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AKR

Akron 3 at Illinois 42

ILL
2019 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2019 · Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
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Win probability · ILL
modelILL aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playILL scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:09 · Robbie Kelley pass complete to Jeremiah Knight for 2 yds to the Akron 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:23: Ra'Von Bonner run for 10 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK) — ILL win probability +1.2 pts (now 87%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:56: Brandon Peters pass complete to Trevon Sidney for 10 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK) — ILL win probability +3.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:04: Brandon Peters run for 20 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK) — ILL win probability +4.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: James McCourt kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — ILL win probability +4.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:42: Brandon Peters pass complete to Justice Williams for 9 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK) — ILL win probability +1.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ILL made the numbers' call on 5 of 6AKR made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 6:29AKR 4th & 24 at ILL 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.0%
    66% to make
    Punt
    12.4%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:56AKR 4th & 4 at AKR 49, down 18
    Close callPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.6%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:10ILL 4th & 10 at ILL 35, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:39ILL 4th & 10 at AKR 12, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.4%
    86% to make
    Punt
    88.2%−3.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:42AKR 4th & 26 at AKR 4, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−2.3
    5% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00AKR 4th & 8 at AKR 27, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:01AKR 4th & 2 at AKR 45, down 32
    Close callPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:17AKR 4th & 10 at ILL 26, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    64% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:17ILL 4th & 8 at ILL 28, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00AKR 4th & 9 at midfield, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:32ILL 4th & 14 at ILL 18, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:49AKR 4th & 8 at AKR 45, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:17ILL 4th & 10 at AKR 42, up 39
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−<0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:38AKR 4th & 3 at AKR 20, down 39
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:58ILL 4th & 1 at AKR 47, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ILL made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 11:53ILL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:23ILL Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:56ILL Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:04ILL Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:42ILL Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:30ILL Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ILLDrive 1TD
12 plays · 63 yds · 3:0787% → 87%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
87.1%
Reggie Corbin run for 2 yds to the Illin 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+23
87.1%
Reggie Corbin run for 23 yds to the ILLINOIS 38 for a 1ST down AKRON Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-10
87.1%
ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Akron 48Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 20
OPP 48
+2
87.1%
Reggie Corbin run for 2 yds to the Akron 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 18
OPP 46
+13
87.1%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Dominic Stampley for 13 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+5
87.1%
Brandon Peters run for 5 yds to the Akron 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
87.1%
Mike Epstein run for 5 yds to the Akron 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+15
87.1%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 15 yds to the Akron 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
87.1%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Ricky SmallingSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
87.1%
Reggie Corbin run for 5 yds to the Akron 3Similar
Q1 11:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
86.9%
Reggie Corbin run for 3 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 2FG
13 plays · 50 yds · 5:2413% → 14%
Q1 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.8%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
86.8%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Michael Mathison for 15 yds to the Akron 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
86.7%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:53
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+28
86.7%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 28 yds to the Illin 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
86.6%
Brandon Lee run for 7 yds to the Illin 25Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 3
OPP 25
0
86.2%
Deltron Sands run for no gain to the Illin 25Similar
Q1 9:46
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+14
86.3%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 14 yds to the Illin 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-3
86.2%
Kato Nelson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 14Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 13
OPP 14
-3
86.2%
Kato Nelson sacked by Oluwole Betiku Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 17Similar
Q1 9:46
3RD & 16
OPP 17
-8
86.4%
Kato Nelson sacked by Jake Hansen and Tymir Oliver for a loss of 8 yards to the Illin 25Similar
