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TCU

TCU 33 at Texas Tech 31

TTU
2019 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2019 · Jones AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TTU
modelTTU aheadTCU aheadconfidence bandkey playTTU scoreTCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:13 · Austin McNamara punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jalen Reagor at the TEXASTECH 40 TEXAS TECH Penalty, kick catching interference (KeSean Carter) to the TexTc 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+21.5+10.80−10.8−21.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 81Pregame prior−7.7Home team on offense−9.4Score differential−5.7Garbage-time factor−3.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 13:19: Jett Duffey pass complete to R.J. Turner for 32 yds for a TD TCU Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined — TTU win probability +11.7 pts (now 41%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  2. TD · Q3 5:05: Jett Duffey pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 33 yds for a TD TCU Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — TTU win probability +22.0 pts (now 61%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 14:56: Jonathan Song 25 yd FG GOOD — TCU win probability +11.6 pts (now 61%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 12:21: Trey Wolff 24 yd FG GOOD — TTU win probability +10.3 pts (now 61%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 5:38: Jonathan Song 20 yd FG GOOD — TCU win probability +17.2 pts (now 65%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TTU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6TCU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 7:12TCU 4th & 10 at TTU 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.7%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.0%
    77% to make
    Punt
    57.3%−1.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:12TTU 4th & 15 at TTU 36, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:55TTU 4th & 8 at TCU 18, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.6%
    79% to make
    Punt
    27.3%−4.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:15TCU 4th & 12 at TCU 43, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−1.9
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:13TTU 4th & 3 at TTU 17, down 14
    Close callPunted · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.7%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:57TCU 4th & 19 at TCU 46, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.0%−2.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:19TCU 4th & 3 at TCU 32, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.4%−0.7
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:24TTU 4th & 4 at TTU 36, down 5
    Close callPunted · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:12TCU 4th & 14 at TCU 37, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%−3.5
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.9%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:56TCU 4th & 2 at TTU 7, down 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 44.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.4%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.7%−2.8
    91% to make
    Punt
    25.9%−18.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:21TTU 4th & 3 at TCU 6, down 2
    Close callKicked a field goal · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.5%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.2%−0.3
    91% to make
    Punt
    29.7%−18.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:38TCU 4th & 3 at TTU 3, down 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.6%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.4%−1.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    28.6%−21.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:38TTU 4th & 10 at TTU 25, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−2.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:36TCU 4th & 10 at TTU 39, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.6 ptsPunted · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    69.0%−0.8
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    67.2%−2.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TTU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3TCU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:46TCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:59TCU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:42TCU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:15TTU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:55TTU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    33.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:05TTU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    59.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    59.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TCUDrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:1463% → 63%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
37.1%
Darius Anderson run for 11 yds to the TCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
37.1%
TCU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TCU 31Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 31
0
37.1%
Max Duggan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+11
37.1%
Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 11 yds to the TCU 42Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+7
37.1%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 7 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
37.1%
Max Duggan pass complete to Sewo Olonilua for 4 yds to the TexTc 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 47
-3
37.1%
Max Duggan run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line Max Duggan fumbled, , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:50
3RD & 9
50
+26
38.2%
Max Duggan run for 26 yds to the TexTc 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
38.0%
Darius Anderson run for 1 yd to the TexTc 23Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+3
38.0%
Darius Anderson run for 3 yds to the TexTc 20Similar
Q1 9:46
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+20
36.9%
Max Duggan run for 20 yds for a TD (Jonathan Song KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 2INT
4 plays · 17 yds · 0:0037% → 38%
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
37.4%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Dalton Rigdon for 17 yds to the TexTc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
37.8%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Dalton RigdonSimilar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+14
37.6%
Jett Duffey pass intercepted Wyatt Harris return for 14 yds to the TexTc 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 3FG
6 plays · 27 yds · 2:0563% → 63%
