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WVU

West Virginia 20 at TCU 17

TCU
2019 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2019 · Amon G. Carter Stadium
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Win probability · TCU
modelTCU aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playTCU scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:04 · Max Duggan pass incomplete to Al'Dontre Davis
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 159Pregame prior+0.7Home team on offense−11.9Garbage-time factor−10.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.5Score differential−1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 5:18: Evan Staley 40 yd FG GOOD — WVU win probability +2.9 pts (now 26%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 1:25: Evan Staley 24 yd FG GOOD — WVU win probability +5.2 pts (now 28%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 2:10: Jarret Doege pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 35 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK) — WVU win probability +55.6 pts (now 83%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:57: Max Duggan pass incomplete to Jalen Reagor — TCU win probability +12.8 pts (now 34%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:59: Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the TCU 29 — WVU win probability +16.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TCU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9WVU made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 9:01TCU 4th & 13 at TCU 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.4%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:28WVU 4th & 2 at WVU 31, up 7
    Close callPunted · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:08TCU 4th & 6 at TCU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:13WVU 4th & 15 at WVU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:49TCU 4th & 13 at WVU 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.7%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.4%
    85% to make
    Punt
    72.6%−2.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:18WVU 4th & 7 at TCU 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.1%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.3%
    70% to make
    Punt
    20.1%−4.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:13TCU 4th & 4 at TCU 30, tied
    Close callPunted · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.5%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:12TCU 4th & 10 at WVU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.0%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    69.2%−1.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    70.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:32WVU 4th & 6 at WVU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%−1.0
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:19WVU 4th & 4 at WVU 46, down 7
    Close callPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.5%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:25WVU 4th & 6 at TCU 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    9.3%−10.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:51TCU 4th & 9 at TCU 30, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%−2.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:52WVU 4th & 6 at TCU 47, down 4
    Close callPunted · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.5%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:47TCU 4th & 9 at TCU 25, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.8%−4.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:04TCU 4th & 10 at TCU 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.3%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.6%−3.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:46WVU 4th & 8 at TCU 31, up 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.7 ptsWent for it · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.4%−2.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    86.1%
    54% to make
    Punt
    77.7%−8.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:20TCU 4th & 15 at TCU 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.2%
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.7%−1.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TCU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1WVU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:40WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:16TCU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 2:10WVU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.7%−1.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TCUDrive 1INT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:5485% → 84%
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
85.1%
Darius Anderson run for 2 yds to the TCU 27Similar
Q1 14:13
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
84.9%
Max Duggan pass complete to Pro Wells for 7 yds to the TCU 34Similar
Q1 13:33
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
84.7%
Sewo Olonilua run for 3 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
84.7%
Darius Anderson run for 2 yds to the TCU 39Similar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+4
84.5%
Max Duggan run for 4 yds to the TCU 43Similar
Q1 11:49
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+39
84.3%
Max Duggan pass intercepted Tykee Smith return for 39 yds to the TCU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 2TD
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:5916% → 17%
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+10
83.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 10 yds to the TCU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
83.8%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sam JamesSimilar
Q1 11:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
83.6%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the TCU 3Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
82.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for 3 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 1:2783% → 82%
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
82.9%
Darius Anderson run for 10 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
82.9%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 7 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 3
OPP 48
-10
82.8%
Anderson, Darius rush for 2 yards to the WESTVIR46, PENALTY TCU holding 10 yards to the TCU42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 13
OWN 42
0
