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ILL

Illinois 31 at UConn 23

CONN
2019 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2019 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · CONN
modelCONN aheadILL aheadconfidence bandkey playCONN scoreILL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:02 · Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 3:56: Clayton Harris 35 yd FG GOOD — CONN win probability +3.6 pts (now 14%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 14:57: Clayton Harris 29 yd FG GOOD — CONN win probability +6.0 pts (now 22%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:55: Brandon Peters pass complete to Daniel Barker for 18 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK) — ILL win probability +5.7 pts (now 89%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:36: Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds for a TD, (Clayton Harris KICK) — CONN win probability +9.8 pts (now 24%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. TD · Q3 6:09: Brandon Peters pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 13 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK) — ILL win probability +8.2 pts (now 89%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CONN made the numbers' call on 7 of 8ILL made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00CONN 4th & 4 at CONN 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:14ILL 4th & 8 at ILL 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:56CONN 4th & 15 at ILL 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−0.5
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.4%
    80% to make
    Punt
    15.9%−1.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:56ILL 4th & 1 at ILL 49, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    82.3%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:57CONN 4th & 6 at ILL 11, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.5%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.8%
    87% to make
    Punt
    17.7%−4.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:51CONN 4th & 19 at CONN 19, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.3%−1.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:51CONN 4th & 11 at CONN 24, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%−1.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:36ILL 4th & 11 at ILL 26, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.8%−2.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:34CONN 4th & 9 at CONN 47, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:39CONN 4th & 8 at ILL 15, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.4%
    83% to make
    Punt
    8.9%−4.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:39ILL 4th & 9 at CONN 41, up 8
    Close callPunted · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    85.3%−0.8
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.9%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:42CONN 4th & 2 at CONN 18, down 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.0%−1.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:28ILL 4th & 4 at CONN 47, up 8
    Close callPunted · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.5%−0.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2ILL made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:14CONN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:43ILL Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:51ILL Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:55ILL Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:36CONN Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:09ILL Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
7.3%
Jack Zergiotis run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-1
7.3%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 23Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+8
7.3%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Art Thompkins for 8 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
7.3%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Illin 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 2INT TD
5 plays · 10 yds · 1:5892% → 91%
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
7.9%
Dre Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 38Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+6
7.9%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 6 yds to the Illin 44Similar
Q1 13:12
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+3
7.8%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 3 yds to the Illin 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
7.8%
Brandon Peters run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 46Similar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+52
9.0%
Brandon Peters pass intercepted for a TD Tyler Coyle return for 52 yds for a TD, (Clayton Harris KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
9.0%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 2 yds to the Illin 34Similar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+11
9.0%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 11 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
9.0%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 2 yds to the Illin 47Similar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 8
OWN 47
0
9.0%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Ricky SmallingSimilar
Q1 11:14
3RD & 8
OWN 47
0
9.0%
Brandon Peters pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:14
4TH & 8
OWN 47
0
9.1%
Blake Hayes punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 4FG
12 plays · 74 yds · 5:1510% → 14%
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
10.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the UConn 13Similar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+40
10.3%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 40 yds to the Illin 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
10.5%
Art Thompkins run for 3 yds to the Illin 44Similar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
10.5%
Jack Zergiotis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:11
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+15
10.4%
ZERGIOTIS, Jack pass incomplete to ROSE, Jay, PENALTY ILL roughing passer (Harding,Dele) 15 yards to the ILL29, 1ST DOWN UCONN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
10.5%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Jay Rose for 8 yds to the Illin 21Similar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 2
