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Oklahoma 34 at Oklahoma State 16

OKST
2019 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2019 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadOU aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGFGFGFGTDTDEnd of GameFG+4.7OKST 20.7%Matt Ammendola 25 yd FG GOODAWAY 20 - HOME 13 · Q2 0:00
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:00 · Matt Ammendola 25 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+50.5+25.30−25.3−50.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 80Pregame prior−21.6Home team on offense−6.5Score differential−2.1Garbage-time factor−2.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:54: Nick Basquine pass complete to Jalen Hurts for 4 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK) — OU win probability +2.8 pts (now 83%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Matt Ammendola 25 yd FG GOOD — OKST win probability +4.7 pts (now 21%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 9:41: Matt Ammendola 26 yd FG GOOD — OKST win probability +5.7 pts (now 30%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:22: Kennedy Brooks run for 3 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK) — OU win probability +9.1 pts (now 85%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:21: Jalen Hurts pass complete to Brayden Willis for 3 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK) — OU win probability +5.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 7 of 7OU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 3:00OU 4th & 6 at OKST 25, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.0%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    73.7%−1.3
    average punt
  2. Q2 9:40OKST 4th & 11 at OU 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    19.1%−2.0
    average punt
  3. Q2 5:06OU 4th & 4 at OKST 10, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 77.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.2%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.9%−0.4
    88% to make
    Punt
    72.6%−4.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:00OKST 4th & 8 at OU 8, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.5%
    90% to make
    Punt
    16.1%−4.4
    average punt
  5. Q3 13:57OKST 4th & 4 at OKST 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.8%−0.8
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.6%
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:57OU 4th & 19 at OU 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.7%−3.7
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:41OKST 4th & 6 at OU 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.0%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.5%
    89% to make
    Punt
    15.7%−9.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:06OKST 4th & 3 at OU 27, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    16.8%−0.8
    62% to make
    Punt
    11.7%−5.9
    average punt
  9. Q4 8:36OKST 4th & 1 at OKST 34, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.5%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 6:08OU 4th & 19 at OKST 43, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.5
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    97.6%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:18OKST 4th & 10 at OU 48, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.7%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1OU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 13:14OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:02OKST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:54OU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:22OU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:21OU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1TD
5 plays · 78 yds · 1:3185% → 85%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
14.6%
Kennedy Brooks run for 9 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+23
14.8%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Nick Basquine for 23 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+18
15.0%
Kennedy Brooks run for 18 yds to the OKSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
14.9%
Jalen Hurts run for 28 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 3:5615% → 18%
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
15.1%
Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+5
15.3%
Dru Brown pass complete to Chuba Hubbard for 5 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
Q1 11:52
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+4
15.4%
Chuba Hubbard run for 4 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
15.6%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dillon Stoner for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 35Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+22
15.7%
Chuba Hubbard run for 22 yds to the Okla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+33
16.2%
Dru Brown pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 33 yds to the Okla 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
16.5%
LD Brown run for 7 yds to the Okla 3Similar
Q1 9:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
18.0%
Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 3FG
13 plays · 49 yds · 5:5083% → 80%
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
17.4%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Brayden WillisSimilar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-2
17.5%
Jalen Hurts sacked by Jarrick Bernard and Israel Antwine for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 24Similar
Q1 7:57
3RD & 12
OWN 24
+23
18.1%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Rhamondre Stevenson for 23 yds to the Okla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