82.3%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to John Stephens Jr.Similar
Q1 9:09
3RD & 13
OWN 42
0
82.1%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Taye BarberSimilar
Q1 9:01
4TH & 13
OWN 42
0
81.9%
Jordy Sandy punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Alec Sinkfield at the WVirg 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2618% → 19%
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
81.9%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to George CampbellSimilar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+8
81.6%
Leddie Brown run for 8 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 2
OWN 31
0
81.3%
Leddie Brown run for no gain to the WVirg 31Similar
Q1 7:28
4TH & 2
OWN 31
0
81.0%
Josh Growden punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 5TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:4481% → 83%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+64
80.8%
Taye Barber run for 64 yds to the WVirg 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
81.4%
Max Duggan run for 7 yds to the WVirg 4Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 3
OPP 4
+2
81.0%
Sewo Olonilua run for 2 yds to the WVirg 2Similar
Q1 5:16
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+2
82.6%
Sewo Olonilua run for 2 yds for a TD (Jonathan Song KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 6INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:2918% → 19%
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
81.8%
Kennedy McKoy run for 3 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
81.3%
Jarret Doege pass intercepted Julius Lewis return for no gain to the TCU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:1682% → 81%
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
81.8%
Darius Anderson run for 10 yds to the TCU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
81.7%
Darius Anderson run for no gain to the TCU 32Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-5
81.6%
TCU Penalty, False Start (David Bolisomi) to the TCU 27Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 15
OWN 27
+2
81.3%
Darius Anderson run for 2 yds to the TCU 29Similar
Q1 2:15
3RD & 13
OWN 29
+7
80.7%
Max Duggan pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 7 yds to the TCU 36Similar
Q1 2:08
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
80.7%
Jordy Sandy punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:4420% → 20%
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
80.5%
Kennedy McKoy run for 4 yds to the WVirg 23Similar
Q1 1:33
2ND & 6
OWN 23
-5
80.3%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Kelby Wickline) to the WVirg 18Similar
Q1 0:46
2ND & 11
OWN 18
-4
80.1%
Jarret Doege sacked by Parker Workman for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 14Similar
Q1 0:27
3RD & 15
OWN 14
0
80.3%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sam JamesSimilar
Q1 0:13
4TH & 15
OWN 14
+3
80.5%
Josh Growden punt for 56 yds , Jalen Reagor returns for 3 yds to the TCU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 9FG
14 plays · 54 yds · 5:2481% → 79%
Q1 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
80.6%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the TCU 38Similar
Q2 14:42
1ST & 5
OWN 38
+2
81.1%
Sewo Olonilua run for 2 yds to the TCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
80.7%
Max Duggan run for 2 yds to the TCU 42Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+3
80.6%
Sewo Olonilua run for 3 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
80.5%
Max Duggan run for no gain to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
80.6%
Max Duggan pass complete to Jalen Reagor for no gain to the WVirg 35 lat. to Derius Davis for 5 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 5
OPP 35
-10
80.9%
Olonilua, Sewo rush for 7 yards to the WESTVIR28, PENALTY TCU holding 10 yards to the WESTVIR45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 15
OPP 45
+25
79.9%
Max Duggan pass complete to Artayvious Lynn for 25 yds to the WVirg 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+13
80.7%
Max Duggan pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 13 yds to the WVirg 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
80.5%
Sewo Olonilua run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 8Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
80.3%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Artayvious LynnSimilar
Q2 9:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
79.9%
TCU Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 13Similar
Q2 9:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
0
79.5%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Taye BarberSimilar
Q2 9:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+30
79.1%
Jonathan Song 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 10FG
11 plays · 52 yds · 4:2621% → 26%
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.5%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to George CampbellSimilar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
79.5%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for 16 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+21
78.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for 21 yds to the TCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
77.4%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+3
77.6%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the TCU 35Similar
Q2 7:38
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+9
77.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 9 yds to the TCU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
76.4%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the TCU 23Similar
Q2 6:33
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+1
76.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 1 yd to the TCU 22Similar
Q2 5:35
3RD & 6
OPP 22
-1
76.5%
Leddie Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 23Similar
Q2 5:18
4TH & 7
OPP 23
+40
73.6%
Evan Staley 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:5777% → 75%
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
76.6%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
Q2 4:47
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+6
76.3%
Darius Anderson run for 6 yds to the TCU 30Similar
Q2 4:20
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
75.8%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Sewo OloniluaSimilar
Q2 4:13
4TH & 4
OWN 30
0
75.1%
Jordy Sandy punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Alec Sinkfield at the WVirg 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 12INT
