Try the model
TEX

Texas 42 at West Virginia 31

WVU
2019 · Week 6 · Oct 5, 2019 · Milan Puskar Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadTEX aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreTEX score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:45 · Ryan Bujcevski punt for 44 yds, downed at the WVirg 8
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 139Pregame prior−9.2Home team on offense−9.0Score differential−3.9Garbage-time factor−3.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:56: Sam Ehlinger pass complete to John Burt for 13 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +7.9 pts (now 74%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:28: Sam Ehlinger run for 13 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +6.8 pts (now 80%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:42: Devin Duvernay run for 13 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +11.7 pts (now 88%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:31: Samuel Cosmi run for 12 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +7.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:57: Austin Kendall pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 19 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK) — WVU win probability +10.6 pts (now 13%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9TEX made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 6:36TEX 4th & 11 at WVU 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.1%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.3%
    68% to make
    Punt
    66.3%−1.0
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:07WVU 4th & 4 at WVU 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:56TEX 4th & 15 at TEX 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:48WVU 4th & 7 at WVU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:12TEX 4th & 11 at TEX 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.5%−0.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:08WVU 4th & 7 at TEX 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.8%
    77% to make
    Punt
    34.1%−4.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:12TEX 4th & 29 at TEX 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.4%−4.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:02TEX 4th & 3 at TEX 27, up 7
    Close callPunted · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.2%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:01WVU 4th & 10 at WVU 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−2.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:24TEX 4th & 9 at WVU 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:25WVU 4th & 3 at WVU 29, down 7
    Close callPunted · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.4%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:59WVU 4th & 8 at TEX 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%−1.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.1%
    86% to make
    Punt
    18.0%−11.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:45TEX 4th & 8 at TEX 48, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.4%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:12WVU 4th & 9 at TEX 48, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:27TEX 4th & 7 at TEX 34, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:20WVU 4th & 6 at TEX 43, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    1.5%−<0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−0.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:48WVU 4th & 10 at TEX 12, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    2.0%
    86% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−0.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4TEX made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 13:31WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:52TEX Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:59WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:56TEX Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:28TEX Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:42TEX Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:31TEX Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:57WVU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.6%−0.6
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:03TEX Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:48WVU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 1:0818% → 19%
Q1 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
18.3%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Jovani Haskins for 5 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 5
OWN 29
0
18.4%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sam James for no gain to the WVirg 29Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+21
18.6%
Austin Kendall pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 6 yds to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
50
+6
18.9%
TEXAS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (6 Yards) to the Texas 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
19.3%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sam James for 44 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 2MISSED FG
18 plays · 51 yds · 6:4481% → 75%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
19.3%
Keaontay Ingram run for a loss of 6 yards to the Texas 19Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+3
19.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 3 yds to the Texas 22Similar
Q1 12:24
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+18
20.1%
Sam Ehlinger run for 18 yds to the Texas 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
20.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-5
20.2%
TEXAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Texas 35Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 15
OWN 35
+2
20.4%
Keaontay Ingram run for 2 yds to the Texas 37Similar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 13
OWN 37
+16
21.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 16 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
21.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:27
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+3
21.2%
Keaontay Ingram run for 3 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q1 9:49
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+10
21.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 10 yds to the WVirg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
22.0%
Roschon Johnson run for 1 yd to the WVirg 33Similar
Q1 8:28
2ND & 9
OPP 33
0
22.4%
Roschon Johnson run for no gain to the WVirg 33Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+10
23.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 10 yds to the WVirg 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
23.0%
Roschon Johnson run for 2 yds to the WVirg 21Similar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 8
OPP 21
0
23.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 8
