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JMU

James Madison 13 at West Virginia 20

WVU
2019 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2019 · Milan Puskar Stadium
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Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadJMU aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreJMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:27 · Josh Growden punt for 35 yds, fair catch by D'Angelo Amos at the JMads 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 122Pregame prior+8.5Home team on offense+1.5Garbage-time factor−0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Score differential−0.9Blowout margin−1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:47: Solomon Vanhorse run for 9 yds for a TD, (Ethan Ratke KICK) — JMU win probability +5.9 pts (now 36%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:32: Austin Kendall pass complete to George Campbell for 28 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK) — WVU win probability +8.7 pts (now 71%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 10:26: Evan Staley 43 yd FG GOOD — WVU win probability +8.8 pts (now 73%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 10:08: Austin Kendall pass complete to Sam James for 8 yds to the JMads 22 — WVU win probability +10.2 pts (now 78%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:43: Austin Kendall pass complete to Tevin Bush for 22 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK) — WVU win probability +12.8 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 11 of 12JMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 8
  1. Q1 14:56JMU 4th & 1 at JMU 31, tied
    Close callPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:04WVU 4th & 11 at WVU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:43WVU 4th & 6 at JMU 32, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.8%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    68.6%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:40WVU 4th & 7 at JMU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:33WVU 4th & 9 at JMU 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.0%
    74% to make
    Punt
    55.1%−4.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:21JMU 4th & 5 at WVU 10, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.7%
    88% to make
    Punt
    35.1%−5.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:21WVU 4th & 14 at WVU 33, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%−2.6
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:37JMU 4th & 3 at JMU 40, up 4
    Close callPunted · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.4%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:16WVU 4th & 5 at WVU 16, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%−1.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:27JMU 4th & 6 at JMU 43, up 4
    Close callPunted · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.4%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:50WVU 4th & 4 at WVU 24, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%−1.6
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:34JMU 4th & 12 at WVU 12, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.4%−2.3
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    22.9%−9.9
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:27WVU 4th & 7 at WVU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:55JMU 4th & 15 at JMU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−6.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:30WVU 4th & 2 at JMU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    58.4%−4.6
    45% to make
    Punt
    56.4%−6.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:26WVU 4th & 9 at JMU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.3%−2.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.4%
    64% to make
    Punt
    44.1%−16.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:33JMU 4th & 2 at WVU 14, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.0%−1.5
    84% to make
    Punt
    5.4%−4.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:16WVU 4th & 5 at WVU 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.0%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:26JMU 4th & 8 at JMU 22, down 7
    Close callPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%−0.6
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:14WVU 4th & 10 at WVU 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2JMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 1:47JMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 12:32WVU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 8:43WVU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
JMUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
73.4%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 4 yds to the JMads 26Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+4
73.4%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 4 yds to the JMads 30Similar
Q1 14:56
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+1
73.4%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 1 yd to the JMads 31Similar
Q1 14:56
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
73.4%
Harry O'Kelly punt for 39 yds, downed at the WVirg 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-3
73.1%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 27Similar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 13
OWN 27
+3
73.1%
Austin Kendall pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 3 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q1 13:04
3RD & 10
OWN 30
-1
73.0%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 29Similar
Q1 13:04
4TH & 11
OWN 29
0
72.9%
Josh Growden punt for 35 yds , D'Angelo Amos returns for no gain to the JMads 36 D'Angelo Amos fumbled, recovered by WVirg Exree LoeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3MISSED FG
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:3073% → 73%
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
73.1%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+8
73.1%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 8 yds to the JMads 28Similar
Q1 11:13
3RD & 2
OPP 28
-5
73.0%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (Kennedy McKoy) to the JMads 33Similar
Q1 11:13
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+1
73.0%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the JMads 32Similar
Q1 9:43
4TH & 6
OPP 32
+49
72.7%
Evan Staley 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 4FUMBLE
