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KSU

Kansas State 30 at Texas Tech 27

TTU
2019 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2019 · Jones AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TTU
modelTTU aheadKSU aheadconfidence bandkey playTTU scoreKSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:35 · Devin Anctil punt for 50 yds , Chux Nwabuko III returns for 6 yds to the TexTc 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+28.0+14.00−14.0−28.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 154Home team on offense−6.8Score differential−3.4Garbage-time factor+0.3Pregame prior+0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 7:06: SaRodorick Thompson run for 5 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK) — TTU win probability +15.1 pts (now 52%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  2. TD · Q3 6:52: Trey Wolff kickoff for 65 yds , Joshua Youngblood return for 100 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK) — KSU win probability +21.2 pts (now 69%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:31: Jett Duffey pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 21 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK) — TTU win probability +20.5 pts (now 54%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. TD · Q4 8:54: Skylar Thompson pass complete to Chabastin Taylor for 48 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK) — KSU win probability +20.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:58: Jett Duffey pass complete to R.J. Turner for 58 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK) — TTU win probability +24.4 pts (now 35%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TTU made the numbers' call on 5 of 9KSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00TTU 4th & 4 at TTU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:08KSU 4th & 4 at KSU 26, tied
    Close callPunted · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:51TTU 4th & 3 at TTU 18, tied
    Close callPunted · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 11:04KSU 4th & 7 at KSU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:19KSU 4th & 15 at TTU 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%−0.8
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.7%
    83% to make
    Punt
    42.4%−2.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00TTU 4th & 9 at KSU 42, down 3
    Close callPunted · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.3%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    53.0%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    53.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:10KSU 4th & 2 at KSU 10, up 3
    Close callPunted · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.8%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:40TTU 4th & 9 at KSU 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.6%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.2%
    64% to make
    Punt
    48.8%−4.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:33KSU 4th & 11 at TTU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.1%−1.1
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.2%
    84% to make
    Punt
    40.5%−5.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:33TTU 4th & 4 at TTU 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    51.6%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:17KSU 4th & 21 at TTU 25, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%−4.6
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.7%
    66% to make
    Punt
    42.2%−12.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:35TTU 4th & 9 at KSU 9, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.0%−2.4
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.4%
    89% to make
    Punt
    24.0%−15.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:35KSU 4th & 4 at KSU 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%−1.0
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:31TTU 4th & 13 at KSU 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%−2.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    40.9%−2.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:54TTU 4th & 6 at TTU 42, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.7%−0.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    16.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:58TTU 4th & 8 at TTU 42, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.5%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TTU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3KSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q3 10:20KSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 7:06TTU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:52KSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:31TTU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:54KSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.4%−0.7
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:58TTU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TTUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
54.0%
Duffey, Jett pass complete to Thompson, S. for 5 yards to the TTU30 (Sullivan, E.), PENALTY TTU holding (Steele, Terence) 10 yards to the TTU15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+16
54.0%
Jett Duffey run for 16 yds to the TexTc 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
54.0%
SaRodorick Thompson run for no gain to the TexTc 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
54.0%
Jett Duffey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
54.0%
Austin McNamara punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:1846% → 46%
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-4
54.1%
Jordon Brown run for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 16Similar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 14
OWN 16
+10
54.1%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Jax Dineen for 10 yds to the KanSt 26Similar
Q1 12:08
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
54.3%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:08
4TH & 4
OWN 26
-4
54.4%
Devin Anctil punt for 59 yds , Chux Nwabuko III returns for a loss of 4 yards to the TexTc 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
54.3%
Jett Duffey pass complete to N/A for 5 yds to the TexTc 16Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+2
54.3%
Jett Duffey run for 2 yds to the TexTc 18Similar
Q1 11:51
3RD & 3
OWN 18
0
54.1%
Jett Duffey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:51
4TH & 3
OWN 18
0
54.1%
Austin McNamara punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
54.1%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
54.2%
James Gilbert run for 3 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
Q1 11:04
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
54.2%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:04
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
54.4%
Devin Anctil punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 5INT
