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TTU

Texas Tech 14 at Arizona 28

ARIZ
2019 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2019 · Arizona Stadium
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Win probability · ARIZ
modelARIZ aheadTTU aheadconfidence bandkey playARIZ scoreTTU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:38 · Matt Aragon punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexTc 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 40Home team on offense−0.1Pregame prior−4.9Garbage-time factor−0.3Score differential−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:37: Khalil Tate pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 12 yds for a TD, (Lucas Havrisik KICK) — ARIZ win probability +6.6 pts (now 51%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:35: Khalil Tate run for 84 yds for a TD, (Lucas Havrisik PAT MISSED) — ARIZ win probability +6.2 pts (now 56%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 8:15: Armand Shyne run for 4 yds to the Ariz 16 — TTU win probability +6.2 pts (now 43%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:08: Alan Bowman pass complete to McLane Mannix for 8 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK) — TTU win probability +19.0 pts (now 56%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:57: Gary Brightwell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Lucas Havrisik KICK) — ARIZ win probability +21.9 pts (now 79%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 4 of 6TTU made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 13:59ARIZ 4th & 3 at ARIZ 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:35TTU 4th & 8 at TTU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:55ARIZ 4th & 13 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:41TTU 4th & 8 at TTU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:59TTU 4th & 1 at ARIZ 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    51.5%−0.6
    49% to make
    Punt
    51.3%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:38ARIZ 4th & 18 at ARIZ 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%−1.0
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:30TTU 4th & 5 at TTU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.8%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:16ARIZ 4th & 2 at ARIZ 32, tied
    Close callPunted · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.9%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:32TTU 4th & 23 at TTU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%−2.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:52TTU 4th & 3 at ARIZ 15, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    42.7%−0.5
    83% to make
    Punt
    36.4%−6.8
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:57ARIZ 4th & 14 at TTU 33, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%−1.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.1%
    49% to make
    Punt
    58.7%−1.4
    average punt
  12. Q2 2:01TTU 4th & 5 at ARIZ 47, down 6
    Close callPunted · 40.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.0%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:06TTU 4th & 10 at ARIZ 39, down 6
    Close callPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.4%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    37.0%−0.3
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.2%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:50ARIZ 4th & 1 at ARIZ 40, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.7%−2.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:15TTU 4th & 6 at TTU 43, down 6
    Close callPunted · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.1%−0.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:11TTU 4th & 10 at ARIZ 22, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    3.8%
    72% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−1.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 3 of 4TTU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 0:49TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:37ARIZ Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:35ARIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    57.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:08TTU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:57ARIZ Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.2%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:05ARIZ Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    94.9%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARIZDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:4644% → 44%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
44.1%
J.J. Taylor run for 5 yds to the Ariz 30Similar
Q1 14:33
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
44.2%
J.J. Taylor run for 2 yds to the Ariz 32Similar
Q1 14:08
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
44.3%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Stanley Berryhill IIISimilar
Q1 13:59
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
44.3%
Matt Aragon punt for 34 yds, downed at the TexTc 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 1:2356% → 55%
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
44.3%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 29Similar
Q1 13:57
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+5
44.3%
ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the TexTc 34Similar
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
44.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 13 yds to the TexTc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
44.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Armand Shyne for no gain to the TexTc 47Similar
Q1 13:17
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+7
44.4%
Armand Shyne run for 7 yds to the Ariz 46Similar
Q1 13:09
3RD & 3
OPP 46
-5
44.3%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 49Similar
Q1 12:43
3RD & 8
OWN 49
0
44.5%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Dalton RigdonSimilar
Q1 12:35
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
44.7%
