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HOU

Houston 31 at Oklahoma 49

OU
2019 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2019 · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
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Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadHOU aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreHOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:15 · Chandler Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:09: Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 45 yds for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK) — OU win probability +4.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:58: D'Eriq King pass complete to Kyle Porter for 23 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) — HOU win probability +4.2 pts (now 10%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:38: Jalen Hurts pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 56 yds for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK) — OU win probability +5.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:03: Mulbah Car run for 7 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) — HOU win probability +3.8 pts (now 5%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:11: D'Eriq King run for 5 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) — HOU win probability +3.8 pts (now 6%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2HOU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:31HOU 4th & 10 at HOU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:18HOU 4th & 16 at HOU 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:24OU 4th & 12 at HOU 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.2%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.2%
    51% to make
    Punt
    90.2%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:44HOU 4th & 17 at OU 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    9.9%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:22HOU 4th & 2 at HOU 33, down 14
    Close callPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:26HOU 4th & 7 at OU 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.1%
    80% to make
    Punt
    7.3%−1.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:07HOU 4th & 6 at HOU 46, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  8. Q4 9:11HOU 4th & 4 at OU 4, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q4 5:26HOU 4th & 3 at OU 23, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    2.1%
    70% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−1.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 4:01OU 4th & 2 at OU 31, up 18
    Close callPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7HOU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 12:21OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:10OU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:09OU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:58HOU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:38OU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:47OU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:03HOU Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:00OU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 9:11HOU Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 2:11HOU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.7%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.7%
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 1:17OU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HOUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:219% → 9%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
91.1%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Marquez StevensonSimilar
Q1 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+3
91.1%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 3 yds to the Houst 20Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 7
OWN 20
-3
90.9%
D'Eriq King sacked by Kenneth Murray and Jon-Michael Terry for a loss of 3 yards to the Houst 17Similar
Q1 13:31
4TH & 10
OWN 17
-2
90.8%
Dane Roy punt for 42 yds , CeeDee Lamb returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 2TD
3 plays · 61 yds · 0:5991% → 91%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+31
90.8%
Trey Sermon run for 31 yds to the Houst 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+16
90.8%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 16 yds to the Houst 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
90.9%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 14 yds for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 1:529% → 9%
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
90.8%
Kyle Porter run for 2 yds to the Houst 32Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 8
OWN 32
-3
90.7%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Cole McGowan for a loss of 3 yards to the Houst 29Similar
Q1 10:52
3RD & 11
OWN 29
-5
90.6%
HOUSTON Penalty, False Start (Josh Jones) to the Houst 24Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 16
OWN 24
0
90.6%
D'Eriq King pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:18
4TH & 16
OWN 24
+27
90.6%
Dane Roy punt for 69 yds , CeeDee Lamb returns for 27 yds to the Okla 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 4MISSED FG
7 plays · 34 yds · 2:5191% → 90%
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+26
90.7%
Jalen Hurts run for 10 yds to the Houst 44 for a 1ST down HOUSTON Penalty, Personal Foul (Derek Parish) to the Houst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
90.7%
Jalen Hurts run for 10 yds to the Houst 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-10
90.7%
Hurts, Jalen rush for no gain to the HOUSTON30, PENALTY OKLAHOMA holding (Ealy, Adrian) 10 yards to the HOUSTON40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 20
OPP 40
+1
90.5%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 1 yd to the Houst 39Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 19
OPP 39
+7
90.4%
Jalen Hurts run for 7 yds to the Houst 32Similar
Q1 7:30
3RD & 12
OPP 32
0
90.2%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Nick Basquine, broken up by Damarion WilliamsSimilar
Q1 7:24
4TH & 12
OPP 32
+49
90.0%
Calum Sutherland 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:3610% → 10%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
90.0%
D'Eriq King run for 4 yds to the Houst 36Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+25
89.9%
D'Eriq King run for 25 yds to the Okla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
89.6%
Kyle Porter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 40Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 11
OPP 40
-1
89.5%
D'Eriq King sacked by Neville Gallimore for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 41Similar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 12
OPP 41
-5
89.6%
D'Eriq King sacked by Ronnie Perkins for a loss of 5 yards to the Okla 46 D'Eriq King fumbled, recovered by Houst Braylon Jones , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 4:44
4TH & 17
OPP 46
+1
89.8%
Dane Roy punt for 36 yds , CeeDee Lamb returns for 1 yd to the Okla 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 6TD
12 plays · 89 yds · 5:2590% → 91%
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+13
89.7%
Trey Sermon run for 13 yds to the Okla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
89.6%
Trey Sermon run for 11 yds to the Okla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
89.6%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Nick Basquine for 14 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
89.8%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 12 yds to the Houst 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-4
89.7%
Trey Sermon run for a loss of 4 yards to the Houst 43Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 14
OPP 43
+15