7 plays · 42 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
54.5%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete, broken up by Cody FletcherSimilar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+19
54.5%
Jett Duffey pass complete to McLane Mannix for 19 yds to the TexTc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
54.7%
Jett Duffey run for 6 yds to the TexTc 44Similar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+5
55.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to R.J. Turner for 5 yds to the TexTc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+14
55.0%
Jett Duffey run for 14 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
55.1%
Jett Duffey pass complete to N/A for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 39Similar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 12
OPP 39
+6
54.9%
Jett Duffey pass intercepted Da'Quan Patton return for 6 yds to the KanSt 33 Da'Quan Patton fumbled, forced by T.J. Vasher, recovered by KanSt Denzel GoolsbySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6FG
12 plays · 52 yds · 5:4846% → 47%
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
54.2%
James Gilbert run for 6 yds to the KanSt 39Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+8
53.7%
Malik Knowles run for 8 yds to the KanSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+26
53.6%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Wykeen Gill for 26 yds to the TexTc 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
53.1%
Jordon Brown run for 5 yds to the TexTc 22Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 5
OPP 22
-1
53.1%
Jordon Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 23Similar
Q1 7:07
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+13
53.5%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 13 yds to the TexTc 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
53.1%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 15Similar
Q1 7:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
+4
53.3%
Skylar Thompson run for 4 yds to the TexTc 11Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
-5
53.3%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 16Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
+1
53.5%
Skylar Thompson run for 1 yd to the TexTc 15Similar
Q1 7:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
0
54.0%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Dalton Schoen, broken up by Thomas LeggettSimilar
Q1 1:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+32
53.5%
Blake Lynch 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 1:1953% → 52%
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
52.9%
Jett Duffey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
52.8%
Jett Duffey pass complete to KeSean Carter for 9 yds to the TexTc 44Similar
Q1 1:19
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
53.8%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
54.1%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 48Similar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+9
54.1%
Jett Duffey pass complete to N/A for 9 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
54.5%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+1
54.4%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd to the KanSt 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 42
0
53.9%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to T.J. Vasher, broken up by Wayne JonesSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 42
0
52.4%
Austin McNamara punt for 40 yds, downed at the KanSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0047% → 46%
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
52.7%
James Gilbert run for no gain to the KanSt 2Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+2
52.8%
James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the KanSt 4Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 8
OWN 4
+6
53.4%
Joshua Youngblood run for 6 yds to the KanSt 10Similar
Q2 14:10
4TH & 2
OWN 10
+67
53.7%
Devin Anctil punt for 57 yds, downed at the TEXASTECH 33 TEXAS TECH Penalty, illegal block (Dadrion Taylor) to the TexTc 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 9FG
9 plays · 51 yds · 3:1052% → 57%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
52.2%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 3 yds to the TexTc 26Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+13
52.4%
Jett Duffey pass complete to R.J. Turner for 13 yds to the TexTc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
53.1%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 4 yds to the TexTc 43Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+8
54.1%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 8 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+22
54.4%
Jett Duffey pass complete to R.J. Turner for 22 yds to the KanSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
55.3%
Jett Duffey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+4
55.2%
Jett Duffey pass complete to McLane Mannix for 4 yds to the KanSt 23Similar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 6
OPP 23
-3
54.4%
Jett Duffey pass complete to N/A for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 26Similar
Q2 8:40
4TH & 9
OPP 26
+44
56.6%
Trey Wolff 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10FG
9 plays · 61 yds · 4:0746% → 50%
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
54.1%
James Gilbert run for 1 yd to the KanSt 26Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+14
54.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 14 yds to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
52.6%
Jordon Brown run for 3 yds to the KanSt 43Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+44
52.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Wykeen Gill for 44 yds to the TexTc 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
50.7%
Jordon Brown run for 2 yds to the TexTc 11Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 8
OPP 11
-3
50.7%
Jordon Brown run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexTc 14Similar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 11
OPP 14
0
52.1%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:33
4TH & 11
OPP 14
+32
49.8%
Blake Lynch 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 11DOWNS
10 plays · 31 yds · 0:0050% → 51%
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
49.8%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 5 yds to the TexTc 23Similar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+5
50.1%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 5 yds to the TexTc 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
50.1%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+10
50.1%
Jett Duffey pass complete to R.J. Turner for 10 yds to the TexTc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
52.2%
Jett Duffey pass complete to McLane Mannix for no gain to the TexTc 40 to Skylar Thompson for no gain to the TexTc 40Similar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-10
50.9%