Austin McNamara punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 3:2745% → 45%
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
44.8%
J.J. Taylor run for 6 yds to the Ariz 26Similar
Q1 11:57
2ND & 4
OWN 26
-1
44.9%
Khalil Tate run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 25Similar
Q1 11:22
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+14
44.9%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tayvian Cunningham for 14 yds to the Ariz 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
45.3%
J.J. Taylor run for 8 yds to the Ariz 47Similar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+6
45.7%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tayvian Cunningham for 6 yds to the TexTc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
45.9%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tayvian Cunningham for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 49Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 12
OPP 49
+2
45.7%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Brian Casteel for 2 yds to the TexTc 47Similar
Q1 9:28
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+7
45.8%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Jamarye Joiner for 7 yds to the TexTc 40Similar
Q1 9:04
4TH & 3
OPP 40
-10
46.0%
Smith, Darrius rush for 7 yards to the TEXASTECH33, PENALTY ARIZONA holding (Creason, Cody) 10 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:55
4TH & 13
50
0
45.3%
Matt Aragon punt for 34 yds, downed at the TexTc 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0455% → 54%
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-3
45.5%
Armand Shyne run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexTc 13Similar
Q1 8:24
2ND & 13
OWN 13
+5
45.7%
Alan Bowman pass complete to McLane Mannix for 5 yds to the TexTc 18Similar
Q1 7:52
3RD & 8
OWN 18
0
46.1%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to R.J. TurnerSimilar
Q1 7:41
4TH & 8
OWN 18
+46
46.3%
Austin McNamara punt for 46 yds , Stanley Berryhill III returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 5INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
46.0%
Khalil Tate pass intercepted Douglas Coleman III return for no gain to the TexTc 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 6INT
8 plays · 44 yds · 2:4154% → 55%
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
45.7%
Armand Shyne run for 9 yds to the TexTc 35Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 1
OWN 35
0
45.4%
Armand Shyne run for no gain to the TexTc 35Similar
Q1 6:55
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+23
45.5%
Armand Shyne run for 23 yds to the Ariz 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
45.1%
Armand Shyne run for 6 yds to the Ariz 36Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+2
45.1%
Armand Shyne run for 2 yds to the Ariz 34Similar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+1
45.2%
Armand Shyne run for 1 yd to the Ariz 33Similar
Q1 4:59
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+3
45.9%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 3 yds to the Ariz 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
45.1%
Alan Bowman pass intercepted, touchback. Lorenzo Burns return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 1:0147% → 46%
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
46.6%
Gary Brightwell run for 1 yd to the Ariz 21Similar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
46.7%
Khalil Tate pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:01
3RD & 9
OWN 21
-9
46.2%
Khalil Tate sacked by Damarcus Fields for a loss of 9 yards to the Ariz 12Similar
Q1 3:38
4TH & 18
OWN 12
0
45.9%
Matt Aragon punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexTc 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 8INT
3 plays · 11 yds · 1:0454% → 55%
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
45.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Dalton Rigdon for 8 yds to the Ariz 43Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+3
45.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Donta Thompson for 3 yds to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+27
45.2%
Alan Bowman pass intercepted Anthony Pandy return for 27 yds to the TexTc 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 9FUMBLE
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
48.8%
Khalil Tate run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 49 Khalil Tate fumbled, recovered by TexTc Jordyn BrooksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 10TD
6 plays · 51 yds · 1:2655% → 60%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
45.3%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Donta ThompsonSimilar
Q1 2:07
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+8
45.5%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 8 yds to the Ariz 43Similar
Q1 1:51
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+3
45.2%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 3 yds to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+39
45.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 39 yds to the Ariz 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
44.8%
SaRodorick Thompson run for no gain to the Ariz 1Similar
Q1 0:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
39.9%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 11TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:0642% → 51%
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
41.7%
J.J. Taylor run for 1 yd to the Ariz 26Similar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
41.7%
J.J. Taylor run for 5 yds to the Ariz 31Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+46
41.5%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Darrius Smith for 46 yds to the TexTc 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
44.0%
Khalil Tate run for 7 yds to the TexTc 16Similar
Q2 14:40
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+5
44.0%
J.J. Taylor run for 5 yds to the TexTc 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
44.0%
J.J. Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 12Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 11
