Try the model
2019 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2019 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:39 · Josh Growden punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 154Pregame prior+5.4Home team on offense−10.8Garbage-time factor−5.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.1Score differential−4.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:00: Jarret Doege pass complete to George Campbell for 15 yds for a TD (Casey Legg KICK) — WVU win probability +2.9 pts (now 25%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:43: Blake Lynch 33 yd FG GOOD — KSU win probability +3.6 pts (now 72%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  3. TD · Q3 7:56: James Gilbert run for 3 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK) — KSU win probability +8.6 pts (now 82%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 14:07: Casey Legg 51 yd FG GOOD — WVU win probability +4.7 pts (now 25%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:27: Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Wheaton for 50 yds for a TD (Casey Legg KICK) — WVU win probability +32.0 pts (now 59%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 8WVU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00WVU 4th & 10 at WVU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:43KSU 4th & 4 at WVU 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.7%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    78.5%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:05WVU 4th & 26 at WVU 41, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.8%−1.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:43KSU 4th & 8 at WVU 35, down 4
    Close callPunted · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.7%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    74.6%−0.1
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    74.2%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:33WVU 4th & 7 at WVU 23, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.0%−0.8
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:43KSU 4th & 1 at WVU 15, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.0%−1.0
    83% to make
    Punt
    61.3%−6.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:56WVU 4th & 1 at WVU 34, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.9%−1.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:32KSU 4th & 18 at KSU 27, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%−3.7
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.1%
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:07WVU 4th & 26 at KSU 34, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.1%−3.0
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.1%
    47% to make
    Punt
    20.9%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:03KSU 4th & 5 at KSU 25, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.0%−1.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:47KSU 4th & 12 at WVU 36, down 4
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.9 ptsWent for it · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.0%−1.9
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    42.9%
    42% to make
    Punt
    40.3%−2.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:39WVU 4th & 10 at WVU 36, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%−4.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:38KSU 4th & 22 at KSU 9, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%−4.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:33WVU 4th & 11 at KSU 45, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.8%−1.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    72.4%−2.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    75.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:53KSU 4th & 6 at KSU 44, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    21.2%−4.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WVU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 13:37KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:05WVU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:00WVU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:56KSU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:27WVU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.5%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
83.2%
Kennedy McKoy run for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+4
83.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 4 yds to the WVirg 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
83.2%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sam JamesSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
83.2%
Josh Growden punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2TD
1 play · 68 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+68
83.1%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 68 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:3217% → 18%
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
83.1%
Kennedy McKoy run for 12 yds to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
83.1%
Kennedy McKoy run for 9 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+32
83.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to George Campbell for 32 yds to the KanSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
82.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 8 yds to the KanSt 14Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 2
OPP 14
-5
82.8%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 19Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 7
OPP 19
0
82.8%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sean RyanSimilar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 7
OPP 19
+19
81.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to George Campbell for 19 yds for a TD (Casey Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4FG
14 plays · 72 yds · 6:1882% → 81%
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
82.2%
James Gilbert run for 8 yds to the KanSt 32Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+1
82.4%
Skylar Thompson run for 1 yd to the KanSt 33Similar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+2
82.2%
Jordon Brown run for 2 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+35
82.3%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Landry Weber for 35 yds to the WVirg 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-10
82.6%
Gilbert, James rush for 2 yards to the WVU28 (Norwood, Josh), PENALTY KS holding (Mitchell, Tyler) 10 yards to the WVU40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:01
