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EMU

Eastern Michigan 34 at Illinois 31

ILL
2019 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2019 · Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
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Win probability · ILL
modelILL aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playILL scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:21 · Jake Julien punt for 26 yds, downed at the Illin 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 92Pregame prior+12.4Home team on offense−6.5Garbage-time factor−1.7Score differential−2.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:28: Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 31 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland PAT MISSED) — EMU win probability +6.5 pts (now 38%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 11:20: Willie Parker run for 4 yds for a TD, (Mike Glass III pass to Mathew Sexton for Two-Point Conversion) — EMU win probability +23.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 7:46: Reggie Corbin run for 28 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK) — ILL win probability +17.0 pts (now 34%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:44: Brandon Peters pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 36 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK) EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined — ILL win probability +37.1 pts (now 63%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Chad Ryland 24 yd FG GOOD — EMU win probability +31.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ILL made the numbers' call on 8 of 9EMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:18ILL 4th & 3 at EMU 39, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 69.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.6%−0.2
    36% to make
    Punt
    69.7%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:52EMU 4th & 5 at EMU 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:21ILL 4th & 15 at ILL 22, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00EMU 4th & 7 at ILL 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    30.5%−0.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:38ILL 4th & 29 at ILL 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%−1.8
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:28ILL 4th & 17 at ILL 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%−2.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:43EMU 4th & 15 at ILL 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.6%
    45% to make
    Punt
    37.7%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:43ILL 4th & 19 at ILL 16, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.1%−3.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:21EMU 4th & 4 at ILL 46, up 6
    Close callPunted · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    46.0%−1.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.8%−1.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00ILL 4th & 3 at ILL 32, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%−0.6
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:48EMU 4th & 13 at EMU 23, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.9%−3.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:41ILL 4th & 16 at ILL 43, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.7%−3.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:09EMU 4th & 6 at EMU 41, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.6%−1.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:24EMU 4th & 8 at ILL 37, up 6
    Close callPunted · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.3%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    60.7%−0.6
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.3%−1.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00ILL 4th & 16 at ILL 14, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%−6.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:46EMU 4th & 1 at ILL 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    72.3%−5.8
    30% to make
    Punt
    73.2%−4.8
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:09EMU 4th & 12 at ILL 40, up 7
    Close callPunted · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    85.5%
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.3%−0.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:58ILL 4th & 10 at ILL 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.2%
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.1%−1.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ILL made the numbers' call on 4 of 4EMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 8:02EMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:52ILL Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:55EMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:42ILL Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:28EMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    38.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:20EMU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    81.6%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    82.0%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:46ILL Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.2%−1.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:44ILL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.6%−1.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
72.1%
Shaq Vann run for 5 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
72.1%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
72.1%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Shaq Vann for 1 yd to the EMich 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
72.1%
Jake Julien punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 2FG
10 plays · 38 yds · 3:2272% → 72%
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
71.8%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Trevon Sidney for 11 yds to the Illin 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
71.8%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 9 yds to the Illin 43Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 1
OWN 43
-10
72.0%
Corbin,Reggie rush for 8 yards to the EMU49, out-of-bounds (BOGAN, Blake), PENALTY ILL holding (Moore,Griffin) 10 yards to the ILL33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+5
71.8%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Daniel Barker for 5 yds to the Illin 38Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+5
71.8%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Illin 43Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+11
71.9%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Trevon Sidney for 11 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
72.0%
Dre Brown run for 2 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+5
72.0%
Reggie Corbin run for 5 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 3
OPP 39
0
72.0%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Trevon Sidney, broken up by Blake BoganSimilar
Q1 9:18
4TH & 3
OPP 39
+57
72.0%
James McCourt 57 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:1628% → 31%
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
71.9%
Mike Glass III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+47
71.9%
Jairus Grissom run for 47 yds to the Illin 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
71.2%
Breck Turner run for 2 yds to the Illin 26Similar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 8
OPP 26
0
