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OKST

Oklahoma State 35 at Texas Tech 45

TTU
2019 · Week 6 · Oct 5, 2019 · Jones AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TTU
modelTTU aheadOKST aheadconfidence bandkey playTTU scoreOKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+5.1TTU 98.9%Jett Duffey pass complete to ErikEzukanma for 56 yds for a TD, (JettDuffey pass to T.J. Vasher forTwo-Point Conversion)AWAY 21 - HOME 45 · Q4 8:26
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:26 · Jett Duffey pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 56 yds for a TD, (Jett Duffey pass to T.J. Vasher for Two-Point Conversion)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 180Home team on offense+31.6Pregame prior−3.2Score differential+22.8Garbage-time factor+12.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.3Time remaining−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:30: Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +18.4 pts (now 41%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 13:02: Jett Duffey pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 21 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK) — TTU win probability +20.5 pts (now 90%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:00: Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jordan McCray for 73 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +16.6 pts (now 30%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:48: Jett Duffey pass complete to Dalton Rigdon for 8 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK) — TTU win probability +15.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:48: Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +14.8 pts (now 24%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TTU made the numbers' call on 6 of 11OKST made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 12:49TTU 4th & 5 at OKST 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.0%
    74% to make
    Punt
    28.6%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:49OKST 4th & 18 at TTU 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.8%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    70.9%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    70.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:53TTU 4th & 8 at TTU 19, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:40OKST 4th & 9 at TTU 40, down 3
    Close callPunted · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    67.8%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    67.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:01OKST 4th & 12 at OKST 23, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%−0.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.9%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:03TTU 4th & 7 at OKST 10, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.5%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.9%
    88% to make
    Punt
    34.9%−5.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00OKST 4th & 12 at OKST 23, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.7%−0.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:39TTU 4th & 4 at TTU 28, up 13
    Close callPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.1%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:37TTU 4th & 3 at OKST 26, up 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.3%−0.9
    64% to make
    Punt
    46.6%−6.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 10:21OKST 4th & 1 at midfield, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    30.2%−2.9
    average punt
  11. Q2 10:21OKST 4th & 3 at TTU 36, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    31.1%−2.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    30.8%−2.5
    average punt
  12. Q2 7:10TTU 4th & 2 at OKST 29, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    69.9%−1.5
    58% to make
    Punt
    64.6%−6.8
    average punt
  13. Q2 4:22OKST 4th & 4 at OKST 41, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.0%
    average punt
  14. Q2 3:13TTU 4th & 2 at TTU 31, up 20
    Close callPunted · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.9%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q3 12:00TTU 4th & 2 at OKST 15, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    70.9%−1.0
    83% to make
    Punt
    63.3%−8.6
    average punt
  16. Q3 9:33OKST 4th & 7 at OKST 17, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.9%−1.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.1%
    average punt
  17. Q3 2:48TTU 4th & 6 at OKST 38, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    83.2%−1.4
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    83.1%−1.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 13:53TTU 4th & 9 at OKST 9, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.3%−1.4
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.6%
    89% to make
    Punt
    79.9%−8.7
    average punt
  19. Q4 13:53OKST 4th & 12 at OKST 37, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−1.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%
    average punt
  20. Q4 8:26OKST 4th & 6 at TTU 25, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    1.5%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.6
    average punt
  21. Q4 5:16OKST 4th & 8 at TTU 33, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.4%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    4.2%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    3.6%−0.7
    average punt
  22. Q4 3:10TTU 4th & 6 at OKST 44, up 10
    Close callPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    92.1%−0.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.4%−0.3
    average punt
  23. Q4 3:02OKST 4th & 16 at OKST 11, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.3%−0.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TTU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5OKST made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 5:01TTU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:21TTU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:30OKST Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:02TTU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:00OKST Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:48TTU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:48OKST Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:26TTU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:16OKST Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    2.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 3:27OKST Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    7.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    6.9%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1FUMBLE
