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NEB

Nebraska 42 at Illinois 38

ILL
2019 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2019 · Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
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Win probability · ILL
modelILL aheadNEB aheadconfidence bandkey playILL scoreNEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:41 · TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Illin 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:16: Dre Brown run for 36 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK) — ILL win probability +16.8 pts (now 69%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:41: Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 3 yds for a TD, (Lane McCallum KICK) — NEB win probability +14.8 pts (now 53%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:40: Brandon Peters 10 Yd Run (James McCourt Kick) — ILL win probability +13.7 pts (now 80%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:29: Dedrick Mills 2 Yd Run (Adrian Martinez Run for Two-Point Conversion) — NEB win probability +31.4 pts (now 64%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:00: Wan'Dale Robinson 1 Yd Run (Lane McCallum Kick) — NEB win probability +31.5 pts (now 80%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ILL made the numbers' call on 5 of 8NEB made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 14:12NEB 4th & 11 at ILL 29, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.3%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    78.4%
    58% to make
    Punt
    78.1%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:39ILL 4th & 5 at ILL 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:49NEB 4th & 2 at ILL 8, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.5%
    54% to convert
    Field goal
    71.1%−0.4
    90% to make
    Punt
    68.7%−2.8
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:01ILL 4th & 12 at ILL 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.4%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:08NEB 4th & 3 at NEB 25, down 7
    Close callPunted · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00ILL 4th & 1 at ILL 39, up 7
    Close callPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.1%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:46NEB 4th & 6 at NEB 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:13ILL 4th & 3 at ILL 41, up 7
    Close callPunted · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.1%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:26NEB 4th & 22 at NEB 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.4%−2.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:55NEB 4th & 8 at NEB 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.9%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:11ILL 4th & 6 at ILL 18, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.7%−1.9
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:08ILL 4th & 7 at NEB 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.3%
    58% to make
    Punt
    37.5%−12.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:55ILL 4th & 4 at ILL 33, down 4
    Close callPunted · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.5%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:03NEB 4th & 10 at ILL 10, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.9%−2.2
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    67.1%−13.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:03ILL 4th & 10 at ILL 20, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.2%
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.8%−2.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ILL made the numbers' call on 5 of 5NEB made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 14:12ILL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:12ILL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:07NEB Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:46ILL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:20NEB Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:16ILL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:41NEB Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 5:40ILL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 2:11NEB Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    27.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 14:29NEB Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    48.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    48.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 8:00NEB Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.3%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ILLDrive 1TD
3 plays · 71 yds · 0:4817% → 18%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
17.1%
Reggie Corbin run for 5 yds to the Illin 34Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+66
17.7%
Reggie Corbin run for 66 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2DOWNS
9 plays · 51 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q1 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
17.7%
Maurice Washington run for 6 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
17.7%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete, broken up by Nate HobbsSimilar
Q1 14:12
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+41
17.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 41 yds to the Illin 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
17.6%
Dedrick Mills rush for 5 yards to the ILL23 (Brown,Sydney), PENALTY NEB illegal formation 5 yards to the ILL33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:12
1ST & 15
OPP 33
-5
17.6%
Dedrick Mills run for a loss of 5 yards to the Illin 38Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 20
OPP 38
0
17.7%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
Q1 14:12
3RD & 20
OPP 38
+9
17.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Dedrick Mills for 9 yds to the Illin 29Similar
Q1 14:12
4TH & 11
OPP 29
+5
17.7%
Adrian Martinez run for 5 yds to the Illin 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-3
19.6%
Reggie Corbin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 21Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 13
OWN 21
0
19.6%
Brandon Peters pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:39
3RD & 13
OWN 21
+8
19.5%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Ra'Von Bonner for 8 yds to the Illin 29Similar
Q1 11:39
4TH & 5
OWN 29
0
19.4%
Blake Hayes punt for 46 yds , JD Spielman returns for no gain to the Neb 29 NEBRASKA Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Neb 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4FUMBLE
2 plays · 22 yds · 0:0079% → 80%
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+22
20.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 22 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-4
20.4%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 37 Adrian Martinez fumbled, recovered by Illin Jake HansenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 5TD
5 plays · 37 yds · 1:4521% → 25%
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
21.3%
Dre Brown run for 5 yds to the Neb 32Similar
Q1 9:57
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+3
21.3%
Dre Brown run for 3 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q1 9:57
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+3
21.2%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Dre Brown for 3 yds to the Neb 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