17.7%
CeeDee Lamb run for 7 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+1
17.9%
Kennedy Brooks run for 1 yd to the OKSt 45Similar
Q1 6:13
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+5
18.3%
Kennedy Brooks run for 5 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
18.5%
Jalen Hurts run for 8 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+3
18.6%
Jalen Hurts run for 3 yds to the OKSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-4
18.9%
Jalen Hurts sacked by Amen Ogbongbemiga and Malcolm Rodriguez for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 33Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 14
OPP 33
+8
19.5%
Kennedy Brooks run for 8 yds to the OKSt 25Similar
Q1 3:04
3RD & 6
OPP 25
0
19.7%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to CeeDee Lamb, broken up by Tre SterlingSimilar
Q1 3:00
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+42
19.7%
Gabe Brkic 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4FUMBLE
6 plays · 34 yds · 1:0820% → 21%
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
19.7%
Chuba Hubbard run for 13 yds to the OKSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
20.1%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Dillon StonerSimilar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+15
20.1%
Brown, Dru pass incomplete to Johnson, Braydon, PENALTY OKLAHOMA pass interference (Brown, Tre) 15 yards to the OKLAHOMA47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST.Similar
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
20.8%
Dru Brown pass complete to Landon Wolf for 5 yds to the Okla 42Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+3
21.3%
Dru Brown pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 1 yd Braydon Johnson fumbled, forced by Parnell Motley, recovered by Okla Parnell Motley , return for 3 yds to the Okla 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5TD
5 plays · 56 yds · 1:4580% → 83%
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
19.6%
Kennedy Brooks run for 3 yds to the Okla 47Similar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+18
19.8%
Kennedy Brooks run for 18 yds to the OKSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+29
19.7%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Lee Morris for 29 yds to the OKSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
19.8%
Jalen Hurts run for 2 yds to the OKSt 4Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
17.0%
Nick Basquine pass complete to Jalen Hurts for 4 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6FG
14 plays · 49 yds · 5:0917% → 20%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
17.2%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 5 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q2 14:27
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
17.4%
Chuba Hubbard run for 6 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
17.6%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 9 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q2 13:39
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+6
17.8%
Dru Brown pass complete to Chuba Hubbard for 6 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
18.1%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Dillon StonerSimilar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+13
18.0%
Chuba Hubbard run for 13 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
18.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for 9 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 1
OPP 27
-5
18.8%
Chuba Hubbard run for a loss of 5 yards to the Okla 32 Chuba Hubbard fumbled, forced by Brendan Radley-Hiles, recovered by OKSt Chuba HubbardSimilar
Q2 11:41
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+7
18.4%
Dru Brown run for 7 yds to the Okla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-4
19.2%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dillon Stoner for a loss of 4 yards to the Okla 29 lat. to Braydon Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 31Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 16
OPP 31
+5
18.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 5 yds to the Okla 26Similar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 11
OPP 26
0
18.4%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Dillon StonerSimilar
Q2 9:40
4TH & 11
OPP 26
+43
19.6%
Matt Ammendola 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7FG
10 plays · 65 yds · 4:2781% → 82%
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
19.4%
Kennedy Brooks run for 4 yds to the Okla 29Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
19.3%
Jalen Hurts run for 7 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
19.2%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 9 yds to the Okla 45Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+23
18.0%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 23 yds to the OKSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+16
17.8%
Kennedy Brooks run for 16 yds to the OKSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
17.8%
Jalen Hurts run for 4 yds to the OKSt 12Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+2
17.9%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 2 yds to the OKSt 10Similar
Q2 5:44
3RD & 4
OPP 10
0
18.4%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for no gain to the OKSt 10Similar
Q2 5:06
4TH & 4
OPP 10
+27
17.9%
Gabe Brkic 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8END OF HALF
18 plays · 77 yds · 4:5018% → 21%
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
17.8%
Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds to the OKSt 18Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+1
17.9%
Chuba Hubbard run for 1 yd to the OKSt 19Similar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 6
