Try the model
OU

Oklahoma 34 at Texas 27

TEX
2019 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2019 · Cotton Bowl
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · TEX
modelTEX aheadOU aheadconfidence bandkey playTEX scoreOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameTD-1.2TEX 25.2%CeeDee Lamb 1 Yd pass from Jalen Hurts(Gabe Brkic Kick)AWAY 7 - HOME 0 · Q1 9:54
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:54 · CeeDee Lamb 1 Yd pass from Jalen Hurts (Gabe Brkic Kick)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 12Pregame prior−24.0Home team on offense−1.3Garbage-time factor−0.3Score differential−0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:48: Roschon Johnson 4 Yd Run (Cameron Dicker Kick) — TEX win probability +20.9 pts (now 49%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:45: CeeDee Lamb 51 Yd pass from Jalen Hurts (Gabe Brkic Kick) — OU win probability +14.5 pts (now 77%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:00: Sam Ehlinger 2 Yd Run (Cameron Dicker Kick) — TEX win probability +23.6 pts (now 48%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. TD · Q4 11:56: CeeDee Lamb 27 Yd pass from Jalen Hurts (Gabe Brkic Kick) — OU win probability +14.3 pts (now 85%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:49: Sam Ehlinger run for 4 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +22.8 pts (now 26%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEX made the numbers' call on 8 of 8OU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 9:54OU 4th & 1 at TEX 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    72.7%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    72.1%−0.8
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:51TEX 4th & 22 at TEX 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%−0.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:40TEX 4th & 8 at OU 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    26.2%−0.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    26.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:07TEX 4th & 13 at TEX 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%−2.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:56OU 4th & 7 at OU 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.5%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:17TEX 4th & 16 at TEX 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.1%−2.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:49OU 4th & 2 at TEX 2, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.4%−1.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    70.0%−5.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:31TEX 4th & 21 at TEX 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−4.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:28OU 4th & 7 at OU 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.8%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:48TEX 4th & 13 at TEX 3, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−4.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:44OU 4th & 6 at TEX 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.7%−0.7
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.4%
    80% to make
    Punt
    66.7%−8.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:59TEX 4th & 18 at TEX 8, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%−3.0
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:30OU 4th & 1 at TEX 39, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    76.0%−4.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    76.1%−4.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:53TEX 4th & 12 at OU 14, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%−2.6
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.5%
    84% to make
    Punt
    8.1%−6.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEX made the numbers' call on 3 of 3OU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 9:54OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 8:48TEX Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:45OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:00TEX Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:56OU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.6%−0.5
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:19OU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−0.7
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:49TEX Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.9%−2.0
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1TD
12 plays · 66 yds · 4:4175% → 75%
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+23
24.6%
Kennedy Brooks run for 23 yds to the Texas 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
24.7%
Kennedy Brooks run for 4 yds to the Texas 39Similar
Q1 13:53
2ND & 6
OPP 39
-5
24.9%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (Erik Swenson) to the Texas 44Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+6
25.1%
Jalen Hurts run for 6 yds to the Texas 38Similar
Q1 12:46
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+11
25.3%
Jalen Hurts run for 11 yds to the Texas 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
25.5%
Jalen Hurts run for no gain to the Texas 27Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+17
25.8%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Nick Basquine for 17 yds to the Texas 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
25.8%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q1 10:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
25.9%
Jalen Hurts run for 1 yd to the Texas 9Similar
Q1 10:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
26.4%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 8 yds to the Texas 1Similar
Q1 9:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
25.2%
CeeDee Lamb 1 Yd pass from Jalen Hurts (Gabe Brkic Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 1:3426% → 25%
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
25.6%
Devin Duvernay run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 30Similar
Q1 9:04
2ND & 12
OWN 30
0
25.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for no gain to the Texas 30Similar
Q1 8:35
3RD & 12
OWN 30
-10
25.3%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Neville Gallimore for a loss of 10 yards to the Texas 20Similar
Q1 7:51
4TH & 22
OWN 20
0
25.4%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 36 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 3FUMBLE
4 plays · 22 yds · 1:2175% → 75%
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+17
25.1%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 17 yds to the Texas 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
25.1%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Kennedy Brooks for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 40Similar
Q1 6:49
