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KSU

Kansas State 24 at Texas 27

TEX
2019 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2019 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · TEX
modelTEX aheadKSU aheadconfidence bandkey playTEX scoreKSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:55 · Devin Anctil punt for 60 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 32Pregame prior+19.1Home team on offense−7.4Score differential−3.4Garbage-time factor−1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.1Blowout margin+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 13:17: Keaontay Ingram 34 Yd Run (Cameron Dicker Kick) — TEX win probability +14.9 pts (now 71%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 12:17: Keaontay Ingram 12 Yd Run (Cameron Dicker Kick) — TEX win probability +10.6 pts (now 88%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:03: Joshua Youngblood 98 Yd Kickoff Return (Blake Lynch Kick) — KSU win probability +14.8 pts (now 27%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 6:45: Blake Lynch 45 Yd Field Goal — KSU win probability +11.9 pts (now 48%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Cameron Dicker 26 yd FG GOOD — TEX win probability +32.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEX made the numbers' call on 5 of 6KSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 9:35TEX 4th & 13 at KSU 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.6%
    42% to make
    Punt
    66.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:19TEX 4th & 1 at TEX 34, down 14
    Close callPunted · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.7%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:55KSU 4th & 6 at KSU 40, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:43TEX 4th & 1 at KSU 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    53.1%−1.5
    62% to make
    Punt
    49.6%−5.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:43TEX 4th & 10 at TEX 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.5%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:12KSU 4th & 14 at TEX 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    51.0%−<0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    51.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:35KSU 4th & 6 at KSU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%−0.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:35KSU 4th & 10 at KSU 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−1.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:20KSU 4th & 11 at KSU 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.4%−2.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.3%
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:43TEX 4th & 4 at TEX 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.4%−1.5
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:45KSU 4th & 9 at TEX 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%−3.5
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.2%
    62% to make
    Punt
    20.7%−12.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:00TEX 4th & 8 at KSU 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%−7.9
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.7%
    90% to make
    Punt
    28.5%−35.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEX made the numbers' call on 3 of 3KSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 13:26KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:18KSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:03TEX Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:17TEX Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:17TEX Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:03KSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KSUDrive 1TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:2825% → 26%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
74.7%
Harry Trotter run for 1 yd to the KanSt 26Similar
Q1 14:43
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
74.6%
Skylar Thompson run for 4 yds to the KanSt 30Similar
Q1 13:26
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+70
74.0%
Malik Knowles 70 Yd pass from Skylar Thompson (Blake Lynch Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 2MISSED FG
10 plays · 39 yds · 3:3874% → 72%
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
73.8%
Sam Ehlinger run for 18 yds to the Texas 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
73.7%
Keaontay Ingram run for 4 yds to the Texas 47Similar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+9
73.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 9 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
73.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 8 yds to the KanSt 36Similar
Q1 11:11
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+3
73.1%
Keaontay Ingram run for 3 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
73.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to John BurtSimilar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
73.0%
Keaontay Ingram run for no gain to the KanSt 33Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 10
OPP 33
-3
72.5%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Jonathan Alexander for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 36Similar
Q1 9:35
4TH & 13
OPP 36
+55
71.8%
Cameron Dicker 55 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 3:4629% → 35%
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-4
71.3%
Jordon Brown run for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 33Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 14
OWN 33
+11
71.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 11 yds to the KanSt 44Similar
Q1 8:13
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+21
70.6%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 21 yds to the Texas 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
69.7%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+1
69.6%
Jordon Brown run for 1 yd to the Texas 34Similar
Q1 6:35
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+14
69.4%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 14 yds to the Texas 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
68.6%
Jordon Brown run for 1 yd to the Texas 19Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+19
64.9%
Wykeen Gill 19 Yd pass from Skylar Thompson (Blake Lynch Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:4166% → 64%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
66.1%
Keaontay Ingram run for 2 yds to the Texas 27Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
65.9%
Keaontay Ingram run for 7 yds to the Texas 34Similar
Q1 4:32
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
66.0%
Sam Ehlinger run for no gain to the Texas 34Similar
Q1 3:19
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
63.9%
Chris Naggar punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 2:1737% → 39%
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+17
63.2%
Harry Trotter run for 17 yds to the KanSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-4
62.3%
Skylar Thompson sacked by T'Vondre Sweat for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 32Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 14
OWN 32
+8
61.6%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Jordon Brown for 8 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
Q1 1:05
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
60.3%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Nick LennersSimilar