Q1 6:29
4TH & 24
OPP 25
+42
85.7%
Jerry Fitschen 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 3TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:0685% → 87%
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
85.3%
Dre Brown run for 3 yds to the Illin 28Similar
Q1 6:29
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
85.4%
Dre Brown run for 10 yds to the Illin 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
85.5%
Brandon Peters run for 7 yds to the Illin 45Similar
Q1 6:29
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+9
85.7%
Dre Brown run for 9 yds to the Akron 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+22
85.8%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 22 yds to the Akron 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
85.9%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 12 yds to the Akron 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
85.9%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Ricky SmallingSimilar
Q1 6:29
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+2
85.9%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 2 yds to the Akron 10Similar
Q1 3:23
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+10
87.1%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 10 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 4FUMBLE
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-3
87.3%
Brandon Lee run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 21Similar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 13
OWN 21
+4
87.3%
Kato Nelson run for 4 yds to the Akron 24 Kato Nelson fumbled, forced by Jake Hansen, recovered by Illin Jake HansenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 5TD
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:3487% → 91%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
87.1%
Brandon Peters sacked by Bubba Arslanian for a loss of 5 yards to the Akron 29Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 15
OPP 29
+1
86.9%
Reggie Corbin run for 1 yd to the Akron 28Similar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 14
OPP 28
+5
86.7%
AKRON Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Akron 23Similar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 9
OPP 23
+11
86.9%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 11 yds to the Akron 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
87.1%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Ricky SmallingSimilar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+2
87.1%
Trevon Sidney run for 2 yds to the Akron 10Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+10
90.6%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Trevon Sidney for 10 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
90.1%
Deltron Sands run for 11 yds to the Akron 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
89.9%
SANDS, Deltron rush for no gain to the AKRON31 (Hansen,Jake), PENALTY ILL offside defense (Betiku,Oluwole) 5 yards to the AKRON36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 5
OWN 36
-5
89.6%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Michael Mathison for a loss of 5 yards to the Akron 31Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+12
90.1%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Brandon Lee for 12 yds to the Akron 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
89.8%
Brandon Lee run for 2 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+1
89.8%
Brandon Lee run for 1 yd to the Akron 46Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+3
89.9%
Kato Nelson run for 3 yds to the Akron 49Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 4
OWN 49
0
89.9%
Jonah Wieland punt for 16 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Illin 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
91.3%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Ricky Smalling, broken up by Randy Cochran Jr.Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
91.3%
Dre Brown run for no gain to the Illin 35Similar
Q2 11:10
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
91.1%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Josh Imatorbhebhe, broken up by Justin SampsonSimilar
Q2 11:10
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+55
90.9%
Blake Hayes punt for 46 yds, downed at the ILLINOIS 19 AKRON Penalty, Offensive holding (9 Yards) to the Akron 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 8INT
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
90.9%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 9 yds to the Akron 19Similar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+4
90.7%
Deltron Sands run for 4 yds to the Akron 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
90.9%
Kato Nelson sacked by Lere Oladipo for a loss of 5 yards to the Akron 18Similar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 15
OWN 18
0
91.0%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:12
3RD & 15
OWN 18
+16
91.0%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 16 yds to the Akron 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
90.7%
Deltron Sands run for no gain to the Akron 34Similar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
90.7%
Kato Nelson pass intercepted Jake Hansen return for no gain to the Akron 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 9MISSED FG
10 plays · 26 yds · 3:0592% → 92%
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
91.9%
Mike Epstein run for 2 yds to the Akron 36Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+7
91.9%
Mike Epstein run for 7 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q2 6:44
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+2
91.7%
Mike Epstein run for 2 yds to the Akron 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
91.8%
Brandon Peters run for 9 yds to the Akron 18Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 1
OPP 18
0
91.8%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Ricky SmallingSimilar
Q2 6:44
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+6
91.7%
Mike Epstein run for 6 yds to the Akron 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
91.8%
Jakari Norwood run for no gain to the Akron 12Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