Duffey, Jett rush for 5 yards to the TTU45, PENALTY TTU holding (Steele, Terence) 10 yards to the TTU30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 20
OWN 30
+5
49.7%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 5 yds to the TexTc 35Similar
Q2 4:33
3RD & 15
OWN 35
+11
48.5%
Jett Duffey run for 11 yds to the TexTc 46Similar
Q2 4:33
4TH & 4
OWN 46
+3
50.8%
Jaylon Hutchings run for 3 yds to the TexTc 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12MISSED FG
9 plays · 22 yds · 0:4655% → 54%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
45.1%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Malik KnowlesSimilar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+6
45.2%
Skylar Thompson run for 6 yds to the TexTc 43Similar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+6
45.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 6 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
44.7%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Wykeen GillSimilar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+13
44.9%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Chabastin Taylor for 13 yds to the TexTc 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
44.1%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-3
44.4%
Skylar Thompson run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexTc 27Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 13
OPP 27
+45
45.9%
Blake Lynch 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:4052% → 68%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
48.1%
Jordon Brown run for 2 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
47.9%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Nick Lenners for 11 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
46.5%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (Tyler Mitchell) to the KanSt 33Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+1
48.1%
James Gilbert run for 1 yd to the KanSt 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 34
+21
48.3%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Jordon Brown for 21 yds to the TexTc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
45.5%
Jordon Brown run for 4 yds to the TexTc 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+10
45.4%
Thompson, S. pass incomplete to Schoen, Dalton, PENALTY TTU holding (Coleman, D.) 10 yards to the TTU31, 1ST DOWN KS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+13
44.6%
Malik Knowles run for 13 yds to the TexTc 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
44.3%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Wykeen GillSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+4
44.6%
Jordon Brown run for 4 yds to the TexTc 14Similar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+14
32.0%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 14 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 14TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:1433% → 52%
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
32.6%
Jett Duffey pass complete to R.J. Turner for 18 yds to the TexTc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
34.2%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete, broken up by Jordan MittieSimilar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
34.0%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to McLane MannixSimilar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+19
32.8%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Donta Thompson for 19 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
35.5%
Jett Duffey pass complete to KeSean Carter for 9 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 1
OPP 29
0
37.0%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to R.J. TurnerSimilar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+2
35.5%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the KanSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
37.0%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 9 yds to the KanSt 18Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+11
37.0%
Jett Duffey run for 3 yds to the KanSt 15 for a 1ST down KANSAS ST Penalty, Defensive holding (8 Yards) to the KanSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
37.0%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Erik EzukanmaSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
37.0%
Duffey, Jett pass incomplete to Thompson, Donta, PENALTY KS DO (Walker, Reggie) 4 yards to the KS3, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
37.0%
SaRodorick Thompson run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 5Similar
Q3 7:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
52.1%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 5 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 16TD
7 plays · 49 yds · 1:2134% → 54%
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
33.5%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 9 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & 1
OPP 40
0
33.7%
Jett Duffey pass complete to N/A for 10 yds to the KanSt 30 TEXAS TECH Penalty, illegal block (Erik Ezukanma) to the KanSt 40Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+1
33.7%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
33.7%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to McLane Mannix, broken up by Cody FletcherSimilar
Q3 6:52
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+18
33.5%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Travis Koontz for 18 yds to the KanSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
54.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 21 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17FG
12 plays · 50 yds · 3:1455% → 64%
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
45.3%
James Gilbert run for 1 yd to the KanSt 26Similar
Q3 5:31
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
45.4%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Dalton Schoen, broken up by Zech McPhearsonSimilar
Q3 5:31
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+12
46.7%
Thompson, S. pass incomplete to Parker, AJ, PENALTY TTU pass interference (Smith, Desmon) 12 yards to the KS38, 1ST DOWN KS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
43.3%
Thompson, S. pass incomplete to Taylor, C., PENALTY TTU pass interference (Beck, Adam) 15 yards to the TTU47, 1ST DOWN KS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+23
41.9%
Malik Knowles run for 23 yds to the TexTc 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
40.3%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Jordon BrownSimilar
Q3 5:31
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+10
40.8%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Nick Lenners for 10 yds to the TexTc 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
40.3%
Skylar Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 15Similar
Q3 5:31
2ND & 11
OPP 15
0
40.8%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Blaise GammonSimilar
Q3 5:31
3RD & 11
OPP 15
-10
42.5%
Skylar Thompson sacked by Riko Jeffers for a loss of 10 yards to the TexTc 25Similar
Q3 2:17
4TH & 21
OPP 25
+43
35.7%
