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TTU

Texas Tech 24 at Texas 49

TEX
2019 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2019 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · TEX
modelTEX aheadTTU aheadconfidence bandkey playTEX scoreTTU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Austin McNamara punt for 51 yds , Brandon Jones returns for 1 yd to the Texas 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 49Pregame prior+19.8Home team on offense−3.3Score differential−1.6Garbage-time factor−1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9Blowout margin+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:09: Daniel Young run for 3 yds for a TD Timeout TEXAS TECH, clock 13:09 (Sam Ehlinger pass to Devin Duvernay for Two-Point Conversion) — TEX win probability +7.5 pts (now 75%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:13: Jett Duffey pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 24 yds for a TD (Trey Wolff KICK) — TTU win probability +7.9 pts (now 42%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:02: Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 75 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +10.3 pts (now 71%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:52: Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jake Smith for 26 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +8.6 pts (now 89%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:35: Roschon Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +9.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEX made the numbers' call on 6 of 6TTU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00TEX 4th & 8 at TTU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:02TEX 4th & 1 at TTU 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    68.6%−0.3
    68% to make
    Punt
    67.7%−1.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00TTU 4th & 18 at TTU 14, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.8%−1.8
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:48TTU 4th & 1 at TEX 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    32.3%−1.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    29.0%−4.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:55TEX 4th & 9 at TEX 3, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.3%−1.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:56TTU 4th & 8 at TTU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%−0.9
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00TTU 4th & 3 at TTU 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    25.5%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00TTU 4th & 4 at TEX 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    26.4%−0.3
    79% to make
    Punt
    20.0%−6.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:09TTU 4th & 5 at TEX 5, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.5%
    92% to make
    Punt
    6.5%−7.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:35TTU 4th & 11 at TEX 36, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.3%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    6.5%
    42% to make
    Punt
    6.2%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00TEX 4th & 13 at TEX 33, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−1.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:38TTU 4th & 16 at TTU 27, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−1.5
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:24TEX 4th & 11 at TEX 35, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:43TTU 4th & 14 at TTU 33, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:25TEX 4th & 16 at TEX 47, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEX made the numbers' call on 6 of 7TTU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:10TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:14TTU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:54TEX Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    63.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:09TEX Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    67.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    67.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:13TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 8:02TEX Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 1:22TEX Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 8:52TEX Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 2:35TEX Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:50TEX Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEXDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
75.9%
Sam Ehlinger run for 11 yds to the Texas 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
75.9%
Devin Duvernay run for 8 yds to the Texas 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+7
75.9%
Sam Ehlinger run for 7 yds to the TexTc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
75.9%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Adam Beck and Eli Howard for a loss of 5 yards to the Texas 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 46
+6
75.9%
Keaontay Ingram run for 6 yds to the TexTc 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+1
75.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 1 yd to the TexTc 47Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
75.9%
Chris Naggar punt for 27 yds, downed at the TexTc 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 2TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 2:0925% → 28%
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
75.1%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 6 yds to the TexTc 26Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
75.0%
Jett Duffey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:19
3RD & 4
OWN 26
-5
75.2%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 21Similar
Q1 11:19
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+10
75.2%
Jett Duffey pass complete to R.J. Turner for 10 yds to the TexTc 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
75.0%
Jett Duffey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+11
75.1%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 11 yds to the TexTc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
74.9%
Jett Duffey pass complete to KeSean Carter for 13 yds to the Texas 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
74.8%
Jett Duffey pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 11 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
74.7%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 6 yds to the Texas 28Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 4
OPP 28
0
74.7%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to KeSean CarterSimilar
Q1 11:19
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+15
74.8%
Jett Duffey pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 15 yds to the Texas 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
72.3%
Jett Duffey pass complete to KeSean Carter for 13 yds for a TD (Trey Wolff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 3DOWNS
7 plays · 40 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
73.0%
Keaontay Ingram run for 11 yds to the Texas 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+20
73.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 20 yds to the TexTc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
