Try the model
TCU

TCU 34 at Purdue 13

PUR
2019 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2019 · Ross-Ade Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadTCU aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreTCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+0.8PUR 41.8%Jonathan Song 24 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 3 · Q1 4:09
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:09 · Jonathan Song 24 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+55.0+27.50−27.5−55.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 34Home team on offense−0.8Score differential−0.8Pregame prior−9.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:14: Darius Anderson run for 32 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK) — TCU win probability +4.7 pts (now 64%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 12:35: J.D. Dellinger 53 yd FG GOOD — PUR win probability +2.8 pts (now 42%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 1:09: Jonathan Song 40 yd FG GOOD — TCU win probability +6.6 pts (now 67%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:12: Max Duggan pass complete to Al'Dontre Davis for 22 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK) — TCU win probability +13.2 pts (now 84%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:24: Sewo Olonilua run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK) — TCU win probability +10.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 4 of 10TCU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:35PUR 4th & 3 at TCU 14, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.8%−<0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    44.3%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:35TCU 4th & 6 at TCU 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:17TCU 4th & 1 at PUR 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    53.8%−0.5
    51% to make
    Punt
    53.7%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:09TCU 4th & 7 at PUR 7, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    49.8%−2.4
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:09PUR 4th & 12 at PUR 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%−0.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00PUR 4th & 27 at PUR 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%−2.0
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:48TCU 4th & 10 at TCU 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 12:35PUR 4th & 5 at TCU 36, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.3%−0.7
    42% to make
    Punt
    41.0%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q2 9:19TCU 4th & 1 at PUR 39, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    53.5%−2.4
    36% to make
    Punt
    53.7%−2.2
    average punt
  11. Q2 9:19TCU 4th & 10 at PUR 37, up 4
    Close callPunted · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    54.9%−0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.8%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q2 7:58PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 12, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.7%−1.1
    average punt
  13. Q2 1:09TCU 4th & 20 at PUR 23, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%−2.8
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    51.4%−6.0
    average punt
  14. Q3 15:00TCU 4th & 9 at TCU 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.3%−1.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.0%
    average punt
  15. Q3 14:12PUR 4th & 15 at PUR 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.8%−2.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.1%
    average punt
  16. Q3 8:00TCU 4th & 8 at PUR 40, up 14
    Close callPunted · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    81.1%−0.8
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    81.4%−0.4
    average punt
  17. Q3 7:01PUR 4th & 3 at PUR 9, down 14
    Close callPunted · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%−0.4
    average punt
  18. Q3 1:24PUR 4th & 2 at PUR 33, down 21
    Close callPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%−0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 13:46TCU 4th & 13 at PUR 49, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−0.5
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%
    average punt
  20. Q4 12:53PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 42, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.0%−0.7
    average punt
  21. Q4 3:40TCU 4th & 8 at PUR 43, up 21
    Close callPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 0 of 1TCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 1:14TCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 8:12TCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:24TCU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 5:45TCU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:40PUR Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.9%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
38.8%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Zander Horvath for 6 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
38.8%
Jackson Anthrop run for 2 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
38.8%
Zander Horvath run for 1 yd to the Prdue 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
38.8%
Brooks Cormier punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 2INT
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
39.3%
Alex Delton run for 8 yds to the TCU 26Similar
Q1 13:27
2ND & 2
OWN 26
-2
39.3%
Alex Delton run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 24Similar
Q1 13:27
3RD & 4
OWN 24
0
39.4%
Alex Delton pass intercepted George Karlaftis return for no gain to the TCU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:4940% → 41%
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
40.1%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Zander HorvathSimilar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+7
40.1%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 7 yds to the TCU 14Similar
Q1 12:24
3RD & 3
OPP 14
0
40.0%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Rondale MooreSimilar
Q1 11:35
4TH & 3
OPP 14
+31
40.5%
J.D. Dellinger 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
40.4%
PURDUE Penalty, delay of game (5 Yards) to the TCU 30Similar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+3
40.2%
Darius Anderson run for 3 yds to the TCU 33Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