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
36.8%
Max Duggan run for 1 yd to the TexTc 45Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+26
36.8%
Sewo Olonilua run for 26 yds to the TexTc 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
36.8%
Sewo Olonilua run for no gain to the TexTc 19Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
36.8%
Max Duggan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:17
3RD & 10
OPP 19
0
36.9%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Taye Barber, broken up by Adrian FryeSimilar
Q1 7:12
4TH & 10
OPP 19
+36
36.7%
Jonathan Song 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
36.9%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 5 yds to the TexTc 12Similar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 5
OWN 12
+29
37.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Dalton Rigdon for 29 yds to the TexTc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
37.4%
Jett Duffey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-5
37.3%
Jett Duffey sacked by Terrell Cooper for a loss of 5 yards to the TexTc 36Similar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 15
OWN 36
0
36.8%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Dalton RigdonSimilar
Q1 7:12
4TH & 15
OWN 36
0
36.7%
Austin McNamara punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 5TD
9 plays · 83 yds · 4:2863% → 72%
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
36.9%
Darius Anderson run for 7 yds to the TCU 24Similar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+2
36.7%
Darius Anderson run for 2 yds to the TCU 26Similar
Q1 5:27
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+2
36.8%
Sewo Olonilua run for 2 yds to the TCU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+17
36.8%
Max Duggan pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 17 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
36.3%
Max Duggan run for 2 yds to the TCU 47Similar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+3
36.3%
Max Duggan pass complete to Darius Anderson for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:27
3RD & 5
50
+43
36.3%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 43 yds to the TexTc 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
36.1%
Sewo Olonilua run for 3 yds to the TexTc 4Similar
Q1 0:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
28.2%
Max Duggan pass complete to Artayvious Lynn for 4 yds for a TD (Jonathan Song KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 6FG
14 plays · 57 yds · 3:0429% → 32%
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
29.3%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Donta Thompson for 17 yds to the TexTc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
30.1%
Jett Duffey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:59
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-5
30.0%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 37Similar
Q1 0:59
2ND & 15
OWN 37
+14
29.4%
Jett Duffey pass complete to R.J. Turner for 14 yds to the TCU 49Similar
Q1 0:59
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+5
30.3%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 5 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+13
29.8%
Jett Duffey run for 13 yds to the TCU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
30.2%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 9 yds to the TCU 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 22
0
30.2%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Erik EzukanmaSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+2
29.9%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the TCU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
30.2%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd to the TCU 19Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
30.2%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Ta'Zhawn HenrySimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+1
29.7%
Jett Duffey run for 1 yd to the TCU 18Similar
Q2 12:55
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+36
31.9%
Trey Wolff 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 7TD
4 plays · 69 yds · 1:1370% → 78%
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
29.7%
Taye Barber run for 8 yds to the TCU 39Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+6
29.2%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 6 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
21.9%
Max Duggan pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 55 yds for a TD (Jonathan Song KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 8TD
6 plays · 37 yds · 1:2723% → 32%
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
23.4%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the TCU 35Similar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+1
23.6%
Jett Duffey run for 1 yd to the TCU 34Similar
Q2 11:42
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+8
23.2%
Jett Duffey pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 8 yds to the TCU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
32.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Dalton Rigdon for 26 yds for a TD (Trey Wolff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 9PUNT
13 plays · 19 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
29.7%
Max Duggan run for 3 yds to the TCU 27Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+2
29.6%
Max Duggan pass complete to Darius Anderson for 2 yds to the TCU 29Similar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+5
29.8%
Max Duggan pass complete to Sewo Olonilua for 5 yds to the TCU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
29.5%
Sewo Olonilua run for 4 yds to the TCU 38Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 6
OWN 38
0
29.0%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Taye BarberSimilar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 6
OWN 38
-5
29.1%
TCU Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the TCU 33Similar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 11
OWN 33
+12
29.9%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 12 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
29.0%
Max Duggan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-7
29.0%
Max Duggan sacked by Thomas Leggett for a loss of 7 yards to the TCU 38Similar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 17
OWN 38
+5
29.5%
Duggan, Max sacked for loss of 4 yards to the TCU34 (Beck, Adam), PENALTY TTU offside (Beck, Adam) 5 yards to the TCU43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 12
OWN 43
0
29.4%
Max Duggan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:15
4TH & 12
OWN 43
0
29.9%
Jordy Sandy punt for 47 yds, downed at the TexTc 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
26.9%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 2 yds to the TexTc 12Similar
Q2 5:13
2ND & 8