6 plays · 32 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
72.2%
Ben DiNucci pass complete to Kyndel Dean for 10 yds to the JMads 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
72.0%
Ben DiNucci pass complete to Kyndel Dean for 6 yds to the JMads 48Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+3
72.0%
Solomon Vanhorse run for 3 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q1 9:43
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+7
71.9%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 7 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
71.9%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 6 yds to the WVirg 36Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+1
71.8%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 1 yd to the WVirg 36 Percy Agyei-Obese fumbled, forced by Kwantel Raines, recovered by WVirg Dylan TonkerySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:3572% → 71%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
72.0%
Alec Sinkfield run for 3 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+3
72.2%
Martell Pettaway run for 3 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q1 7:15
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+8
72.1%
Austin Kendall pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
50
0
72.4%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 10
50
+3
72.3%
Martell Pettaway run for 3 yds to the JMads 47Similar
Q1 4:40
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
71.7%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Kennedy McKoySimilar
Q1 4:40
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
71.0%
Josh Growden punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:3829% → 36%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
70.8%
Solomon Vanhorse run for 6 yds to the JMads 26Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+7
70.5%
Solomon Vanhorse run for 7 yds to the JMads 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
70.5%
Austin Douglas run for 8 yds to the JMads 41Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+8
70.0%
Austin Douglas run for 8 yds to the JMads 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+21
69.9%
Ben DiNucci pass complete to Brandon Polk for 21 yds to the WVirg 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+21
69.5%
Ben DiNucci pass complete to Brandon Polk for 21 yds to the WVirg 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
63.6%
Solomon Vanhorse run for 9 yds for a TD, (Ethan Ratke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7FG
12 plays · 53 yds · 4:0965% → 67%
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
65.3%
Martell Pettaway run for 2 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q1 1:42
2ND & 8
OWN 28
-2
65.3%
Kennedy McKoy run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 26Similar
Q1 1:42
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+20
64.6%
Austin Kendall pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 20 yds to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
66.2%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 5 yds to the JMads 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+11
65.7%
Austin Kendall pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 11 yds to the JMads 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
65.8%
Kennedy McKoy run for no gain to the JMads 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+16
65.7%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sam James for 16 yds to the JMads 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
66.3%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sam James for 1 yd to the JMads 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 21
0
66.3%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 21
0
65.6%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Alec SinkfieldSimilar
Q2 12:33
4TH & 9
OPP 21
+38
66.9%
Evan Staley 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 8MISSED FG
14 plays · 65 yds · 6:1234% → 40%
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
65.7%
Ben DiNucci run for 8 yds to the JMads 33Similar
Q2 12:33
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
64.9%
Ben DiNucci pass complete to Solomon Vanhorse for 4 yds to the JMads 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
65.0%
Ben DiNucci run for 8 yds to the JMads 45Similar
Q2 12:33
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+6
64.4%
Jawon Hamilton run for 6 yds to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
64.2%
Ben DiNucci run for 5 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q2 12:33
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+7
64.0%
Austin Douglas run for 7 yds to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-10
64.2%
Austin Douglas run for a loss of 10 yards to the WVirg 47 JMU Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 12:33
2ND & 20
OPP 47
+22
64.9%
Ben DiNucci run for 22 yds to the WVirg 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
63.4%
Solomon Vanhorse run for 10 yds to the WVirg 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
63.4%
Solomon Vanhorse run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 16Similar
Q2 12:33
2ND & 11
OPP 16
+2
63.7%
Ben DiNucci run for 2 yds to the WVirg 14Similar
Q2 12:33
3RD & 9
OPP 14
+4
64.4%
Solomon Vanhorse run for 4 yds to the WVirg 10Similar
Q2 6:21
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+27
60.3%
Ethan Ratke 27 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Darius StillsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0062% → 60%
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
62.0%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 15Similar
Q2 6:21
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+6
61.9%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Alec Sinkfield for 6 yds to the WVirg 21Similar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+16
61.8%
Austin Kendall pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 16 yds to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
63.0%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Sam JamesSimilar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-4
62.7%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sam James for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 33 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 6:21
3RD & 14
OWN 33
0
60.8%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to T.J. SimmonsSimilar
Q2 6:21
4TH & 14
OWN 33
0
60.4%