71.2%
Mike Glass III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:02
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+26
69.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 26 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 4TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:1070% → 73%
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
70.1%
Reggie Corbin run for 11 yds to the Illin 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-12
70.6%
Reggie Corbin run for 3 yds to the Illin 49 ILLINOIS Penalty, IB (Trevon Sidney) to the Illin 34Similar
Q1 8:02
1ST & 22
OWN 34
+52
70.0%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Daniel Barker for 52 yds to the EMich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
72.5%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 14 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK) EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
71.7%
Willie Parker run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 24Similar
Q1 6:52
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
71.8%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Breck Turner for 6 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q1 6:52
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
71.8%
Mike Glass III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:52
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
72.1%
Jake Julien punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Trevon Sidney at the Illin 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0072% → 71%
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
71.5%
Brandon Peters run for 4 yds to the Illin 31Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
71.5%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Trevon SidneySimilar
Q1 5:21
3RD & 6
OWN 31
-9
71.3%
Team run for a loss of 9 yards to the Illin 22Similar
Q1 5:21
4TH & 15
OWN 22
+9
70.8%
Blake Hayes punt for 41 yds , Dylan Drummond returns for 9 yds to the EMich 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7TD
2 plays · 54 yds · 0:1229% → 32%
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
70.7%
Mike Glass III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+54
67.8%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 54 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 8TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:1768% → 72%
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
68.4%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Dominic Stampley for 9 yds to the Illin 34Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
69.2%
Reggie Corbin run for 5 yds to the Illin 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
68.9%
Reggie Corbin run for 8 yds to the Illin 47Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+22
69.5%
Reggie Corbin run for 7 yds to the ILLINOIS 46 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the EMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+27
70.1%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Dominic Stampley for 27 yds to the EMich 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
72.4%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 4 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 1:4229% → 29%
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
71.0%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Line Latu for 14 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
70.4%
Mike Glass III run for no gain to the EMich 39Similar
Q1 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
70.5%
Jairus Grissom run for 1 yd to the EMich 40Similar
Q1 1:42
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+11
70.8%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Line Latu for 11 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
69.5%
Breck Turner run for 4 yds to the Illin 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 45
-1
69.5%
Breck Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 46
0
69.7%
Mike Glass III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 46
0
70.8%
Jake Julien punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 6 yds · 0:0071% → 70%
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
70.6%
Dre Brown run for 12 yds to the Illin 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
70.8%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Justice Williams for 2 yds to the Illin 32Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+11
70.8%
Dre Brown run for 11 yds to the Illin 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
71.7%
Dre Brown run for no gain to the Illin 43Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-5
71.3%
ILLINOIS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Illin 38Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 15
OWN 38
-6
70.8%
Brandon Peters sacked by Thad Abram for a loss of 6 yards to the Illin 32 ILLINOIS Penalty, intentional grounding (Brandon Peters) to the Illin 32Similar
Q2 13:38
3RD & 21
OWN 32
-3
70.0%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Jakari Norwood for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 29Similar
Q2 13:38
4TH & 24
OWN 29
-5
69.6%
ILLINOIS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Illin 24Similar
Q2 13:38
4TH & 29
OWN 24
+9
69.6%
Blake Hayes punt for 55 yds , Dylan Drummond returns for 9 yds to the EMich 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 1:4030% → 38%
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
70.3%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Breck Turner for 9 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q2 10:08
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+11
69.1%
Mike Glass III run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
50
+10
68.6%
Shaq Vann run for 10 yds to the Illin 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
68.6%
Breck Turner run for 9 yds to the Illin 31Similar
Q2 8:28
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+31
62.1%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 31 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:0065% → 64%
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
65.2%
Reggie Corbin run for 1 yd to the Illin 26Similar
Q2 8:28
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
65.1%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Reggie CorbinSimilar
Q2 8:28
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-8
64.3%
Brandon Peters sacked by Mikey Haney for a loss of 8 yards to the Illin 18 ILLINOIS Penalty, IF ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 8:28
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
63.9%
Blake Hayes punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMich 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13FG
8 plays · 26 yds · 3:0138% → 43%
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
61.9%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 7 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+6
61.7%
Eddie Daugherty run for 6 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
61.4%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Willie ParkerSimilar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+18
61.4%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 18 yds to the Illin 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
60.8%
Breck Turner run for a loss of 5 yards to the Illin 35Similar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 15
OPP 35
0
61.4%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Line LatuSimilar
Q2 7:44
3RD & 15
OPP 35
0
62.6%
