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MCN

McNeese 14 at Oklahoma State 56

OKST
2019 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2019 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadMCN aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreMCN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFUMBLEEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:08 · Cody Orgeron run for 5 yds to the OKSt 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 35Pregame prior+45.4Home team on offense+2.2Score differential+0.4Blowout margin+0.3Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:29: Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 69 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:43: Chuba Hubbard run for 4 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +0.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:29: Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 4 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 14:48: Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 75 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 3 of 5MCN made the numbers' call on 7 of 12
  1. Q1 14:15MCN 4th & 2 at MCN 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:05OKST 4th & 23 at OKST 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:27MCN 4th & 21 at OKST 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:08MCN 4th & 7 at OKST 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    2.1%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    2.0%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:29MCN 4th & 4 at MCN 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00OKST 4th & 3 at OKST 16, up 14
    Close callPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:31MCN 4th & 5 at OKST 45, down 14
    Close callPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:43MCN 4th & 5 at midfield, down 21
    Close callPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:15MCN 4th & 4 at MCN 31, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:59MCN 4th & 5 at OKST 24, down 49
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:59MCN 4th & 1 at OKST 1, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    -0.5%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:34OKST 4th & 2 at OKST 9, up 49
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00MCN 4th & 1 at OKST 1, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    -0.5%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:23OKST 4th & 5 at OKST 20, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:52MCN 4th & 15 at MCN 41, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:17OKST 4th & 6 at OKST 11, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:09MCN 4th & 4 at OKST 46, down 49
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 8 of 8MCN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 15:00OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:29OKST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:43OKST Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:29OKST Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 14:48OKST Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:15MCN Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:15OKST Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:52OKST Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 6:04OKST Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MCNDrive 1INT TD
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.2%
Justin Pratt run for 1 yd to the McNSt 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+27
99.2%
Cody Orgeron pass intercepted for a TD A.J. Green return for 27 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.1%
Justin Pratt run for 7 yds to the McNSt 32Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
99.1%
Justin Pratt run for no gain to the McNSt 32Similar
Q1 14:15
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
99.1%
Justin Pratt run for 3 yds to the McNSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
99.1%
Justin Pratt run for 1 yd to the McNSt 36Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+7
99.1%
Cody Orgeron pass complete to Trevor Begue for 7 yds to the McNSt 43Similar
Q1 14:15
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
99.1%
J'Cobi Skinner run for no gain to the McNSt 43Similar
Q1 14:15
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
99.1%
Bailey Raborn punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
99.0%
Spencer Sanders run for 3 yds to the OKSt 16Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+7
99.0%
Chuba Hubbard run for 7 yds to the OKSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
99.0%
Chuba Hubbard run for 1 yd to the OKSt 20 Chuba Hubbard fumbled, forced by Carlos Scott, recovered by OKSt Spencer SandersSimilar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 13
OWN 20
-11
99.0%
Spencer Sanders sacked by Chris Livings for a loss of 11 yards to the OKSt 9Similar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 24
OWN 9
+1
99.0%
Spencer Sanders run for 1 yd to the OKSt 10Similar
Q1 11:05
4TH & 23
OWN 10
0
99.0%
Tom Hutton punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
98.8%
J'Cobi Skinner run for 6 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q1 8:27
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+2
98.8%
D'Andre Hicks run for 2 yds to the OKSt 43Similar
Q1 8:27
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+6
98.8%
Cody Orgeron run for 6 yds to the OKSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
98.8%
D'Andre Hicks run for 1 yd to the OKSt 36Similar
Q1 8:27
2ND & 9
OPP 36
-3
98.8%
J'Cobi Skinner run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 39Similar
Q1 8:27
3RD & 12
OPP 39
-9
98.8%
Cody Orgeron sacked by Amen Ogbongbemiga for a loss of 9 yards to the OKSt 48Similar
Q1 8:27
4TH & 21
OPP 48
0
98.8%
Bailey Raborn punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5FUMBLE
5 plays · 30 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-2
98.5%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, false start (-2 Yards) to the OKSt 3Similar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 12
OWN 3
0
98.5%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 12
OWN 3
+11
98.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jordan McCray for 11 yds to the OKSt 14Similar
Q1 4:47
3RD & 1
OWN 14
+9
98.5%
Chuba Hubbard run for 9 yds to the OKSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