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+6
25.2%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 6 yds to the Texas 34Similar
Q1 6:20
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+27
25.3%
Jalen Hurts run for 27 yds to the Texas 7 Jalen Hurts fumbled, forced by Anthony Cook, recovered by Texas D'Shawn JamisonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 47 yds · 4:1026% → 26%
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
26.0%
Keaontay Ingram run for 2 yds to the Texas 9Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+9
26.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 9 yds to the Texas 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
26.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Keaontay IngramSimilar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+6
26.1%
Sam Ehlinger run for 6 yds to the Texas 24Similar
Q1 4:27
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+6
26.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 6 yds to the Texas 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+22
26.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 22 yds to the Okla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
27.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 1 yd to the Okla 47Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+3
27.7%
Roschon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Okla 44Similar
Q1 2:01
3RD & 6
OPP 44
-2
27.5%
Sam Ehlinger run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 46Similar
Q1 1:40
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
26.4%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 41 yds, downed at the Okla 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5INT
12 plays · 84 yds · 5:3774% → 75%
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
26.5%
Jalen Hurts run for 3 yds to the Okla 8Similar
Q1 0:59
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+14
26.7%
Kennedy Brooks run for 14 yds to the Okla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
26.4%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 21Similar
Q2 14:44
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+7
26.6%
Jalen Hurts run for 7 yds to the Okla 28Similar
Q2 14:06
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+22
26.5%
Jalen Hurts run for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
50
+5
25.5%
T.J. Pledger run for 5 yds to the Texas 45Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+6
25.5%
Jalen Hurts run for 6 yds to the Texas 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+26
25.6%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 26 yds to the Texas 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
25.4%
Kennedy Brooks run for 2 yds to the Texas 11Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 8
OPP 11
0
25.5%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q2 10:52
3RD & 8
OPP 11
+10
25.0%
Jalen Hurts pass intercepted Brandon Jones return for 10 yds to the Texas 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 3:1827% → 25%
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
26.6%
Roschon Johnson run for 2 yds to the Texas 12Similar
Q2 9:56
2ND & 8
OWN 12
-2
26.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Roschon Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 10Similar
Q2 9:31
3RD & 10
OWN 10
+14
25.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 14 yds to the Texas 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
26.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Jake SmithSimilar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-1
26.5%
Sam Ehlinger run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 23Similar
Q2 8:12
3RD & 11
OWN 23
+3
25.2%
Sam Ehlinger run for 3 yds to the Texas 26Similar
Q2 7:35
4TH & 8
OWN 26
-5
24.9%
TEXAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Texas 21Similar
Q2 7:07
4TH & 13
OWN 21
+5
24.8%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 42 yds , CeeDee Lamb returns for 5 yds to the Okla 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5476% → 75%
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-6
24.1%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for a loss of 6 yards to the Okla 36Similar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 16
OWN 36
+9
25.9%
Jalen Hurts run for 9 yds to the Okla 45Similar
Q2 6:03
3RD & 7
OWN 45
0
24.2%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q2 5:56
4TH & 7
OWN 45
+31
25.2%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TEXAS 34 TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Texas 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:2726% → 25%
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
26.3%
Keaontay Ingram run for 7 yds to the Texas 31Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 3
OWN 25
-6
26.7%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by TEAM for a loss of 6 yards to the Texas 25 TEXAS Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the Texas 25Similar
Q2 4:32
3RD & 9
OWN 25
-7
25.6%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Pat Fields for a loss of 7 yards to the Texas 18Similar
Q2 4:17
4TH & 16
OWN 18
0
25.4%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 37 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 9FG
9 plays · 53 yds · 2:1376% → 78%
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
23.9%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 2 yds to the Okla 47Similar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+22
24.0%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 22 yds to the Texas 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+14
22.5%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 14 yds to the Texas 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+13
22.0%
Jalen Hurts run for 13 yds to the Texas 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
22.0%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q2 2:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
21.9%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Charleston RamboSimilar
Q2 2:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
21.9%
Jalen Hurts run for 2 yds to the Texas 2Similar
Q2 1:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
22.4%
Gabe Brkic 19 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 10END OF HALF
11 plays · 48 yds · 1:3821% → 29%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+18
20.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 18 yds to the Texas 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
21.3%
Sam Ehlinger run for 5 yds to the Texas 44Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+7
21.6%
Devin Duvernay run for 7 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
22.0%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Ronnie Perkins for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+12
21.7%