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
28.1%
Chuba Hubbard run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
28.1%
Spencer Sanders run for 3 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-4
28.1%
Spencer Sanders sacked by Tony Bradford Jr. and Eli Howard for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 26 Spencer Sanders fumbled, recovered by TexTc Broderick Washington Jr. , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 2FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0629% → 29%
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-1
28.7%
Armand Shyne run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 27Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 11
OPP 27
0
28.7%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Donta ThompsonSimilar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 11
OPP 27
+6
28.6%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Donta Thompson for 6 yds to the OKSt 21Similar
Q1 12:49
4TH & 5
OPP 21
+38
29.3%
Trey Wolff 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
29.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for 17 yds to the OKSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
29.2%
Spencer Sanders run for 4 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+9
29.1%
Chuba Hubbard run for 9 yds to the TexTc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-4
29.1%
Spencer Sanders sacked by Broderick Washington Jr. and Jordyn Brooks for a loss of 4 yards to the TexTc 49Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 14
OPP 49
+16
29.2%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 16 yds to the TexTc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-3
29.0%
LD Brown run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexTc 36Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 13
OPP 36
0
29.2%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Chuba HubbardSimilar
Q1 12:49
3RD & 13
OPP 36
-5
29.2%
Spencer Sanders sacked by Nelson Mbanasor for a loss of 5 yards to the TexTc 41Similar
Q1 12:49
4TH & 18
OPP 41
0
29.4%
Tom Hutton punt for 24 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
30.9%
Jett Duffey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+2
30.9%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 19Similar
Q1 9:53
3RD & 8
OWN 19
0
30.7%
Jett Duffey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:53
4TH & 8
OWN 19
+9
30.6%
Austin McNamara punt for 51 yds , Dillon Stoner returns for 9 yds to the OKSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 1:3069% → 68%
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
31.2%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jordan McCray for 9 yds to the OKSt 48Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+11
31.0%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 11 yds to the TexTc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
31.0%
Chuba Hubbard run for no gain to the TexTc 41Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-3
31.0%
LD Brown run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexTc 44Similar
Q1 7:40
3RD & 13
OPP 44
-2
32.0%
Spencer Sanders run for 13 yds to the TexTc 31 OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, personal foul (Tylan Wallace) to the TexTc 46Similar
Q1 7:40
3RD & 15
OPP 46
+6
32.1%
Spencer Sanders run for 6 yds to the TexTc 40Similar
Q1 7:40
4TH & 9
OPP 40
0
32.1%
Tom Hutton punt for 23 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 83 yds · 1:3333% → 38%
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+12
32.6%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Donta Thompson for 12 yds to the TexTc 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
32.7%
Armand Shyne run for 11 yds to the TexTc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
33.1%
Duffey, Jett pass incomplete to Vasher, T.J., PENALTY OSU pass interference (Williams, R.) 15 yards to the OSU45, 1ST DOWN TTU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
33.5%
Jett Duffey pass complete to KeSean Carter for 14 yds to the OKSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
33.7%
Armand Shyne run for 15 yds to the OKSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
33.7%
Jett Duffey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
38.4%
Jett Duffey run for 16 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0064% → 63%
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
36.0%
Chuba Hubbard run for no gain to the OKSt 25Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
36.1%
Spencer Sanders sacked by Jordyn Brooks and Tony Bradford Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 21Similar
Q1 5:01
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+2
36.5%
Chuba Hubbard run for 2 yds to the OKSt 23Similar
Q1 5:01
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
36.7%
Tom Hutton punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 8FG
7 plays · 31 yds · 2:2339% → 45%
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+13
39.1%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 13 yds to the OKSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
39.1%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the OKSt 33Similar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 15
OPP 33
+20
39.1%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Ta'Zhawn Henry for 20 yds to the OKSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
39.1%
Jett Duffey run for 1 yd to the OKSt 12Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+2
39.1%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 2 yds to the OKSt 10Similar
Q1 3:26
3RD & 7
OPP 10
0
38.7%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to McLane MannixSimilar
Q1 1:03
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+27
45.2%
Trey Wolff 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:0357% → 55%
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
43.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 24Similar
Q1 1:03
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-1
43.7%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dillon Stoner for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 23Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
45.3%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
45.5%
Tom Hutton punt for 55 yds, downed at the TexTc 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0047% → 46%
Q2 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
47.3%
Jett Duffey pass complete to R.J. Turner for 3 yds to the TexTc 25Similar
Q2 14:39
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+3
47.3%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 3 yds to the TexTc 28Similar
