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TCU

TCU 27 at Oklahoma State 34

OKST
2019 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2019 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadTCU aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreTCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:48 · Jordy Sandy punt for 42 yds , Dillon Stoner returns for 6 yds to the OKSt 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remainingScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 16Home team on offense+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Time remaining+0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:24: Max Duggan run for 6 yds for a TD (Jonathan Song KICK) — TCU win probability +8.6 pts (now 43%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:39: Max Duggan pass complete to Pro Wells for 24 yds for a TD (Jonathan Song KICK) — TCU win probability +12.4 pts (now 54%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:42: Chuba Hubbard run for 92 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +20.0 pts (now 72%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:48: Chuba Hubbard run for 62 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +10.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:11: Sewo Olonilua run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Song KICK) — TCU win probability +11.3 pts (now 21%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 5 of 9TCU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 11:00OKST 4th & 8 at TCU 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.1%
    89% to make
    Punt
    55.5%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:48TCU 4th & 2 at TCU 24, down 3
    Close callPunted · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:13TCU 4th & 1 at TCU 34, down 10
    Close callPunted · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.9%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:57OKST 4th & 2 at OKST 33, up 10
    Close callPunted · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:03OKST 4th & 2 at OKST 12, up 10
    Close callPunted · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.3%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:01TCU 4th & 9 at OKST 23, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.3%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.8%
    70% to make
    Punt
    34.4%−3.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:33OKST 4th & 2 at OKST 45, up 7
    Close callPunted · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:12OKST 4th & 1 at OKST 27, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.1%−2.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:55TCU 4th & 8 at TCU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.4%−1.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:19OKST 4th & 12 at TCU 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.3%−1.6
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.9%
    56% to make
    Punt
    73.1%−1.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:58TCU 4th & 5 at OKST 43, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    24.4%−2.7
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    25.8%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:52OKST 4th & 11 at TCU 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.4%−1.8
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:42TCU 4th & 6 at TCU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%−0.7
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:17OKST 4th & 5 at OKST 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:15TCU 4th & 14 at TCU 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−0.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:04OKST 4th & 9 at TCU 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    89.6%−3.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:37TCU 4th & 1 at midfield, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.0%−0.9
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:22TCU 4th & 12 at OKST 23, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.8
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.1%
    70% to make
    Punt
    4.2%−1.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 3 of 4TCU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 9:01OKST Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:10OKST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:24TCU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:39TCU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:42OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:48OKST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:11TCU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1FG
11 plays · 67 yds · 3:4749% → 50%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+18
48.7%
Spencer Sanders run for 18 yds to the OKSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
48.9%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Dillon StonerSimilar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+3
48.9%
Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q1 13:33
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+14
49.0%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 14 yds to the TCU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+19
49.4%
Chuba Hubbard run for 19 yds to the TCU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
49.6%
Spencer Sanders run for 11 yds to the TCU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
49.7%
Spencer Sanders run for 3 yds to the TCU 8Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 7
OPP 8
0
49.9%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Dillon StonerSimilar
Q1 11:37
3RD & 7
OPP 8
-1
49.8%
Spencer Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 9Similar
Q1 11:00
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+26
50.1%
Matt Ammendola 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:5250% → 49%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
50.0%
Darius Anderson run for 6 yds to the TCU 22Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+2
50.1%
Darius Anderson run for 2 yds to the TCU 24Similar
Q1 9:58
3RD & 2
OWN 24
0
50.3%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Taye BarberSimilar
Q1 9:48
4TH & 2
OWN 24
+6
50.6%
Jordy Sandy punt for 42 yds , Dillon Stoner returns for 6 yds to the OKSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3TD
2 plays · 60 yds · 0:3951% → 53%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
50.6%
Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds to the OKSt 43Similar
Q1 9:01
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+57
52.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 57 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:4248% → 47%