OPP 21
-3
23.8%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Quondarius Qualls for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 24Similar
Q1 6:36
4TH & 11
OPP 24
+42
24.8%
Cameron Dicker 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
25.0%
Austin Kendall pass intercepted Ayodele Adeoye return for 13 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 4TD
2 plays · 27 yds · 0:2476% → 78%
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
23.9%
Keaontay Ingram run for 5 yds to the WVirg 22Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+22
21.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Malcolm Epps for 22 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3023% → 24%
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
23.2%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Alec Sinkfield for 2 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 8
OWN 40
-1
23.6%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 39Similar
Q1 4:46
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+5
23.3%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 5 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q1 4:07
4TH & 4
OWN 44
0
23.7%
Josh Growden punt for 55 yds, downed at the Texas 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 31 yds · 0:5476% → 75%
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+36
23.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 36 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
23.6%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by VanDarius Cowan for a loss of 5 yards to the Texas 32Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 15
OWN 32
0
24.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:06
3RD & 15
OWN 32
0
24.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:56
4TH & 15
OWN 32
+44
24.8%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 44 yds , Alec Sinkfield returns for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:0125% → 26%
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+18
24.5%
Kennedy McKoy run for 18 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-10
25.4%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the WVirg 31Similar
Q1 1:59
1ST & 20
OWN 31
+9
25.1%
Kennedy McKoy run for 9 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+4
25.7%
Kennedy McKoy run for 4 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q1 0:53
3RD & 7
OWN 44
0
26.2%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:48
4TH & 7
OWN 44
0
25.6%
Josh Growden punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Brandon Jones at the Texas 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:2875% → 73%
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-9
25.1%
TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-9 Yards) to the Texas 9Similar
Q1 0:15
1ST & 19
OWN 9
+3
25.6%
Sam Ehlinger run for 3 yds to the Texas 12Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 16
OWN 12
+5
25.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Malcolm Epps for 5 yds to the Texas 17Similar
Q2 14:22
3RD & 11
OWN 17
0
26.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:12
4TH & 11
OWN 17
0
26.9%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 43 yds, downed at the WVirg 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 1:0728% → 34%
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
27.7%
Leddie Brown run for 11 yds to the Texas 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+44
28.4%
Austin Kendall pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 44 yds to the Texas 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
29.0%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the Texas 3Similar
Q2 13:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
29.3%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the Texas 1Similar
Q2 12:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
33.7%
Austin Kendall run for 1 yd for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 10TD
12 plays · 69 yds · 4:4968% → 74%
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
32.2%
Roschon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Texas 35Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
32.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+10
33.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Roschon Johnson for 10 yds to the Texas 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
32.7%
Roschon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Texas 49Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+6
32.6%
Roschon Johnson run for 6 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
32.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+6
33.2%
Kirk Johnson run for 6 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q2 9:41
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+14
34.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Marcus Washington for 14 yds to the WVirg 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
33.4%
Kirk Johnson run for 6 yds to the WVirg 19Similar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+6
33.8%
Roschon Johnson run for 6 yds to the WVirg 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
25.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to John Burt for 13 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11MISSED FG
9 plays · 56 yds · 1:4231% → 33%
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+21
31.2%
Austin Kendall run for 6 yds to the WVirg 31 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
32.9%
Martell Pettaway run for 11 yds to the Texas 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+21
33.5%
Austin Kendall pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 21 yds to the Texas 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
34.2%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sean Ryan for 1 yd to the Texas 21Similar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 9
OPP 21
0
34.3%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 9
OPP 21
+2
33.3%
Martell Pettaway run for 2 yds to the Texas 19Similar
Q2 6:08
4TH & 7
OPP 19
+36
32.5%
Evan Staley 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 12TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:3071% → 80%
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
29.1%
Roschon Johnson run for 17 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
28.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 3 yds to the Texas 40Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+13
27.9%
Roschon Johnson run for 13 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+25
27.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Cade Brewer for 25 yds to the WVirg 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
26.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 9 yds to the WVirg 13Similar
Q2 3:28
2ND & 1
OPP 13
+13
19.8%
Sam Ehlinger run for 13 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13DOWNS
14 plays · 45 yds · 3:2322% → 27%