Josh Growden punt for 34 yds, downed at the JMads 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
59.5%
Ben DiNucci pass incomplete to Kyndel Dean, broken up by Hakeem BaileySimilar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+7
59.9%
Ben DiNucci pass complete to Brandon Polk for 7 yds to the JMads 40Similar
Q2 4:37
3RD & 3
OWN 40
0
58.7%
Ben DiNucci pass complete to Austin Douglas for no gain to the JMads 40Similar
Q2 4:37
4TH & 3
OWN 40
+49
60.4%
Harry O'Kelly punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Sam James at the WESTVIR 21 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding (Lorenzo Dorr) to the WVirg 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0060% → 58%
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
60.2%
Kennedy McKoy run for 5 yds to the WVirg 16Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 5
OWN 16
0
60.1%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:16
3RD & 5
OWN 16
0
59.1%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:16
4TH & 5
OWN 16
+2
58.4%
Josh Growden punt for 37 yds , D'Angelo Amos returns for 2 yds to the JMads 18 JMU Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the JMads 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0044% → 42%
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
55.8%
Austin Douglas run for 4 yds to the JMads 43Similar
Q2 2:27
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
55.7%
Ben DiNucci pass incomplete to Brandon Polk, broken up by Josh ChandlerSimilar
Q2 2:27
3RD & 6
OWN 43
0
56.1%
Ben DiNucci pass incomplete to Brandon Polk, broken up by Dante StillsSimilar
Q2 2:27
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
58.0%
Harry O'Kelly punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Alec Sinkfield at the WVirg 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:5059% → 59%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
58.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 2 yds to the WVirg 20Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+1
58.7%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the WVirg 21Similar
Q2 1:06
3RD & 7
OWN 21
+3
58.2%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sam James for 3 yds to the WVirg 24Similar
Q2 0:50
4TH & 4
OWN 24
0
59.0%
Josh Growden punt for 38 yds, downed at the JMads 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:0043% → 44%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
56.8%
Solomon Vanhorse run for 8 yds to the JMads 46Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+1
55.7%
Solomon Vanhorse run for 1 yd to the JMads 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15TD
9 plays · 82 yds · 2:2459% → 71%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+41
59.0%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Tevin Bush for 41 yds to the JMads 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
62.5%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Sean Ryan, broken up by Rashad RobinsonSimilar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-2
62.4%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Tevin Bush for a loss of 2 yards to the JMads 43Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 12
OPP 43
+19
60.2%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sean Ryan for 19 yds to the JMads 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
64.1%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Sam JamesSimilar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-5
64.0%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (Sam James) to the JMads 29Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 15
OPP 29
+1
62.3%
Austin Kendall run for 1 yd to the JMads 28Similar
Q3 12:32
3RD & 14
OPP 28
+28
71.0%
Austin Kendall pass complete to George Campbell for 28 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 16FG
14 plays · 63 yds · 5:5831% → 39%
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
69.1%
Jawon Hamilton run for 6 yds to the JMads 31Similar
Q3 12:32
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
67.9%
Jawon Hamilton run for 3 yds to the JMads 34Similar
Q3 12:32
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
68.2%
Jawon Hamilton run for 1 yd to the JMads 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+29
68.4%
Ben DiNucci pass complete to Kyndel Dean for 29 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
65.9%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 5 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q3 12:32
2ND & 5
OPP 31
-7
64.6%
Ben DiNucci sacked by Taijh Alston for a loss of 7 yards to the WVirg 38Similar
Q3 12:32
3RD & 12
OPP 38
+17
67.6%
Ben DiNucci run for 17 yds to the WVirg 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
64.6%
Brandon Polk run for 9 yds to the WVirg 12Similar
Q3 12:32
2ND & 1
OPP 12
+2
64.6%
Jawon Hamilton run for 2 yds to the WVirg 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
64.6%
Ben DiNucci run for 3 yds to the WVirg 7Similar
Q3 12:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
64.6%
Ben DiNucci sacked by Reuben Jones for a loss of 5 yards to the WVirg 12Similar
Q3 12:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
66.3%
Ben DiNucci pass incomplete to Dylan Stapleton, broken up by Hakeem BaileySimilar
Q3 6:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+29
60.6%
Ethan Ratke 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 25 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
63.9%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Bryce Wheaton for 7 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+5
65.5%
Martell Pettaway run for 5 yds to the WVirg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
64.5%
Austin Kendall run for 2 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+6
64.5%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Randy Fields Jr. for 6 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q3 6:27
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+2
65.9%
Martell Pettaway run for 2 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
66.9%
Martell Pettaway run for 1 yd to the WVirg 44Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+7
66.6%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 7 yds to the JMads 49Similar
Q3 6:27
3RD & 2
OPP 49
-5
67.1%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (Kelby Wickline) to the WVirg 46Similar
Q3 6:27
3RD & 7
OWN 46
0
65.4%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Bryce WheatonSimilar
Q3 6:27
4TH & 7
OWN 46
0
63.5%
Josh Growden punt for 35 yds, fair catch by D'Angelo Amos at the JMads 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0041% → 38%