Q1 0:55
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
60.7%
Devin Anctil punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 6TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:2661% → 67%
Q1 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
60.9%
TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Texas 10Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+8
60.3%
Sam Ehlinger run for 8 yds to the Texas 18Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+14
60.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 14 yds to the Texas 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+32
60.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 32 yds to the KanSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
60.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Brennan EaglesSimilar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+2
60.2%
Roschon Johnson run for 2 yds to the KanSt 34Similar
Q2 12:59
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+7
59.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Roschon Johnson for 7 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
Q2 12:43
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+6
59.2%
Roschon Johnson run for 6 yds to the KanSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
66.5%
Collin Johnson 21 Yd pass from Sam Ehlinger (Cameron Dicker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 7FUMBLE
11 plays · 37 yds · 5:4237% → 45%
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
62.9%
Jordon Brown run for 2 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-3
62.6%
Skylar Thompson sacked by Ayodele Adeoye for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 24Similar
Q2 10:45
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+14
63.3%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 14 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
60.1%
Skylar Thompson run for 1 yd to the KanSt 39Similar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+4
59.6%
Harry Trotter run for 4 yds to the KanSt 43Similar
Q2 8:18
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+8
59.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Wykeen Gill for 8 yds to the Texas 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
56.5%
Tyler Burns run for 3 yds to the Texas 46Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+7
56.0%
Tyler Burns run for 7 yds to the Texas 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
55.5%
Tyler Burns run for 3 yds to the Texas 36Similar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 7
OPP 36
-2
55.0%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Mason Barta for a loss of 2 yards Mason Barta fumbled, recovered by Texas Moro OjomoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:0459% → 56%
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
58.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+11
58.6%
Keaontay Ingram run for 11 yds to the Texas 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-2
60.0%
Keaontay Ingram run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 47Similar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 12
OWN 47
-1
58.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 46Similar
Q2 4:04
3RD & 13
OWN 46
+3
56.2%
Sam Ehlinger run for 3 yds to the Texas 49Similar
Q2 3:43
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
56.0%
Chris Naggar punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 50 yds · 2:2144% → 48%
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+11
56.1%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Joshua Youngblood for 11 yds to the KanSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+13
54.1%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 13 yds to the KanSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+16
52.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 16 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
50.6%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 14 yds to the Texas 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
48.6%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
48.6%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 10
OPP 38
-4
50.3%
Skylar Thompson sacked by B.J. Foster and Ta'Quon Graham for a loss of 4 yards to the Texas 42Similar
Q2 1:12
4TH & 14
OPP 42
0
52.4%
Devin Anctil punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 10END OF HALF
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:5853% → 50%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-7
52.9%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Wyatt Hubert for a loss of 7 yards to the Texas 12Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 17
OWN 12
+7
51.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 7 yds to the Texas 19Similar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 10
OWN 19
+13
49.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 13 yds to the Texas 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 11TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:2853% → 71%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
52.5%
Keaontay Ingram run for 20 yds to the Texas 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
54.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 7 yds to the KanSt 48Similar
Q3 13:58
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+14
55.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 14 yds to the KanSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
70.6%
Keaontay Ingram 34 Yd Run (Cameron Dicker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2437% → 35%
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
63.3%
Skylar Thompson run for 5 yds to the KanSt 30Similar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-1
62.2%
Harry Trotter run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 29 Harry Trotter fumbled, recovered by KanSt Harry TrotterSimilar
Q3 11:43
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
63.7%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:35
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
65.1%
Devin Anctil punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Brandon Jones at the Texas 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 13FG
10 plays · 52 yds · 2:2066% → 72%
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+37
66.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 37 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
70.1%
Keaontay Ingram run for 9 yds to the KanSt 24Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+3
70.1%
Keaontay Ingram run for 3 yds to the KanSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+15
70.0%
Ehlinger, Sam pass incomplete to Johnson, Collin, PENALTY KANSASST pass interference 15 yards to the KANSASST6, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXAS.Similar
Q3 10:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-10
70.0%
TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the KanSt 16Similar
Q3 9:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 16
+2
69.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 2 yds to the KanSt 14Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
-15
69.3%
TEXAS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the KanSt 29Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 29
0
68.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Devin DuvernaySimilar
Q3 9:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 29
+11
66.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Malcolm Epps for 11 yds to the KanSt 18Similar