91.8%
Brandon Peters pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:44
3RD & 10
OPP 12
0
91.8%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Dominic StampleySimilar
Q2 3:39
4TH & 10
OPP 12
+30
91.9%
James McCourt 30 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -16 yds · 0:579% → 8%
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
91.3%
Kato Nelson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 17Similar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 13
OWN 17
0
91.4%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:53
3RD & 13
OWN 17
-13
92.1%
Kato Nelson sacked by Oluwole Betiku Jr. and Ayo Shogbonyo for a loss of 13 yards to the Akron 4Similar
Q2 2:42
4TH & 26
OWN 4
+13
92.3%
Jonah Wieland punt for 33 yds , Donny Navarro returns for 13 yds to the Akron 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 11TD
2 plays · 24 yds · 0:3893% → 97%
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
92.6%
Mike Epstein run for 4 yds to the Akron 20Similar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+20
97.0%
Brandon Peters run for 20 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 12END OF HALF
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
92.4%
Brandon Lee run for 6 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
91.5%
Brandon Lee run for 2 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q2 2:04
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
91.6%
Deltron Sands run for 2 yds to the Akron 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
91.5%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Nate StewartSimilar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
91.8%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:04
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+4
92.5%
Deltron Sands run for 4 yds to the Akron 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.4%
Deltron Sands run for 2 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
96.4%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Jeremiah KnightSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
96.5%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Nate StewartSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
96.5%
Jonah Wieland punt for 36 yds, downed at the Illin 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 14TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 3:2398% → 99%
Q3 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+22
97.6%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 22 yds to the Akron 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
97.7%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 5 yds to the Akron 36Similar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+3
97.7%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 3 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q3 14:05
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+6
97.6%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Ricky Smalling for 6 yds to the Akron 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
97.7%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 11 yds to the Akron 16 ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive holding (Dele Harding) to the Akron 26Similar
Q3 14:05
1ST & 9
OPP 26
+16
97.7%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Trevon Sidney for 16 yds to the Akron 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
97.7%
Jakari Norwood run for 1 yd to the Akron 9Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.4%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Justice Williams for 9 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:411% → 1%
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Michael Mathison, broken up by Tymir OliverSimilar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.1%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Michael Mathison for 12 yds to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
99.5%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Andre Williams for 9 yds to the Akron 46Similar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 1
OWN 46
0
99.4%
Deltron Sands run for no gain to the Akron 46Similar
Q3 10:01
3RD & 1
OWN 46
-1
99.4%
Deltron Sands run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 45Similar
Q3 10:01
4TH & 2
OWN 45
+6
99.4%
Jonah Wieland punt for 31 yds , Kyron Cumby returns for 6 yds to the Illin 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 16TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 3:34100% → 100%
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
99.6%
Mike Epstein run for 14 yds to the Illin 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
99.6%
Dre Brown run for 5 yds to the Illin 49Similar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+7
99.6%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Dre Brown for 7 yds to the Akron 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
99.6%
Mike Epstein run for 5 yds to the Akron 39Similar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+10
99.6%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Tony Adams for 10 yds to the Akron 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
99.6%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Dre Brown for 8 yds to the Akron 21Similar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 2
OPP 21
0
99.6%
Brandon Peters run for no gain to the Akron 21Similar
Q3 8:04
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+7
99.6%
Ra'Von Bonner run for 7 yds to the Akron 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
99.6%
Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Ricky SmallingSimilar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+5
99.6%
Norwood,Jakari rush for 5 yards to the AKRON9 (CORNER, Reggie), PENALTY AKRON offside defense (CORNER, Reggie) 5 yards to the AKRON9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+7
99.6%
Peters,Brandon pass incomplete to Imatorbhebhe,J., PENALTY AKRON pass interference (HOOKS, Jalen) 7 yards to the AKRON2, 1ST DOWN ILL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.8%
Brandon Peters pass complete to Daniel Barker for 2 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17MISSED FG