OPP 12
+12
50.6%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 12 yds for a TD, (Lucas Havrisik KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:0353% → 51%
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
47.2%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for no gain to the TexTc 25Similar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
47.3%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Ta'Zhawn HenrySimilar
Q2 13:05
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
48.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Armand Shyne for 5 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q2 12:30
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
48.6%
Austin McNamara punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Brian Casteel at the Ariz 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:0949% → 48%
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-2
48.7%
Gary Brightwell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 22Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 12
OWN 22
0
48.6%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Tre AdamsSimilar
Q2 11:43
3RD & 12
OWN 22
+10
47.8%
Khalil Tate run for 10 yds to the Ariz 32Similar
Q2 11:16
4TH & 2
OWN 32
0
48.2%
Matt Aragon punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexTc 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 1:3854% → 51%
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
46.5%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Erik EzukanmaSimilar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+15
46.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to KeSean Carter for 15 yds to the Ariz 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-10
45.7%
Shyne, Armand rush for 3 yards to the ARIZONA42, PENALTY TEXASTECH holding (Steele, Terence) 10 yards to the TEXASTECH45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:33
1ST & 20
OWN 45
0
47.0%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q2 10:27
2ND & 20
OWN 45
-3
47.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Armand Shyne for a loss of 3 yards to the TexTc 42Similar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 23
OWN 42
0
47.7%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:32
4TH & 23
OWN 42
0
48.8%
Austin McNamara punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Brian Casteel at the Ariz 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 15TD
3 plays · 87 yds · 0:5250% → 56%
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
49.5%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Stanley Berryhill IIISimilar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+3
49.4%
Darrius Smith run for 3 yds to the Ariz 16Similar
Q2 8:35
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+84
55.6%
Khalil Tate run for 84 yds for a TD, (Lucas Havrisik PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 16DOWNS
12 plays · 55 yds · 2:3845% → 46%
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
54.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 11 yds to the TexTc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
54.2%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 19 yds to the Ariz 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
53.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Xavier White for 10 yds to the Ariz 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
51.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Xavier White for 2 yds to the Ariz 33Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 8
OPP 33
-1
51.5%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 34Similar
Q2 6:49
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+12
53.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Xavier White for 12 yds to the Ariz 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
51.5%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q2 6:27
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+7
52.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 7 yds to the Ariz 15Similar
Q2 5:58
3RD & 3
OPP 15
0
53.0%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q2 5:52
4TH & 3
OPP 15
-5
54.2%
Mark Richardson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ariz 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 17MISSED FG
10 plays · 47 yds · 2:5059% → 60%
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
58.8%
Khalil Tate run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ariz 17Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+6
58.6%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tayvian Cunningham for 6 yds to the Ariz 23Similar
Q2 4:39
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+37
60.3%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 22 yds to the TexTc 45 for a 1ST down TEXAS TECH Penalty, Targeting (Desmon Smith) to the TexTc 40 for a 1ST down. Smith ejected for targeting.Similar
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
62.3%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Tayvian Cunningham for 11 yds to the TexTc 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
62.7%
Khalil Tate run for 1 yd to the TexTc 28Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 9
OPP 28
-5
63.1%
Tate, Khalil pass incomplete to Cunningham, Tayvian, PENALTY ARIZONA ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the TEXASTECH33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 14
OPP 33
0
62.1%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Drew DixonSimilar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 14
OPP 33
0
61.0%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Stanley Berryhill IIISimilar
Q2 2:57
4TH & 14
OPP 33
+51
59.7%
Lucas Havrisik 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:4940% → 40%
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
59.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Donta Thompson for 15 yds to the TexTc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
58.1%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Dalton RigdonSimilar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
