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TEX

Texas 48 at Rice 13

RICE
2019 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2019 · NRG Stadium
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Win probability · RICE
modelRICE aheadTEX aheadconfidence bandkey playRICE scoreTEX score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG+0.1RICE 2.1%Cameron Dicker 57 yd FG GOODAWAY 31 - HOME 0 · Q2 1:01
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:01 · Cameron Dicker 57 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 80Pregame prior−41.3Home team on offense−31.2Score differential−14.4Garbage-time factor−6.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:46: Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Roschon Johnson for 25 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK) — RICE win probability +0.7 pts (now 3%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:21: Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jake Smith for 53 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +0.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:11: Keaontay Ingram run for 26 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +0.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:33: Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jake Smith for 12 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK) — RICE win probability +0.2 pts (now 3%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:32: Keaontay Ingram run for 14 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RICE made the numbers' call on 5 of 8TEX made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 8:46RICE 4th & 6 at RICE 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:21RICE 4th & 3 at RICE 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:11TEX 4th & 3 at RICE 26, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    94.7%−0.2
    64% to make
    Punt
    93.7%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:11RICE 4th & 2 at RICE 33, down 21
    Close callPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:33RICE 4th & 4 at RICE 31, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:27TEX 4th & 12 at TEX 46, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%−<0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:00RICE 4th & 4 at RICE 17, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:01TEX 4th & 8 at RICE 39, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.0%
    36% to make
    Punt
    97.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:01RICE 4th & 6 at RICE 45, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00RICE 4th & 4 at RICE 49, down 31
    Close callPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:32RICE 4th & 19 at TEX 38, down 38
    Close callPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00TEX 4th & 15 at TEX 27, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:29TEX 4th & 17 at RICE 28, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    60% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RICE made the numbers' call on 2 of 2TEX made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 8:46TEX Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:21TEX Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:11TEX Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:33TEX Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:32TEX Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:50RICE Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:07RICE Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:53TEX Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEXDrive 1TD
14 plays · 82 yds · 6:1498% → 97%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+10
2.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 10 yds to the Texas 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
2.0%
Keaontay Ingram run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+9
2.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 9 yds to the Texas 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+3
2.0%
Keaontay Ingram run for 3 yds to the Texas 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
2.0%
Keaontay Ingram run for 1 yd to the Texas 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 40
-5
2.0%
TEXAS Penalty, false start (Derek Kerstetter) to the Texas 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 35
+6
2.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 6 yds to the Texas 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+9
2.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+11
2.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Malcolm Epps for 11 yds to the Rice 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
2.0%
Sam Ehlinger run for no gain to the Rice 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-2
2.0%
Keaontay Ingram run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 41
+16
2.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Malcolm Epps for 16 yds to the Rice 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
2.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Roschon Johnson for 25 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
2.8%
Aston Walter run for 15 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
2.8%
Aston Walter run for no gain to the Rice 40Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
2.8%
Tom Stewart run for 4 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q1 8:46
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
2.8%
Tom Stewart pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q1 8:46
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
2.8%
Adam Nunez punt for 46 yds , Jake Smith returns for no gain to the Texas 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 3TD
8 plays · 90 yds · 3:1397% → 97%
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
3.1%
Keaontay Ingram run for 3 yds to the Texas 13Similar
Q1 6:34
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+10
3.1%
Sam Ehlinger run for 10 yds to the Texas 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
3.1%
TEXAS Penalty, personal foul (Samuel Cosmi) to the Texas 18Similar
Q1 6:34
1ST & 15
OWN 18
0
3.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Malcolm Epps, broken up by Tyrae ThorntonSimilar
Q1 6:34
2ND & 15
OWN 18
+18
3.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Malcolm Epps for 18 yds to the Texas 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
3.1%
Roschon Johnson run for 7 yds to the Texas 43Similar
Q1 6:34
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+4
3.1%
Roschon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Texas 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
3.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jake Smith for 53 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
3.1%
Aston Walter run for 3 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
3.1%
Aston Walter run for 4 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q1 3:21
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
3.1%
Tom Stewart pass incomplete to Austin Trammell, broken up by Kobe BoyceSimilar
Q1 3:21
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+1
3.1%
Adam Nunez punt for 42 yds , Jake Smith returns for 1 yd to the Texas 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 5TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 4:2997% → 98%