9 plays · 49 yds · 3:130% → 0%
Q3 4:30
2ND & 10
OPP 0
+22
99.8%
Kato Nelson run for 7 yds to the Illin 32 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Illin 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.8%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Michael Mathison, broken up by Milo EiflerSimilar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+12
99.8%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 12 yds to the Illin 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
99.8%
Deltron Sands run for 2 yds to the Illin 24Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 8
OPP 24
-1
99.8%
Kato Nelson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 25Similar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 9
OPP 25
-1
99.8%
Kato Nelson sacked by Tymir Oliver for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 26Similar
Q3 1:17
4TH & 10
OPP 26
+43
99.8%
Jerry Fitschen 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
99.8%
Jakari Norwood run for 3 yds to the Illin 29Similar
Q3 1:17
2ND & 7
OWN 29
-1
99.8%
Jakari Norwood run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 28Similar
Q3 1:17
3RD & 8
OWN 28
0
99.8%
Matt Robinson pass incomplete to Jakari NorwoodSimilar
Q3 1:17
4TH & 8
OWN 28
+15
99.8%
Blake Hayes punt for 51 yds , Jeremiah Knight returns for 15 yds to the Akron 43 AKRON Penalty, Offensive holding (Jaquavis Dixon) to the Akron 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 38 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+11
99.9%
Deltron Sands run for 11 yds to the Akron 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
99.9%
Brandon Lee run for 8 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+6
99.9%
Brandon Lee run for 6 yds to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
99.9%
Deltron Sands run for 1 yd to the Akron 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+11
99.9%
Kato Nelson run for 11 yds to the Akron 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+1
99.9%
Brandon Lee run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
50
0
99.9%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Jeremiah Knight, broken up by Stanley GreenSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
50
+5
99.9%
Jonah Wieland punt for 33 yds , Jordan Holmes returns for 5 yds to the Illin 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
99.9%
Kenyon Sims run for 9 yds to the Illin 31Similar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 1
OWN 31
-15
99.9%
Robinson,Matt pass complete to Barker,Daniel for 6 yards to the ILL37 (WATTS, A.J.), PENALTY ILL pass interference (Holmes,Jordan) 15 yards to the ILL16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 16
OWN 16
+2
99.9%
Kenyon Sims run for 2 yds to the Illin 18Similar
Q4 11:32
3RD & 14
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Matt Robinson run for no gain to the Illin 18Similar
Q4 11:32
4TH & 14
OWN 18
+8
99.9%
Blake Hayes punt for 47 yds , Jeremiah Knight returns for 8 yds to the Akron 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:300% → 0%
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
99.9%
ILLINOIS Penalty, Defensive offside (Isaiah Gay) to the Akron 48Similar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 5
OWN 48
-7
100.0%
Robbie Kelley sacked by Owen Carney Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the Akron 41Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 12
OWN 41
+4
100.0%
Robbie Kelley pass complete to Jeremiah Knight for 4 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q4 8:49
3RD & 8
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Robbie Kelley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:49
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Jonah Wieland punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Kyron Cumby at the Illin 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 31 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+31
99.9%
Matt Robinson pass complete to Kyron Cumby for 31 yds to the Akron 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
99.9%
Kenyon Sims run for 6 yds to the Akron 36Similar
Q4 7:17
2ND & 4
OPP 36
0
99.9%
Kenyon Sims run for no gain to the Akron 36Similar
Q4 7:17
3RD & 4
OPP 36
-6
99.9%
Matt Robinson sacked by John Mitchell for a loss of 6 yards to the Akron 42Similar
Q4 7:17
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Blake Hayes punt for 40 yds, downed at the Akron 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
100.0%
Deltron Sands run for 3 yds to the Akron 5Similar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+8
100.0%
Deltron Sands run for 8 yds to the Akron 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
100.0%
Michiah Burton run for 3 yds to the Akron 16Similar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+4
100.0%
Brandon Lee run for 4 yds to the Akron 20Similar
Q4 4:38
3RD & 3
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Robbie Kelley pass incomplete to Nate Stewart, broken up by Devon WitherspoonSimilar
Q4 4:38
4TH & 3
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Jonah Wieland punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Illin 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 24DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
100.0%
Kenyon Sims run for 3 yds to the Illin 47Similar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+6
100.0%
Kenyon Sims run for 6 yds to the Akron 47Similar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 1
OPP 47
0
100.0%
Kenyon Sims run for no gain to the Akron 47Similar
Q4 1:58
4TH & 1
OPP 47
0
100.0%
Kenyon Sims run for no gain to the Akron 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
100.0%
Robbie Kelley pass complete to Jeremiah Knight for 2 yds to the Akron 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00
James McCourt kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+4.8
TD · Q2 2:04
Brandon Peters run for 20 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK)
+4.4
TD · Q2 14:56
Brandon Peters pass complete to Trevon Sidney for 10 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK)
+3.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com