59.0%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to R.J. TurnerSimilar
Q2 2:11
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
60.0%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Armand ShyneSimilar
Q2 2:11
4TH & 10
OWN 48
+5
61.9%
ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Ariz 47Similar
Q2 2:01
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
60.4%
Austin McNamara punt for 46 yds, downed at the Ariz 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 19INT
7 plays · 24 yds · 1:1261% → 63%
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
61.2%
Gary Brightwell run for 4 yds to the Ariz 5Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+1
61.3%
Gary Brightwell run for 1 yd to the Ariz 6Similar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 5
OWN 6
+6
61.9%
Khalil Tate run for 6 yds to the Ariz 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
62.9%
Darrius Smith run for 5 yds to the Ariz 17Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+4
63.1%
Khalil Tate run for 4 yds to the Ariz 21Similar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+4
62.9%
J.J. Taylor run for 4 yds to the Ariz 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 20END OF HALF
2 plays · -14 yds · 0:1040% → 39%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
60.4%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to R.J. TurnerSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+1
61.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Dalton Rigdon for 1 yd to the TexTc 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 36 yds · 1:4440% → 39%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
59.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 10 yds to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
59.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 9 yds to the TexTc 44Similar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+3
56.8%
Armand Shyne run for 3 yds to the TexTc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
57.4%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Erik EzukanmaSimilar
Q3 13:48
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+14
58.3%
Armand Shyne run for 14 yds to the Ariz 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
57.0%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:31
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
57.1%
Armand Shyne run for no gain to the Ariz 39Similar
Q3 13:15
3RD & 10
OPP 39
0
58.6%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Armand ShyneSimilar
Q3 13:06
4TH & 10
OPP 39
0
60.7%
Austin McNamara punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Brian Casteel at the Ariz 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 22PUNT
11 plays · 32 yds · 4:1663% → 66%
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
63.2%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the Ariz 13Similar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 5
OWN 13
+2
63.6%
J.J. Taylor run for 2 yds to the Ariz 15Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 3
OWN 15
+2
63.5%
J.J. Taylor run for 2 yds to the Ariz 17Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 1
OWN 17
+2
62.3%
Darrius Smith run for 2 yds to the Ariz 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
63.8%
Khalil Tate run for 4 yds to the Ariz 23Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+1
64.3%
Khalil Tate run for 1 yd to the Ariz 24Similar
Q3 10:33
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+7
63.4%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Jamarye Joiner for 7 yds to the Ariz 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
65.2%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Jamarye JoinerSimilar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+6
65.0%
Gary Brightwell run for 6 yds to the Ariz 37Similar
Q3 9:29
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+3
66.0%
Khalil Tate run for 3 yds to the Ariz 40Similar
Q3 8:50
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
65.5%
Matt Aragon punt for 46 yds, downed at the TexTc 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 23TD
8 plays · 86 yds · 2:3037% → 56%
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+66
63.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to McLane Mannix for 66 yds to the Ariz 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
57.0%
Armand Shyne run for 4 yds to the Ariz 16Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+2
57.1%
Armand Shyne run for 2 yds to the Ariz 14Similar
Q3 7:14
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+4
59.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 4 yds to the Ariz 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
57.6%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the Ariz 8Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
57.7%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q3 6:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
43.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to McLane Mannix for 8 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 24TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 6:0450% → 79%
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-3
49.7%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Michael Wiley for a loss of 3 yards to the Ariz 10Similar
Q3 5:26
2ND & 13
OWN 10
-1
49.6%
Michael Wiley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 9Similar
Q3 4:49
3RD & 14
OWN 9
+16
47.1%
Khalil Tate run for 16 yds to the Ariz 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
49.6%
Darrius Smith run for 2 yds to the Ariz 27Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-2
50.2%
Khalil Tate sacked by Jaylon Hutchings for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 25Similar
Q3 3:41
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
47.8%
Tate, Khalil rush for no gain to the ARIZONA25, PENALTY TEXASTECH substitution infraction 5 yards to the ARIZONA30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:15
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