Mike Glass III run for no gain to the Illin 35Similar
Q2 4:43
4TH & 15
OPP 35
+52
57.2%
Chad Ryland 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:0059% → 57%
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
58.7%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 1 yd to the Illin 26Similar
Q2 4:43
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-10
58.6%
Brandon Peters sacked by Hunter Andrews for a loss of 10 yards to the Illin 16Similar
Q2 4:43
3RD & 19
OWN 16
0
57.5%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Ricky SmallingSimilar
Q2 4:43
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
57.1%
Blake Hayes punt for 53 yds , Dylan Drummond returns for no gain to the EMich 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:0045% → 46%
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
54.7%
Willie Parker run for 2 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+15
54.6%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Mathew Sexton for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, personal foul (Sydney Brown) to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
53.2%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Breck Turner for 6 yds to the Illin 46Similar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 4
OPP 46
0
52.6%
Willie Parker run for no gain to the Illin 46Similar
Q2 3:21
3RD & 4
OPP 46
0
53.1%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Mathew Sexton, broken up by Nate HobbsSimilar
Q2 3:21
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
54.2%
Jake Julien punt for 26 yds, downed at the Illin 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 16END OF HALF
7 plays · 52 yds · 1:0056% → 54%
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
56.1%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Daniel Barker for 11 yds to the Illin 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-10
56.6%
Peters,Brandon rush for 6 yards to the ILL37 (BELTRAM, Kobie;HOYING, Brody), PENALTY ILL holding (Green,Kendrick) 10 yards to the ILL21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 20
OWN 21
+13
55.9%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 13 yds to the Illin 34Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+3
53.5%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 3 yds to the Illin 37Similar
Q2 0:06
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+35
53.5%
Reggie Corbin run for 35 yds to the EMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0055% → 54%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
54.5%
Reggie Corbin run for 5 yds to the Illin 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
55.0%
Dre Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
54.2%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Trevon SidneySimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
53.5%
Blake Hayes punt for 55 yds, downed at the EMich 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:0049% → 47%
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
51.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 9 yds to the EMich 22Similar
Q3 13:48
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+4
50.1%
Breck Turner run for 4 yds to the EMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
50.8%
Breck Turner run for 3 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q3 13:48
2ND & 7
OWN 29
-6
50.1%
Mike Glass III sacked by Oluwole Betiku Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the EMich 23Similar
Q3 13:48
3RD & 13
OWN 23
0
52.6%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Mathew SextonSimilar
Q3 13:48
4TH & 13
OWN 23
0
53.5%
Jake Julien punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Trevon Sidney at the Illin 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:0053% → 50%
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-9
52.8%
Brandon Peters sacked by Turan Rush for a loss of 9 yards to the Illin 27Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 19
OWN 27
0
51.5%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Ricky Smalling, broken up by Jerodd VinesSimilar
Q3 11:41
3RD & 19
OWN 27
+22
50.2%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Daniel Barker for 22 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
55.2%
Reggie Corbin run for 2 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 8
OPP 49
-8
55.6%
Brandon Peters sacked by CJ Hunt and Woo Scott for a loss of 8 yards to the Illin 43Similar
Q3 11:41
3RD & 16
OWN 43
0
51.3%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Trevon Sidney for no gain to the Illin 43Similar
Q3 11:41
4TH & 16
OWN 43
0
50.1%
Blake Hayes punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dylan Drummond at the EMich 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20FUMBLE
3 plays · 36 yds · 0:0053% → 54%
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
46.7%
Willie Parker run for 2 yds to the EMich 17Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+8
46.8%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 8 yds to the EMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
45.9%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 24 yds Bryson Cannon fumbled, forced by Delano Ware, recovered by Illin Jake HansenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 21FUMBLE
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:0053% → 55%
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
53.0%
Dre Brown run for 9 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+10
53.8%
Dre Brown run for 10 yds to the EMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
55.3%
Jakari Norwood run for 4 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 6
OPP 28
-10
55.3%
Brandon Peters sacked by Brody Hoying for a loss of 10 yards to the EMich 37 Brandon Peters fumbled, recovered by EMich Brody Hoying , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0058% → 56%
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
42.5%
Mike Glass III pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
43.0%
Mathew Sexton run for 4 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q3 6:09
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
41.7%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q3 6:09
4TH & 6
OWN 41
+6
44.3%
Jake Julien punt for 44 yds , Trevon Sidney returns for 6 yds to the Illin 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 23INT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0046% → 45%
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
46.4%
Reggie Corbin run for 5 yds to the Illin 26Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 5
OWN 26
0
47.0%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Reggie Corbin for no gain to the Illin 26Similar
Q3 5:05
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+10
45.4%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Donny Navarro for 10 yds to the Illin 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
47.5%
Reggie Corbin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 35Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
46.8%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Trevon SidneySimilar
Q3 5:05
3RD & 11
OWN 35
0
44.9%
Brandon Peters pass intercepted Korey Hernandez return for no gain to the Illin 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0063% → 60%
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
37.4%
Jairus Grissom run for 4 yds to the Illin 35Similar
Q3 3:24
2ND & 6
OPP 35
-3
36.6%
Breck Turner run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 38Similar
Q3 3:24