98.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 13 yds Dillon Stoner fumbled, forced by Darion Dunn, recovered by McNSt Jovon BurrissSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 6DOWNS
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:362% → 2%
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
98.3%
Cody Orgeron pass incomplete to Trevor BegueSimilar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-2
98.3%
Cody Orgeron pass complete to Trevor Begue for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 37Similar
Q1 3:44
3RD & 12
OPP 37
+5
98.4%
Cody Orgeron run for 5 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
Q1 2:08
4TH & 7
OPP 32
+5
98.3%
Cody Orgeron run for 5 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7TD
2 plays · 73 yds · 0:3098% → 99%
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
98.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for 4 yds to the OKSt 31Similar
Q1 1:29
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+69
98.7%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 69 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.6%
Matt Keller pass complete to Draysean Hudson for 6 yds to the McNSt 31Similar
Q1 1:29
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
98.6%
Justin Pratt run for no gain to the McNSt 31Similar
Q1 1:29
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
98.6%
Matt Keller pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:29
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
98.6%
Bailey Raborn punt for 60 yds, downed at the OKSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0699% → 99%
Q1 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
98.6%
Spencer Sanders run for 2 yds to the OKSt 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+5
98.6%
Chuba Hubbard run for 5 yds to the OKSt 16Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 16
0
98.6%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Dillon StonerSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 16
0
98.5%
Tom Hutton punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
98.4%
Cody Orgeron pass complete to Nate Briscoe for 5 yds to the McNSt 44Similar
Q2 14:31
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+6
98.4%
Cody Orgeron pass complete to Darion Dunn for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:31
1ST & 10
50
-1
98.4%
J'Cobi Skinner run for a loss of 1 yard to the McNSt 49Similar
Q2 14:31
2ND & 11
OWN 49
0
98.4%
Cody Orgeron pass incomplete to Draysean Hudson, broken up by Tre SterlingSimilar
Q2 14:31
3RD & 11
OWN 49
+6
98.5%
Cody Orgeron run for 6 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q2 14:31
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
98.4%
Bailey Raborn punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11TD
18 plays · 91 yds · 4:1398% → 99%
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
98.4%
Spencer Sanders run for 6 yds to the OKSt 15Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 4
OWN 15
0
98.4%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tylan Wallace, broken up by Darion DunnSimilar
Q2 11:56
3RD & 4
OWN 15
-7
98.4%
Sanders,Spencer rush for 7 yards to the OSU22, out-of-bounds (Daniels, Darius), PENALTY OSU personal foul (Galloway, Dylan) 7 yards to the OSU8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:56
3RD & 11
OWN 8
+5
98.4%
MCNEESE ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Cody Roscoe) to the OKSt 13Similar
Q2 11:56
3RD & 6
OWN 13
+9
98.4%
Spencer Sanders run for 9 yds to the OKSt 22 for a 1ST down MCNEESE ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
98.4%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+5
98.4%
Spencer Sanders run for 5 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q2 11:56
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+9
98.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jordan McCray for 9 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
98.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jordan McCray for 13 yds to the OKSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+18
98.5%
Chuba Hubbard run for 18 yds to the McNSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
98.5%
Spencer Sanders run for 4 yds to the McNSt 29Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+3
98.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 3 yds to the McNSt 26Similar
Q2 11:56
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+5
98.5%
Spencer Sanders run for 5 yds to the McNSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
98.5%
Chuba Hubbard run for no gain to the McNSt 21Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+11
98.5%
Sanders,Spencer pass incomplete to Wolf, Landon, PENALTY MCN face mask (Bonnette, R.) 11 yards to the MCN10, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
98.5%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tylan Wallace, broken up by Cyron SuttonSimilar
Q2 11:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
98.5%
Spencer Sanders run for 6 yds to the McNSt 4Similar
Q2 7:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.1%
Chuba Hubbard run for 4 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
98.9%
Elijah Mack run for 3 yds to the McNSt 26Similar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+19
98.9%
Elijah Mack run for 4 yds to the McNSt 30 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, personal foul (Brendon Evers) to the McNSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
98.9%
Elijah Mack run for a loss of 1 yard to the McNSt 44Similar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+6
98.9%
Cody Orgeron run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:43
3RD & 5
50
0
98.9%
Cody Orgeron run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:43
4TH & 5
50
0
98.9%
Bailey Raborn punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13TD
12 plays · 91 yds · 3:3099% → 100%
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+11
99.1%
Spencer Sanders run for 11 yds to the OKSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
99.1%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jordan McCray for 12 yds to the OKSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
99.1%
Spencer Sanders run for 10 yds to the OKSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
99.2%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the OKSt 37Similar
Q2 4:59
1ST & 15
