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TCU

TCU 24 at Oklahoma 28

OU
2019 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2019 · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
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Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadTCU aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreTCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:05 · Reeves Mundschau punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jalen Reagor at the TCU 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 54Pregame prior+27.8Home team on offense+13.4Garbage-time factor+3.8Score differential+10.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3Blowout margin−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:56: Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 5 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK) — OU win probability +3.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:31: Sewo Olonilua run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Song KICK) — TCU win probability +4.9 pts (now 12%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:15: Max Duggan run for 11 yds for a TD (Jonathan Song KICK) — TCU win probability +10.7 pts (now 25%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q3 7:11: Jalen Hurts run for 8 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK) — OU win probability +6.2 pts (now 89%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:43: Jalen Hurts pass intercepted for a TD Vernon Scott return for 98 yds for a TD (Jonathan Song KICK) — TCU win probability +11.1 pts (now 20%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5TCU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 13:45TCU 4th & 20 at TCU 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:06OU 4th & 2 at TCU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    86.9%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    86.8%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:08TCU 4th & 20 at TCU 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%−0.3
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:30TCU 4th & 7 at TCU 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:03TCU 4th & 6 at TCU 39, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:05OU 4th & 9 at OU 31, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:41TCU 4th & 7 at OU 7, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    8.5%−2.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:35OU 4th & 18 at OU 38, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%−0.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:21OU 4th & 3 at TCU 42, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    87.3%−1.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    87.7%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:48TCU 4th & 12 at OU 42, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    11.0%−0.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:34TCU 4th & 10 at TCU 7, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:16OU 4th & 1 at TCU 41, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    81.2%−6.4
    32% to make
    Punt
    81.1%−6.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:41TCU 4th & 6 at OU 40, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    14.9%−3.8
    34% to make
    Punt
    11.2%−7.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4TCU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:20OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:35OU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:56OU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:31TCU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:15TCU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:11OU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:43TCU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.2%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TCUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · -10 yds · 1:1512% → 12%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
88.1%
TCU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TCU 20Similar
Q1 14:50
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
88.1%
Darius Anderson run for no gain to the TCU 20Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-5
88.0%
TCU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TCU 15Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 20
OWN 15
0
87.9%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Tre'Vius Hodges-TomlinsonSimilar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 20
OWN 15
0
87.9%
Max Duggan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:45
4TH & 20
OWN 15
+13
87.8%
Jordy Sandy punt for 50 yds , CeeDee Lamb returns for 13 yds to the Okla 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 2TD
10 plays · 52 yds · 4:1588% → 88%
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
87.8%
Kennedy Brooks run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 8
50
+5
87.8%
Kennedy Brooks run for 5 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+7
87.6%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Lee Morris for 7 yds to the TCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
87.5%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q1 11:57
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
87.5%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Charleston RamboSimilar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+8
87.3%
Jalen Hurts run for 8 yds to the TCU 30Similar
Q1 11:06
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+5
87.1%
Jalen Hurts run for 5 yds to the TCU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+14
87.2%
Kennedy Brooks run for 14 yds to the TCU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
87.0%
Kennedy Brooks run for 4 yds to the TCU 7Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+7
87.8%
Jalen Hurts run for 7 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:3713% → 13%
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
87.3%
Max Duggan sacked by Kenneth Murray for a loss of 5 yards to the TCU 20Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
87.4%
Max Duggan run for no gain to the TCU 20Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 15
OWN 20
-5
87.4%
Max Duggan sacked by Jalen Redmond for a loss of 5 yards to the TCU 15Similar
Q1 7:08
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
87.4%
Jordy Sandy punt for 50 yds, downed at the Okla 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 4TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 2:2787% → 89%
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
87.2%
Jalen Hurts run for 11 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
87.4%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 6 yds to the TCU 48Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+11
87.4%
Kennedy Brooks run for 11 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+17
87.4%
Jalen Hurts run for 17 yds to the TCU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
89.4%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Brayden Willis for 20 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:5512% → 11%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
88.4%
Max Duggan run for 5 yds to the TCU 30 TCU Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the TCU 20Similar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
88.5%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Tre'Vius Hodges-TomlinsonSimilar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-3
88.5%
Max Duggan pass complete to Sewo Olonilua for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 17Similar