Q2 14:39
3RD & 4
OWN 28
0
46.9%
Jett Duffey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:39
4TH & 4
OWN 28
0
46.3%
Austin McNamara punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
46.5%
Spencer Sanders pass intercepted Damarcus Fields return for 5 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 12MISSED FG
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:4351% → 51%
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
50.7%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 7 yds to the OKSt 26Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 3
OPP 26
-5
50.4%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the OKSt 31Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 8
OPP 31
0
50.3%
Jett Duffey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+5
49.8%
Jett Duffey pass complete to McLane Mannix for 5 yds to the OKSt 26Similar
Q2 11:37
4TH & 3
OPP 26
+43
51.2%
Trey Wolff 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
48.6%
Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q2 11:37
2ND & 7
OWN 29
0
48.1%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Landon Wolf, broken up by Douglas Coleman IIISimilar
Q2 11:37
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+4
48.9%
Spencer Sanders pass intercepted Douglas Coleman III return for 4 yds to the OKSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 14TD
2 plays · 37 yds · 0:2754% → 68%
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+23
54.2%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Armand Shyne for 23 yds to the OKSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
67.9%
Jett Duffey pass complete to KeSean Carter for 14 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15DOWNS
12 plays · 47 yds · 0:0033% → 35%
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
66.9%
Chuba Hubbard run for 4 yds to the OKSt 23Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+7
67.0%
Chuba Hubbard run for 7 yds to the OKSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
66.2%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 11 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
66.0%
Chuba Hubbard run for 2 yds to the OKSt 43Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
66.3%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:21
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+7
66.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:21
4TH & 1
50
+7
65.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for 7 yds to the TexTc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
64.6%
Spencer Sanders run for 5 yds to the TexTc 38Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+2
64.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for 2 yds to the TexTc 36Similar
Q2 10:21
3RD & 3
OPP 36
0
64.5%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Jordan McCray, broken up by Alex HoganSimilar
Q2 10:21
4TH & 3
OPP 36
+2
65.1%
Spencer Sanders run for 2 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 16DOWNS
9 plays · 31 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
71.0%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to McLane MannixSimilar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+11
70.7%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 11 yds to the TexTc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
71.8%
Dalton Rigdon run for 8 yds to the TEXASTECH 47 TEXAS TECH Penalty, illegal block (T.J. Vasher) to the TexTc 43Similar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 12
OWN 43
+6
71.7%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 6 yds to the TexTc 49Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+14
71.7%
Jett Duffey pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 14 yds to the OKSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
71.9%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to R.J. TurnerSimilar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+2
71.7%
Jett Duffey run for 2 yds to the OKSt 35Similar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+6
71.2%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Donta Thompson for 6 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q2 7:10
4TH & 2
OPP 29
-6
70.5%
Jett Duffey sacked by Trace Ford for a loss of 6 yards to the OKSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
75.2%
Sanders,Spencer rush for 9 yards to the OSU44 (Jeffers, Riko), PENALTY OSU holding (Wallace, Tylan) 10 yards to the OSU25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+9
76.5%
Spencer Sanders run for 9 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+7
76.6%
Chuba Hubbard run for 7 yds to the OKSt 41Similar
Q2 4:22
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
75.4%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q2 4:22
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
75.7%
Tom Hutton punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Zech McPhearson at the TexTc 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0080% → 79%
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
80.3%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for no gain to the TexTc 23Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+8
80.2%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Ta'Zhawn Henry for 8 yds to the TexTc 31Similar
Q2 3:13
3RD & 2
OWN 31
0
80.1%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete, broken up by Trace FordSimilar
Q2 3:13
4TH & 2
OWN 31
0
79.2%
Austin McNamara punt for 15 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexTc 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19TD
6 plays · 46 yds · 1:2523% → 41%
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+22
76.8%
Chuba Hubbard run for 22 yds to the TexTc 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
75.5%
Chuba Hubbard run for 12 yds to the TexTc 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
75.5%
Chuba Hubbard run for 8 yds to the TexTc 4Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 2
OPP 4
+1
77.7%
Chuba Hubbard run for 1 yd to the TexTc 3Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+3
59.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 20END OF HALF
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
64.1%
Armand Shyne run for 1 yd to the TexTc 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 21TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:5868% → 90%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
67.5%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to R.J. TurnerSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
67.4%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Donta Thompson for 9 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