OPP 21
0
10.5%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Jay RoseSimilar
Q1 9:11
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+9
10.5%
Kevin Mensah run for 9 yds to the Illin 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
10.5%
Art Thompkins run for 3 yds to the Illin 9Similar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 7
OPP 9
0
10.5%
Jack Zergiotis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:11
3RD & 7
OPP 9
-8
10.5%
Jack Zergiotis sacked by Oluwole Betiku Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the Illin 17Similar
Q1 3:56
4TH & 15
OPP 17
+35
14.0%
Clayton Harris 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 5DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
13.5%
Ra'Von Bonner run for no gain to the Illin 40Similar
Q1 3:56
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
13.5%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Jakari Norwood for 2 yds to the Illin 42Similar
Q1 3:56
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+7
13.6%
Brandon Peters run for 7 yds to the Illin 49Similar
Q1 3:56
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
13.5%
Ra'Von Bonner run for no gain to the Illin 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 6FG
6 plays · 38 yds · 2:2216% → 22%
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+19
15.9%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Ardell Brown for 19 yds to the Illin 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
16.0%
ILLINOIS Penalty, targeting (Stanley Green) to the Illin 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
16.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 6 yds to the Illin 9Similar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+1
16.0%
Art Thompkins run for 1 yd to the Illin 8Similar
Q1 2:19
3RD & 3
OPP 8
-3
15.7%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 11Similar
Q2 14:57
4TH & 6
OPP 11
+29
21.7%
Clayton Harris 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 7TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:1480% → 83%
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
20.1%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Trevon Sidney for 4 yds to the Illin 29Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
19.9%
Jakari Norwood run for 2 yds to the Illin 31Similar
Q2 14:57
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+26
20.0%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Daniel Barker for 26 yds to the UConn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
19.4%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Ricky SmallingSimilar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+5
19.5%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 5 yds to the UConn 38Similar
Q2 14:57
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+9
19.4%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 9 yds to the UConn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
18.8%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 1 yd to the UConn 28Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+28
16.8%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Ra'Von Bonner for 28 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 0:4620% → 19%
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-9
19.7%
Jack Zergiotis sacked by Jake Hansen for a loss of 9 yards to the UConn 19Similar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 19
OWN 19
+3
19.9%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Art Thompkins for 3 yds to the UConn 22Similar
Q2 10:51
3RD & 16
OWN 22
-3
19.5%
Art Thompkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 19Similar
Q2 10:51
4TH & 19
OWN 19
+2
19.1%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 42 yds , Donny Navarro returns for 2 yds to the Illin 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 9TD
8 plays · 59 yds · 3:3581% → 84%
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
19.2%
Kenyon Sims run for 8 yds to the UConn 46 Kenyon Sims fumbled, forced by Tyler Coyle, recovered by Illin Kenyon Sims for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
18.5%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Kenyon Sims for 5 yds to the UConn 41Similar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+5
18.4%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 5 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
18.5%
Jakari Norwood run for 4 yds to the UConn 32Similar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+26
17.8%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 26 yds to the UConn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
17.8%
Dre Brown run for 2 yds to the UConn 4Similar
Q2 9:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
17.8%
Dre Brown run for a loss of 5 yards to the UConn 9Similar
Q2 5:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
15.7%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 9 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0018% → 17%
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
18.2%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
18.3%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the UConn 29Similar
Q2 5:51
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-5
17.7%
Jack Zergiotis sacked by Jamal Woods and Oluwole Betiku Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the UConn 24Similar
Q2 5:51
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+5
17.1%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 40 yds , Donny Navarro returns for 5 yds to the Illin 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 11TD
7 plays · 59 yds · 2:4283% → 89%
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
17.0%
Jakari Norwood run for 2 yds to the Illin 43Similar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+14
17.1%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Justice Williams for 14 yds to the UConn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+14
16.7%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 14 yds to the UConn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
16.0%
Jakari Norwood run for 3 yds to the UConn 26Similar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+6
16.0%
Brandon Peters run for 6 yds to the UConn 20Similar
Q2 3:37
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+2
16.5%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 2 yds to the UConn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
10.9%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Daniel Barker for 18 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 12INT