40.2%
Alex Delton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:35
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
40.3%
Sewo Olonilua run for 6 yds to the TCU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
40.2%
Sewo Olonilua run for 4 yds to the TCU 43Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
40.1%
Alex Delton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:35
3RD & 6
OWN 43
0
40.2%
Alex Delton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:35
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
40.4%
Jordy Sandy punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Rondale Moore at the Prdue 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5INT
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
41.0%
King Doerue run for 3 yds to the Prdue 21Similar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 7
OWN 21
0
41.0%
Jack Plummer pass intercepted Trevon Moehrig return for no gain to the Prdue 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 6FG
11 plays · 34 yds · 5:0859% → 58%
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
41.0%
Jalen Reagor run for 5 yds to the Prdue 36Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+3
40.9%
Jalen Reagor run for 3 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q1 9:17
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+1
41.0%
Max Duggan run for 1 yd to the Prdue 32Similar
Q1 9:17
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+12
41.3%
Sewo Olonilua run for 12 yds to the Prdue 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
40.7%
Max Duggan pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 4 yds to the Prdue 16Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+4
40.7%
Darius Anderson run for 4 yds to the Prdue 12Similar
Q1 9:17
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+6
41.0%
Max Duggan pass complete to Pro Wells for 6 yds to the Prdue 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
40.7%
Darius Anderson run for 2 yds to the Prdue 4Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
40.7%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Pro Wells, broken up by Brennan ThienemanSimilar
Q1 9:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-3
41.0%
Max Duggan sacked by George Karlaftis for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 7Similar
Q1 4:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
41.8%
Jonathan Song 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0042% → 41%
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
42.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 5 yds to the Prdue 13Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 5
OWN 13
0
42.3%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Zander Horvath, broken up by Jeff GladneySimilar
Q1 4:09
3RD & 5
OWN 13
-7
41.7%
Jack Plummer sacked by Garret Wallow for a loss of 7 yards to the Prdue 6Similar
Q1 4:09
4TH & 12
OWN 6
0
41.4%
Brooks Cormier punt for 37 yds, downed at the Prdue 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 8TD
4 plays · 43 yds · 1:3259% → 64%
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
41.3%
Darius Anderson run for 3 yds to the Prdue 40Similar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+8
41.3%
Max Duggan pass complete to Darius Anderson for 8 yds to the Prdue 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
41.0%
Max Duggan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+32
36.2%
Darius Anderson run for 32 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -17 yds · 1:1438% → 37%
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
37.8%
Jack Plummer run for 1 yd to the Prdue 26Similar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-12
37.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 12 yards to the Prdue 14 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Prdue Jack Plummer PURDUE Penalty, IS ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 1:14
3RD & 21
OWN 14
-6
37.2%
Jack Plummer sacked by Dee Winters for a loss of 6 yards to the Prdue 8Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 27
OWN 8
+8
36.8%
Brooks Cormier punt for 44 yds , Jalen Reagor returns for 8 yds to the TCU 16 TCU Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the TCU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0064% → 62%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
36.2%
Max Duggan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
36.4%
Max Duggan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 10
OWN 46
0
36.7%
Max Duggan run for no gain to the TCU 46Similar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 10
OWN 46
0
37.7%
Jordy Sandy punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Rondale Moore at the Prdue 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11FG
5 plays · 43 yds · 1:1438% → 42%
Q2 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+38
37.6%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 38 yds to the TCU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
39.4%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:49
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+5
39.4%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 5 yds to the TCU 36Similar
Q2 13:49
3RD & 5
OPP 36
0
39.3%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Jackson Anthrop, broken up by Trevon MoehrigSimilar
Q2 12:35
4TH & 5
OPP 36
+53
42.1%
J.D. Dellinger 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 12PUNT
14 plays · 38 yds · 3:1659% → 59%
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
40.9%
Darius Anderson run for 9 yds to the TCU 34Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+18
40.1%
Darius Anderson run for 18 yds to the Prdue 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
39.4%
Sewo Olonilua run for 3 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+2
39.4%
Max Duggan run for 2 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q2 12:35
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+4
39.7%
Sewo Olonilua run for 4 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q2 9:19
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+2
40.3%
Max Duggan run for 2 yds to the Prdue 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
38.9%
Max Duggan pass complete to Sewo Olonilua for 5 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 5
OPP 32
0
38.6%
Max Duggan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:19
3RD & 5
OPP 32
0
39.0%
Max Duggan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:19