OWN 12
0
26.9%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Ta'Zhawn HenrySimilar
Q2 5:13
3RD & 8
OWN 12
+5
26.6%
Duffey, Jett sacked for loss of 1 yard to the TTU11 (Ellison, Colt), PENALTY TCU offside (Bradford, Nook) 5 yards to the TTU17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:13
3RD & 3
OWN 17
0
26.8%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Erik Ezukanma, broken up by Julius LewisSimilar
Q2 5:13
4TH & 3
OWN 17
+28
26.8%
Austin McNamara punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jalen Reagor at the TEXASTECH 40 TEXAS TECH Penalty, kick catching interference (KeSean Carter) to the TexTc 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:0074% → 73%
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-10
25.6%
Max Duggan sacked by Riko Jeffers for a loss of 10 yards to the TCU 45Similar
Q2 3:57
2ND & 20
OWN 45
+1
26.2%
Max Duggan run for 1 yd to the TCU 46Similar
Q2 3:57
3RD & 19
OWN 46
0
26.5%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Taye BarberSimilar
Q2 3:57
4TH & 19
OWN 46
0
27.5%
Jordy Sandy punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexTc 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 12TD
2 plays · 68 yds · 0:3226% → 32%
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
26.2%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 30Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+70
31.7%
Jett Duffey pass complete to R.J. Turner for 70 yds for a TD (Trey Wolff PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 13FG
17 plays · 58 yds · 1:5369% → 76%
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
30.9%
Max Duggan pass complete to Sewo Olonilua for 6 yds to the TCU 37Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+3
30.0%
Sewo Olonilua run for 3 yds to the TCU 40Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+1
29.1%
Max Duggan run for 1 yd to the TCU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
29.4%
Max Duggan pass complete to John Stephens Jr. for 6 yds to the TCU 47Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 4
OWN 47
0
29.0%
Max Duggan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+7
29.2%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 7 yds to the TexTc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
28.3%
Max Duggan pass complete to Darius Anderson for 2 yds to the TexTc 44Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 8
OPP 44
0
28.3%
Max Duggan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+9
28.2%
Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 9 yds to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
26.8%
Max Duggan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+15
26.3%
Max Duggan pass complete to John Stephens Jr. for 15 yds to the TexTc 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
26.1%
Max Duggan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+9
25.6%
Darius Anderson run for 9 yds to the TexTc 11Similar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+28
23.6%
Jonathan Song 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 15TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 1:4128% → 41%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
27.9%
Jett Duffey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+13
27.7%
Jett Duffey run for 13 yds to the TexTc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
29.0%
Jett Duffey run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
50
+18
29.5%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Dalton Rigdon for 3 yds to the TEXASTECH 47 for a 1ST down TCU Penalty, targeting (Jeff Gladney) to the TCU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
41.2%
Jett Duffey pass complete to R.J. Turner for 32 yds for a TD TCU Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 13:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
41.2%
Jett Duffey pass complete to R.J. Turner for 3 yds for a TD TCU Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0065% → 64%
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
34.9%
Darius Anderson run for 3 yds to the TCU 28Similar
Q3 13:19
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
34.6%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Te'Vailance Hunt, broken up by Alex HoganSimilar
Q3 13:19
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+4
35.8%
Max Duggan pass complete to Te'Vailance Hunt for 4 yds to the TCU 32Similar
Q3 13:19
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
36.3%
Jordy Sandy punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0036% → 35%
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
36.4%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 3 yds to the TexTc 33Similar
Q3 12:24
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+3
36.6%
Jett Duffey pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 3 yds to the TexTc 36Similar
Q3 12:24
3RD & 4
OWN 36
0
37.0%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Erik EzukanmaSimilar
Q3 12:24
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
35.3%
Austin McNamara punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Jalen Reagor at the TCU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 0:0065% → 63%
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
35.0%
Jalen Reagor run for 5 yds to the TCU 17Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 5
OWN 17
0
34.9%
Max Duggan pass incomplete, broken up by Broderick Washington Jr.Similar
Q3 11:12
3RD & 5
OWN 17
+6
36.1%
Max Duggan run for 6 yds to the TCU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
34.7%
Darius Anderson run for 5 yds to the TCU 28Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+13
34.1%
Max Duggan pass complete to Te'Vailance Hunt for 13 yds to the TCU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
32.7%
Darius Anderson run for 3 yds to the TCU 44Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+4
32.6%
Darius Anderson run for 4 yds to the TCU 48Similar
Q3 11:12
3RD & 3
OWN 48
-5
32.8%
TCU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TCU 43Similar
Q3 11:12
3RD & 8
OWN 43
-6
33.7%
Max Duggan sacked by Xavier Benson for a loss of 6 yards to the TCU 37Similar
Q3 11:12
4TH & 14
OWN 37
+22
36.8%
Jordy Sandy punt for 36 yds , Chux Nwabuko III returns for 22 yds to the TexTc 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 19TD
4 plays · 51 yds · 1:0339% → 61%
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
39.4%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Ta'Zhawn Henry for 3 yds to the TCU 48Similar
Q3 6:08
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+1
40.1%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 1 yd to the TCU 47Similar
Q3 6:08
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+14
39.2%
Jett Duffey run for 14 yds to the TCU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
61.2%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 33 yds for a TD TCU Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 20FG