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
58.6%
Ben DiNucci run for 1 yd to the JMads 20Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+2
59.0%
Ben DiNucci pass complete to Jawon Hamilton for 2 yds to the JMads 22Similar
Q3 1:55
3RD & 7
OWN 22
-8
60.1%
Ben DiNucci sacked by Dante Stills for a loss of 8 yards to the JMads 14Similar
Q3 1:55
4TH & 15
OWN 14
+4
62.0%
Harry O'Kelly punt for 46 yds , Alec Sinkfield returns for 4 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19FG
11 plays · 30 yds · 4:3565% → 73%
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
65.4%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Alec SinkfieldSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+13
64.2%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Tevin Bush for 13 yds to the JMads 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-3
66.7%
Austin Kendall sacked by D'Angelo Amos for a loss of 3 yards to the JMads 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 46
+12
64.6%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sean Ryan for 12 yds to the JMads 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 34
-1
66.2%
Martell Pettaway run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMads 35Similar
Q4 12:30
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+8
62.5%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sam James for 8 yds to the JMads 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
67.0%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 2 yds to the JMads 25Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 8
OPP 25
-3
67.0%
Kennedy McKoy run for a loss of 3 yards to the JMads 28Similar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 11
OPP 28
+2
64.2%
Kennedy McKoy run for 2 yds to the JMads 26Similar
Q4 10:26
4TH & 9
OPP 26
+43
73.0%
Evan Staley 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 20INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
67.5%
Ben DiNucci pass intercepted Keith Washington Jr. return for 7 yds to the JMads 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21TD
3 plays · 30 yds · 1:2578% → 91%
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
77.7%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sam James for 8 yds to the JMads 22Similar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 2
OPP 22
0
77.7%
Kennedy McKoy run for no gain to the JMads 22Similar
Q4 8:43
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+22
90.6%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Tevin Bush for 22 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 22FG
11 plays · 51 yds · 4:0412% → 19%
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
87.6%
Solomon Vanhorse run for 4 yds to the JMads 39Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
86.9%
Solomon Vanhorse run for no gain to the JMads 39Similar
Q4 8:37
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+17
87.6%
Ben DiNucci pass complete to Brandon Polk for 17 yds to the WVirg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
85.8%
Solomon Vanhorse run for 4 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 6
OPP 40
0
85.4%
Ben DiNucci pass incomplete to Kyndel Dean, broken up by Hakeem BaileySimilar
Q4 8:37
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+18
86.5%
Ben DiNucci pass complete to Kyndel Dean for 18 yds to the WVirg 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
84.2%
Jawon Hamilton run for 3 yds to the WVirg 19Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+4
84.2%
Jawon Hamilton run for 4 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q4 8:37
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+1
85.5%
Jawon Hamilton run for 1 yd to the WVirg 14Similar
Q4 4:33
4TH & 2
OPP 14
+31
81.5%
Ethan Ratke 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:1790% → 93%
Q4 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
89.8%
Kennedy McKoy run for 2 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
Q4 4:26
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
92.3%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Sam JamesSimilar
Q4 4:26
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+3
92.0%
Kennedy McKoy run for 3 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q4 4:16
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
92.9%
Josh Growden punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4210% → 6%
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
90.4%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 2 yds to the JMads 22Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-7
90.6%
Ben DiNucci sacked by Darius Stills for a loss of 7 yards to the JMads 15Similar
Q4 3:26
3RD & 15
OWN 15
+7
94.0%
Ben DiNucci pass complete to Austin Douglas for 7 yds to the JMads 22Similar
Q4 3:26
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
94.1%
Harry O'Kelly punt for 51 yds, downed at the WVirg 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:2195% → 96%
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
94.5%
Martell Pettaway run for 4 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 6
OWN 31
-5
94.5%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 26Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 11
OWN 26
+1
94.1%
Martell Pettaway run for 1 yd to the WVirg 27Similar
Q4 1:14
3RD & 10
OWN 27
0
96.3%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Sam JamesSimilar
Q4 1:14
4TH & 10
OWN 27
+2
95.8%
Josh Growden punt for 37 yds , D'Angelo Amos returns for 2 yds to the JMads 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 26END OF GAME
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:008% → 7%
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
92.2%
Ben DiNucci pass complete to Devin Ravenel for 14 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-10
90.6%
JMU Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the JMads 42Similar
Q4 0:58
1ST & 20
OWN 42
0
92.8%
Ben DiNucci pass incomplete to Devin RavenelSimilar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 20
OWN 42
0
93.0%
Ben DiNucci run for no gain to the JMads 42Similar
Q4 0:58
3RD & 20
OWN 42
-3
93.3%
Ben DiNucci run for a loss of 3 yards to the JMads 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:43
Austin Kendall pass complete to Tevin Bush for 22 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK)
+12.8
KEY PLAY · Q4 10:08
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sam James for 8 yds to the JMads 22
+10.2
FG · Q4 10:26
Evan Staley 43 yd FG GOOD
+8.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com