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
3.2%
Roschon Johnson run for 13 yds to the Texas 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-4
3.1%
Roschon Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Texas 36Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 14
OWN 36
+9
3.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 9 yds to the Texas 45Similar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+9
3.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 9 yds to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
3.3%
Sam Ehlinger run for 3 yds to the Rice 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+10
3.3%
Roschon Johnson run for 10 yds to the Rice 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
3.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Roschon Johnson for 4 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+3
3.3%
Keaontay Ingram run for 3 yds to the Rice 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 26
0
3.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Devin Duvernay, broken up by Naeem SmithSimilar
Q2 12:11
4TH & 3
OPP 26
+26
2.4%
Keaontay Ingram run for 26 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
2.6%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for 1 yd to the Rice 26Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
2.6%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 25Similar
Q2 12:11
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+8
2.6%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Cameron Montgomery for 8 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q2 12:11
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
2.6%
Chris Barnes punt for 46 yds , Jake Smith returns for no gain to the Texas 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 7TD
8 plays · 79 yds · 3:3098% → 98%
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
2.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jake Smith for 1 yd to the Texas 22Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+1
2.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jake Smith for 1 yd to the Texas 23Similar
Q2 10:03
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+14
2.4%
Sam Ehlinger run for 14 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
2.3%
Keaontay Ingram run for 3 yds to the Texas 40Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+5
2.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jake Smith for 5 yds to the Texas 45Similar
Q2 10:03
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+15
2.4%
Keaontay Ingram run for 15 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+28
2.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 28 yds to the Rice 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
2.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jake Smith for 12 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
2.4%
Tom Stewart sacked by Keondre Coburn for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 23Similar
Q2 6:33
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+7
2.3%
Aston Walter run for 7 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q2 6:33
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+1
2.3%
Tom Stewart run for 1 yd to the Rice 31Similar
Q2 6:33
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
2.3%
Chris Barnes punt for 34 yds, downed at the Texas 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:0297% → 97%
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
2.8%
Daniel Young run for 13 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
2.7%
Daniel Young run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 46Similar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 12
OWN 46
+1
2.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Roschon Johnson for 1 yd to the Texas 47Similar
Q2 4:29
3RD & 11
OWN 47
-1
2.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Daniel Young for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 46Similar
Q2 2:27
4TH & 12
OWN 46
0
3.0%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 6 yds · 0:191% → 3%
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
1.4%
Aston Walter run for 2 yds to the Rice 13Similar
Q2 2:12
2ND & 8
OWN 13
-5
1.6%
RICE Penalty, false start (Justin Gooseberry) to the Rice 8Similar
Q2 2:12
2ND & 13
OWN 8
0
1.6%
Aston Walter run for no gain to the Rice 8Similar
Q2 2:03
3RD & 13
OWN 8
+9
1.8%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Austin Trammell for 9 yds to the Rice 17Similar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 4
OWN 17
0
2.6%
Adam Nunez punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rice 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 11FG
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5498% → 98%
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
2.1%
Sam Ehlinger run for no gain to the Rice 41Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
2.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Roschon JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+2
2.1%
Keaontay Ingram run for 2 yds to the Rice 39Similar
Q2 1:01
4TH & 8
OPP 39
+57
2.1%
Cameron Dicker 57 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
0.9%
Tom Stewart run for 1 yd to the Rice 26 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, personal foul (Malcolm Roach) to the Rice 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
0.9%
Tom Stewart pass complete to August Pitre III for 4 yds to the Rice 45Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
0.8%
Tom Stewart pass incomplete to Brad RoznerSimilar
Q2 1:01
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
0.8%
Tom Stewart pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:01
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
0.8%
Chris Barnes punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Brandon Jones at the Texas 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
2.0%
Daniel Young run for 3 yds to the Texas 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
1.7%
Tom Stewart run for 5 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
1.6%
Aston Walter run for 3 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+10
1.7%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Austin Trammell for 10 yds to the Rice 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
1.7%
Aston Walter run for 3 yds to the Rice 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+3
1.7%
Aston Walter run for 3 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 49
0
1.8%
Tom Stewart pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 49
-2
1.7%
Adam Nunez punt for 40 yds , Brandon Jones returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 15TD
12 plays · 91 yds · 4:4899% → 100%
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+10
1.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 10 yds to the Texas 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
1.1%
Keaontay Ingram run for 4 yds to the Texas 23Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+17
1.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 17 yds to the Texas 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
1.1%
Keaontay Ingram run for 3 yds to the Texas 43Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+18
1.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to John Burt for 18 yds to the Rice 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
