdue Jackson AnthropSimilar
Q3 8:48
4TH & 13
OPP 40
0
27.5%
Danny Carollo punt for 15 yds, downed at the Illin 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
22.2%
Reggie Corbin run for no gain to the Illin 25Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-3
22.2%
Reggie Corbin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 22Similar
Q3 6:51
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+8
23.0%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Justice Williams for 8 yds to the Illin 30Similar
Q3 6:51
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
22.9%
Blake Hayes punt for 34 yds, downed at the Prdue 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21FUMBLE
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
22.7%
King Doerue run for 10 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
23.9%
King Doerue run for 1 yd to the Prdue 47Similar
Q3 4:54
2ND & 9
OWN 47
0
23.7%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Jackson AnthropSimilar
Q3 4:54
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+4
23.3%
Jack Plummer run for 4 yds to the Prdue 22 Jack Plummer fumbled, forced by Nate Hobbs, recovered by Illin Dele Harding , return for 29 yds to the Prdue 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 22TD
3 plays · 22 yds · 1:0184% → 95%
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
15.8%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 6 yds to the Prdue 16Similar
Q3 3:36
2ND & 4
OPP 16
-4
15.8%
Brandon Peters run for a loss of 4 yards to the Prdue 20Similar
Q3 2:35
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+20
4.7%
Reggie Corbin run for 20 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 23DOWNS
9 plays · 29 yds · 2:357% → 6%
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
7.2%
Zander Horvath run for 5 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+2
7.3%
Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q3 2:35
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+2
7.3%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 2 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q3 2:35
4TH & 1
OWN 32
+11
7.3%
Zander Horvath run for 11 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
7.5%
Aidan O'Connell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+6
7.5%
Zander Horvath run for 6 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q3 2:35
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+2
7.7%
Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Illin 49Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 49
+1
5.5%
David Bell run for 1 yd to the Illin 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
3.7%
Dre Brown run for 6 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+3
3.6%
Dre Brown run for 3 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+1
3.7%
Dre Brown run for 1 yd to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
3.6%
Dre Brown run for 3 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+3
3.6%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 3 yds to the Prdue 36Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 4
OPP 36
-1
3.6%
Brandon Peters run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 37Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 5
OPP 37
0
4.1%
Blake Hayes punt for 36 yds, downed at the Prdue 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 25TD
14 plays · 99 yds · 5:053% → 5%
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
2.9%
King Doerue run for no gain to the Prdue 1Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+14
2.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 14 yds to the Prdue 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
2.9%
Jackson Anthrop run for 5 yds to the Prdue 20Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+7
2.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for 7 yds to the Prdue 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+19
3.0%
Zander Horvath run for 19 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
3.2%
Zander Horvath run for 5 yds to the Illin 49Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+2
3.4%
Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Illin 47Similar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+20
3.4%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 20 yds to the Illin 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
3.8%
Tario Fuller run for 1 yd to the Illin 26Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+14
3.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 14 yds to the Illin 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
3.9%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to David Bell for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 13Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 11
OPP 13
+2
3.8%
Aidan O'Connell run for 2 yds to the Illin 11Similar
Q4 5:49
3RD & 9
OPP 11
+11
4.7%
Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 11 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 26PUNT
10 plays · -4 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
50
+3
2.3%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 3 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q4 5:49
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+6
2.3%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 6 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q4 5:49
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+3
2.3%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 3 yds to the Prdue 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
2.3%
Ra'Von Bonner run for no gain to the Prdue 38Similar
Q4 5:49
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+4
2.3%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 4 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q4 5:49
3RD & 6
OPP 34
-15
2.3%
Peters,Brandon pass complete to Palmer,Griffin for 7 yards to the PUR27 (Cory Trice), PENALTY ILL pass interference (Imatorbhebhe,J.) 15 yards to the PUR49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:49
3RD & 21
OPP 49
0
2.3%
Dre Brown run for no gain to the Prdue 49Similar
Q4 5:49
4TH & 21
OPP 49
-5
2.4%
ILLINOIS Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Illin 46Similar
Q4 5:49
4TH & 26
OWN 46
+17
2.4%
Blake Hayes punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 28 , Jackson Anthrop returns for 17 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 27END OF GAME
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
1.7%
Tario Fuller run for 4 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+9
1.7%
Tario Fuller run for 9 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
1.8%
Tario Fuller run for 4 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
1.8%
Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q4 1:24
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+2
1.8%
Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:41
Brandon Peters run for 1 yd for a TD, (James McCourt KICK)
-17.4
TD · Q3 2:35
Reggie Corbin run for 20 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK)
-11.1
TD · Q2 9:58
Jack Plummer pass intercepted for a TD Tony Adams return for 13 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK)
-9.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com