OWN 37
0
99.1%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 15
OWN 37
+29
99.1%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 29 yds to the OKLAST 34 for a 1ST down MCNEESE ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+20
99.2%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 6 yds to the McNSt 28 for a 1ST down MCNEESE ST Penalty, personal foul (Darion Dunn) to the McNSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
99.2%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 7 yds to the McNSt 7Similar
Q2 4:59
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+2
99.2%
LD Brown run for 2 yds to the McNSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.2%
LD Brown run for no gain to the McNSt 4Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+1
99.2%
LD Brown run for 1 yd to the McNSt 6Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 4 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 14END OF HALF
9 plays · 18 yds · 0:100% → 0%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.8%
J'Cobi Skinner run for 1 yd to the McNSt 26Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
99.8%
Cody Orgeron pass incomplete to Nate BriscoeSimilar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
99.8%
Cody Orgeron run for 10 yds to the McNSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
99.8%
J'Cobi Skinner run for 9 yds to the McNSt 45Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+8
99.7%
Cody Orgeron run for 8 yds to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.7%
Cody Orgeron pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-10
99.8%
Cody Orgeron sacked by Trace Ford for a loss of 10 yards to the McNSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
99.7%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 75 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 16TD
10 plays · 82 yds · 3:330% → 0%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
99.8%
Justin Pratt run for 6 yds to the McNSt 24Similar
Q3 14:48
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+5
99.8%
Justin Pratt run for 5 yds to the McNSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
99.8%
Justin Pratt run for 6 yds to the McNSt 35Similar
Q3 14:48
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+1
99.8%
Justin Pratt run for 1 yd to the McNSt 36Similar
Q3 12:29
3RD & 3
OWN 36
-5
99.8%
MCNEESE ST Penalty, false start (Caleb Gary) to the McNSt 31Similar
Q3 12:29
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+52
99.8%
Cody Orgeron run for 52 yds to the OKSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
99.8%
Elijah Mack run for 1 yd to the OKSt 16Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+16
99.8%
Cody Orgeron pass complete to D'Andre Hicks for 16 yds for a TD, (Noah Anderson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:00100% → 100%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.8%
Dru Brown pass complete to Landon Wolf for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 24Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+7
99.8%
LD Brown run for 7 yds to the OKSt 31Similar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
99.8%
Dru Brown pass complete to Logan Carter for 6 yds to the OKSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.8%
Dru Brown run for 4 yds to the OKSt 41Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+59
99.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to C.J. Moore for 59 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Elijah Mack run for 2 yds to the McNSt 27Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
99.9%
Elijah Mack run for 2 yds to the McNSt 29 Elijah Mack fumbled, forced by Kevin Henry, recovered by McNSt Elijah MackSimilar
Q3 9:15
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+2
99.8%
Cody Orgeron run for 2 yds to the McNSt 31Similar
Q3 9:15
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Bailey Raborn punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19TD
2 plays · 72 yds · 0:34100% → 100%
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
99.9%
Micah Cooper run for 3 yds to the OKSt 31Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+69
99.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 69 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 20INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
99.9%
Cody Orgeron run for 3 yds to the McNSt 12Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+12
99.9%
Cody Orgeron pass intercepted Philip Redwine-Bryant return for 12 yds to the McNSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21TD
1 play · 1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 6:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Micah Cooper run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 22DOWNS
14 plays · 81 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
99.9%
Cody Orgeron pass complete to D'Andre Hicks for 12 yds to the McNSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
99.9%
Cody Orgeron pass complete to Trevor Begue for 6 yds to the McNSt 36Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+35
99.9%
Cody Orgeron pass complete to Trevor Begue for 35 yds to the OKSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
99.9%
Cody Orgeron pass complete to Cyron Sutton for 2 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+3
99.9%
D'Andre Hicks run for 3 yds to the OKSt 24Similar
Q3 5:59
3RD & 5
OPP 24
0
99.9%
Cody Orgeron pass incomplete to Cyron SuttonSimilar
Q3 5:59
4TH & 5
OPP 24
+23
99.9%
Cody Orgeron pass complete to Trevor Begue for 23 yds to the OKSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.8%
Cody Orgeron run for no gain to the OKSt 1Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.8%
Mack, Elijah rush for no gain to the OSU1 (Ford, Trace), PENALTY OSU offside 0 yards to the OSU1, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.8%
Elijah Mack run for no gain to the OKSt 1Similar
Q3 5:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.8%
Cody Orgeron pass incomplete to Cyron SuttonSimilar
Q3 5:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.8%
Cody Orgeron pass incomplete to Davion Curtis, broken up by Kody WalterscheidSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
99.9%
MCNEESE ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Marval Bourgeois) to the OKSt 6Similar
Q3 2:34
1ST & 5
OWN 6
+1
99.9%
Micah Cooper run for 1 yd to the OKSt 7Similar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 4