89.3%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to A.D. Miller for 15 yds to the Houst 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+14
89.6%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Brayden Willis for 14 yds to the Houst 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+13
89.5%
Jalen Hurts run for 13 yds to the Houst 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
89.3%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 2Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
89.3%
Trey Sermon run for 1 yd to the Houst 1Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.2%
Jalen Hurts run for 1 yd for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3810% → 10%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
90.4%
Kyle Porter run for 3 yds to the Houst 28Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
90.3%
Kyle Porter run for 2 yds to the Houst 30Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+3
90.3%
D'Eriq King run for 3 yds to the Houst 33Similar
Q2 12:22
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
90.2%
Dane Roy punt for 44 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 8TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 4:0191% → 96%
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
90.9%
Kennedy Brooks run for no gain to the Okla 23Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+5
90.8%
Jalen Hurts run for 5 yds to the Okla 28Similar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+6
90.7%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 6 yds to the Okla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
90.9%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 4 yds to the Okla 38Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+14
91.2%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 14 yds to the Houst 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
91.4%
Jalen Hurts run for 5 yds to the Houst 43Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 5
OPP 43
-2
91.4%
Kennedy Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 45Similar
Q2 8:09
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+45
95.7%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 45 yds for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 9TD
9 plays · 81 yds · 3:005% → 10%
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
94.7%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Cole McGowanSimilar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+9
94.8%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Kyle Porter for 9 yds to the Houst 28Similar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+12
94.6%
D'Eriq King run for 12 yds to the Houst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+20
94.9%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 20 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+22
94.8%
D'Eriq King run for 22 yds to the Okla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
94.4%
HOUSTON Penalty, False Start (Marquez Stevenson) to the Okla 23Similar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+23
90.2%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Kyle Porter for 23 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 10FUMBLE
6 plays · 46 yds · 2:0291% → 92%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
90.9%
Jalen Hurts run for 4 yds to the Okla 13Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+43
91.0%
Jalen Hurts run for 43 yds to the Houst 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
91.8%
Trey Sermon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 45Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 11
OPP 45
0
91.9%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q2 2:28
3RD & 11
OPP 45
+15
91.6%
Jalen Hurts run for 15 yds to the Houst 30 Jalen Hurts fumbled, recovered by Houst Damarion WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 11FG
7 plays · 53 yds · 2:029% → 11%
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
91.1%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Nick Basquine) to the Houst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
90.9%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 5
50
+30
90.4%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 30 yds to the Okla 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
89.4%
Kyle Porter run for 1 yd to the Okla 19Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+2
89.4%
D'Eriq King run for 2 yds to the Okla 17Similar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 7
OPP 17
0
90.5%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Terry MarkSimilar
Q2 0:26
4TH & 7
OPP 17
+34
89.2%
Dalton Witherspoon 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12DOWNS
7 plays · 54 yds · 0:2090% → 91%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+19
89.9%
Trey Sermon run for 19 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+20
90.5%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Trey Sermon for 20 yds to the Houst 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
90.8%
Jalen Hurts run for 15 yds to the Houst 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+36
91.2%
Calum Sutherland 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 13TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:1790% → 95%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.7%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Trey Sermon for 5 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
89.8%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Nick Basquine for 9 yds to the Okla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
90.1%
Jalen Hurts run for 5 yds to the Okla 44Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 5
OWN 44
0
90.2%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q3 12:38
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+56
95.3%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 56 yds for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:206% → 5%
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+17
93.6%
Kyle Porter run for 2 yds to the Houst 27 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA Penalty, Personal Foul (Delarrin Turner-Yell) to the Houst 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
93.4%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 9 yds to the Okla 49Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 1
OPP 49
0
92.9%
Kyle Porter run for no gain to the Okla 49Similar
Q3 10:44
3RD & 1
OPP 49
-5
93.2%
HOUSTON Penalty, False Start (Gio Pancotti) to the Houst 46Similar
Q3 10:16
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
94.5%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Courtney LarkSimilar
Q3 10:07
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
94.7%
Dane Roy punt for 37 yds, downed at the Okla 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 15TD
5 plays · 83 yds · 2:1396% → 99%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+40
95.9%
Kennedy Brooks run for 40 yds to the Houst 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-7
96.2%
Kennedy Brooks run for 8 yds to the Houst 35 OKLAHOMA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 17
50
+5
96.2%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Mykel Jones for 5 yds to the Houst 45Similar
Q3 8:25
2ND & 12
OPP 45
+42
96.2%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 42 yds to the Houst 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.8%
Jalen Hurts run for 3 yds for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 16TD
14 plays · 87 yds · 4:332% → 5%
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
98.4%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 7 yds to the Houst 20Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 3
OWN 20
0
98.3%
D'Eriq King pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:23
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+15
98.4%