73.6%
Roschon Johnson run for 5 yds to the TexTc 28Similar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+3
73.6%
Roschon Johnson run for 3 yds to the TexTc 25Similar
Q1 9:02
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+1
73.4%
Roschon Johnson run for 1 yd to the TexTc 24Similar
Q1 9:02
4TH & 1
OPP 24
0
73.2%
Sam Ehlinger run for no gain to the TexTc 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 2:3929% → 35%
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
71.2%
Jett Duffey pass complete to KeSean Carter for 15 yds to the TexTc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+19
70.7%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 19 yds to the Texas 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
70.5%
Duffey, Jett deep pass incomplete to Carter, KeSean, PENALTY UT defensive pass interference (Brandon Jones) 15 yards to the UT27, 1ST DOWN TTU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
70.4%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 10 yds to the Texas 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
70.4%
Jett Duffey run for 3 yds to the Texas 14Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+4
70.4%
Jett Duffey pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 4 yds to the Texas 10Similar
Q1 4:14
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+10
65.2%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 10 yds for a TD (Trey Wolff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 5TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:2067% → 68%
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
66.8%
Roschon Johnson rush over right guard for 44 yards to the TTU31 (Smith, Desmon), PENALTY UT offensive holding (Junior Angilau) 10 yards to the UT15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:14
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+5
66.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Roschon Johnson for 5 yds to the Texas 20Similar
Q1 4:14
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+36
66.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Malcolm Epps for 36 yds to the TexTc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
67.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jake Smith for 11 yds to the TexTc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
68.0%
Sam Ehlinger right side pass incomplete to Malcolm Epps, PENALTY TTU defensive pass interference (Smith, Desmon) 15 yards to the TTU18, 1ST DOWN UT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-15
68.0%
Sam Ehlinger right side pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 6 yards to the TTU12 (McPhearson, Z.), PENALTY UT offensive pass interference (Brennan Eagles) 15 yards to the TTU33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:14
1ST & 25
OPP 33
+13
67.9%
Sam Ehlinger run for 13 yds to the TexTc 20Similar
Q1 4:14
2ND & 12
OPP 20
+10
68.0%
Roschon Johnson run for 10 yds to the TexTc 10Similar
Q1 0:54
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+10
67.7%
Sam Ehlinger run for 10 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:4833% → 33%
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
66.6%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 24Similar
Q1 0:48
2ND & 8
OWN 24
0
66.5%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to KeSean CarterSimilar
Q1 0:48
3RD & 8
OWN 24
-10
66.9%
Jett Duffey sacked by Malcolm Roach for a loss of 10 yards to the TexTc 14Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 18
OWN 14
+1
67.0%
Austin McNamara punt for 51 yds , Brandon Jones returns for 1 yd to the Texas 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 7TD
5 plays · 64 yds · 1:3866% → 75%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
65.7%
Roschon Johnson run for 10 yds to the Texas 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+16
66.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Marcus Washington for 16 yds to the TexTc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
67.0%
Daniel Young run for 2 yds to the TexTc 36Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+33
67.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 33 yds to the TexTc 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
74.5%
Daniel Young run for 3 yds for a TD Timeout TEXAS TECH, clock 13:09 (Sam Ehlinger pass to Devin Duvernay for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 8DOWNS
11 plays · 78 yds · 2:1429% → 31%
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
71.3%
Jett Duffey pass complete to KeSean Carter for 9 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+8
70.5%
Jett Duffey pass complete to KeSean Carter for 8 yds to the TexTc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
70.5%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Donta Thompson for 4 yds to the TexTc 42Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+4
70.0%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 4 yds to the TexTc 46Similar
Q2 13:02
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+52
70.1%
Jett Duffey pass complete to KeSean Carter for 52 yds to the Texas 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
69.3%
Jax Welch run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 3Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
67.4%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the Texas 1Similar
Q2 10:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
68.1%
SaRodorick Thompson run for no gain to the Texas 1Similar
Q2 10:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
69.0%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to T.J. Vasher, broken up by Kenyatta Watson IISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0071% → 70%
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-1
70.9%
TEXAS Penalty, false start (-1 Yards) to the Texas 1Similar
Q2 9:55
1ST & 11
OWN 1
+2
70.9%
Roschon Johnson run for 2 yds to the Texas 3Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 9
OWN 3
0
70.8%
Roschon Johnson run for no gain to the Texas 3Similar
Q2 9:55
3RD & 9
OWN 3
0
70.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Malcolm EppsSimilar
Q2 9:55
4TH & 9
OWN 3
+21
69.6%
Chris Naggar punt for 36 yds TEXAS Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the Texas 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 10TD
2 plays · 24 yds · 0:2334% → 42%
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
66.1%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to R.J. TurnerSimilar
Q2 8:13
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+24
58.2%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 24 yds for a TD (Trey Wolff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 11TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
70.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 75 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0032% → 31%
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
67.9%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to R.J. TurnerSimilar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
68.1%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 27Similar
Q2 7:56
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
68.7%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Erik EzukanmaSimilar
Q2 7:56
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
69.4%