Q1 3:06
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+11
88.8%
Max Duggan pass complete to Te'Vailance Hunt for 11 yds to the TCU 28Similar
Q1 2:30
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
88.6%
Jordy Sandy punt for 53 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 6TD
11 plays · 81 yds · 4:2589% → 94%
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
89.0%
Kennedy Brooks run for 4 yds to the Okla 23Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+12
89.1%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 12 yds to the Okla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
89.1%
Kennedy Brooks run for 14 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+21
89.6%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 36 yds to the OKLAHOMA 15 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA Penalty, Illegal Block (CeeDee Lamb) to the TCU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
89.6%
Jalen Hurts run for 6 yds to the TCU 24Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+7
89.6%
Kennedy Brooks run for 7 yds to the TCU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
89.7%
Kennedy Brooks run for 6 yds to the TCU 11Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+6
89.8%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 6 yds to the TCU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
89.8%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q2 12:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
93.9%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 5 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:447% → 6%
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
93.3%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 10 yds to the TCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
93.3%
Darius Anderson run for 2 yds to the TCU 37Similar
Q2 11:46
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
93.4%
Max Duggan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:33
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+2
93.5%
Sewo Olonilua run for 2 yds to the TCU 39Similar
Q2 11:03
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
93.6%
Jordy Sandy punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:4594% → 94%
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
94.1%
Kennedy Brooks run for 1 yd to the Okla 31Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
94.2%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Lee MorrisSimilar
Q2 10:13
3RD & 9
OWN 31
0
94.1%
Jalen Hurts pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:05
4TH & 9
OWN 31
0
94.0%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jalen Reagor at the TCU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 9TD
3 plays · 68 yds · 1:146% → 12%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+62
93.8%
Max Duggan run for 62 yds to the Okla 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
93.3%
Darius Anderson run for 5 yds to the Okla 1Similar
Q2 8:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.4%
Sewo Olonilua run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Song KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 10FUMBLE
6 plays · 32 yds · 2:0590% → 91%
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
90.2%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 11 yds to the Okla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
89.9%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 33Similar
Q2 7:22
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+13
89.9%
Jalen Hurts run for 13 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
90.4%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 7 yds to the TCU 47Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+2
90.6%
Jadon Haselwood run for 2 yds to the TCU 45 Jadon Haselwood fumbled, forced by Trevon Moehrig, recovered by TCUSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 11FG
9 plays · 48 yds · 3:1911% → 12%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
89.3%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Okla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
88.9%
Max Duggan run for 9 yds to the Okla 36Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+18
88.8%
Max Duggan pass complete to Te'Vailance Hunt for 18 yds to the Okla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
88.4%
Max Duggan run for 5 yds to the Okla 13Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+5
88.4%
Sewo Olonilua run for 5 yds to the Okla 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
88.4%
Darius Anderson run for 1 yd to the Okla 7Similar
Q2 2:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
88.6%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Artayvious LynnSimilar
Q2 2:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
89.1%
Max Duggan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
88.2%
Jonathan Song 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 4 yds · 1:5189% → 89%
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
88.8%
Jalen Hurts run for 1 yd to the Okla 35Similar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+4
88.9%
Jalen Hurts run for 4 yds to the Okla 39Similar
Q2 1:28
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+7
89.2%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 7 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-3
89.7%
Jalen Hurts run for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 43Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 13
OWN 43
0
88.7%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Lee MorrisSimilar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 13
OWN 43
-5
88.3%
Jalen Hurts run for a loss of 5 yards to the Okla 38Similar
Q2 0:35
4TH & 18
OWN 38
0
88.6%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jalen Reagor at the TCU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 8 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
89.3%
Sewo Olonilua run for 8 yds to the TCU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 14DOWNS
8 plays · 9 yds · 2:3489% → 88%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
88.7%
Kennedy Brooks run for no gain to the Okla 40Similar
Q3 14:13
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
88.4%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Kennedy BrooksSimilar
Q3 13:49
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+11
87.9%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 11 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
88.9%
Kennedy Brooks run for no gain to the TCU 49Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+7
88.8%
Jalen Hurts run for 7 yds to the TCU 42Similar
Q3 12:26
3RD & 3
OPP 42
0
88.4%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q3 12:21
4TH & 3
OPP 42
-9
87.7%
Jalen Hurts sacked by Garret Wallow for a loss of 9 yards to the Okla 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 15TD
6 plays · 49 yds · 2:0114% → 25%
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
86.2%
Max Duggan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:58
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+15
86.5%
Max Duggan pass complete to Darius Anderson for 15 yds to the Okla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
85.6%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Taye BarberSimilar
Q3 11:27
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+7
85.6%
Max Duggan run for 7 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q3 10:53
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+16
86.0%
Jalen Reagor run for 16 yds to the Okla 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
75.3%