1ST & 20
OPP 40
-5
82.4%
Skylar Thompson run for a loss of 5 yards to the WVirg 45Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 25
OPP 45
+14
82.4%
Skylar Thompson run for 14 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q1 7:09
3RD & 11
OPP 31
+21
81.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 21 yds to the WVirg 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
81.5%
Jordon Brown run for no gain to the WVirg 10Similar
Q1 7:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
81.5%
James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the WVirg 8Similar
Q1 7:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
81.3%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 4 yds to the WVirg 4Similar
Q1 4:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
81.0%
Blake Lynch 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5TD
14 plays · 63 yds · 4:3919% → 25%
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
80.8%
Kennedy McKoy run for 2 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+11
80.6%
Kennedy McKoy run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
50
+9
80.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Ali Jennings for 9 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+9
80.2%
Kennedy McKoy run for 9 yds to the KanSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
80.0%
Kennedy McKoy run for 4 yds to the KanSt 28Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+9
79.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 9 yds to the KanSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
79.9%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the KanSt 16Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 7
OPP 16
0
79.9%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sam JamesSimilar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 7
OPP 16
-8
80.3%
Jarret Doege sacked by Khalid Duke for a loss of 8 yards to the KanSt 24Similar
Q1 0:51
4TH & 15
OPP 24
+12
80.2%
Legg, Casey field goal attempt from 41 MISSED - wide right,, clock 00:51, PENALTY KS personal foul (Dishon, Trey) 12 yards to the KS12, 1ST DOWN WVU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-3
78.3%
Kennedy McKoy run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 15Similar
Q1 0:51
2ND & 13
OPP 15
0
78.4%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Kennedy McKoySimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 13
OPP 15
+15
75.5%
Jarret Doege pass complete to George Campbell for 15 yds for a TD (Casey Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6INT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
76.4%
Jordon Brown run for 1 yd to the KanSt 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
76.3%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Malik KnowlesSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
75.8%
Skylar Thompson pass intercepted Josh Norwood return for no gain to the WVirg 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
75.0%
Leddie Brown run for no gain to the WVirg 45Similar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+12
75.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for 12 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-21
74.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for a loss of 6 yards to the WVirg 49 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Sam James) to the WVirg 36Similar
Q2 14:05
4TH & 26
OWN 41
0
76.6%
Josh Growden punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 21Similar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 31
OWN 36
+5
76.1%
Leddie Brown run for 5 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q2 14:05
3RD & 26
OWN 41
0
76.0%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Isaiah EsdaleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 44 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-3
74.6%
James Gilbert run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 18Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 13
OWN 18
+32
74.4%
James Gilbert run for 32 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
50
+6
76.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to James Gilbert for 6 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 4
OPP 44
-4
76.4%
Harry Trotter run for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 48Similar
Q2 11:43
3RD & 8
OPP 48
-5
75.7%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 47Similar
Q2 11:43
3RD & 13
OWN 47
+16
74.4%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 16 yds to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-5
76.3%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (Harry Trotter) to the WVirg 42Similar
Q2 11:43
1ST & 15
OPP 42
+6
75.5%
Harry Trotter run for 6 yds to the WVirg 36Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+1
76.3%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Logan Long for 1 yd to the WVirg 35Similar
Q2 11:43
3RD & 8
OPP 35
0
76.2%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Dalton Schoen, broken up by Hakeem BaileySimilar
Q2 11:43
4TH & 8
OPP 35
0
75.1%
Devin Anctil punt for 35 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0030% → 29%
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
70.3%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sam JamesSimilar
Q2 6:33
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
70.5%
Kennedy McKoy run for 6 yds to the WVirg 26Similar
Q2 6:33
3RD & 4
OWN 26
-3
70.2%
Kennedy McKoy run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 23Similar
Q2 6:33
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
71.5%
Josh Growden punt for 46 yds , Phillip Brooks returns for no gain to the KanSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10FG
14 plays · 54 yds · 4:4070% → 72%
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
70.0%
James Gilbert run for 1 yd to the KanSt 32Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+12
69.9%
Joshua Youngblood run for 12 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
71.7%
James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+5
71.8%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Nick Lenners for 5 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q2 5:23
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+15
71.7%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Landry Weber for 15 yds to the WVirg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
73.1%
James Gilbert run for no gain to the WVirg 34Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+6