21.3%
Brandon Peters pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:12
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+26
25.2%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 26 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:0576% → 77%
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
24.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 6 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q1 8:12
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
24.1%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
Q1 7:49
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+12
24.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 12 yds to the Neb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+41
24.2%
Maurice Washington run for 41 yds to the Illin 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
23.6%
Dedrick Mills run for 2 yds to the Illin 14Similar
Q1 7:49
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+5
23.6%
Adrian Martinez rush for 3 yards to the ILL11 (Adams,Tony), PENALTY ILL offside 5 yards to the ILL9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:49
2ND & 3
OPP 9
0
23.6%
Adrian Martinez pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:49
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+1
23.8%
Adrian Martinez run for 1 yd to the Illin 8Similar
Q1 7:49
4TH & 2
OPP 8
+3
23.9%
Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds to the Illin 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
23.6%
Dedrick Mills run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 6Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
23.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Jack Stoll for 6 yds for a TD, (Lane McCallum KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 5:01
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+8
24.9%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 8 yds to the Illin 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
25.5%
Isaiah Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 41Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+9
25.2%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:01
3RD & 2
50
-10
25.3%
Brandon Peters sacked by JoJo Domann for a loss of 10 yards to the Illin 40Similar
Q1 5:01
4TH & 12
OWN 40
0
24.4%
Blake Hayes punt for 43 yds, downed at the Neb 17Similar
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
25.0%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 2 yds to the Illin 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0073% → 72%
Q1 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-8
27.0%
Maurice Washington run for a loss of 8 yards to the Neb 10Similar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 18
OWN 10
0
27.2%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete, broken up by Tony AdamsSimilar
Q1 2:08
3RD & 18
OWN 10
+10
27.6%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wyatt Mazour for 10 yds to the Neb 20Similar
Q1 2:08
4TH & 8
OWN 20
+5
27.9%
ILLINOIS Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the Neb 25Similar
Q1 2:08
4TH & 3
OWN 25
+5
27.7%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 50 yds , Trevon Sidney returns for 5 yds to the Illin 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:3829% → 29%
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
28.8%
Reggie Corbin run for 5 yds to the Illin 35Similar
Q1 0:38
2ND & 5
OWN 35
-2
29.2%
Reggie Corbin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+6
28.9%
Brandon Peters run for 6 yds to the Illin 39Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
29.2%
Blake Hayes punt for 59 yds, downed at the Neb 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10FUMBLE
1 play · 8 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+8
30.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 6 yds to the Neb 2 Dedrick Mills fumbled, forced by Dele Harding, recovered by Illin Jartavius Martin , return for 8 yds to the Neb 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 11TD
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q2 13:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
38.0%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 2 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0065% → 64%
Q2 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
35.4%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 6 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q2 13:46
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
34.9%
Adrian Martinez run for no gain to the Neb 31Similar
Q2 13:46
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
35.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 3 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q2 13:46
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
35.2%
NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Neb 29Similar
Q2 13:46
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
36.0%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 46 yds, downed at the Illin 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 13INT
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0039% → 40%
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
39.2%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 11 yds to the Illin 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
39.8%
Jakari Norwood run for 16 yds to the Neb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
40.8%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Dele HardingSimilar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-2
40.7%
Isaiah Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:01
3RD & 12
50
+9
39.5%
Brandon Peters pass intercepted Cam Taylor-Britt return for 9 yds to the Neb 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14TD
6 plays · 79 yds · 2:2761% → 67%
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+26
39.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 26 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-3
37.9%
Maurice Washington run for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 44Similar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 13
OWN 44
+25
39.0%
Maurice Washington run for 25 yds to the Illin 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
36.8%
Maurice Washington run for 5 yds to the Illin 26Similar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 5
OPP 26
-1
36.4%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 27Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+27
33.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 27 yds for a TD, (Lane McCallum KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0037% → 36%
Q2 8:13
4TH & 3
OWN 41
0
36.7%
Blake Hayes punt for 51 yds, downed at the Neb 8Similar
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-4
37.4%
Reggie Corbin run for a loss of 4 yards to the Illin 30Similar
Q2 8:13
2ND & 14
OWN 30
-2
36.9%
Reggie Corbin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 28Similar
Q2 8:13
3RD & 16
OWN 28
+13
36.0%
Reggie Corbin run for 13 yds to the Illin 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16PUNT
15 plays · 41 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
38.8%
Maurice Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 7Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 11
OWN 7
+16
39.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 16 yds to the Neb 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
38.4%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to JD Spielman, broken up by Kerby JosephSimilar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+5