4TH & 5
OPP 32
-5
40.4%
Sandy, Jordy punt 27 yards to the PUR5, downed, PENALTY TCU illegal motion 5 yards to the PUR37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:19
4TH & 10
OPP 37
0
40.6%
Jordy Sandy punt for 34 yds, downed at the Prdue 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0040% → 39%
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
40.0%
Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Prdue 5Similar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+7
39.9%
Zander Horvath run for 7 yds to the Prdue 12Similar
Q2 7:58
3RD & 1
OWN 12
0
39.3%
Zander Horvath run for no gain to the Prdue 12Similar
Q2 7:58
4TH & 1
OWN 12
0
38.8%
Brooks Cormier punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 14FG
13 plays · 29 yds · 5:0362% → 66%
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
38.3%
Jalen Reagor run for 3 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+27
38.1%
Darius Anderson run for 27 yds to the Prdue 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
37.4%
Darius Anderson run for 8 yds to the Prdue 14Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 2
OPP 14
-10
37.4%
Alex Delton pass complete to Darius Anderson for 5 yds to the Prdue 9 TCU Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the Prdue 24Similar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
37.4%
Sewo Olonilua run for 6 yds to the Prdue 18Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+5
37.4%
Sewo Olonilua run for 5 yds to the Prdue 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
37.4%
Sewo Olonilua run for 4 yds to the Prdue 9Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 6
OPP 9
-5
37.4%
Delton, Alex rush for 2 yards to the PUR7 (Derrick Barnes), PENALTY TCU illegal shift 5 yards to the PUR14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 11
OPP 14
0
37.7%
Alex Delton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:12
3RD & 11
OPP 14
-9
38.3%
Alex Delton sacked by Simeon Smiley for a loss of 9 yards to the Prdue 23Similar
Q2 1:09
4TH & 20
OPP 23
+40
33.1%
Jonathan Song 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
-5
33.6%
Kell, Griffin kickoff 59 yards to the PUR6, out-of-bounds, PENALTY TCU illegal kicking (Kell, Griffin) 5 yards to the TCU30, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15END OF HALF
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:2435% → 33%
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
34.8%
Jack Plummer run for 5 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 5
OWN 28
0
35.2%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+7
33.9%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 7 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
34.6%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Jack PlummerSimilar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-1
34.5%
Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 34Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+3
33.3%
King Doerue run for 3 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0068% → 66%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
32.2%
Max Duggan run for 1 yd to the TCU 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
32.4%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Te'Vailance HuntSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
33.3%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Derius DavisSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
34.2%
Jordy Sandy punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jackson Anthrop at the Prdue 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0034% → 33%
Q3 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
34.4%
Rondale Moore run for no gain to the Prdue 33Similar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+20
34.3%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 20 yds to the TCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
33.3%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Amad Anderson (Gladney, Jeff), PENALTY TCU pass interference off-setting, PENALTY PUR holding off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
37.3%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to David Bell, broken up by Trevon MoehrigSimilar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
36.8%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:12
3RD & 10
OPP 47
-5
35.2%
Jack Plummer sacked by Ross Blacklock for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 48Similar
Q3 14:12
4TH & 15
OWN 48
0
33.0%
Zac Collins punt for 44 yds, downed at the TCU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 18TD
9 plays · 92 yds · 4:0068% → 84%
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+9
32.5%
Sewo Olonilua run for 9 yds to the TCU 17Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 1
OWN 17
+2
31.5%
Sewo Olonilua run for 2 yds to the TCU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+13
32.1%
Max Duggan pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 13 yds to the TCU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+17
31.0%
Sewo Olonilua run for 17 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
29.5%
Max Duggan pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 12 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
29.3%
Darius Anderson run for 12 yds to the Prdue 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
28.8%
Darius Anderson run for 5 yds to the Prdue 22Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 5
OPP 22
0
28.8%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Derius Davis, broken up by Cam AllenSimilar
Q3 8:12
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+22
15.6%
Max Duggan pass complete to Al'Dontre Davis for 22 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
19.9%
Jack Plummer pass intercepted Jeff Gladney return for no gain to the TCU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:0084% → 83%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
15.9%
Duggan, Max pass incomplete to Hunt, T., PENALTY PUR roughing passer (L. Johnson) 15 yards to the PUR42, 1ST DOWN TCU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
15.6%
Darius Anderson run for 2 yds to the Prdue 40Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
15.6%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 8
OPP 40
0
15.8%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Sewo OloniluaSimilar
Q3 8:00
4TH & 8
OPP 40
0
16.9%
Jordy Sandy punt for 38 yds, downed at the Prdue 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
17.9%