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
52.1%
Max Duggan pass complete to Darius Anderson for 2 yds to the TCU 27Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
52.1%
Darius Anderson run for 4 yds to the TCU 31Similar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
52.8%
Max Duggan run for 3 yds to the TCU 34Similar
Q1 7:13
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
53.3%
Jordy Sandy punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:0354% → 54%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
53.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Landon Wolf for 5 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q1 6:42
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
53.8%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Dillon StonerSimilar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+3
53.5%
Spencer Sanders run for 3 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
Q1 5:57
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
53.7%
Tom Hutton punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jalen Reagor at the TCU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 6INT
4 plays · 25 yds · 1:0246% → 47%
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
53.8%
Darius Anderson run for 9 yds to the TCU 38Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+10
53.4%
Darius Anderson run for 10 yds to the TCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
53.6%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 6 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 4
OPP 46
-4
53.4%
Max Duggan pass intercepted Kolby Harvell-Peel return for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2755% → 55%
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
55.4%
Chuba Hubbard run for no gain to the OKSt 4Similar
Q1 4:19
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+2
55.5%
Chuba Hubbard run for 2 yds to the OKSt 6Similar
Q1 3:34
3RD & 8
OWN 6
+6
55.6%
Spencer Sanders run for 6 yds to the OKSt 12Similar
Q1 3:03
4TH & 2
OWN 12
0
55.4%
Tom Hutton punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jalen Reagor at the OKSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 8FG
5 plays · 26 yds · 1:5445% → 45%
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+25
54.9%
Max Duggan pass complete to Artayvious Lynn for 25 yds to the OKSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
54.8%
Sewo Olonilua run for 2 yds to the OKSt 22Similar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 8
OPP 22
-1
55.0%
Max Duggan sacked by Devin Harper for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 23Similar
Q1 1:06
3RD & 9
OPP 23
0
56.2%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Pro WellsSimilar
Q1 1:01
4TH & 9
OPP 23
+40
55.5%
Jonathan Song 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 2:3457% → 66%
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+23
56.6%
Spencer Sanders run for 23 yds to the OKSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
57.9%
Spencer Sanders run for 10 yds to the TCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
58.3%
TCU Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Trevon Moehrig) to the TCU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:38
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
58.6%
Spencer Sanders run for 2 yds to the TCU 30Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+15
58.9%
TCU Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Garret Wallow) to the TCU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-3
59.0%
Chuba Hubbard run for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 18Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 13
OPP 18
-4
59.2%
Spencer Sanders sacked by Corey Bethley for a loss of 4 yards to the TCU 22Similar
Q2 13:10
3RD & 17
OPP 22
+22
65.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 22 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 10TD
16 plays · 81 yds · 5:3036% → 43%
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
64.0%
Darius Anderson run for no gain to the TCU 19Similar
Q2 12:18
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+12
64.5%
Max Duggan pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 12 yds to the TCU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
64.6%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Taye BarberSimilar
Q2 11:36
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+14
64.9%
Max Duggan run for 14 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
64.7%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+6
64.9%
Sewo Olonilua run for 6 yds to the OKSt 49Similar
Q2 10:13
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+7
65.0%
Sewo Olonilua run for 7 yds to the OKSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-10
64.9%
TCU Penalty, Offensive Holding (Pro Wells) to the TCU 48Similar
Q2 10:10
1ST & 20
OWN 48
+15
65.6%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the OKSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
65.0%
Max Duggan pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 9 yds to the OKSt 28Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+16
64.3%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 16 yds to the OKSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
65.2%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the OKSt 7Similar
Q2 8:18
1ST & 5
OPP 7
+5
65.4%
Sewo Olonilua run for 5 yds to the OKSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-4
66.0%
Sewo Olonilua run for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 6Similar
Q2 7:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
57.3%
Max Duggan run for 6 yds for a TD (Jonathan Song KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:4662% → 63%
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
62.1%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Landon Wolf for 5 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
62.6%
Chuba Hubbard run for 7 yds to the OKSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
63.6%
Spencer Sanders sacked by Darius Anderson for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 35Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+6
62.8%
Spencer Sanders run for 6 yds to the OKSt 41Similar
Q2 5:20
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+4
63.9%
Spencer Sanders run for 4 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q2 4:33
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
63.4%
Tom Hutton punt for 50 yds, downed at the TCU 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 12TD
9 plays · 95 yds · 3:4437% → 54%
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