OWN 19
+15
17.4%
Dru Brown pass complete to Jordan McCray for 15 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
18.4%
Dru Brown pass complete to Landon Wolf for 3 yds to the OKSt 37Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+3
18.7%
Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds to the OKSt 40Similar
Q2 2:39
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+42
18.5%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 42 yds to the Okla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
20.8%
Chuba Hubbard run for 5 yds to the Okla 13Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+4
20.2%
Dru Brown run for 4 yds to the Okla 9Similar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+1
19.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for 1 yd to the Okla 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
20.1%
Chuba Hubbard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 9Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
19.8%
Dru Brown pass complete to Jordan McCray for 7 yds to the Okla 2Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
18.4%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, False Start (Braden Cassity) to the Okla 7Similar
Q2 0:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
18.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 8Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
20.7%
Matt Ammendola 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:5321% → 21%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
21.2%
Chuba Hubbard run for 1 yd to the OKSt 26Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
21.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for 5 yds to the OKSt 31 Chuba Hubbard fumbled, forced by Parnell Motley, recovered by OKSt Teven JenkinsSimilar
Q3 14:06
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
21.1%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Braydon Johnson, broken up by Jaden DavisSimilar
Q3 13:57
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
20.6%
Tom Hutton punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 1:5180% → 78%
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
20.3%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Charleston RamboSimilar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+1
20.4%
Jalen Hurts run for 1 yd to the Okla 24Similar
Q3 13:11
3RD & 9
OWN 24
-5
21.1%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Okla 19Similar
Q3 12:34
3RD & 14
OWN 19
-5
21.5%
Jalen Hurts sacked by Trace Ford for a loss of 5 yards to the Okla 14Similar
Q3 11:57
4TH & 19
OWN 14
0
22.2%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11FG
6 plays · 49 yds · 2:0923% → 30%
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
23.3%
Dru Brown run for 11 yds to the Okla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+34
24.5%
Dru Brown pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 34 yds to the Okla 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
25.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dillon Stoner for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 14Similar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 11
OPP 14
0
26.1%
Dru Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:15
3RD & 11
OPP 14
+5
24.6%
Dru Brown pass complete to Logan Carter for 5 yds to the Okla 9Similar
Q3 9:41
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+26
30.3%
Matt Ammendola 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12TD
13 plays · 93 yds · 6:0172% → 85%
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+15
28.3%
Kennedy Brooks run for 15 yds to the Okla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
28.0%
Kennedy Brooks run for 2 yds to the Okla 24Similar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+5
28.3%
Kennedy Brooks run for 5 yds to the Okla 29Similar
Q3 7:31
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+4
28.7%
Jalen Hurts run for 4 yds to the Okla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
26.8%
Kennedy Brooks run for 6 yds to the Okla 39Similar
Q3 6:19
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+30
25.6%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 30 yds to the OKSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
24.2%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 8 yds to the OKSt 23Similar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+12
24.1%
Kennedy Brooks run for 12 yds to the OKSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
23.9%
Kennedy Brooks run for 2 yds to the OKSt 9Similar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+6
22.5%
Kennedy Brooks run for 6 yds to the OKSt 3Similar
Q3 3:22
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+3
15.0%
Kennedy Brooks run for 3 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13DOWNS
8 plays · 48 yds · 2:0817% → 17%
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
16.5%
Brown, Dru pass incomplete to Stoner, Dillon, PENALTY OKLAHOMA face mask (Turner-Yell, Delarrin) 15 yards to the OKLAST40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST.Similar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
17.6%
Brown, Dru pass incomplete to McCray, Jordan, PENALTY OKLAHOMA pass interference (Brown, Tre) 13 yards to the OKLAHOMA47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST.Similar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
18.8%
Dru Brown pass complete to Jordan McCray for 13 yds to the Okla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
20.5%
Chuba Hubbard run for 4 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q3 1:51
2ND & 6
OPP 30
0
20.4%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Landon WolfSimilar
Q3 1:43
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+3
18.7%
Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q3 1:06
4TH & 3
OPP 27
0
17.1%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Logan CarterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 14TD
14 plays · 73 yds · 5:3884% → 98%
Q3 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
16.1%
Jalen Hurts run for 2 yds to the Okla 29Similar
Q3 0:27
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+5
14.7%
Jalen Hurts run for 5 yds to the Okla 34Similar
Q3 0:01
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+4
14.9%
Jalen Hurts run for 4 yds to the Okla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
13.9%
Hurts, Jalen pass complete to Rambo, Charleston for loss of 5 yards to the OKLAHOMA33, PENALTY OKLAST personal foul (Sterling, Tre) 15 yards to the OKLAST47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAHOMA.Similar
Q4 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
14.0%
Kennedy Brooks run for 2 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+3
13.3%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 3 yds to the OKSt 42Similar
Q4 13:19
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+9
12.7%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Nick Basquine for 9 yds to the OKSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
12.3%
Hurts, Jalen pass incomplete to Basquine, Nick, PENALTY OKLAST offside (Ford, Trace) 5 yards to the OKLAST28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 5
OPP 28
+4
12.0%
Kennedy Brooks run for 4 yds to the OKSt 24Similar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+3
12.0%
Jalen Hurts run for 3 yds to the OKSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+17
11.2%
Kennedy Brooks run for 17 yds to the OKSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
7.5%
CeeDee Lamb run for 1 yd to the OKSt 3Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
1.6%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Brayden Willis for 3 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:394% → 4%
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
3.9%
Dru Brown pass complete to Chuba Hubbard for 2 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
4.0%
Chuba Hubbard run for 6 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
Q4 9:15
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
4.0%
Chuba Hubbard run for 1 yd to the OKSt 34Similar
Q4 8:36
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
3.8%
Chuba Hubbard run for no gain to the OKSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 2:2298% → 99%
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-8
1.6%
Kennedy Brooks run for 2 yds to the OKSt 32 OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Marquis Hayes) to the OKSt 42Similar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 18
OPP 42
+1
1.6%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 1 yd to the OKSt 41Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 17
OPP 41
+2
1.6%
Kennedy Brooks run for 2 yds to the OKSt 39Similar
Q4 7:03
3RD & 15
OPP 39
-5
1.4%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (Tyrese Robinson) to the OKSt 44Similar
Q4 6:40
3RD & 20
OPP 44
+1
1.4%
Jalen Hurts run for 1 yd to the OKSt 43Similar
Q4 6:08
4TH & 19
OPP 43
0
1.2%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17INT
9 plays · 40 yds · 2:433% → 2%
Q4 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+15
2.9%
Brown, Dru pass incomplete to Stoner, Dillon, PENALTY OKLAHOMA roughing passer (Kelly, Caleb) 15 yards to the OKLAST27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST.Similar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
3.0%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to Dillon StonerSimilar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+11
2.3%
Dru Brown pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 11 yds to the OKSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
2.2%
Dru Brown pass complete to Jelani Woods for 8 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q4 4:54
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+6
2.2%
Dru Brown pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 6 yds to the Okla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
2.2%
Chuba Hubbard run for 5 yds to the Okla 43Similar
Q4 4:06
2ND & 5
OPP 43
-5
2.3%
Dru Brown sacked by David Ugwoegbu for a loss of 5 yards to the Okla 48Similar
Q4 3:28
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
2.1%
Dru Brown pass incomplete to LD BrownSimilar
Q4 3:18
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
2.0%
Dru Brown pass intercepted Parnell Motley return for no gain to the Okla 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18END OF 4TH QUARTER
5 plays · 44 yds · 2:1399% → 99%
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+45
1.0%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 45 yds to the OKSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-10
0.8%
Stevenson, Rhamondre rush for 24 yards to the OKLAST0, PENALTY OKLAHOMA holding (Hayes, Marquis) 10 yards to the OKLAST34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 20
OPP 34
-5
0.8%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 39Similar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 25
OPP 39
+10
0.7%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 10 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q4 0:55
3RD & 15
OPP 29
+4
0.7%
Jadon Haselwood run for 4 yds to the OKSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:22
Kennedy Brooks run for 3 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)
-9.1
TD · Q4 10:21
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Brayden Willis for 3 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)
-5.9
FG · Q3 9:41
Matt Ammendola 26 yd FG GOOD
+5.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com