4 plays · 28 yds · 0:0013% → 15%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
13.2%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Art Thompkins for 3 yds to the UConn 35Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+25
13.2%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Ardell Brown for 25 yds to the Illin 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+29
14.8%
Jack Zergiotis pass intercepted Michael Marchese return for 29 yds to the Illin 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 13FG
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:2188% → 90%
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
11.7%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Trevon Sidney for 6 yds to the UConn 48Similar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+13
11.0%
Brandon Peters run for 13 yds to the UConn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+53
10.3%
James McCourt 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 14FUMBLE
2 plays · -10 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-7
11.5%
Dominic Stampley run for a loss of 7 yards to the UConn 41 Dominic Stampley fumbled, recovered by UConn Travis JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15TD
8 plays · 59 yds · 3:0513% → 24%
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+16
12.9%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 16 yds to the Illin 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
13.5%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Donovan Williams, broken up by Kerby JosephSimilar
Q3 14:41
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+6
13.4%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Ardell Brown for 6 yds to the Illin 37Similar
Q3 14:41
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+11
13.3%
Art Thompkins run for 11 yds to the Illin 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+24
14.1%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Jay Rose for 23 yds to the Illin 3 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (1 Yards) to the Illin 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
14.1%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 3Similar
Q3 14:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
14.1%
Art Thompkins run for 1 yd to the Illin 2Similar
Q3 11:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
24.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds for a TD, (Clayton Harris KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0080% → 78%
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
20.3%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Ricky SmallingSimilar
Q3 11:36
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
20.7%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Trevon SidneySimilar
Q3 11:36
3RD & 10
OWN 27
-1
21.3%
Brandon Peters sacked by Lwal Uguak and D.J. Morgan for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 26Similar
Q3 11:36
4TH & 11
OWN 26
0
22.3%
Blake Hayes punt for 47 yds, downed at the UConn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+19
22.2%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Ardell Brown for 19 yds to the UConn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
24.2%
Art Thompkins run for 1 yd to the UConn 47Similar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 9
OWN 47
0
24.2%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Heron Maurisseau, broken up by Kerby JosephSimilar
Q3 10:34
3RD & 9
OWN 47
0
22.4%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Ardell BrownSimilar
Q3 10:34
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
21.6%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Trevon Sidney at the Illin 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 18TD
12 plays · 87 yds · 2:5878% → 89%
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+50
22.3%
Jakari Norwood run for 50 yds to the UConn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
20.0%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Trevon Sidney, broken up by D.J. MorganSimilar
Q3 9:07
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-1
20.0%
Ra'Von Bonner run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 38Similar
Q3 9:07
3RD & 11
OPP 38
+15
20.6%
Peters,Brandon pass incomplete to Imatorbhebhe,J. (HERRING-WILSON), PENALTY UCONN pass interference (HERRING-WILSON) 15 yards to the UCONN23, 1ST DOWN ILL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
19.0%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Kenyon Sims for 2 yds to the UConn 21Similar
Q3 9:07
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+9
19.0%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Dre Brown for 9 yds to the UConn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
19.0%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Ricky SmallingSimilar
Q3 9:07
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
19.0%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Ricky SmallingSimilar
Q3 9:07
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+6
20.3%
Peters,Brandon pass incomplete to Smalling,Ricky (PAUL, Keyshawn), PENALTY UCONN face mask (PAUL, Keyshawn) 6 yards to the UCONN6, 1ST DOWN ILL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
19.0%
Bonner,RaVon rush for loss of 1 yard to the UCONN7 (JONES, Travis), PENALTY UCONN face mask (JONES, Travis) 3 yards to the UCONN3, 1ST DOWN ILL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-10
19.3%
Norwood,Jakari rush for 3 yards to the UCONN0, clock 06:15, PENALTY ILL holding (Palczewski,Alex) 10 yards to the UCONN13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
+13
11.0%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 13 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
12.7%
Jack Zergiotis run for 1 yd to the UConn 9 Jack Zergiotis fumbled, forced by Jamal Woods, recovered by Illin Oluwole Betiku Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 20FUMBLE
3 plays · -12 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q3 6:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
10.9%
Jakari Norwood run for 1 yd to the UConn 8Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
10.9%
ILLINOIS Penalty, false start (Josh Imatorbhebhe) to the UConn 13Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
-8
11.1%
Brandon Peters sacked by D.J. Morgan for a loss of 8 yards to the UConn 21 Brandon Peters fumbled, recovered by UConn D.J. Morgan , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21FG
15 plays · 64 yds · 8:0213% → 17%