8 plays · 28 yds · 3:1427% → 32%
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
73.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 28Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 11
OWN 28
+10
73.3%
Leddie Brown run for 10 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q2 2:37
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+2
71.1%
Kennedy McKoy run for 2 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
71.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 6 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 4
OWN 46
-3
69.8%
Kennedy McKoy run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 43Similar
Q2 1:22
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+9
70.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 9 yds to the TCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
68.7%
Kennedy McKoy run for 5 yds to the TCU 43Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 5
OPP 43
0
68.0%
Jarret Doege pass intercepted Ar'Darius Washington return for no gain to the TCU 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
73.8%
Sewo Olonilua run for 4 yds to the TCU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 14INT
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:4629% → 31%
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
71.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 9 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+14
69.3%
Leddie Brown run for 14 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-3
68.3%
Jarret Doege sacked by Vernon Scott for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 45 Jarret Doege fumbled, forced by Vernon Scott, recovered by WVirg Colton McKivitz , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 13
OWN 45
+22
69.3%
Jarret Doege pass intercepted Ar'Darius Washington return for 22 yds to the TCU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:2675% → 72%
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
75.2%
Max Duggan pass complete to Darius Anderson for 10 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
75.7%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Darius AndersonSimilar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
75.5%
Max Duggan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:21
3RD & 10
OPP 43
0
74.3%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Taye BarberSimilar
Q3 12:12
4TH & 10
OPP 43
0
72.2%
Jordy Sandy punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16PUNT RETURN TD
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1030% → 17%
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
69.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 19Similar
Q3 11:14
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+5
69.9%
Leddie Brown run for 5 yds to the WVirg 24Similar
Q3 11:14
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
70.4%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Ali JenningsSimilar
Q3 10:32
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+70
82.8%
Josh Growden punt for 46 yds , Jalen Reagor returns for 70 yds for a TD (Jonathan Song KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:0819% → 19%
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
81.4%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to T.J. SimmonsSimilar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
81.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 15 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
80.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 4 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+2
79.3%
Kennedy McKoy run for 2 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q3 8:29
3RD & 4
OWN 46
0
79.4%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sam JamesSimilar
Q3 8:19
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
81.1%
Josh Growden punt for 37 yds, downed at the TCU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 19INT
9 plays · 24 yds · 4:1084% → 84%
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
84.1%
Taye Barber run for 5 yds to the TCU 22Similar
Q3 7:27
2ND & 5
OWN 22
-1
84.1%
Sewo Olonilua run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 21Similar
Q3 6:43
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+6
83.2%
Max Duggan pass complete to Sewo Olonilua for 6 yds to the TCU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
84.2%
Max Duggan pass complete to Sewo Olonilua for no gain to the TCU 27Similar
Q3 5:52
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+9
83.9%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 9 yds to the TCU 36Similar
Q3 5:07
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+2
84.6%
Sewo Olonilua run for 2 yds to the TCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
85.0%
Darius Anderson run for 3 yds to the TCU 41Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
85.3%
Max Duggan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:59
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+3
84.1%
Max Duggan pass intercepted Sean Mahone return for 3 yds to the TCU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 20FG
5 plays · 40 yds · 2:0822% → 28%
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+36
78.1%
Kennedy McKoy run for 36 yds to the TCU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
76.1%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the TCU 10Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+1
76.0%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the TCU 9Similar
Q3 1:49
3RD & 8
OPP 9
+2
77.5%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for 2 yds to the TCU 7Similar
Q3 1:25
4TH & 6
OPP 7
+24
72.3%
Evan Staley 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 11 yds · 3:2777% → 74%
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
77.1%
TCU Penalty, False Start (Jalen Reagor) to the TCU 14Similar
Q3 0:52
1ST & 15
OWN 14
+14
76.8%
Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 14 yds to the TCU 28Similar
Q3 0:20
2ND & 1
OWN 28
-1
78.2%
Darius Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 27Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+2
76.1%
Sewo Olonilua run for 2 yds to the TCU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-10
76.9%
Max Duggan sacked by Reuben Jones for a loss of 10 yards to the TCU 19Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 20
OWN 19
+11
76.1%
Max Duggan run for 11 yds to the TCU 30Similar
Q4 12:59
3RD & 9
OWN 30
0
74.9%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to John Stephens Jr.Similar
Q4 12:51
4TH & 9
OWN 30
0
74.0%