0.9%
Roschon Johnson run for 7 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 3
OPP 32
-1
0.8%
Roschon Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 33Similar
Q3 8:43
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+11
0.9%
Roschon Johnson run for 11 yds to the Rice 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
0.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to John BurtSimilar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+8
0.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Malcolm Epps for 8 yds to the Rice 14Similar
Q3 6:32
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+14
0.4%
Keaontay Ingram run for 14 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 37 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
0.3%
Charlie Booker run for 2 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
0.3%
Charlie Booker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 26Similar
Q3 6:32
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+45
0.3%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Austin Trammell for 45 yds to the Texas 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
0.4%
Tom Stewart pass incomplete to August Pitre III, broken up by Anthony CookSimilar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
0.3%
Charlie Booker run for no gain to the Texas 29Similar
Q3 6:32
3RD & 10
OPP 29
-9
0.3%
Tom Stewart sacked by Ayodele Adeoye and Jeffrey McCulloch for a loss of 9 yards to the Texas 38Similar
Q3 6:32
4TH & 19
OPP 38
0
0.3%
Adam Nunez punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Brandon Jones at the Texas 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 2:53100% → 100%
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-1
0.4%
Roschon Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 8Similar
Q3 2:53
2ND & 11
OWN 8
+8
0.4%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Jordan Pouncey for 8 yds to the Texas 16Similar
Q3 2:53
3RD & 3
OWN 16
+3
0.4%
Casey Thompson run for 3 yds to the Texas 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
0.3%
Roschon Johnson run for 7 yds to the Texas 26Similar
Q3 2:53
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+6
0.3%
Roschon Johnson run for 6 yds to the Texas 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
0.3%
Casey Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:53
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+3
0.3%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 3 yds to the Texas 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 35
-8
0.3%
Casey Thompson sacked by Blaze Alldredge for a loss of 8 yards to the Texas 27Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 27
0
0.3%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 18TD
12 plays · 73 yds · 6:260% → 0%
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
0.1%
Tom Stewart pass incomplete to Charlie BookerSimilar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+9
0.1%
Charlie Booker run for 9 yds to the Rice 36Similar
Q4 14:16
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+2
0.1%
Aston Walter run for 2 yds to the Rice 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
0.1%
Tom Stewart pass incomplete to August Pitre IIISimilar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-8
0.1%
Tom Stewart sacked by Juwan Mitchell for a loss of 8 yards to the Rice 30Similar
Q4 14:16
3RD & 18
OWN 30
+25
0.1%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Austin Trammell for 10 yds to the Texas 40 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, personal foul (Josh Thompson) to the Texas 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
0.2%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Austin Trammell for 10 yds to the Texas 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+22
0.2%
Tom Stewart pass complete to August Pitre III for 22 yds to the Texas 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
0.2%
Aston Walter run for 1 yd to the Texas 12Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+6
0.2%
Aston Walter run for 6 yds to the Texas 6Similar
Q4 14:16
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+3
0.2%
Aston Walter run for 3 yds to the Texas 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
0.1%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Aston Walter for 3 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 19FG
10 plays · 40 yds · 4:21100% → 100%
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
0.1%
Daniel Young run for 2 yds to the Texas 34Similar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+8
0.2%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Daniel Young for 8 yds to the Texas 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+37
0.1%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Kennedy Lewis for 37 yds to the Rice 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
0.1%
TEXAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 26Similar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 15
OPP 26
+3
0.1%
Casey Thompson pass complete to Jake Smith for 3 yds to the Rice 23Similar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 12
OPP 23
0
0.1%
Casey Thompson run for no gain to the Rice 23Similar
Q4 7:50
3RD & 12
OPP 23
-5
0.1%
TEXAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 28Similar
Q4 7:50
3RD & 17
OPP 28
0
0.1%
Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Marcus Washington, broken up by Tre'Shon DevonesSimilar
Q4 3:29
4TH & 17
OPP 28
+46
0.1%
Cameron Dicker 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 20TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:220% → 0%
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.1%
Tom Stewart pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
0.1%
Aston Walter run for 9 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q4 3:29
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+8
0.1%
Aston Walter run for 8 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
0.1%
Tom Stewart pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+13
0.1%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Austin Trammell for 13 yds to the Texas 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+41
0.1%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Brad Rozner for 41 yds to the Texas 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
0.1%
Tom Stewart pass incomplete to Brad Rozner, broken up by Donovan DuvernaySimilar
Q4 1:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
0.1%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Aston Walter for 4 yds for a TD, (Antonio Montero KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 22END OF GAME
3 plays · 16 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
0.1%
Charlie Booker run for 2 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+14
0.1%
Charlie Booker run for 14 yds to the Rice 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:11
Keaontay Ingram run for 26 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)
-0.9
TD · Q1 8:46
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Roschon Johnson for 25 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)
+0.7
TD · Q3 6:32
Keaontay Ingram run for 14 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)
-0.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com