Sam Ehlinger run for 2 yds to the Okla 48 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Okla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
22.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 3 yds to the Okla 35Similar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+4
23.0%
Sam Ehlinger run for 4 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+49
29.1%
Cameron Dicker 49 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 3 yds · 2:1127% → 25%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
26.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Brennan EaglesSimilar
Q3 14:26
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+3
26.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 3 yds to the Texas 16Similar
Q3 14:13
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+11
25.8%
Sam Ehlinger run for 11 yds to the Texas 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
27.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 26Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 11
OWN 26
0
26.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Brennan EaglesSimilar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 11
OWN 26
-10
25.7%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Kenneth Murray for a loss of 10 yards to the Texas 16Similar
Q3 12:31
4TH & 21
OWN 16
-2
25.1%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 47 yds , CeeDee Lamb returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5175% → 74%
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
24.9%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 3 yds to the Okla 38Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
23.8%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Trey SermonSimilar
Q3 11:41
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
24.5%
Jalen Hurts pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:28
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
26.0%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 55 yds, downed at the Texas 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 13TD
7 plays · 93 yds · 2:1826% → 49%
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
26.4%
Sam Ehlinger run for 2 yds to the Texas 9Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+19
26.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 19 yds to the Texas 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
27.3%
Roschon Johnson run for 2 yds to the Texas 30Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 8
OWN 30
0
27.3%
Devin Duvernay run for no gain to the Texas 30Similar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+9
26.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Roschon Johnson for 9 yds to the Texas 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+57
28.2%
Roschon Johnson run for 57 yds to the Okla 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
49.1%
Roschon Johnson 4 Yd Run (Cameron Dicker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 14TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5660% → 77%
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+24
39.8%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 9 yds to the Okla 34 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, Personal Foul Targeting(Malcolm Roach) to the Okla 49 for a 1ST down. Malcolm Roach ejected for Targeting.Similar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
37.3%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for no gain to the Okla 49Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+51
22.9%
CeeDee Lamb 51 Yd pass from Jalen Hurts (Gabe Brkic Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · -3 yds · 0:5227% → 25%
Q3 7:40
2ND & 10
OWN 6
-3
26.6%
TEXAS Penalty, False Start (-3 Yards) to the Texas 3Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 13
OWN 3
-2
26.6%
TEXAS Penalty, False Start (-2 Yards) to the Texas 1Similar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
26.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Collin JohnsonSimilar
Q3 7:34
2ND & 15
OWN 1
0
26.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Brennan EaglesSimilar
Q3 7:00
3RD & 15
OWN 1
+2
25.6%
Sam Ehlinger run for 2 yds to the Texas 3Similar
Q3 6:48
4TH & 13
OWN 3
+3
25.0%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 38 yds , CeeDee Lamb returns for 3 yds to the Texas 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 16FG
7 plays · 21 yds · 1:4177% → 79%
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
22.6%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 7 yds to the Texas 31Similar
Q3 5:53
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+10
21.9%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 10 yds to the Texas 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
21.8%
CeeDee Lamb run for 4 yds to the Texas 17Similar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 6
OPP 17
0
21.5%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Brayden WillisSimilar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 6
OPP 17
0
22.9%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Brayden WillisSimilar
Q3 4:44
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+34
20.6%
Gabe Brkic 34 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:0621% → 18%
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-5
20.8%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Jalen Redmond for a loss of 5 yards to the Texas 11Similar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 15
OWN 11
-3
20.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 8Similar
Q3 3:11
3RD & 18
OWN 8
0
19.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Malcolm EppsSimilar
Q3 2:59
4TH & 18
OWN 8
0
18.2%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:1482% → 80%
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
18.3%
Kennedy Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:18
2ND & 12
50
0
18.5%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Lee MorrisSimilar
Q3 1:40
3RD & 12
50
+11
18.8%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 11 yds to the Texas 39Similar
Q3 1:30
4TH & 1
OPP 39
0
20.1%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 19TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 1:2922% → 48%
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+23
21.5%
Roschon Johnson run for 23 yds to the Okla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
22.8%
Roschon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Okla 34Similar
Q3 1:10
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+12
24.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 12 yds to the Okla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
24.7%
Roschon Johnson run for 1 yd to the Okla 21Similar
Q3 0:35
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+10
24.7%
Ehlinger, Sam pass incomplete to Johnson, Collin, PENALTY OKLAHOMA holding 10 yards to the OKLAHOMA11, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXAS.Similar
