Try the model
TTU

Texas Tech 16 at Oklahoma 55

OU
2019 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2019 · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadTTU aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreTTU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGTDFGTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:26 · Austin McNamara punt for 53 yds, downed at the Okla 5
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 15Pregame prior+43.8Home team on offense+0.7Score differential+0.2Blowout margin+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:44: Armand Shyne 13 Yd Run (Trey Wolff Kick) — TTU win probability +2.6 pts (now 8%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:23: CeeDee Lamb 71 Yd pass from Jalen Hurts (Gabe Brkic Kick) — OU win probability +3.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 6:33: Trey Wolff 24 Yd Field Goal — TTU win probability +1.1 pts (now 7%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:09: CeeDee Lamb 14 Yd pass from Jalen Hurts (Gabe Brkic Kick) — OU win probability +3.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 14:13: CeeDee Lamb 65 Yd pass from Jalen Hurts (Gabe Brkic Kick) — OU win probability +1.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5TTU made the numbers' call on 11 of 12
  1. Q1 14:04TTU 4th & 10 at TTU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:26TTU 4th & 8 at TTU 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:06TTU 4th & 19 at TTU 12, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.5
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:48OU 4th & 2 at TTU 17, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.2%−0.2
    80% to make
    Punt
    92.9%−1.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:28TTU 4th & 1 at TTU 34, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.9%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:33TTU 4th & 6 at OU 6, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    2.8%−2.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:16OU 4th & 11 at TTU 41, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.2%
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    93.2%−0.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    93.2%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:01TTU 4th & 8 at TTU 27, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:32TTU 4th & 1 at TTU 34, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:49TTU 4th & 6 at OU 18, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.6%
    79% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:24TTU 4th & 15 at OU 23, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:47OU 4th & 2 at OU 33, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:40TTU 4th & 5 at TTU 39, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:02OU 4th & 12 at OU 20, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:23TTU 4th & 3 at OU 24, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:23OU 4th & 10 at OU 47, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:52TTU 4th & 3 at OU 38, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6TTU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:27OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:14OU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:44TTU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:23OU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:09OU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:00OU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:18OU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TTUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:514% → 5%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.6%
Armand Shyne run for no gain to the TexTc 25Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
95.5%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to R.J. TurnerSimilar
Q1 14:13
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
95.5%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to R.J. TurnerSimilar
Q1 14:04
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
95.4%
Austin McNamara punt for 45 yds , CeeDee Lamb returns for no gain to the Okla 25 TEXAS TECH Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Okla 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 2TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 2:2395% → 95%
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
95.4%
Kennedy Brooks run for 7 yds to the Okla 42Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+48
95.3%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 48 yds to the TexTc 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
95.2%
Kennedy Brooks run for 5 yds to the TexTc 5Similar
Q1 12:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
95.1%
Jalen Hurts run for 4 yds to the TexTc 1Similar
Q1 11:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.2%
Trey Sermon 1 Yd Run (Gabe Brkic Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:385% → 5%
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
95.0%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 2 yds to the TexTc 42Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
95.0%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Dalton RigdonSimilar
Q1 10:39
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
95.0%
Jackson Tyner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:26
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
95.0%
Austin McNamara punt for 53 yds, downed at the Okla 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 4TD
11 plays · 95 yds · 5:0495% → 95%
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
95.0%
Kennedy Brooks run for 5 yds to the Okla 10Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 5
OWN 10
+1
94.9%
Kennedy Brooks run for 1 yd to the Okla 11Similar
Q1 8:59
3RD & 4
OWN 11
+7
94.7%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 7 yds to the Okla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
94.7%
Jalen Hurts run for 6 yds to the Okla 24Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 4
OWN 24
-12
94.6%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-12 Yards) to the Okla 12Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 16
OWN 12
-1
94.5%
Kennedy Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 11Similar
Q1 6:43
3RD & 17
OWN 11
+74
94.3%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 74 yds to the TexTc 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
94.5%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 20Similar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 15
OPP 20
+19
94.5%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Austin Stogner for 19 yds to the TexTc 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.3%
Jalen Hurts 1 Yd Run (Gabe Brkic Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 1:465% → 5%
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-10
94.9%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (-10 Yards) to the TexTc 11Similar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 20
OWN 11
+2
94.9%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 13Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 18
OWN 13
+9
94.8%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 9 yds to the TexTc 22Similar
Q1 3:20
3RD & 9
OWN 22
-10
94.8%
Jett Duffey sacked by Kenneth Murray for a loss of 10 yards to the TexTc 12Similar
Q1 3:06
4TH & 19
OWN 12
0
94.9%
Austin McNamara punt for 47 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 6FG
6 plays · 42 yds · 2:0995% → 96%
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
95.0%
Kennedy Brooks run for 14 yds to the TexTc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+20
95.0%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 20 yds to the TexTc 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
95.0%
Jalen Hurts run for 8 yds to the TexTc 17Similar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 2
OPP 17
0
95.0%
Kennedy Brooks run for no gain to the TexTc 17Similar
Q1 0:53
3RD & 2
OPP 17
0
94.8%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q1 0:48
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+34
95.5%
Gabe Brkic 34 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 7TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:465% → 8%