69.9%
Jordon Brown run for 6 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+4
68.3%
Skylar Thompson run for 4 yds to the WVirg 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
70.0%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Jordon Brown for 4 yds to the WVirg 20Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+5
70.0%
Skylar Thompson run for 5 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 1
OPP 15
0
68.1%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:43
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+33
71.6%
Blake Lynch 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11MISSED FG
8 plays · 52 yds · 0:4132% → 37%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+19
68.2%
Leddie Brown run for 19 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
66.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 9 yds to the KanSt 44Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+15
64.5%
Leddie Brown run for 15 yds to the KanSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
63.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 9 yds to the KanSt 20Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 20
+37
62.6%
Casey Legg 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12TD
14 plays · 70 yds · 7:0470% → 82%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
69.8%
Phillip Brooks run for 6 yds to the KanSt 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+9
71.7%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to James Gilbert for 9 yds to the KanSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
71.9%
Jordon Brown run for 4 yds to the KanSt 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+14
72.3%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 14 yds to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
72.7%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to James Gilbert for 11 yds to the WVirg 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
73.6%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 7 yds to the WVirg 19Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 19
-6
73.6%
Skylar Thompson sacked by Sean Mahone for a loss of 6 yards to the WVirg 25Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 25
+9
72.3%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Joshua Youngblood for 9 yds to the WVirg 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-7
73.6%
Skylar Thompson run for a loss of 7 yards to the WVirg 23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 17
OPP 23
+2
72.1%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Harry Trotter for 2 yds to the WVirg 21Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 21
+16
70.5%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 16 yds to the WVirg 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
73.6%
Skylar Thompson run for 2 yds to the WVirg 3 Skylar Thompson fumbled, forced by Darius Stills,Similar
Q3 7:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
82.2%
James Gilbert run for 3 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
77.6%
Kennedy McKoy run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 22Similar
Q3 7:56
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+3
78.1%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 3 yds to the WVirg 25Similar
Q3 7:56
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+9
78.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Ali Jennings for 9 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q3 7:56
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
78.1%
Josh Growden punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:0080% → 78%
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
79.7%
James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the KanSt 26Similar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+9
79.7%
James Gilbert run for 9 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
79.9%
Skylar Thompson run for 2 yds to the KanSt 37Similar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-10
80.4%
Brown, Jordon rush for no gain to the KS37 (Smith, Tykee), PENALTY KS holding (Dineen, Jax) 10 yards to the KS27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 18
OWN 27
0
79.2%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Joshua Youngblood, broken up by Shea CampbellSimilar
Q3 6:32
3RD & 18
OWN 27
0
78.3%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Malik Knowles, broken up by Kerry Martin Jr.Similar
Q3 6:32
4TH & 18
OWN 27
+7
77.5%
Devin Anctil punt for 43 yds , Alec Sinkfield returns for 7 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15FG
15 plays · 29 yds · 4:5824% → 25%
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
75.6%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
76.0%
Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q3 4:05
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+13
75.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Ali Jennings for 13 yds to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
73.2%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the KanSt 44Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 8
OPP 44
-5
73.3%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (James Gmiter) to the KanSt 49Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 13
OPP 49
+21
75.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to George Campbell for 21 yds to the KanSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
71.3%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the KanSt 26Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+8
71.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 8 yds to the KanSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
71.3%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Isaiah EsdaleSimilar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-10
71.8%
Doege, Jarret pass complete to McKoy, Kennedy for 3 yards to the KS15 (Sullivan, E.), PENALTY WVU holding (Behrndt, Chase) 10 yards to the KS28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:35
2ND & 20
OPP 28
-1
77.3%
Leddie Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 21
OPP 29
-10
79.6%
Doege, Jarret pass complete to James, Sam for 14 yards to the KS15 (Neil Jr., W.), PENALTY WVU holding (McKivitz, C.) 10 yards to the KS39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 31
OPP 39
+5
80.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 5 yds to the KanSt 34Similar
Q4 14:07
4TH & 26
OPP 34
+51
75.3%
Casey Legg 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0077% → 74%