Austin McNamara punt for 47 yds, downed at the Texas 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 13TD
13 plays · 74 yds · 5:3670% → 80%
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
70.3%
Roschon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Texas 29Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+4
70.4%
Roschon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Texas 33Similar
Q2 6:58
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+7
69.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 7 yds to the Texas 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
71.5%
Roschon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Texas 43Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
71.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Brennan EaglesSimilar
Q2 6:58
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+8
70.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 8 yds to the TexTc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
72.2%
Daniel Young run for 2 yds to the TexTc 47Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+10
72.3%
Sam Ehlinger run for 10 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
72.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Malcolm Epps for 6 yds to the TexTc 31Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+10
72.8%
Roschon Johnson run for 10 yds to the TexTc 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
72.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Devin DuvernaySimilar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+20
72.8%
Sam Ehlinger run for 18 yds to the TexTc 3 for a 1ST down TEXAS TECH Penalty, face mask (2 yards) (Damarcus Fields) to the TexTc 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
80.1%
Roschon Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 14FUMBLE
7 plays · 43 yds · 0:4323% → 25%
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
77.3%
Jett Duffey run for 1 yd to the TexTc 32Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+29
77.5%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 29 yds to the Texas 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
74.8%
Jett Duffey pass complete to KeSean Carter for 15 yds to the Texas 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
73.3%
Jett Duffey pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 25Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 11
OPP 25
-1
75.0%
Jett Duffey sacked by Keondre Coburn for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 26 Jett Duffey fumbled, recovered by Texas Marqez Bimage , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-3
78.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 16DOWNS
15 plays · 57 yds · 0:0023% → 24%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
77.0%
SaRodorick Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
77.2%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Erik EzukanmaSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+18
78.1%
Jett Duffey pass complete to R.J. Turner for 18 yds to the TexTc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
75.9%
Jett Duffey pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 3 yds to the TexTc 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+5
75.1%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
50
-1
75.1%
SaRodorick Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 49Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 49
+17
76.6%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 17 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
73.6%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete, broken up by Marqez BimageSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
73.6%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to KeSean Carter, broken up by DeMarvion OvershownSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+10
75.1%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Jax Welch for 10 yds to the Texas 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
73.2%
SaRodorick Thompson run for no gain to the Texas 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
73.6%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Erik Ezukanma, broken up by D'Shawn JamisonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+6
75.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to R.J. Turner for 6 yds to the Texas 18Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 18
0
75.7%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to KeSean CarterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 17TD
7 plays · 82 yds · 1:5678% → 89%
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
78.2%
Roschon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Texas 21Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+15
78.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 15 yds to the Texas 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
79.0%
Roschon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Texas 39Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
79.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Malcolm EppsSimilar
Q3 10:48
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+35
78.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 35 yds to the TexTc 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
80.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Brennan EaglesSimilar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+26
89.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jake Smith for 26 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 18FG
13 plays · 70 yds · 2:4313% → 17%
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
87.4%
Jett Duffey pass complete to KeSean Carter for 6 yds to the TexTc 31 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, personal foul (Chris Brown) to the TexTc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
86.4%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to R.J. Turner, broken up by Ayodele AdeoyeSimilar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+21
86.7%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 21 yds to the Texas 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
85.7%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Travis Koontz for 7 yds to the Texas 32Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+14
84.6%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 14 yds to the Texas 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
84.6%
Jett Duffey pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 4 yds to the Texas 14Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+5
84.6%
Jett Duffey pass complete to McLane Mannix for 5 yds to the Texas 9Similar
Q3 8:52
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+4
85.4%
Jett Duffey pass complete to McLane Mannix for 4 yds to the Texas 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
84.6%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q3 8:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
84.6%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q3 8:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
85.5%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Erik Ezukanma, broken up by D'Shawn JamisonSimilar
Q3 6:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
83.0%
Trey Wolff 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 19TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 3:3485% → 95%