Jordy Sandy punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Alec Sinkfield at the WVirg 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 2:4028% → 25%
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
72.0%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+9
71.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 9 yds to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
69.0%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sam JamesSimilar
Q4 11:24
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-2
70.2%
Leddie Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 47Similar
Q4 10:55
3RD & 12
OWN 47
+5
72.8%
TCU Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the TCU 48Similar
Q4 10:34
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+6
69.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Ali Jennings for 6 yds to the TCU 42Similar
Q4 10:00
4TH & 1
OPP 42
-5
73.9%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Michael Brown) to the TCU 47Similar
Q4 9:52
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
75.0%
Josh Growden punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 23PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 4:5477% → 84%
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-1
76.7%
Sewo Olonilua run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 1Similar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 11
OWN 1
+11
76.3%
Max Duggan pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 11 yds to the TCU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+7
77.5%
Sewo Olonilua run for 7 yds to the TCU 19Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 3
OWN 19
-3
80.0%
Darius Anderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 16Similar
Q4 7:18
3RD & 6
OWN 16
+8
80.3%
Max Duggan pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 8 yds to the TCU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
81.7%
Sewo Olonilua run for 1 yd to the TCU 25Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 9
OWN 25
-4
81.7%
Max Duggan sacked by Shea Campbell for a loss of 4 yards to the TCU 21Similar
Q4 5:12
3RD & 13
OWN 21
+4
83.7%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 4 yds to the TCU 25Similar
Q4 4:47
4TH & 9
OWN 25
+1
84.0%
Jordy Sandy punt for 37 yds , Devan Wade returns for 1 yd to the WVirg 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 24TD
9 plays · 61 yds · 2:3025% → 83%
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
74.6%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+4
76.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 4 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q4 3:37
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+3
75.5%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for 3 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q4 3:37
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+4
76.7%
Doege, Jarret pass incomplete to James, Sam, PENALTY TCU pass interference 4 yards to the TCU48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR.Similar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
73.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 12
50
0
76.1%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Isaiah EsdaleSimilar
Q4 2:23
3RD & 12
50
+15
79.1%
Doege, Jarret pass incomplete to Esdale, Isaiah, PENALTY TCU roughing passer (Blacklock, Ross) 15 yards to the TCU35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR.Similar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
72.7%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sean RyanSimilar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+35
17.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 35 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 25DOWNS
9 plays · 13 yds · 0:5334% → 26%
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
34.4%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-5
33.8%
TCU Penalty, False Start (David Bolisomi) to the TCU 15Similar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+13
31.8%
Max Duggan run for 13 yds to the TCU 28Similar
Q4 1:27
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+5
30.5%
Sewo Olonilua run for 5 yds to the TCU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
31.5%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
30.3%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to John Stephens Jr.Similar
Q4 1:11
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
27.1%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
Q4 1:04
4TH & 10
OWN 33
0
25.7%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Al'Dontre DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 26DOWNS
8 plays · 2 yds · 0:1391% → 93%
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
8.8%
Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the TCU 29Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+2
7.6%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the TCU 27Similar
Q4 0:51
3RD & 4
OPP 27
-4
7.6%
Leddie Brown run for a loss of 4 yards to the TCU 31Similar
Q4 0:46
4TH & 8
OPP 31
0
7.1%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sam JamesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 27DOWNS
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:1620% → 15%
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+18
19.9%
Max Duggan pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 18 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
22.9%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:31
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
22.1%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Taye BarberSimilar
Q4 0:27
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
19.1%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Al'Dontre DavisSimilar
Q4 0:27
4TH & 10
OWN 49
-5
17.6%
TCU Penalty, False Start (Anthony McKinney) to the TCU 44Similar
Q4 0:20
4TH & 15
OWN 44
0
14.9%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Pro WellsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 28END OF 4TH QUARTER
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
4.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the TCU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:10
Jarret Doege pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 35 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK)
-55.6
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:59
Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the TCU 29
-16.9
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:57
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Jalen Reagor
+12.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com