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
22.4%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 5 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
22.7%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the WVirg 31Similar
Q2 1:59
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
22.4%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Jovani Haskins for 6 yds to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
23.2%
Martell Pettaway run for 3 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+5
24.2%
TEXAS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the WVirg 45Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 2
OWN 45
0
24.7%
Martell Pettaway run for no gain to the WVirg 45Similar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+8
24.4%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sean Ryan for 8 yds to the Texas 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
25.5%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Alec Sinkfield for 3 yds to the Texas 44Similar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+14
23.9%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sam James for 14 yds to the Texas 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+47
26.5%
Evan Staley 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · -6 yds · 3:3378% → 76%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
22.2%
Keaontay Ingram run for 5 yds to the Texas 25Similar
Q3 14:13
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+1
21.6%
Keaontay Ingram run for 1 yd to the Texas 26Similar
Q3 13:38
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+7
22.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Malcolm Epps for 7 yds to the Texas 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
21.7%
Keaontay Ingram run for no gain to the Texas 33Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+3
22.1%
Sam Ehlinger run for 3 yds to the Texas 36Similar
Q3 12:06
3RD & 7
OWN 36
-12
22.0%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Darius Stills for a loss of 12 yards to the Texas 24Similar
Q3 11:25
4TH & 19
OWN 24
-10
24.3%
TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Texas 14Similar
Q3 11:12
4TH & 29
OWN 14
+34
24.5%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 34 yds , Alec Sinkfield returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
26.7%
Austin Kendall pass intercepted D'Shawn Jamison return for no gain to the Texas 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:4677% → 76%
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
22.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 5 yds to the Texas 25Similar
Q3 10:24
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+2
22.1%
Keaontay Ingram run for 2 yds to the Texas 27Similar
Q3 10:08
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
22.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:02
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
24.1%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Alec Sinkfield at the WVirg 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:5624% → 23%
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-6
24.4%
Kennedy McKoy run for a loss of 6 yards to the WVirg 22Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 16
OWN 22
-5
23.8%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 17Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 21
OWN 17
+4
23.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 4 yds to the WVirg 21Similar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 17
OWN 21
+7
23.0%
Austin Kendall pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 7 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q3 8:01
4TH & 10
OWN 28
0
22.7%
Josh Growden punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jake Smith at the Texas 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:3178% → 78%
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
22.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jake Smith for 9 yds to the Texas 35Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+2
21.4%
Roschon Johnson run for 2 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
21.4%
Keaontay Ingram run for 6 yds to the Texas 43Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+7
20.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jake Smith for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
50
0
20.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 10
50
+1
20.2%
Keaontay Ingram run for 1 yd to the WVirg 49Similar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
20.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:24
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
22.3%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Alec Sinkfield at the WVirg 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:5525% → 24%
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
24.6%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sean Ryan for 9 yds to the WVirg 19Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+3
24.8%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the WVirg 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
24.5%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sam James for 4 yds to the WVirg 26Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+3
24.9%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sam James for 3 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q3 3:32
3RD & 3
OWN 29
0
24.4%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:25
4TH & 3
OWN 29
0
23.5%
Josh Growden punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Brandon Jones at the Texas 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 20INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+20
21.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass intercepted Keith Washington Jr. return for 34 yds to the WESTVIR 43 TEXAS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-14 Yards) to the Texas 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0830% → 32%
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
30.4%
Austin Kendall run for 1 yd to the Texas 13Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 9
OPP 13
0
30.5%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:37
3RD & 9
OPP 13
+1
28.7%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sam James for 1 yd to the Texas 12Similar
Q3 1:59
4TH & 8
OPP 12
+29
32.0%
Evan Staley 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:0272% → 71%
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
27.7%
Roschon Johnson run for 8 yds to the Texas 33Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+13
26.3%
Roschon Johnson run for 13 yds to the Texas 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
25.5%
Roschon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Texas 49Similar
Q3 0:05
2ND & 7
OWN 49
-1
25.0%
Keaontay Ingram run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 48Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