12 plays · 68 yds · 5:0945% → 61%
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
54.8%
Max Duggan pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 11 yds to the TCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
53.4%
Max Duggan pass incomplete, broken up by Eli HowardSimilar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+12
54.1%
Sewo Olonilua run for 12 yds to the TCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-10
50.9%
Duggan, Max pass complete to Barber, Taye for 8 yards to the TTU44 (Jeffers, Riko), PENALTY TCU holding (Coker, Andrew) 10 yards to the TCU38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 20
OWN 38
+8
53.9%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 8 yds to the TCU 46Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 12
OWN 46
0
52.9%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
Q3 5:05
3RD & 12
OWN 46
+39
54.5%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 39 yds to the TexTc 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
48.6%
Sewo Olonilua run for 6 yds to the TexTc 9Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+1
48.6%
Sewo Olonilua run for 1 yd to the TexTc 8Similar
Q3 5:05
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+1
50.3%
Max Duggan run for 1 yd to the TexTc 7Similar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 2
OPP 7
+25
38.7%
Jonathan Song 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 21FG
9 plays · 69 yds · 2:3545% → 61%
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
45.2%
Jett Duffey pass complete to McLane Mannix for 11 yds to the TexTc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
46.7%
Jett Duffey run for no gain to the TexTc 36Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
46.0%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Erik EzukanmaSimilar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+51
43.9%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 51 yds to the TCU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
52.5%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 6 yds to the TCU 7Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+1
52.5%
Jett Duffey run for 1 yd to the TCU 6Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 3
OPP 6
0
50.2%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to R.J. TurnerSimilar
Q4 12:21
4TH & 3
OPP 6
+24
60.5%
Trey Wolff 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 22FG
15 plays · 69 yds · 6:4343% → 65%
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
56.7%
Max Duggan run for 4 yds to the TCU 32Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+2
55.9%
Darius Anderson run for 2 yds to the TCU 34Similar
Q4 12:21
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+15
57.2%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 15 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
52.4%
Max Duggan run for 7 yds to the TexTc 44Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+2
51.5%
Darius Anderson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 42Similar
Q4 12:21
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+5
51.9%
Sewo Olonilua run for 5 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
52.1%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+13
52.1%
Max Duggan run for 13 yds to the TexTc 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+19
49.9%
Max Duggan pass complete to John Stephens Jr. for 19 yds to the TexTc 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
49.9%
Sewo Olonilua run for 1 yd to the TexTc 4Similar
Q4 7:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-15
49.6%
Duggan, Max pass complete to Reagor, Jalen for 4 yards to the TTU0, clock 07:12, PENALTY TCU pass interference (Barber, Taye) 15 yards to the TTU19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 19
+10
51.4%
Max Duggan run for 10 yds to the TexTc 9Similar
Q4 7:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
52.5%
Max Duggan run for 6 yds to the TexTc 3Similar
Q4 5:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
35.3%
Jonathan Song 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0044% → 39%
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
43.7%
Jett Duffey pass complete to McLane Mannix for no gain to the TexTc 25Similar
Q4 5:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
42.9%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to McLane MannixSimilar
Q4 5:38
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
40.9%
Jett Duffey pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for no gain to the TexTc 25Similar
Q4 5:38
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
38.9%
Austin McNamara punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jalen Reagor at the TCU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 33 yds · 1:4270% → 76%
Q4 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+14
30.0%
Darius Anderson run for 14 yds to the TCU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+19
27.4%
Darius Anderson run for 4 yds to the TexTc 46 for a 1ST down TEXAS TECH Penalty, personal foul (Riko Jeffers) to the TexTc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
26.5%
Darius Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 40Similar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+1
26.6%
Darius Anderson run for 1 yd to the TexTc 39Similar
Q4 2:36
3RD & 10
OPP 39
0
20.6%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
Q4 2:36
4TH & 10
OPP 39
0
24.1%
Jordy Sandy punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 25FUMBLE
1 play · 9 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
37.4%
Jett Duffey pass complete to McLane Mannix for 9 yds McLane Mannix fumbled, forced by Vernon Scott, recovered by TCU Trevon MoehrigSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 26END OF GAME
8 plays · 5 yds · 0:0882% → 81%
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
17.8%
Darius Anderson run for 4 yds to the TexTc 25Similar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+4
16.3%
Darius Anderson run for 4 yds to the TexTc 21Similar
Q4 2:07
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+9
17.3%
Darius Anderson run for 9 yds to the TexTc 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
15.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 13Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 11
OPP 13
-6
16.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the TexTc 19Similar
Q4 2:07
3RD & 17
OPP 19
-5
19.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the TexTc 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:05
Jett Duffey pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 33 yds for a TD TCU Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+22
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-19.2
FG · Q4 5:38
Jonathan Song 20 yd FG GOOD
-17.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com