67.3%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
67.6%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+13
68.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Donta Thompson for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+29
69.0%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 29 yds to the OKSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
89.5%
Jett Duffey pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 21 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 22TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:0213% → 30%
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
86.6%
Chuba Hubbard run for 1 yd to the OKSt 26Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
86.6%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 1 yd to the OKSt 27Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+73
70.0%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jordan McCray for 73 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 23DOWNS
9 plays · 61 yds · 0:0073% → 72%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
72.5%
Jett Duffey pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 30 yds to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
73.7%
Armand Shyne run for no gain to the OKSt 45 TEXAS TECH Penalty, illegal procedure ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+12
73.6%
Jett Duffey pass complete to R.J. Turner for 12 yds to the OKSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
73.7%
Duffey, Jett pass incomplete to Carter, KeSean, PENALTY OSU holding (Williams, R.) 10 yards to the OSU23, 1ST DOWN TTU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
73.7%
Jett Duffey pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 9 yds to the OKSt 14Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 1
OPP 14
-1
73.7%
Armand Shyne run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 15Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 2
OPP 15
0
73.0%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q3 12:00
4TH & 2
OPP 15
+1
71.9%
Mark Richardson run for 1 yd to the OKSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
74.2%
Chuba Hubbard run for 6 yds to the OKSt 20Similar
Q3 9:33
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+2
73.6%
Chuba Hubbard run for 2 yds to the OKSt 22Similar
Q3 9:33
3RD & 2
OWN 22
-5
73.9%
Spencer Sanders sacked by TEAM for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 17Similar
Q3 9:33
4TH & 7
OWN 17
0
75.2%
Tom Hutton punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexTc 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 25TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 2:2178% → 94%
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
78.3%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Ta'Zhawn Henry for 13 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
78.4%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 4 yds to the OKSt 42Similar
Q3 8:09
2ND & 6
OPP 42
0
78.4%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Donta Thompson, broken up by Jarrick BernardSimilar
Q3 8:09
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+25
77.6%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 25 yds to the OKSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
78.4%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 9 yds to the OKSt 8Similar
Q3 5:48
2ND & 1
OPP 8
+8
94.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Dalton Rigdon for 8 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 26TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:008% → 24%
Q3 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.5%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q3 5:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
92.6%
Chuba Hubbard run for no gain to the OKSt 25Similar
Q3 5:48
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+11
92.7%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 11 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
92.2%
Chuba Hubbard run for no gain to the OKSt 36Similar
Q3 5:48
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+29
92.3%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 29 yds to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+30
91.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Landon Wolf for 30 yds to the TexTc 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
91.1%
Chuba Hubbard run for 2 yds to the TexTc 3Similar
Q3 2:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
76.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 35 yds · 0:0085% → 84%
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
84.5%
Duffey, Jett pass incomplete to Vasher, T.J., PENALTY OSU pass interference (Green, A.J.) 6 yards to the TTU33, 1ST DOWN TTU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+25
84.6%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Travis Koontz for 25 yds to the OKSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
85.6%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to R.J. TurnerSimilar
Q3 2:48
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+4
85.5%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 4 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
Q3 2:48
3RD & 6
OPP 38
0
85.0%
Jett Duffey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:48
4TH & 6
OPP 38
0
84.1%
Austin McNamara punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 28FUMBLE
6 plays · 60 yds · 0:0016% → 21%
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+19
83.7%
Chuba Hubbard run for 19 yds to the OKSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+21
82.7%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 6 yds to the OKSt 35 for a 1ST down TEXAS TECH Penalty, personal foul (Ja'Marcus Ingram) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
50
+8
80.6%
Chuba Hubbard run for 8 yds to the TexTc 42Similar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 2
OPP 42
0
80.2%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Rodarius WilliamsSimilar
Q3 1:25
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+23
80.6%
LD Brown run for 23 yds to the TexTc 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-11
79.1%
Spencer Sanders sacked by Jordyn Brooks for a loss of 11 yards to the TexTc 30 Spencer Sanders fumbled, recovered by TexTc Dadrion Taylor , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 29FG
7 plays · 61 yds · 1:1289% → 91%
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-4
88.9%
Dalton Rigdon run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexTc 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 26
+29
88.5%
Jett Duffey pass complete to R.J. Turner for 29 yds to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+36