Q3 9:02
4TH & 0
OPP 18
+36
71.9%
Cameron Dicker 36 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:1331% → 29%
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
69.2%
Tyler Burns run for 6 yds to the KanSt 31Similar
Q3 8:11
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
67.6%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Tyler BurnsSimilar
Q3 8:11
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
69.0%
TEXAS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the KanSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
67.8%
Tyler Burns run for no gain to the KanSt 36Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
68.3%
Tyler Burns run for no gain to the KanSt 36Similar
Q3 6:59
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
69.7%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Dalton SchoenSimilar
Q3 6:35
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
70.6%
Devin Anctil punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Brandon Jones at the Texas 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 15INT
11 plays · 54 yds · 4:4471% → 74%
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
70.5%
Keaontay Ingram run for 6 yds to the Texas 24Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+20
70.7%
Roschon Johnson run for 20 yds to the Texas 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
72.5%
Sam Ehlinger run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 4
50
+7
73.2%
Roschon Johnson run for 7 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
73.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+8
73.1%
Keaontay Ingram run for 8 yds to the KanSt 35Similar
Q3 3:33
3RD & 2
OPP 35
-5
72.9%
TEXAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 40Similar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+10
72.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 10 yds to the KanSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
74.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 8 yds to the KanSt 22Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 2
OPP 18
-6
74.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 4 yds to the KanSt 18 TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the KanSt 28Similar
Q3 1:42
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+11
74.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass intercepted Walter Neil Jr. return for 11 yds to the KanSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 2:5130% → 28%
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
69.7%
Jordon Brown run for 5 yds to the KanSt 18Similar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+9
68.8%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 9 yds to the KanSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
67.6%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 5 yds to the KanSt 32Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 5
OWN 32
-1
66.2%
Jordon Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 31Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 6
OWN 31
-5
69.4%
KANSAS ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 26Similar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 11
OWN 26
0
71.0%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Malik KnowlesSimilar
Q4 13:20
4TH & 11
OWN 26
+53
72.2%
Devin Anctil punt for 48 yds , Brandon Jones returns for 53 yds to the KanSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 17TD
3 plays · 21 yds · 0:4977% → 88%
Q4 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
77.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 5 yds to the KanSt 16Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+4
77.0%
Sam Ehlinger run for 4 yds to the KanSt 12Similar
Q4 12:17
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+12
87.7%
Keaontay Ingram 12 Yd Run (Cameron Dicker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1372% → 71%
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
72.2%
Roschon Johnson run for 2 yds to the Texas 27Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
72.1%
Sam Ehlinger run for 4 yds to the Texas 31Similar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
72.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:43
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
71.1%
Chris Naggar punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 20FG
11 plays · 45 yds · 3:4332% → 48%
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
67.8%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Wykeen Gill for 13 yds to the KanSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
64.8%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Nick Lenners for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 1
50
+7
61.3%
Tyler Burns run for 7 yds to the Texas 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
61.8%
Tyler Burns run for no gain to the Texas 43Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
62.1%
Jordon Brown run for no gain to the Texas 43Similar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+15
64.2%
TEXAS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Texas 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
58.9%
Skylar Thompson run for 1 yd to the Texas 27Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 9
OPP 27
0
59.1%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:50
3RD & 9
OPP 27
0
63.7%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Dalton SchoenSimilar
Q4 6:45
4TH & 9
OPP 27
+45
51.8%
Blake Lynch 45 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 21FG
19 plays · 67 yds · 6:3759% → 94%
Q4 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
58.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 14 yds to the Texas 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
61.0%
Keaontay Ingram run for 13 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-10
64.3%
TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Texas 42Similar
Q4 4:44
1ST & 20
OWN 42
+5
59.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 5 yds to the Texas 47Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 15
OWN 47
+1
59.7%
Sam Ehlinger run for 1 yd to the Texas 48Similar
Q4 3:45
3RD & 14
OWN 48
+18
57.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 18 yds to the KanSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
65.7%
Sam Ehlinger run for 3 yds to the KanSt 31Similar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+18
65.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 18 yds to the KanSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
65.6%
Keaontay Ingram run for 9 yds to the KanSt 4Similar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+2
65.6%
Sam Ehlinger run for 2 yds to the KanSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
65.6%
Sam Ehlinger run for 1 yd to the KanSt 1Similar
Q4 1:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
68.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 3Similar
Q4 0:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
63.5%
TEXAS Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 8Similar
Q4 0:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
63.4%
Sam Ehlinger run for no gain to the KanSt 8Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
93.9%
Cameron Dicker 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Cameron Dicker 26 yd FG GOOD
+32.7
TD · Q3 13:17
Keaontay Ingram 34 Yd Run (Cameron Dicker Kick)
+14.9
TD · Q4 12:03
Joshua Youngblood 98 Yd Kickoff Return (Blake Lynch Kick)
-14.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com