25.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:45
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
28.6%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 44 yds, downed at the WVirg 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 23INT
3 plays · 9 yds · 1:0530% → 30%
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-3
30.4%
Leddie Brown run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 5Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 13
OWN 5
+12
30.4%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Leddie Brown for 12 yds to the WVirg 17Similar
Q4 13:32
3RD & 1
OWN 17
0
29.7%
Austin Kendall pass intercepted B.J. Foster return for no gain to the WVirg 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 24TD
3 plays · 18 yds · 0:4577% → 88%
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
23.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+5
23.8%
Roschon Johnson run for 5 yds to the WVirg 13Similar
Q4 12:42
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+13
12.1%
Devin Duvernay run for 13 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 25INT
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:1115% → 15%
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
14.6%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sean Ryan for 13 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
15.2%
Austin Kendall pass intercepted D'Shawn Jamison return for 12 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 26TD
4 plays · 33 yds · 1:3488% → 97%
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
12.3%
Roschon Johnson run for 10 yds to the WVirg 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
11.3%
Roschon Johnson run for 4 yds to the WVirg 19Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+7
10.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jake Smith for 7 yds to the WVirg 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
3.1%
Samuel Cosmi run for 12 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 1:104% → 4%
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
4.0%
Martell Pettaway run for 1 yd to the WVirg 26Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+25
4.0%
Austin Kendall pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 25 yds to the Texas 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
4.5%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+1
4.4%
Martell Pettaway run for 1 yd to the Texas 48Similar
Q4 9:21
3RD & 9
OPP 48
0
4.4%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:12
4TH & 9
OPP 48
0
4.1%
Josh Growden punt for 31 yds, downed at the Texas 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 28PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:3497% → 98%
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
3.1%
Roschon Johnson run for 6 yds to the Texas 23Similar
Q4 8:11
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+3
3.0%
Roschon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Texas 26Similar
Q4 7:45
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+5
3.1%
Sam Ehlinger run for 5 yds to the Texas 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
2.7%
Kirk Johnson run for 1 yd to the Texas 32Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+2
2.5%
Kirk Johnson run for 2 yds to the Texas 34Similar
Q4 5:33
3RD & 7
OWN 34
0
2.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:27
4TH & 7
OWN 34
0
2.2%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Alec Sinkfield at the WVirg 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 29TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 1:232% → 13%
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
2.3%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Leddie Brown for 1 yd to the WVirg 27Similar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+39
2.2%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sean Ryan for 39 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+13
2.7%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Leddie Brown for 13 yds to the Texas 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
2.8%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Jovani Haskins for 2 yds to the Texas 19Similar
Q4 3:57
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+19
13.4%
Austin Kendall pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 19 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 30TD
8 plays · 47 yds · 0:5493% → 99%
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
7.2%
TEXAS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Texas 48Similar
Q4 3:47
1ST & 15
OPP 45
+22
7.4%
Roschon Johnson run for 7 yds to the WESTVIR 45 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the WVirg 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
6.0%
Roschon Johnson run for 1 yd to the WVirg 29Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+6
5.6%
Roschon Johnson run for 6 yds to the WVirg 23Similar
Q4 3:03
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+23
1.3%
Sam Ehlinger run for 23 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 31TD
12 plays · 81 yds · 2:022% → 4%
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+13
1.7%
Austin Kendall pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 13 yds to the WVirg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
1.7%
Austin Kendall run for 11 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
1.7%
Leddie Brown run for 10 yds to the Texas 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
1.5%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
1.5%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:32
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+4
1.5%
Austin Kendall run for 4 yds to the Texas 43Similar
Q4 1:20
4TH & 6
OPP 43
+31
1.5%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Bryce Wheaton for 31 yds to the Texas 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
1.8%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
1.8%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:54
3RD & 10
OPP 12
0
1.7%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:48
4TH & 10
OPP 12
+12
3.9%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Bryce Wheaton for 12 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 32END OF GAME
3 plays · -8 yds · 0:2096% → 96%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-4
4.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Texas 11Similar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 14
OWN 11
-4
4.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Texas 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:42
Devin Duvernay run for 13 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)
-11.7
TD · Q4 3:57
Austin Kendall pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 19 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK)
+10.6
TD · Q2 7:56
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to John Burt for 13 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)
-7.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com