King Doerue run for 3 yds to the Prdue 5Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 7
OWN 5
0
17.8%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to David Bell, broken up by Kee'yon StewartSimilar
Q3 7:01
3RD & 7
OWN 5
+4
17.5%
Jack Plummer run for 4 yds to the Prdue 9 PURDUE Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 7:01
4TH & 3
OWN 9
0
17.6%
Brooks Cormier punt for 63 yds, downed at the TCU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 22TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 4:1785% → 97%
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+37
15.0%
Darius Anderson run for 37 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+14
13.7%
Sewo Olonilua run for 14 yds to the Prdue 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
13.4%
Max Duggan run for 9 yds to the Prdue 12Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 1
OPP 12
+4
13.4%
Sewo Olonilua run for 4 yds to the Prdue 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
13.4%
Sewo Olonilua run for 1 yd to the Prdue 7Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
13.4%
Max Duggan run for 6 yds to the Prdue 1Similar
Q3 1:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
2.9%
Sewo Olonilua run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
4.8%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Amad Anderson Jr.Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
4.7%
Jack Plummer pass complete to King Doerue for 9 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q3 1:24
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-1
4.9%
King Doerue run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 33Similar
Q3 1:24
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
4.8%
Zac Collins punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jalen Reagor at the TCU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:3297% → 98%
Q3 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+20
2.9%
Emari Demercado run for 20 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
2.7%
Emari Demercado run for 2 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+4
2.7%
Emari Demercado run for 4 yds to the Prdue 40Similar
Q4 13:46
3RD & 4
OPP 40
-9
1.9%
Max Duggan sacked by Anthony Watts for a loss of 9 yards to the Prdue 49Similar
Q4 13:46
4TH & 13
OPP 49
0
2.1%
Jordy Sandy punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 25DOWNS
5 plays · 22 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
3.1%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 13 yds to the Prdue 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
3.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Milton Wright for 6 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+3
3.3%
King Doerue run for 3 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 1
OWN 42
0
3.4%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Jackson AnthropSimilar
Q4 12:53
4TH & 1
OWN 42
0
3.4%
King Doerue run for no gain to the Prdue 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 26TD
9 plays · 42 yds · 5:4099% → 100%
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
1.5%
Darius Anderson run for 5 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 5
OPP 37
-1
1.4%
Max Duggan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 38Similar
Q4 11:25
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+8
1.5%
Sewo Olonilua run for 8 yds to the Prdue 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
1.4%
Max Duggan run for 4 yds to the Prdue 26Similar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+4
1.4%
Sewo Olonilua run for 4 yds to the Prdue 22Similar
Q4 11:25
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+2
1.5%
Sewo Olonilua run for 2 yds to the Prdue 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
1.4%
Darius Anderson run for 4 yds to the Prdue 16Similar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+8
1.4%
Max Duggan run for 8 yds to the Prdue 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
0.2%
Darius Anderson run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 27TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:050% → 1%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
0.2%
King Doerue run for 6 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-1
0.2%
King Doerue run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 30Similar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+12
0.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 12 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
0.2%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Amad Anderson Jr.Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
0.2%
Jack Plummer run for 4 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q4 3:40
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+54
1.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 54 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 28PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 99%
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
0.5%
Emari Demercado run for 4 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+2
0.6%
Emari Demercado run for 2 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q4 3:40
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+1
0.6%
Emari Demercado run for 1 yd to the Prdue 38Similar
Q4 3:40
4TH & 3
OPP 38
-5
0.6%
TCU Penalty, delay of game (Max Duggan) to the Prdue 43Similar
Q4 3:40
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
0.6%
Jordy Sandy punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 29END OF GAME
5 plays · 26 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
0.8%
King Doerue rush for loss of 3 yards to the PUR17 (Reagor, Jalen), PENALTY TCU personal foul (Reagor, Jalen) 15 yards to the PUR35, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
0.8%
King Doerue run for 8 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 2
OWN 43
0
0.8%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Milton WrightSimilar
Q4 1:09
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+2
0.9%
King Doerue run for 2 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
0.8%
King Doerue run for 1 yd to the Prdue 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:12
Max Duggan pass complete to Al'Dontre Davis for 22 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK)
-13.2
TD · Q3 1:24
Sewo Olonilua run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK)
-10.5
FG · Q2 1:09
Jonathan Song 40 yd FG GOOD
-6.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com