89.7%
Jett Duffey pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 36 yds to the OKSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
89.7%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
89.7%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Donta ThompsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
89.4%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Donta Thompson, broken up by Tre SterlingSimilar
Q4 13:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
91.0%
Trey Wolff 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 30PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
89.1%
Chuba Hubbard run for 1 yd to the OKSt 26Similar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+13
89.1%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 13 yds to the OKSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
88.2%
Chuba Hubbard run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 37Similar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 12
OWN 37
0
89.1%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tylan Wallace, broken up by Damarcus FieldsSimilar
Q4 13:53
3RD & 12
OWN 37
0
89.4%
Spencer Sanders run for no gain to the OKSt 37Similar
Q4 13:53
4TH & 12
OWN 37
-2
89.5%
Tom Hutton punt for 50 yds , Zech McPhearson returns for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 6 Zech McPhearson fumbled, recovered by TexTc Zech McPhearson TEXAS TECH Penalty, Offensive holding (Ja'Marcus Ingram) to the TexTc 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 31TD
6 plays · 94 yds · 3:2493% → 99%
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
93.1%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 3 yds to the TexTc 9Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 7
OWN 9
+11
93.0%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 11 yds to the TexTc 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
93.2%
Jett Duffey pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 2 yds to the TexTc 22Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+19
93.2%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 19 yds to the TexTc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
93.8%
Jett Duffey run for 3 yds to the TexTc 44Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+56
98.9%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 56 yds for a TD, (Jett Duffey pass to T.J. Vasher for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 32TD
12 plays · 58 yds · 3:101% → 7%
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+19
98.6%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 19 yds to the TexTc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
98.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Rodarius Williams for 10 yds to the TexTc 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
98.3%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 7 yds to the TexTc 22Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 3
OPP 22
-4
98.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexTc 26 OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 8:26
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+1
98.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Chuba Hubbard for 1 yd to the TexTc 25Similar
Q4 8:26
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+8
98.6%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 8 yds to the TexTc 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
98.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds to the TexTc 14Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+6
98.3%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Rodarius Williams for 6 yds to the TexTc 8Similar
Q4 8:26
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+1
98.2%
Spencer Sanders run for 1 yd to the TexTc 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
92.9%
Chuba Hubbard run for 7 yds for a TD, (C. Hubbard Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 33TD
7 plays · 35 yds · 1:497% → 12%
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
93.4%
Spencer Sanders run for no gain to the TexTc 35Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+2
93.4%
Chuba Hubbard run for 2 yds to the TexTc 33Similar
Q4 5:16
3RD & 8
OPP 33
0
94.0%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Dillon StonerSimilar
Q4 5:16
4TH & 8
OPP 33
+20
94.3%
Spencer Sanders run for 20 yds to the TexTc 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
92.9%
Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds to the TexTc 10Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+10
87.9%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 10 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 34PUNT
9 plays · 4 yds · 0:1794% → 95%
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
93.8%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 5 yds to the OKSt 43Similar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+1
94.3%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd to the OKSt 42Similar
Q4 3:17
3RD & 4
OPP 42
-2
95.0%
SaRodorick Thompson run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 44Similar
Q4 3:10
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
95.4%
Austin McNamara punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 35INT
6 plays · 27 yds · 0:003% → 4%
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-6
96.7%
Spencer Sanders sacked by Jordyn Brooks for a loss of 6 yards to the OKSt 11Similar
Q4 3:02
2ND & 16
OWN 11
0
96.8%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:02
3RD & 16
OWN 11
0
96.9%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q4 3:02
4TH & 16
OWN 11
+19
97.0%
Spencer Sanders run for 19 yds to the OKSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
96.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 14 yds to the OKSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+20
96.2%
Spencer Sanders pass intercepted Douglas Coleman III return for 5 yds to the TexTc 49 TEXAS TECH Penalty, personal foul (Riko Jeffers) to the TexTc 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 36END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
97.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 25Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 12
OWN 25
-1
96.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 13:02
Jett Duffey pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 21 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK)
+20.5
TD · Q2 0:30
Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)
-18.4
TD · Q3 12:00
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jordan McCray for 73 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)
-16.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com