King, D'Eriq pass incomplete to Jackson, Bryson, PENALTY OKLAHOMA pass interference (Fields, Pat) 15 yards to the HOUSTON35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN HOUSTON.Similar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
98.4%
Mulbah Car run for 6 yds to the Houst 41Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
98.5%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Jeremy SingletonSimilar
Q3 6:25
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+8
98.5%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Christian Trahan for 8 yds to the Houst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
98.5%
Kyle Porter run for 4 yds to the Okla 47Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+3
98.4%
Kyle Porter run for 3 yds to the Okla 44Similar
Q3 4:45
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+7
98.7%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 7 yds to the Okla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
98.8%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Marquez Stevenson for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA Penalty, Personal Foul (Pat Fields) to the Okla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
98.6%
Mulbah Car run for 1 yd to the Okla 21Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+14
98.7%
Mulbah Car run for 14 yds to the Okla 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
94.9%
Mulbah Car run for 7 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 17TD
7 plays · 79 yds · 2:4597% → 99%
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+33
96.5%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 33 yds to the Houst 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+12
96.9%
Trey Sermon run for 12 yds to the Houst 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
96.9%
Trey Sermon run for 1 yd to the Houst 33Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+8
97.1%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Nick Basquine for 8 yds to the Houst 25Similar
Q3 0:12
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+24
97.3%
Jalen Hurts run for 24 yds to the Houst 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.4%
Jalen Hurts run for 1 yd for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 18TD
14 plays · 87 yds · 5:391% → 4%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+17
99.2%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Christian Trahan for 17 yds to the Houst 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+21
99.1%
Mulbah Car run for 21 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
99.1%
Mulbah Car run for 11 yds to the Okla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
99.2%
Mulbah Car run for 3 yds to the Okla 35Similar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 7
OPP 35
0
99.1%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Marquez StevensonSimilar
Q4 13:05
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+18
99.2%
D'Eriq King run for 18 yds to the Okla 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-1
97.6%
Kyle Porter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 18Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 11
OPP 18
+14
97.7%
D'Eriq King run for 14 yds to the Okla 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
97.6%
Kyle Porter run for 1 yd to the Okla 3Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
98.8%
Kyle Porter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 4Similar
Q4 10:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.0%
D'Eriq King run for no gain to the Okla 4Similar
Q4 9:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
96.4%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 4 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 19FUMBLE
4 plays · 14 yds · 1:1898% → 98%
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
97.7%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 33Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+15
97.7%
Jalen Hurts run for 15 yds to the Okla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
98.0%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 1 yd to the Okla 42 Rhamondre Stevenson fumbled, forced by Derek Parish, recovered by Houst Derek Parish , return for 7 yds to the Okla 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 20DOWNS
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:093% → 2%
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
96.7%
Mulbah Car run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 43Similar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+13
96.8%
Marquez Stevenson run for 13 yds to the Okla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
96.5%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Courtney LarkSimilar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+5
96.7%
D'Eriq King run for 5 yds to the Okla 25Similar
Q4 5:40
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+2
97.4%
D'Eriq King run for 2 yds to the Okla 23Similar
Q4 5:26
4TH & 3
OPP 23
0
97.8%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Jeremy SingletonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:0999% → 99%
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
98.5%
Trey Sermon run for 3 yds to the Okla 26Similar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+5
98.7%
Trey Sermon run for 5 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q4 4:08
3RD & 2
OWN 31
0
98.8%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Brayden WillisSimilar
Q4 4:01
4TH & 2
OWN 31
0
98.7%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Bryson Smith at the Houst 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 22TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 1:322% → 6%
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+28
98.2%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Keith Corbin for 28 yds to the Okla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+14
98.2%
Mulbah Car run for 14 yds to the Okla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
97.9%
D'Eriq King pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:04
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+19
98.0%
Kyle Porter run for 19 yds to the Okla 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
97.8%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Courtney LarkSimilar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+6
97.8%
Kyle Porter run for 6 yds to the Okla 5Similar
Q4 2:11
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+5
94.0%
D'Eriq King run for 5 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 23TD
7 plays · 42 yds · 0:4897% → 99%
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
96.6%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for no gain to the Houst 42Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+25
97.5%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 25 yds to the Houst 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-4
97.6%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Houst 21Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 14
OPP 21
+21
99.3%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 21 yds for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:451% → 1%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.4%
Chandler Smith run for 4 yds to the Houst 29Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
99.4%
Chandler Smith run for 7 yds to the Houst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
99.4%
Chandler Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:38
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 56 yds for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK)
+5
TD · Q2 8:09
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 45 yds for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK)
+4.3
TD · Q2 4:58
D'Eriq King pass complete to Kyle Porter for 23 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)
-4.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com