Blake Lynch 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 18FG
12 plays · 66 yds · 2:4239% → 48%
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
38.7%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Donta Thompson, broken up by Kyle BallSimilar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
38.4%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd to the TexTc 26Similar
Q3 2:17
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+19
36.8%
Jett Duffey run for 19 yds to the TexTc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+22
42.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Donta Thompson for 22 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
45.4%
Jett Duffey pass complete to KeSean Carter for 9 yds to the KanSt 24Similar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+5
45.4%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 5 yds to the KanSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+10
45.4%
Jett Duffey pass complete to N/A for 10 yds to the KanSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
45.0%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Erik EzukanmaSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
45.0%
Jett Duffey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
42.7%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to KeSean CarterSimilar
Q4 14:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
47.9%
Trey Wolff 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:0058% → 55%
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
42.5%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Jordon Brown for 3 yds to the KanSt 30Similar
Q4 14:35
2ND & 7
OWN 30
-10
41.9%
Brown, Jordon rush for 12 yards to the KS42 (Leggett, Thomas), PENALTY KS holding (Rivas, Josh) 10 yards to the KS20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:35
2ND & 17
OWN 20
0
43.6%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Jordon BrownSimilar
Q4 14:35
3RD & 17
OWN 20
+13
45.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Chabastin Taylor for 13 yds to the KanSt 33Similar
Q4 14:35
4TH & 4
OWN 33
+6
44.9%
Devin Anctil punt for 50 yds , Chux Nwabuko III returns for 6 yds to the TexTc 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:0044% → 42%
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
43.7%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Travis Koontz for 7 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q4 12:31
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+14
46.4%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 14 yds to the TexTc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
47.7%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 13 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
49.4%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Erik EzukanmaSimilar
Q4 12:31
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+4
49.1%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Donta Thompson for 4 yds to the KanSt 39Similar
Q4 12:31
3RD & 6
OPP 39
-7
48.8%
Jett Duffey sacked by Wyatt Hubert for a loss of 7 yards to the KanSt 46Similar
Q4 12:31
4TH & 13
OPP 46
0
41.5%
Austin McNamara punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 21TD
3 plays · 85 yds · 0:5664% → 86%
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+15
35.6%
Thompson, S. pass incomplete to Taylor, C., PENALTY TTU pass interference (McPhearson, Z.) 15 yards to the KS30, 1ST DOWN KS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+22
34.7%
James Gilbert run for 22 yds to the TexTc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
14.1%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Chabastin Taylor for 48 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 22INT
7 plays · 53 yds · 0:0016% → 21%
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
16.1%
Jett Duffey pass complete to R.J. Turner for 15 yds to the TexTc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
17.3%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 4 yds to the TexTc 42Similar
Q4 8:54
2ND & 6
OWN 42
0
17.9%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q4 8:54
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
16.7%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to KeSean CarterSimilar
Q4 8:54
4TH & 6
OWN 42
+34
15.6%
Austin McNamara pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 34 yds to the KanSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
21.0%
Jett Duffey pass intercepted, touchback. Denzel Goolsby return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 23INT
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
13.4%
James Gilbert run for 3 yds to the KanSt 23Similar
Q4 6:53
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+3
13.5%
James Gilbert run for 3 yds to the KanSt 26Similar
Q4 6:53
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
14.0%
Skylar Thompson pass intercepted Adrian Frye return for no gain to the TexTc 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 24TD
4 plays · 60 yds · 1:2213% → 35%
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-7
12.9%
Jett Duffey sacked by Wyatt Hubert for a loss of 7 yards to the TexTc 33Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 17
OWN 33
-1
11.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to N/A for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 32Similar
Q4 5:20
3RD & 18
OWN 32
+10
10.2%
Jett Duffey pass complete to McLane Mannix for 10 yds to the TexTc 42Similar
Q4 3:58
4TH & 8
OWN 42
+58
34.7%
Jett Duffey pass complete to R.J. Turner for 58 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 25END OF GAME
14 plays · 20 yds · 2:3774% → 88%
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
26.0%
Joshua Youngblood run for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 21Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+3
26.6%
Joshua Youngblood run for 3 yds to the KanSt 24Similar
Q4 3:58
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+17
28.2%
Skylar Thompson run for 17 yds to the KanSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
16.8%
James Gilbert run for 1 yd to the KanSt 42Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+18
16.0%
James Gilbert run for 18 yds to the TexTc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
10.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 42Similar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 12
OPP 42
-4
9.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexTc 46Similar
Q4 1:21
3RD & 16
OPP 46
-5
11.5%
KANSAS ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 49Similar
Q4 1:21
3RD & 21
OWN 49
-4
12.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:58
Jett Duffey pass complete to R.J. Turner for 58 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK)
+24.4
TD · Q3 6:52
Trey Wolff kickoff for 65 yds , Joshua Youngblood return for 100 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK)
-21.2
TD · Q4 8:54
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Chabastin Taylor for 48 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK)
-20.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com