63.1%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 1 yd to the TCU 6Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+8
63.3%
Max Duggan pass complete to Pro Wells for 8 yds to the TCU 14Similar
Q2 2:59
3RD & 1
OWN 14
+15
64.5%
Darius Anderson run for 15 yds to the TCU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
63.1%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Te'Vailance HuntSimilar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+5
63.5%
Darius Anderson run for 5 yds to the TCU 34Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+37
63.8%
Max Duggan pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 37 yds to the OKSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
58.6%
Max Duggan run for 3 yds to the OKSt 26Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+2
58.6%
Darius Anderson run for 2 yds to the OKSt 24Similar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+24
46.2%
Max Duggan pass complete to Pro Wells for 24 yds for a TD (Jonathan Song KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-4
55.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 14FUMBLE
5 plays · 57 yds · 1:2850% → 54%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
50.2%
Max Duggan pass complete to Artayvious Lynn for 5 yds to the TCU 30Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-3
49.4%
Darius Anderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 27Similar
Q3 13:35
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+42
51.4%
Max Duggan run for 42 yds to the OKSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+13
46.1%
Max Duggan pass complete to John Stephens Jr. for 13 yds John Stephens Jr. fumbled, recovered by OKSt Kolby Harvell-PeelSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3054% → 53%
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
54.0%
Chuba Hubbard run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 17Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 11
OWN 17
+5
53.7%
Chuba Hubbard run for 5 yds to the OKSt 22Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+5
52.2%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Chuba Hubbard for 5 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q3 11:12
4TH & 1
OWN 27
0
52.5%
Tom Hutton punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jalen Reagor at the TCU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 3:1050% → 48%
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
50.4%
Max Duggan run for 9 yds to the TCU 39Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+1
48.2%
Darius Anderson run for 1 yd to the TCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-12
48.8%
Max Duggan sacked by Israel Antwine for a loss of 12 yards to the TCU 28Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 22
OWN 28
+4
51.7%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 4 yds to the TCU 32Similar
Q3 8:32
3RD & 18
OWN 32
+10
52.9%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 10 yds to the TCU 42Similar
Q3 7:55
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
52.4%
Jordy Sandy punt for 50 yds, downed at the OKSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17TD
1 play · 92 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+92
72.4%
Chuba Hubbard run for 92 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 18INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4131% → 29%
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
68.8%
Darius Anderson run for no gain to the TCU 10Similar
Q3 6:54
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
69.4%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Pro WellsSimilar
Q3 6:44
3RD & 10
OWN 10
0
70.6%
Max Duggan pass intercepted Jarrick Bernard return for no gain to the TCU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19MISSED FG
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:0177% → 73%
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
76.7%
Chuba Hubbard run for 5 yds to the TCU 23Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 5
OPP 23
-7
76.9%
Spencer Sanders sacked by Shameik Blackshear for a loss of 7 yards to the TCU 30Similar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 12
OPP 30
0
75.1%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Landon WolfSimilar
Q3 5:19
4TH & 12
OPP 30
+47
72.8%
Matt Ammendola 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 4:0731% → 28%
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
69.2%
Max Duggan run for 1 yd to the TCU 31Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+10
70.1%
Max Duggan pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 10 yds to the TCU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
68.8%
Max Duggan pass complete to Pro Wells for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 1
50
+2
66.3%
Sewo Olonilua run for 2 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
67.5%
Max Duggan sacked by Malcolm Rodriguez for a loss of 5 yards to the TCU 47Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 15
OWN 47
+7
70.8%
Sewo Olonilua run for 7 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q3 1:40
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+3
71.0%
Max Duggan run for 3 yds to the OKSt 43Similar
Q3 0:58
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
72.2%
Jordy Sandy punt for 40 yds, downed at the OKSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 49 yds · 2:5279% → 82%
Q3 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
78.9%
Chuba Hubbard run for no gain to the OKSt 3Similar
Q3 0:01
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+3
80.4%
Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds to the OKSt 6Similar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 7
OWN 6
+47
79.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 47 yds to the TCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
83.6%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the OKSt 48Similar
Q4 14:24
1ST & 15
OWN 48
+9
82.7%
Chuba Hubbard run for 9 yds to the TCU 43Similar
Q4 13:46
2ND & 6
OPP 43
0
84.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for no gain to the TCU 43Similar
Q4 13:05
3RD & 6
OPP 43
-5
83.8%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Illegal Shift (-5 Yards) to the TCU 48Similar
Q4 12:59
3RD & 11
OPP 48
0
83.1%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Chuba HubbardSimilar
Q4 12:52
4TH & 11
OPP 48
0
81.5%
Tom Hutton punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Jalen Reagor at the TCU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0822% → 19%
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
77.9%
Darius Anderson run for 1 yd to the TCU 22Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+3
78.9%
Max Duggan pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 3 yds to the TCU 25Similar