OWN 7
0
99.9%
Dru Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:34
3RD & 4
OWN 7
+2
99.9%
Dru Brown run for 2 yds to the OKSt 9Similar
Q3 2:34
4TH & 2
OWN 9
0
99.9%
Tom Hutton punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Cyron Sutton at the OKSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 24DOWNS
5 plays · 48 yds · 1:060% → 0%
Q3 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+41
100.0%
Cody Orgeron pass complete to D'Andre Hicks for 41 yds to the OKSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
100.0%
D'Andre Hicks run for 7 yds to the OKSt 1Similar
Q3 1:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
D'Andre Hicks run for no gain to the OKSt 1Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
Justin Pratt run for no gain to the OKSt 1Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.8%
Cody Orgeron pass incomplete to Cyron Sutton, broken up by Sean Michael FlanaganSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
99.9%
Jahmyl Jeter run for 2 yds to the OKSt 3Similar
Q4 14:23
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+5
99.9%
Jahmyl Jeter run for 5 yds to the OKSt 8Similar
Q4 14:23
3RD & 3
OWN 8
+7
99.9%
Dru Brown run for 7 yds to the OKSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
99.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to LC Greenwood for 2 yds to the OKSt 17Similar
Q4 14:23
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+3
99.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dayton Metcalf for 3 yds to the OKSt 20Similar
Q4 14:23
3RD & 5
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to LC GreenwoodSimilar
Q4 14:23
4TH & 5
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Tom Hutton punt for 34 yds , Cyron Sutton returns for no gain to the McNSt 46 Cyron Sutton fumbled, forced by Gabe Lemons, recovered by McNSt Cyron SuttonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
100.0%
MCNEESE ST Penalty, false start (Grant Burguillos) to the McNSt 41Similar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 15
OWN 41
0
100.0%
Cody Orgeron pass incomplete to Draysean HudsonSimilar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 15
OWN 41
0
100.0%
Cody Orgeron run for no gain to the McNSt 41Similar
Q4 11:52
3RD & 15
OWN 41
+5
100.0%
Cody Orgeron run for 5 yds to the McNSt 46Similar
Q4 11:52
4TH & 10
OWN 46
-5
100.0%
MCNEESE ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the McNSt 41Similar
Q4 11:52
4TH & 15
OWN 41
0
100.0%
Bailey Raborn punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Thomas Harper at the OKSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:58100% → 100%
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
100.0%
Dru Brown pass complete to Jacob Morris for 4 yds to the OKSt 11Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 6
OWN 11
0
100.0%
Jahmyl Jeter run for no gain to the OKSt 11Similar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 6
OWN 11
0
100.0%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Jacob MorrisSimilar
Q4 9:17
4TH & 6
OWN 11
0
100.0%
Jake McClure punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Cyron Sutton at the McNSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
100.0%
D'Andre Hicks run for no gain to the McNSt 48Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+6
100.0%
D'Andre Hicks run for 6 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 4
OPP 46
0
100.0%
Matt Keller pass incomplete to Nate BriscoeSimilar
Q4 9:09
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
100.0%
Bailey Raborn punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Thomas Harper at the OKSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 29FUMBLE TD
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:13100% → 100%
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
100.0%
Taylor, Shaun rush for no gain to the OSU6 (Lewis, Enos;Jackson, Justin), PENALTY MCN false start (Conerly, Steven) 5 yards to the OSU11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:52
1ST & 5
OWN 11
+7
100.0%
Deondrick Glass run for 7 yds to the OKSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
100.0%
Shaun Taylor pass complete to Langston Anderson for 8 yds to the OKSt 26Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+2
100.0%
A.J. Green run for 2 yds to the OKSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
100.0%
Shaun Taylor pass complete to Dayton Metcalf for 3 yds to the OKSt 31Similar
Q4 5:39
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+32
100.0%
Deondrick Glass run for no gain Deondrick Glass fumbled, forced by Dorion Pollard, recovered by McNSt Marcus Foster , return for 32 yds, (Noah Anderson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 30END OF GAME
11 plays · 37 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
100.0%
Jahmyl Jeter run for 6 yds to the OKSt 31Similar
Q4 5:39
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
100.0%
Jahmyl Jeter run for 2 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
Q4 5:39
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
100.0%
Jahmyl Jeter run for 5 yds to the OKSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
100.0%
Shaun Taylor pass complete to LC Greenwood for 6 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q4 5:39
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+3
100.0%
Jahmyl Jeter run for 3 yds to the OKSt 47Similar
Q4 5:39
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+3
100.0%
Jahmyl Jeter run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
50
+4
100.0%
Shaun Taylor pass complete to LC Greenwood for 4 yds to the McNSt 46Similar
Q4 5:39
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+4
100.0%
Jahmyl Jeter run for 4 yds to the McNSt 42Similar
Q4 5:39
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+5
100.0%
Jahmyl Jeter run for 5 yds to the McNSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
100.0%
Jahmyl Jeter run for a loss of 1 yard to the McNSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:43
Chuba Hubbard run for 4 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)
+0.6
TD · Q2 1:29
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 4 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)
+0.6
TD · Q1 1:29
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 69 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)
+0.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com