Max Duggan run for 11 yds for a TD (Jonathan Song KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 16TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 2:3781% → 89%
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+31
80.6%
Kennedy Brooks run for 31 yds to the TCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
83.0%
Jalen Hurts run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 36Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+19
82.1%
Jalen Hurts run for 19 yds to the TCU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
82.8%
Kennedy Brooks run for 5 yds to the TCU 12Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+4
82.7%
Jalen Hurts run for 4 yds to the TCU 8Similar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+8
88.8%
Jalen Hurts run for 8 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 21 yds · 2:0613% → 11%
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
87.2%
Taye Barber run for 5 yds to the TCU 42Similar
Q3 6:19
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
86.5%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
Q3 6:11
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+6
87.0%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (6 Yards) to the TCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
86.4%
Max Duggan pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 9 yds to the Okla 43Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+3
85.6%
Sewo Olonilua run for 3 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
85.9%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-5
85.9%
TCU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Okla 45Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 15
OPP 45
+3
86.7%
Max Duggan run for 3 yds to the Okla 42Similar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 12
OPP 42
0
87.5%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Te'Vailance HuntSimilar
Q3 4:48
4TH & 12
OPP 42
0
88.7%
Jordy Sandy punt for 34 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18INT TD
14 plays · 85 yds · 6:5889% → 80%
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+21
88.9%
CeeDee Lamb run for 21 yds to the Okla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
89.2%
Kennedy Brooks run for 3 yds to the Okla 32Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+9
89.5%
Kennedy Brooks run for 9 yds to the Okla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
90.2%
Jalen Hurts run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 40Similar
Q3 2:27
2ND & 11
OWN 40
-5
90.2%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Okla 35Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 16
OWN 35
+25
89.6%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Lee Morris for 25 yds to the TCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
90.7%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for no gain to the TCU 40Similar
Q3 0:54
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+9
90.6%
Jalen Hurts run for 9 yds to the TCU 31Similar
Q3 0:19
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+7
90.9%
Kennedy Brooks run for 7 yds to the TCU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
91.3%
Jalen Hurts run for 9 yds to the TCU 15Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+3
91.1%
Kennedy Brooks run for 3 yds to the TCU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
91.1%
Jalen Hurts pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:36
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+5
91.1%
Kennedy Brooks run for 5 yds to the TCU 7Similar
Q4 12:43
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+98
80.1%
Jalen Hurts pass intercepted for a TD Vernon Scott return for 98 yds for a TD (Jonathan Song KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 19FUMBLE
10 plays · 36 yds · 4:4477% → 82%
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.4%
Kennedy Brooks run for no gain to the Okla 25Similar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
76.9%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 10 yds to the Okla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-6
77.3%
Kennedy Brooks run for a loss of 6 yards to the Okla 29Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 16
OWN 29
+17
76.3%
Kennedy Brooks run for 17 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
79.2%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 6
50
+5
79.3%
Jalen Hurts run for 5 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q4 8:58
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+4
78.9%
Jalen Hurts run for 4 yds to the TCU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
80.2%
Kennedy Brooks run for 2 yds to the TCU 39Similar
Q4 7:51
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+32
81.7%
Jalen Hurts run for 32 yds to the TCU 7 Jalen Hurts fumbled, forced by Nook Bradford, recovered by TCU Nook BradfordSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1126% → 24%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-1
74.1%
Darius Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 6Similar
Q4 7:02
2ND & 11
OWN 6
+1
73.9%
Max Duggan run for 1 yd to the TCU 7Similar
Q4 6:43
3RD & 10
OWN 7
0
75.4%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Sewo OloniluaSimilar
Q4 6:34
4TH & 10
OWN 7
+55
76.3%
Jordy Sandy punt for 55 yds , CeeDee Lamb returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 22 yds · 3:0782% → 87%
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
81.8%
Jalen Hurts run for 9 yds to the Okla 46Similar
Q4 5:52
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+4
83.2%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
50
+1
86.5%
Kennedy Brooks run for 1 yd to the TCU 49Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+4
87.2%
Jalen Hurts run for 4 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q4 3:58
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+4
87.5%
Jalen Hurts run for 4 yds to the TCU 41Similar
Q4 3:16
4TH & 1
OPP 41
0
86.6%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for no gain to the TCU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 22INT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:2929% → 29%
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
71.1%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Okla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
68.9%
Max Duggan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 45Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+5
70.6%
Max Duggan pass complete to Te'Vailance Hunt for 5 yds to the Okla 40Similar
Q4 1:47
3RD & 6
OPP 40
0
68.2%
Max Duggan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:41
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
71.4%
Max Duggan pass intercepted Brendan Radley-Hiles return for no gain to the Okla 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 23Uncategorized
7 plays · 6 yds · 1:0890% → 95%
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
90.1%
Kennedy Brooks run for 4 yds to the Okla 36Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+5
91.3%
Jalen Hurts run for 5 yds to the Okla 41Similar
Q4 1:25
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+1
93.8%
Jalen Hurts run for 1 yd to the Okla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
95.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 40Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 12
OWN 40
-2
95.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:43
Jalen Hurts pass intercepted for a TD Vernon Scott return for 98 yds for a TD (Jonathan Song KICK)
-11.1
TD · Q3 10:15
Max Duggan run for 11 yds for a TD (Jonathan Song KICK)
-10.7
TD · Q3 7:11
Jalen Hurts run for 8 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)
+6.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com