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
85.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jared Wiley for 15 yds to the Texas 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
86.0%
Roschon Johnson run for 6 yds to the Texas 47Similar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+16
86.0%
Roschon Johnson run for 16 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
86.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Marcus Washington, broken up by Adrian FryeSimilar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+14
86.1%
Sam Ehlinger run for 14 yds to the TexTc 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+14
86.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jake Smith for 14 yds to the TexTc 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
86.1%
Roschon Johnson run for 3 yds to the TexTc 6Similar
Q3 6:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
86.1%
Sam Ehlinger run for 5 yds to the TexTc 1Similar
Q3 2:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.4%
Roschon Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 20DOWNS
9 plays · 39 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
94.3%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 28 yds to the Texas 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
93.8%
Jett Duffey pass complete to KeSean Carter for 3 yds to the Texas 44Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+9
93.8%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 9 yds to the Texas 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
93.2%
Jett Duffey pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 1 yd to the Texas 34Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 9
OPP 34
0
93.2%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q3 2:35
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+8
93.8%
Jett Duffey pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 8 yds to the Texas 26Similar
Q3 2:35
4TH & 1
OPP 26
-10
93.5%
Thompson, S. rush over right end for 7 yards to the UT19, PENALTY TTU offensive holding (Steele, Terence) 10 yards to the UT36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:35
4TH & 11
OPP 36
0
94.0%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
96.4%
Roschon Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 34
-1
96.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Roschon Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 33
0
96.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Devin DuvernaySimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 33
0
95.9%
Chris Naggar punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-7
95.6%
Jett Duffey sacked by Ta'Quon Graham for a loss of 7 yards to the TexTc 26Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 17
OWN 26
+1
96.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to R.J. Turner for 1 yd to the TexTc 27Similar
Q4 13:38
3RD & 16
OWN 27
0
96.0%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Erik Ezukanma, broken up by Ayodele AdeoyeSimilar
Q4 13:38
4TH & 16
OWN 27
+6
96.0%
Austin McNamara punt for 43 yds , Brandon Jones returns for 6 yds to the Texas 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
97.2%
Roschon Johnson run for 2 yds to the Texas 38Similar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+2
97.3%
Devin Duvernay run for 2 yds to the Texas 40Similar
Q4 12:24
3RD & 6
OWN 40
-5
97.3%
TEXAS Penalty, delay of game (Sam Ehlinger) to the Texas 35Similar
Q4 12:24
3RD & 11
OWN 35
0
97.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Roschon JohnsonSimilar
Q4 12:24
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
96.9%
Chris Naggar punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 24FUMBLE
2 plays · 12 yds · 0:003% → 4%
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
96.7%
Jett Duffey run for 8 yds to the TexTc 31Similar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+4
96.5%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 4 yds to the TexTc 24 SaRodorick Thompson fumbled, forced by Marqez Bimage, recovered by Texas T'Vondre Sweat , return for 11 yds to the TexTc 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 25TD
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:1198% → 100%
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
97.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 21 yds to the TexTc 3 TEXAS Penalty, personal foul (Marcus Washington) to the TexTc 18Similar
Q4 10:01
1ST & 4
OPP 18
0
97.5%
Roschon Johnson pass incomplete to Brennan EaglesSimilar
Q4 10:01
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+5
97.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 5 yds to the TexTc 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+12
97.5%
Roschon Johnson run for 12 yds to the TexTc 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
Roschon Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
99.5%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to KeSean CarterSimilar
Q4 8:43
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+15
99.6%
Jett Duffey pass complete to KeSean Carter for 15 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.5%
Jett Duffey pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 4 yds to the TexTc 41Similar
Q4 8:43
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
99.5%
Jett Duffey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:43
3RD & 6
OWN 41
-8
99.5%
Jett Duffey sacked by Marqez Bimage for a loss of 8 yards to the TexTc 33Similar
Q4 8:43
4TH & 14
OWN 33
0
99.4%
Austin McNamara punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 27PUNT
10 plays · 36 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+8
99.7%
Roschon Johnson run for 8 yds to the Texas 19Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 2
OWN 19
+17
99.7%
Daniel Young run for 17 yds to the Texas 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.7%
Daniel Young run for 3 yds to the Texas 39Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+5
99.7%
Daniel Young run for 5 yds to the Texas 44Similar
Q4 6:25
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+9
99.7%
Casey Thompson run for 9 yds to the TexTc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.7%
Casey Thompson run for no gain to the TexTc 47Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+6
99.7%
Daniel Young run for 6 yds to the TexTc 41Similar
Q4 6:25
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+3
99.7%
Daniel Young run for 3 yds to the TexTc 38Similar
Q4 6:25
4TH & 1
OPP 38
-15
99.7%
TEXAS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Parker Braun) to the Texas 47Similar
Q4 6:25
4TH & 16
OWN 47
0
99.7%
Chris Naggar punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Douglas Coleman III at the TexTc 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 28END OF GAME
1 play · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
99.7%
Jett Duffey pass complete to KeSean Carter for 1 yd to the TexTc 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:02
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 75 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)
+10.3
TD · Q3 2:35
Roschon Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)
+9.4
TD · Q3 8:52
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jake Smith for 26 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)
+8.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com