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
12.5%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the UConn 21Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+7
12.5%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Art Thompkins for 7 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q3 4:41
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+7
12.3%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Ardell Brown for 7 yds to the UConn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
12.8%
Art Thompkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 32Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 13
OWN 32
0
12.5%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Ardell BrownSimilar
Q3 4:41
3RD & 13
OWN 32
+23
11.9%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Donovan Williams for 23 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
14.5%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Hairston for 7 yds to the Illin 38Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+2
14.5%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the Illin 36Similar
Q3 4:41
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+5
14.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 5 yds to the Illin 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
16.0%
Jack Zergiotis sacked by Oluwole Betiku Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the Illin 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 36
+19
14.1%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Matt Drayton for 19 yds to the Illin 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-3
16.3%
Jack Zergiotis sacked by Oluwole Betiku Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 20
+2
15.4%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Ardell Brown for 2 yds to the Illin 18Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 18
+3
14.3%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Ardell Brown for 3 yds to the Illin 15Similar
Q4 11:39
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+33
16.6%
Clayton Harris 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 0:0090% → 87%
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
10.5%
Bonner,RaVon rush for 24 yards to the UCONN46 (WATTS, Eric), PENALTY ILL personal foul off-setting, PENALTY UCONN personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
12.7%
Dre Brown run for 3 yds to the Illin 33Similar
Q4 11:39
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+12
12.7%
Dre Brown run for 12 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+13
11.4%
Dre Brown run for 13 yds to the UConn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
11.1%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Trevon Sidney for 9 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q4 11:39
2ND & 1
OPP 33
-1
10.5%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Trevon Sidney for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 34Similar
Q4 11:39
3RD & 2
OPP 34
-7
11.1%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 5 yds to the UConn 29 ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive holding (Trevon Sidney) to the UConn 41Similar
Q4 11:39
3RD & 9
OPP 41
0
11.3%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Daniel BarkerSimilar
Q4 11:39
4TH & 9
OPP 41
0
13.1%
Blake Hayes punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UConn 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0015% → 13%
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
14.6%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UConn 11Similar
Q4 7:42
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+8
14.5%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Heron Maurisseau for 8 yds to the UConn 19Similar
Q4 7:42
3RD & 1
OWN 19
-1
14.1%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 18Similar
Q4 7:42
4TH & 2
OWN 18
0
13.1%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Trevon Sidney at the Illin 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 1:0792% → 92%
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
7.6%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 7
50
-6
7.3%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 4 yds to the UCONN 46 ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive holding (Dominic Stampley) to the Illin 44Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 13
OWN 44
0
7.9%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Ricky SmallingSimilar
Q4 5:35
3RD & 13
OWN 44
+8
8.5%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Ricky Smalling for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 42 CONNECTICUT Penalty, Defensive holding (Keyshawn Paul) to the UConn 48Similar
Q4 4:28
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+1
6.7%
Dre Brown run for 1 yd to the UConn 47Similar
Q4 4:28
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
7.7%
Blake Hayes punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 25INT
4 plays · 29 yds · 0:0011% → 13%
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+24
10.9%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 24 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
12.5%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 5 yds to the UConn 43Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 5
OWN 43
0
14.4%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Matt DraytonSimilar
Q4 3:38
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
12.9%
Jack Zergiotis pass intercepted Dele Harding return for no gain to the Illin 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 26END OF GAME
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:1196% → 96%
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
4.2%
Dre Brown run for 4 yds to the Illin 46Similar
Q4 2:09
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+1
4.1%
Dre Brown run for 1 yd to the Illin 47Similar
Q4 2:02
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+7
3.9%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Trevon Sidney for 7 yds to the UConn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
3.7%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 48Similar
Q4 2:02
2ND & 12
OPP 48
-1
3.8%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:36
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds for a TD, (Clayton Harris KICK)
+9.8
TD · Q3 6:09
Brandon Peters pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 13 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK)
-8.2
FG · Q2 14:57
Clayton Harris 29 yd FG GOOD
+6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com