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
76.5%
James Gilbert run for 5 yds to the KanSt 25Similar
Q4 14:03
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
76.8%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Harry TrotterSimilar
Q4 14:03
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
75.6%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:03
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
74.4%
Devin Anctil punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17TD
5 plays · 53 yds · 1:4630% → 59%
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
69.8%
Doege, Jarret pass incomplete to James, Sam, PENALTY KS pass interference (Goolsby, Denzel) 15 yards to the KS38, 1ST DOWN WVU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-8
69.1%
Jarret Doege sacked by Reggie Walker for a loss of 8 yards to the KanSt 46Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 18
OPP 46
+1
71.9%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the KanSt 45Similar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 17
OPP 45
-5
73.3%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (Chase Behrndt) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:27
3RD & 22
50
+50
41.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Wheaton for 50 yds for a TD (Casey Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 39 yds · 2:4048% → 42%
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
48.0%
James Gilbert run for no gain to the KanSt 25Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+30
47.6%
Skylar Thompson run for 15 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, personal foul (Exree Loe) to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
53.7%
Jordon Brown run for 11 yds to the WVirg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
56.3%
Jordon Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 35Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 11
OPP 35
-1
56.1%
Skylar Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 36Similar
Q4 11:27
3RD & 12
OPP 36
0
50.1%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Harry TrotterSimilar
Q4 8:47
4TH & 12
OPP 36
0
42.4%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Joshua Youngblood, broken up by Keith Washington Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0067% → 62%
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
33.3%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Ali JenningsSimilar
Q4 8:39
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
34.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for no gain to the WVirg 36Similar
Q4 8:39
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
36.0%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Ali JenningsSimilar
Q4 8:39
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
38.0%
Josh Growden punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 0:0042% → 37%
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
41.7%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to James Gilbert for 2 yds to the KanSt 23Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 8
OWN 23
-1
41.6%
James Gilbert run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 22Similar
Q4 7:38
3RD & 9
OWN 22
-13
39.5%
Skylar Thompson sacked by Jeffery Pooler Jr. for a loss of 13 yards to the KanSt 9Similar
Q4 7:38
4TH & 22
OWN 9
0
37.1%
Devin Anctil punt for 48 yds, downed at the WVirg 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:0275% → 76%
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
24.9%
Leddie Brown run for 13 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
23.7%
Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 6
OPP 40
-5
23.4%
Leddie Brown run for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 45Similar
Q4 3:33
3RD & 11
OPP 45
+5
21.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to George Campbell for 5 yds to the KanSt 40 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 3:33
4TH & 6
OPP 40
-5
23.1%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, delay of game (Josh Growden) to the KanSt 45Similar
Q4 3:33
4TH & 11
OPP 45
0
24.3%
Josh Growden punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 22INT
14 plays · 62 yds · 2:1032% → 33%
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+10
32.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Jordon Brown for 10 yds to the KanSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
33.1%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Jordon Brown for 5 yds to the KanSt 23Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 5
OWN 23
0
33.9%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Joshua YoungbloodSimilar
Q4 2:53
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+6
31.5%
Skylar Thompson run for 6 yds to the KanSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
34.0%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Phillip BrooksSimilar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+11
32.7%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 11 yds to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
36.9%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
34.9%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Landry Weber, broken up by Exree LoeSimilar
Q4 2:53
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+4
33.8%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Jordon Brown for 4 yds to the KanSt 44Similar
Q4 2:53
4TH & 6
OWN 44
+9
33.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Jordon Brown for 9 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
39.6%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 15 yds to the WVirg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
31.3%
Skylar Thompson run for 2 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q4 0:43
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
33.3%
Skylar Thompson pass intercepted Hakeem Bailey return for no gain to the WVirg 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 23END OF GAME
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:0493% → 94%
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
6.8%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the WVirg 4Similar
Q4 0:24
2ND & 9
OWN 4
-2
6.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:27
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Wheaton for 50 yds for a TD (Casey Legg KICK)
-32
TD · Q3 7:56
James Gilbert run for 3 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)
+8.6
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-6.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com