Q4 11:49
3RD & 6
OWN 25
0
79.9%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to John Stephens Jr.Similar
Q4 11:42
4TH & 6
OWN 25
0
80.9%
Jordy Sandy punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23INT
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:4085% → 86%
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
84.9%
Chuba Hubbard run for 2 yds to the OKSt 43Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+12
85.6%
Spencer Sanders pass intercepted Trevon Moehrig return for 12 yds to the TCU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 24FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:1421% → 20%
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
79.4%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Pro WellsSimilar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+5
79.8%
Max Duggan pass intercepted Kolby Harvell-Peel return for 5 yds to the OKSt 32 Kolby Harvell-Peel fumbled, forced by Jalen Reagor, recovered by OKSt Kolby Harvell-PeelSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 25TD
2 plays · 68 yds · 0:4284% → 95%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
84.4%
Spencer Sanders run for 6 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
Q4 9:48
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+62
94.7%
Chuba Hubbard run for 62 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 26TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:299% → 21%
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
91.5%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 16 yds to the TCU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
90.8%
Max Duggan run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:41
2ND & 1
50
+11
90.2%
Max Duggan pass complete to Pro Wells for 11 yds to the OKSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+30
90.9%
Max Duggan pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 30 yds to the OKSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
89.9%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Pro WellsSimilar
Q4 8:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
89.9%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
Q4 8:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
90.9%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (7 Yards) to the OKSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
90.0%
Sewo Olonilua run for 1 yd to the OKSt 1Similar
Q4 7:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
90.1%
Max Duggan run for no gain to the OKSt 1Similar
Q4 7:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
78.8%
Sewo Olonilua run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Song KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:4388% → 88%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
87.5%
Spencer Sanders run for 2 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
88.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jordan McCray for no gain to the OKSt 27Similar
Q4 5:38
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+3
88.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jordan McCray for 3 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q4 5:17
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+7
87.8%
Tom Hutton punt for 43 yds , Jalen Reagor returns for 7 yds to the TCU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:5917% → 12%
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
83.5%
Max Duggan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-4
85.1%
Max Duggan sacked by Tyler Lacy for a loss of 4 yards to the TCU 30Similar
Q4 4:23
3RD & 14
OWN 30
0
87.3%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to John Stephens Jr.Similar
Q4 4:15
4TH & 14
OWN 30
+11
87.8%
Dillon Jones punt for 45 yds for a 1ST down , Dillon Stoner returns for 11 yds to the TCU 41 for a 1ST down TCU Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the TCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 29FG
10 plays · 23 yds · 2:0692% → 95%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
92.4%
Spencer Sanders run for 11 yds to the TCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
93.1%
Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds to the TCU 35Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+8
94.5%
Chuba Hubbard run for 8 yds to the TCU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
95.0%
Spencer Sanders run for 1 yd to the TCU 26Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 9
OPP 26
-4
95.6%
Spencer Sanders run for a loss of 4 yards to the TCU 30Similar
Q4 2:09
3RD & 13
OPP 30
+4
95.2%
Chuba Hubbard run for 4 yds to the TCU 26Similar
Q4 2:04
4TH & 9
OPP 26
+43
95.3%
Matt Ammendola 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 30FG
13 plays · 52 yds · 1:343% → 9%
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
96.7%
Max Duggan run for 16 yds to the TCU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
96.4%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 7 yds to the TCU 48Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 3
OWN 48
0
96.2%
Max Duggan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:39
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+2
96.6%
Mike Collins pass complete to Te'Vailance Hunt for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:37
4TH & 1
50
+2
96.7%
Max Duggan run for 2 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
96.1%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Sewo OloniluaSimilar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
96.3%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to John Stephens Jr.Similar
Q4 1:16
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+27
96.6%
Mike Collins pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 27 yds to the OKSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
95.2%
Mike Collins pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
95.4%
Mike Collins pass incomplete to Mikel BarkleySimilar
Q4 0:35
3RD & 10
OPP 21
-2
96.1%
Mike Collins sacked by Jayden Jernigan for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 23Similar
Q4 0:22
4TH & 12
OPP 23
+40
91.5%
Jonathan Song 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 31Uncategorized
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-6
97.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the OKSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:42
Chuba Hubbard run for 92 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)
+20
TD · Q2 0:39
Max Duggan pass complete to Pro Wells for 24 yds for a TD (Jonathan Song KICK)
-12.4
TD · Q4 7:11
Sewo Olonilua run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Song KICK)
-11.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com