38.6%
Maurice Washington run for 5 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+12
38.6%
Adrian Martinez run for 12 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
37.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Wan'Dale RobinsonSimilar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+11
37.4%
Maurice Washington run for 11 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
35.8%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Maurice WashingtonSimilar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+8
36.6%
Maurice Washington run for 8 yds to the Illin 41Similar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+2
35.6%
Adrian Martinez run for 2 yds to the Illin 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-7
35.8%
Dedrick Mills run for 20 yds to the Illin 19 NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive holding (-27 Yards) to the Illin 46Similar
Q2 6:26
1ST & 17
OPP 46
0
36.8%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Kanawai NoaSimilar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 17
OPP 46
-5
37.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for a loss of 5 yards to the Neb 49Similar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 22
OWN 49
0
38.5%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Dedrick MillsSimilar
Q2 6:26
4TH & 22
OWN 49
0
39.3%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 17END OF HALF
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:5945% → 48%
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
44.5%
Dre Brown run for 3 yds to the Illin 22Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+5
44.1%
Brown,Dre rush for no gain to the ILL22 (JoJo Domann;Will Honas), PENALTY NEB offside (Carlos Davis) 5 yards to the ILL27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+4
45.3%
Dre Brown run for 4 yds to the Illin 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
44.7%
Reggie Corbin run for 10 yds to the Illin 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
46.5%
Reggie Corbin run for 3 yds to the Illin 44Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+1
47.8%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 1 yd to the Illin 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0054% → 51%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
46.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Kanawai Noa for 5 yds to the Neb 23Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 5
OWN 23
-2
46.1%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 21Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 7
OWN 21
-1
47.8%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Oluwole Betiku Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 20Similar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 8
OWN 20
0
48.8%
Isaac Armstrong punt for 58 yds, downed at the Illin 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 19TD
6 plays · 78 yds · 1:5150% → 69%
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
49.8%
Reggie Corbin run for 8 yds to the Illin 30Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+5
51.3%
Reggie Corbin run for 5 yds to the Illin 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
50.1%
Reggie Corbin run for 4 yds to the Illin 39Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+17
52.2%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 17 yds to the Neb 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
52.7%
Dre Brown run for 8 yds to the Neb 36Similar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+36
69.4%
Dre Brown run for 36 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 20TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 1:3534% → 53%
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
66.5%
NEBRASKA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Neb 20Similar
Q3 11:16
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+20
66.8%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Mike Williams for 20 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
64.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 7 yds to the Neb 47Similar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+5
63.6%
Wyatt Mazour run for 5 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+17
63.4%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 17 yds to the Illin 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+17
62.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Jack Stoll for 17 yds to the Illin 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+11
61.5%
Wyatt Mazour run for 11 yds to the Illin 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
46.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 3 yds for a TD, (Lane McCallum KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0056% → 58%
Q3 9:41
3RD & 9
OWN 36
-3
55.7%
Blake Hayes punt for 50 yds , JD Spielman returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 11Similar
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
56.5%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 3 yds to the Illin 38Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-2
58.3%
Ra'Von Bonner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 22FUMBLE
2 plays · 27 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
53.0%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 10Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 11
OWN 11
+20
53.3%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 20 yds JD Spielman fumbled, forced by Tony Adams, recovered by Illin Jartavius Martin , return for 2 yds to the Neb 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 23FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
56.3%
Adrian Martinez run for 2 yds to the Neb 16Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 8
OWN 16
-6
56.4%
Adrian Martinez sacked by Ayo Shogbonyo for a loss of 6 yards to the Neb 14 Adrian Martinez fumbled, recovered by Illin Oluwole Betiku Jr. , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 24TD
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:3066% → 80%
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
65.9%
Reggie Corbin run for 4 yds to the Neb 10Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+10
79.6%
Brandon Peters 10 Yd Run (James McCourt Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 25TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:2926% → 36%
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
74.4%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 21 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
72.1%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 6
50
+4
71.4%
Adrian Martinez run for 4 yds to the Illin 46Similar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+2
71.6%
Dedrick Mills run for 2 yds to the Illin 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
71.3%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to JD SpielmanSimilar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+2
71.9%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 2 yds to the Illin 42Similar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+22
72.2%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Jack Stoll for 22 yds to the Illin 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
69.3%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 6 yds to the Illin 14Similar
Q3 2:11
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+14
64.2%
Dedrick Mills 14 Yd Run (Lane McCallum PAT blocked)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0073% → 71%