48.9%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Drew Dixon for 10 yds to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
53.6%
Gary Brightwell run for 7 yds to the Ariz 47Similar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+2
54.7%
Gary Brightwell run for 2 yds to the Ariz 49Similar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+2
52.2%
Gary Brightwell run for 2 yds to the TexTc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
53.8%
Darrius Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 49Similar
Q3 1:09
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+47
50.5%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Cedric Peterson for 47 yds to the TexTc 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
56.5%
Michael Wiley run for 1 yd to the TexTc 3Similar
Q3 0:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
56.7%
Khalil Tate run for 2 yds to the TexTc 1Similar
Q4 14:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
78.6%
Gary Brightwell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Lucas Havrisik KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:2928% → 24%
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
72.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 7 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q4 14:04
2ND & 3
OWN 30
-1
71.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to McLane Mannix for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 29Similar
Q4 13:25
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+10
73.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to R.J. Turner for 10 yds to the TexTc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
71.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ta'Zhawn Henry for 1 yd to the TexTc 40Similar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+3
73.9%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 3 yds to the TexTc 43Similar
Q4 11:29
3RD & 6
OWN 43
0
74.2%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Donta ThompsonSimilar
Q4 11:15
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
76.5%
Austin McNamara punt for 56 yds, downed at the Ariz 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 26TD
13 plays · 99 yds · 7:0382% → 97%
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
82.4%
Gary Brightwell run for 4 yds to the Ariz 5Similar
Q4 10:44
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+5
82.4%
Gary Brightwell run for 5 yds to the Ariz 10Similar
Q4 10:10
3RD & 1
OWN 10
+1
82.2%
Gary Brightwell run for 1 yd to the Ariz 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
83.6%
Darrius Smith run for 4 yds to the Ariz 15Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+5
84.1%
Darrius Smith run for 5 yds to the Ariz 20Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 1
OWN 20
+3
83.9%
Gary Brightwell run for 3 yds to the Ariz 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
85.5%
Gary Brightwell run for 12 yds to the Ariz 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
86.0%
Gary Brightwell run for 5 yds to the Ariz 40Similar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+40
88.5%
Darrius Smith run for 40 yds to the TexTc 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
90.1%
Khalil Tate run for 7 yds to the TexTc 13Similar
Q4 5:04
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+4
90.7%
Darrius Smith run for 4 yds to the TexTc 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
91.3%
Gary Brightwell run for 8 yds to the TexTc 1Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.4%
Gary Brightwell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Khalil Tate pass to Jamarye Joiner for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 27DOWNS
12 plays · 53 yds · 1:503% → 3%
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
97.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Dalton Rigdon for 10 yds to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+18
96.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 18 yds to the Ariz 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
96.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Armand Shyne for 3 yds to the Ariz 44Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+10
96.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to R.J. Turner for 10 yds to the Ariz 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
96.6%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+9
96.7%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 9 yds to the Ariz 25Similar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+3
96.8%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 3 yds to the Ariz 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
96.5%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to KeSean CarterSimilar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
96.7%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to McLane MannixSimilar
Q4 2:17
3RD & 10
OPP 22
0
97.0%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to McLane MannixSimilar
Q4 2:11
4TH & 10
OPP 22
0
97.1%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Erik EzukanmaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 28END OF GAME
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:3198% → 99%
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
97.8%
Gary Brightwell run for no gain to the Ariz 22Similar
Q4 2:02
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+4
97.9%
Gary Brightwell run for 4 yds to the Ariz 26Similar
Q4 1:57
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+13
98.3%
Gary Brightwell run for 13 yds to the Ariz 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
98.5%
Gary Brightwell run for 7 yds to the Ariz 46Similar
Q4 0:37
2ND & 3
OWN 46
-2
98.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:57
Gary Brightwell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Lucas Havrisik KICK)
+21.9
TD · Q3 6:08
Alan Bowman pass complete to McLane Mannix for 8 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK)
-19
TD · Q2 13:37
Khalil Tate pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 12 yds for a TD, (Lucas Havrisik KICK)
+6.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com