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-5
24.7%
TEXAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Okla 16Similar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 15
OPP 16
+14
24.4%
Ehlinger, Sam pass incomplete to Johnson, Collin, PENALTY OKLAHOMA pass interference 14 yards to the OKLAHOMA2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXAS.Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
48.0%
Sam Ehlinger 2 Yd Run (Cameron Dicker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:4464% → 85%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
36.3%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Brayden Willis for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
50
+9
32.7%
Jalen Hurts run for 9 yds to the Texas 41Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+2
32.7%
Jalen Hurts run for 2 yds to the Texas 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
32.8%
Kennedy Brooks run for 8 yds to the Texas 31Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+4
29.4%
Kennedy Brooks run for 4 yds to the Texas 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
15.1%
CeeDee Lamb 27 Yd pass from Jalen Hurts (Gabe Brkic Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 21FG
16 plays · 61 yds · 4:3717% → 22%
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
16.6%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Marquise Overton for a loss of 8 yards to the Texas 17Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+11
16.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Roschon Johnson for 11 yds to the Texas 28Similar
Q4 10:21
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+12
13.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 12 yds to the Texas 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
15.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Malcolm EppsSimilar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+12
14.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 12 yds to the Okla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
16.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Malcolm Epps for 6 yds to the Okla 42Similar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 4
OPP 42
-5
17.0%
TEXAS Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Okla 47Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+10
16.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Malcolm Epps for 10 yds to the Okla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
16.5%
Ehlinger, Sam pass incomplete to Duvernay, Devin, PENALTY OKLAHOMA pass interference 15 yards to the OKLAHOMA22, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXAS.Similar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
17.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to John BurtSimilar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+10
17.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin. Duvernay for 10 yds to the Okla 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-3
17.8%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Neville Gallimore for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 15Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 13
OPP 15
+1
16.9%
Sam Ehlinger run for 1 yd to the Okla 14Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 12
OPP 14
0
14.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Brennan EaglesSimilar
Q4 6:53
4TH & 12
OPP 14
+32
21.8%
Cameron Dicker 32 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 22TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:1182% → 98%
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+42
17.6%
Kennedy Brooks run for 42 yds to the Texas 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+24
13.1%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 24 yds to the Texas 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
11.6%
Kennedy Brooks run for 6 yds to the Texas 3Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
11.1%
Jalen Hurts run for no gain to the Texas 3Similar
Q4 4:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
1.9%
Jalen Hurts run for 3 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 23TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 2:114% → 26%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
3.6%
Sam Ehlinger run for 5 yds to the Texas 30Similar
Q4 3:43
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
3.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Roschon JohnsonSimilar
Q4 3:27
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
3.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 6 yds to the Texas 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
3.5%
Ehlinger, Sam pass incomplete to Epps, Malcolm, PENALTY OKLAHOMA illegal use of hands 15 yards to the OKLAHOMA49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXAS.Similar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
3.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Cade Brewer for 10 yds to the Okla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
3.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Roschon Johnson for 5 yds to the Okla 34Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 5
OPP 34
-3
4.2%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Marcus Stripling for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 37Similar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 8
OPP 32
+20
3.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 5 yds to the Okla 32 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the Okla 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
3.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Malcolm EppsSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+13
3.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Malcolm Epps for 13 yds to the Okla 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
25.9%
Sam Ehlinger run for 4 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 24END OF GAME
8 plays · 8 yds · 1:2195% → 96%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
4.7%
Kennedy Brooks run for 4 yds to the Texas 42Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+10
4.5%
Jalen Hurts run for 10 yds to the Texas 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
4.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 34Similar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 12
OPP 34
-2
4.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 36Similar
Q4 0:24
3RD & 14
OPP 36
-2
4.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:00
Sam Ehlinger 2 Yd Run (Cameron Dicker Kick)
+23.6
TD · Q4 1:49
Sam Ehlinger run for 4 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)
+22.8
TD · Q3 8:48
Roschon Johnson 4 Yd Run (Cameron Dicker Kick)
+20.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com