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.1%
Jett Duffey pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 1 yd to the TexTc 26Similar
Q1 0:05
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+11
95.4%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 11 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
95.2%
Jett Duffey run for 2 yds to the TexTc 39Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+21
95.1%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Xavier White for 21 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
94.9%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd to the Okla 39Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+23
94.9%
McLane Mannix run for 23 yds to the Okla 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
94.6%
Jett Duffey run for 3 yds to the Okla 13Similar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+13
92.0%
Armand Shyne 13 Yd Run (Trey Wolff Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 8TD
2 plays · 71 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+71
95.7%
CeeDee Lamb 71 Yd pass from Jalen Hurts (Gabe Brkic Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 9FG
10 plays · 69 yds · 4:205% → 7%
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.2%
Armand Shyne run for 1 yd to the TexTc 26Similar
Q2 10:34
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
95.2%
Jett Duffey run for 8 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
95.0%
Armand Shyne run for no gain to the TexTc 34Similar
Q2 8:28
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+6
95.1%
Jaylon Hutchings run for 6 yds to the TexTc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+58
94.8%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 58 yds to the Okla 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
94.2%
SaRodorick Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 3Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
94.0%
Jett Duffey run for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 6Similar
Q2 6:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
94.2%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q2 6:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
93.1%
Trey Wolff 24 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 10TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:1294% → 98%
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
93.6%
Trey Sermon run for 10 yds to the Okla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
93.6%
Jalen Hurts pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:50
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+25
93.5%
Jalen Hurts run for 25 yds to the TexTc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
93.9%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 6 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 4
OPP 32
-13
93.8%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 2 yds to the TexTc 32 OKLAHOMA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the TexTc 47Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 17
OPP 47
-7
93.6%
Jalen Hurts sacked by Eli Howard for a loss of 7 yards to the Okla 46Similar
Q2 3:49
3RD & 24
OWN 46
+13
93.9%
Trey Sermon run for 13 yds to the TexTc 41Similar
Q2 3:16
4TH & 11
OPP 41
+23
93.8%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 23 yds to the TexTc 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
94.5%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Trey Sermon for 4 yds to the TexTc 14Similar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+14
98.0%
CeeDee Lamb 14 Yd pass from Jalen Hurts (Gabe Brkic Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 2 yds · 1:013% → 3%
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
97.3%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 20Similar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
97.3%
Xavier White run for no gain to the TexTc 20Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+4
97.2%
Armand Shyne run for 4 yds to the TexTc 24Similar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+3
97.2%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Armand Shyne for 3 yds to the TexTc 27Similar
Q2 1:01
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+9
97.2%
Austin McNamara punt for 41 yds , CeeDee Lamb returns for 9 yds to the Okla 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12END OF HALF
7 plays · 43 yds · 0:5198% → 98%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
98.0%
Jalen Hurts run for 1 yd to the Okla 42Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+20
98.0%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 20 yds to the TexTc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
98.0%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Charleston RamboSimilar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+22
98.0%
Jalen Hurts run for 22 yds to the TexTc 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
98.0%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Jadon HaselwoodSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+33
98.2%
Gabe Brkic 33 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 13TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:4098% → 100%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
97.8%
Jalen Hurts run for 10 yds to the Okla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
99.5%
CeeDee Lamb 65 Yd pass from Jalen Hurts (Gabe Brkic Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:281% → 1%
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.4%
Jett Duffey pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 9 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
99.4%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Desmon SmithSimilar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
99.4%
SaRodorick Thompson run for no gain to the TexTc 34Similar
Q3 12:32
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
99.4%
Austin McNamara punt for 66 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 15INT
4 plays · 22 yds · 1:29100% → 100%
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
99.5%
Kennedy Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 18Similar
Q3 11:48
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+13
99.5%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 13 yds to the Okla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
99.6%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Theo Wease for 11 yds to the Okla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+55
99.6%
Jalen Hurts pass intercepted Douglas Coleman III return for 40 yds to the OKLAHOMA 18 TEXAS TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the TexTc 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 16FG
6 plays · 35 yds · 3:011% → 1%
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+16
99.5%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 1 yd to the Okla 48 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Okla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
99.6%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Okla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-2
99.5%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 24Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 12
OPP 24
+4
99.5%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 4 yds to the Okla 20Similar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+2
99.6%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the Okla 18Similar
Q3 7:49
4TH & 6
OPP 18
+36
99.5%
Trey Wolff 36 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 17TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:20100% → 100%
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.7%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Trey Sermon for 7 yds to the Okla 32Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
99.7%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q3 7:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.7%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Trey SermonSimilar
Q3 7:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+5
99.7%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Okla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.8%
Trey Sermon run for 3 yds to the Okla 40Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+15