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+1
38.0%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Breck Turner for 1 yd to the Illin 37Similar
Q3 3:24
4TH & 8
OPP 37
0
39.9%
Jake Julien punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 1:1543% → 39%
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
43.4%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 8 yds to the Illin 28Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 2
OWN 28
-7
45.7%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 3 yds to the Illin 31 ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive holding (Vederian Lowe) to the Illin 21Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-10
43.2%
Peters,Brandon pass complete to Smalling,Ricky for 15 yards to the ILL36 (HUBBARD, Jeff), PENALTY ILL holding (Barker,Daniel) 10 yards to the ILL11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 19
OWN 11
+3
42.9%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 3 yds to the Illin 14Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 14
0
40.4%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Josh ImatorbhebheSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 14
+14
39.4%
Blake Hayes punt for 49 yds , Dylan Drummond returns for 14 yds to the Illin 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 26TD
8 plays · 49 yds · 3:2667% → 91%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+18
33.1%
Mike Glass III run for 18 yds to the Illin 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
32.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for no gain to the Illin 31Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+13
32.6%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Bryce Kemp for 13 yds to the Illin 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
32.3%
Mike Glass III run for 8 yds to the Illin 10Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+1
32.3%
Mike Glass III run for 1 yd to the Illin 9Similar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+2
33.2%
Mike Glass III run for 2 yds to the Illin 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
32.3%
Willie Parker run for 3 yds to the Illin 4Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
9.0%
Willie Parker run for 4 yds for a TD, (Mike Glass III pass to Mathew Sexton for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 27TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:3416% → 34%
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
15.5%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Dominic StampleySimilar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
15.3%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 16 yds to the Illin 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
17.4%
Reggie Corbin run for 6 yds to the Illin 47Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+2
17.7%
Reggie Corbin run for 2 yds to the Illin 49Similar
Q4 11:20
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+3
17.6%
Reggie Corbin run for 3 yds to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
18.0%
Brandon Peters run for 5 yds to the Illin 48 Brandon Peters fumbled, forced by Brody Hoying, recovered by Illin Vederian LoweSimilar
Q4 11:20
3RD & 14
OWN 48
+16
16.0%
Brandon Peters run for 16 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
18.2%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Daniel BarkerSimilar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+8
18.0%
Reggie Corbin run for 8 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 14
OWN 48
0
16.5%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Daniel Barker, broken up by Jeff HubbardSimilar
Q4 7:46
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+28
33.5%
Reggie Corbin run for 28 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 28PUNT
13 plays · 35 yds · 4:3777% → 88%
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
22.7%
Willie Parker run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 23Similar
Q4 7:46
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+13
23.2%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Line Latu for 13 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
21.5%
Willie Parker run for 13 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
19.7%
Willie Parker run for 5 yds to the Illin 46Similar
Q4 7:46
2ND & 5
OPP 46
-1
19.2%
Willie Parker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 47Similar
Q4 7:46
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+5
19.7%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Breck Turner for 5 yds to the Illin 42Similar
Q4 7:46
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+4
22.2%
Mike Glass III run for 4 yds to the Illin 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
19.3%
Breck Turner run for no gain to the Illin 38Similar
Q4 7:46
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-2
19.3%
Willie Parker run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 40Similar
Q4 3:09
3RD & 12
OPP 40
0
10.3%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q4 3:09
4TH & 12
OPP 40
0
12.3%
Jake Julien punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 29TD
7 plays · 93 yds · 1:1420% → 63%
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
19.8%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Ricky SmallingSimilar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 10
OWN 7
0
19.3%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Ricky Smalling, broken up by Terry MyrickSimilar
Q4 2:58
3RD & 10
OWN 7
0
18.3%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Dele Harding, broken up by Mikey HaneySimilar
Q4 2:58
4TH & 10
OWN 7
+32
17.2%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 32 yds to the Illin 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+14
22.7%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 14 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
26.1%
Reggie Corbin run for 11 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
63.2%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 36 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK) EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 30FG
12 plays · 68 yds · 1:4451% → 95%
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
48.7%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 9 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
44.6%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 3 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+23
46.4%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 23 yds to the Illin 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+23
40.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 23 yds to the Illin 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+13
37.6%
Breck Turner run for 13 yds to the Illin 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
37.6%
Mike Glass III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 5Similar
Q4 0:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
37.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 7Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
4.7%
Chad Ryland 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:44
Brandon Peters pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 36 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK) EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined
+37.1
FG · Q4 0:00
Chad Ryland 24 yd FG GOOD
-31.6
TD · Q4 11:20
Willie Parker run for 4 yds for a TD, (Mike Glass III pass to Mathew Sexton for Two-Point Conversion)
-23.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com