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
73.2%
Reggie Corbin run for 4 yds to the Illin 18Similar
Q3 2:11
2ND & 6
OWN 18
0
73.2%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Trevon SidneySimilar
Q3 2:11
3RD & 6
OWN 18
0
72.0%
Brandon Peters pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:11
4TH & 6
OWN 18
+45
70.5%
Blake Hayes punt for 45 yds , Kanawai Noa returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 27TD
6 plays · 64 yds · 1:3529% → 64%
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+20
71.5%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to JD Spielman for 20 yds to the Illin 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
68.6%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 11 yds to the Illin 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+18
66.7%
Adrian Martinez run for 18 yds to the Illin 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
66.1%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 7 yds to the Illin 8Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+6
67.3%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 6 yds to the Illin 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
35.9%
Dedrick Mills 2 Yd Run (Adrian Martinez Run for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 28FG
8 plays · 30 yds · 2:1450% → 62%
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
49.7%
Reggie Corbin run for 6 yds to the Illin 47Similar
Q4 14:22
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+4
51.2%
Reggie Corbin run for 4 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+17
51.6%
Reggie Corbin run for 2 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST down NEBRASKA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Darrion Daniels) to the Neb 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
53.3%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 3 yds Ricky Smalling fumbled, forced by JoJo Domann, recovered by Illin Daniel BarkerSimilar
Q4 14:22
2ND & 7
OPP 29
0
53.3%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Ricky Smalling, broken up by Dicaprio BootleSimilar
Q4 14:22
3RD & 7
OPP 29
0
51.3%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Trevon Sidney for no gain to the Neb 29Similar
Q4 12:08
4TH & 7
OPP 29
+47
61.7%
James McCourt 47 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 29TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:0842% → 80%
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
57.7%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 13 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
55.6%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 4 yds to the Neb 42Similar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+4
53.0%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 4 yds to the Neb 46Similar
Q4 12:08
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+9
53.3%
Dedrick Mills run for 9 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
52.0%
Adrian Martinez pass incomplete to Kanawai NoaSimilar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+2
52.3%
Dedrick Mills run for 2 yds to the Illin 43Similar
Q4 12:08
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+10
53.0%
Adrian Martinez run for 10 yds to the Illin 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
50.2%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 6 yds to the Illin 27Similar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+1
49.8%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 1 yd to the Illin 26Similar
Q4 12:08
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+25
51.8%
Adrian Martinez run for 25 yds to the Illin 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
20.3%
Wan'Dale Robinson 1 Yd Run (Lane McCallum Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 30PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0033% → 31%
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
33.0%
Reggie Corbin run for no gain to the Illin 27Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+6
32.3%
Reggie Corbin run for 6 yds to the Illin 33Similar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 4
OWN 33
0
32.2%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Daniel BarkerSimilar
Q4 7:55
4TH & 4
OWN 33
0
31.0%
Blake Hayes punt for 47 yds, fair catch by JD Spielman at the Neb 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 31MISSED FG
14 plays · 70 yds · 4:3576% → 86%
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
23.8%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 5 yds to the Neb 25 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the Neb 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
22.9%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 8 yds to the Neb 43Similar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+44
21.2%
Adrian Martinez run for 44 yds to the Illin 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
18.7%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 2 yds to the Illin 11Similar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+1
18.7%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for 1 yd to the Illin 10Similar
Q4 6:38
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+9
20.1%
Adrian Martinez pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 9 yds to the Illin 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
18.7%
Wan'Dale Robinson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Illin 5Similar
Q4 2:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-3
10.8%
Adrian Martinez run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 8Similar
Q4 2:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
11.4%
Adrian Martinez run for 3 yds to the Illin 5Similar
Q4 2:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
13.2%
NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Illin 10Similar
Q4 2:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
13.7%
Lane McCallum 27 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 32DOWNS
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0025% → 23%
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
25.2%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Josh Imatorbhebhe, broken up by Lamar JacksonSimilar
Q4 2:03
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
24.5%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Trevon Sidney, broken up by Lamar JacksonSimilar
Q4 2:03
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
23.2%
Matt Robinson pass incomplete to Trevon Sidney, broken up by Marquel DismukeSimilar
Q4 2:03
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
22.5%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Trevon Sidney, broken up by Marquel DismukeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 33END OF GAME
3 plays · -11 yds · 0:0093% → 92%
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-3
6.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 23Similar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 13
OPP 23
-4
7.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Illin 27Similar
Q4 1:41
3RD & 17
OPP 27
-4
8.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Illin 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:00
Wan'Dale Robinson 1 Yd Run (Lane McCallum Kick)
-31.5
TD · Q4 14:29
Dedrick Mills 2 Yd Run (Adrian Martinez Run for Two-Point Conversion)
-31.4
TD · Q3 11:16
Dre Brown run for 36 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK)
+16.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com