99.8%
Trey Sermon run for 15 yds to the TexTc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
99.8%
Trey Sermon run for 2 yds to the TexTc 43Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+11
99.8%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 11 yds to the TexTc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
99.8%
Trey Sermon 32 Yd Run (Gabe Brkic Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 18FG
14 plays · 53 yds · 4:210% → 0%
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
99.8%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Donta Thompson for 18 yds to the TexTc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
99.8%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 2 yds to the TexTc 45Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+4
99.8%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 4 yds to the TexTc 49Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+11
99.8%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Holding (11 Yards) to the Okla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.8%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+4
99.8%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 4 yds to the Okla 37Similar
Q3 1:46
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+19
99.9%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 19 yds to the Okla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.8%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for no gain to the Okla 18Similar
Q3 0:43
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
99.9%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to R.J. TurnerSimilar
Q3 0:36
3RD & 10
OPP 18
-5
99.9%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the Okla 23Similar
Q3 0:30
3RD & 15
OPP 23
0
99.9%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q3 0:24
4TH & 15
OPP 23
+41
99.9%
Trey Wolff 41 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:23100% → 100%
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.8%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 8 yds to the Okla 33Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for no gain to the Okla 33Similar
Q4 14:30
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rhamondre Stevenson for no gain to the Okla 33Similar
Q4 13:47
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 67 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:070% → 0%
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
99.9%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 15Similar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+19
99.9%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 19 yds to the TexTc 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
99.9%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd to the TexTc 35Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 9
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Dalton RigdonSimilar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 9
OWN 35
+4
99.9%
Jett Duffey run for 4 yds to the TexTc 39Similar
Q4 11:40
4TH & 5
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Austin McNamara punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Drake Stoops at the Okla 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:18100% → 100%
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
99.9%
Brayden Willis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 21Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 11
OWN 21
-1
99.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 20Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 12
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Drake StoopsSimilar
Q4 10:02
4TH & 12
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 53 yds, downed at the TexTc 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 22FUMBLE
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:280% → 0%
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
99.9%
Jett Duffey pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 2 yds to the TexTc 29Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 8
OWN 29
0
99.9%
McLane Mannix pass incomplete to Erik EzukanmaSimilar
Q4 9:12
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+12
99.9%
Jett Duffey run for 12 yds to the TexTc 41 Jett Duffey fumbled, forced by Neville Gallimore, recovered by Okla DaShaun WhiteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 23TD
4 plays · 41 yds · 0:47100% → 100%
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-2
99.9%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rhamondre Stevenson for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 43Similar
Q4 8:29
3RD & 12
OPP 43
+15
99.9%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the TexTc 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
99.9%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 28 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 24DOWNS
7 plays · 51 yds · 2:370% → 0%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
100.0%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 7 yds to the TexTc 32Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+37
100.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Dalton Rigdon for 15 yds to the Okla 47 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA Penalty, Face Mask (22 yards) (22 Yards) to the Okla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-3
100.0%
SaRodorick Thompson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 34Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 13
OPP 34
+2
100.0%
Dalton Rigdon run for 2 yds to the Okla 32Similar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 11
OPP 32
+8
100.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to KeSean Carter for 8 yds to the Okla 24Similar
Q4 5:23
4TH & 3
OPP 24
0
100.0%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Dalton RigdonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:47100% → 100%
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
100.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 8 yds to the Okla 32Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+15
100.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Rhamondre Stevenson for 15 yds to the Okla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
100.0%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for no gain to the Okla 47Similar
Q4 3:42
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
100.0%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Jadon HaselwoodSimilar
Q4 3:37
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
100.0%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Theo WeaseSimilar
Q4 3:23
4TH & 10
OWN 47
+27
100.0%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 50 yds , Zech McPhearson returns for 27 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 26DOWNS
6 plays · 32 yds · 2:080% → 0%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
100.0%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 3 yds to the TexTc 33Similar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+22
100.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Dalton Rigdon for 22 yds to the Okla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
100.0%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 5 yds to the Okla 40Similar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 5
OPP 40
0
100.0%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Dalton RigdonSimilar
Q4 1:10
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+2
100.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 2 yds to the Okla 38Similar
Q4 0:52
4TH & 3
OPP 38
0
100.0%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Dalton RigdonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:10100% → 100%
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
100.0%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 1 yd to the Okla 39Similar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 9
OWN 39
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:09
CeeDee Lamb 14 Yd pass from Jalen Hurts (Gabe Brkic Kick)
+3.5
TD · Q2 11:23
CeeDee Lamb 71 Yd pass from Jalen Hurts (Gabe Brkic Kick)
+3
TD · Q2 11:44
Armand Shyne 13 Yd Run (Trey Wolff Kick)
-2.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com