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TCU

TCU 17 at Kansas State 24

KSU
2019 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2019 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadTCU aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreTCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:04 · Jordy Sandy punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Joshua Youngblood at the KanSt 5
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 140Pregame prior−3.3Home team on offense−3.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−3.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:30: Skylar Thompson pass complete to Wykeen Gill for 13 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK) — KSU win probability +10.7 pts (now 56%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:38: Timeout TCU, clock 00:38 — KSU win probability +8.3 pts (now 59%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 11:30: Blake Lynch 21 yd FG GOOD — KSU win probability +7.8 pts (now 63%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:42: Max Duggan run for 46 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK) — TCU win probability +16.1 pts (now 58%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:45: Skylar Thompson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK) — KSU win probability +32.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9TCU made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00TCU 4th & 8 at TCU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:48KSU 4th & 2 at KSU 27, tied
    Close callPunted · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:19TCU 4th & 4 at TCU 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:56TCU 4th & 5 at KSU 36, down 7
    Close callPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    55.8%−0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    55.7%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:18KSU 4th & 11 at KSU 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:43KSU 4th & 3 at KSU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.6%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:08TCU 4th & 4 at TCU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.9%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:33TCU 4th & 12 at KSU 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−2.2
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.1%
    77% to make
    Punt
    34.1%−6.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:30KSU 4th & 3 at TCU 3, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.7%−1.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    49.2%−9.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:38KSU 4th & 18 at KSU 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.4%−5.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:11TCU 4th & 4 at TCU 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.1%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:28KSU 4th & 11 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%−1.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00TCU 4th & 1 at TCU 30, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 5.0 ptsPunted · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.1%−5.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:52KSU 4th & 3 at KSU 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%−0.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:04TCU 4th & 9 at KSU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    48.4%−2.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    50.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:03KSU 4th & 1 at TCU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    50.8%−6.6
    75% to make
    Punt
    31.7%−25.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:45TCU 4th & 11 at KSU 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.7%
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    7.9%−1.8
    40% to make
    Punt
    6.6%−3.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:09KSU 4th & 26 at KSU 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.7%−2.0
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3TCU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:56KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:43TCU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:30KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:42TCU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:45KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.0%−1.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TCUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
34.9%
TCU Penalty, (-5 Yards) to the TCU 20Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+5
34.9%
Jalen Reagor run for 5 yds to the TCU 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
34.9%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 13 yds to the TCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
34.9%
Darius Anderson run for 2 yds to the TCU 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
34.9%
Max Duggan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
34.9%
Max Duggan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
34.9%
Jordy Sandy punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-2
35.4%
James Gilbert run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 17Similar
Q1 13:48
2ND & 12
OWN 17
0
35.4%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:48
3RD & 12
OWN 17
+10
35.3%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Wykeen Gill for 10 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
Q1 13:48
4TH & 2
OWN 27
0
35.3%
Devin Anctil punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jalen Reagor at the TCU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+13
35.9%
Darius Anderson run for 13 yds to the TCU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
35.8%
Max Duggan pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 4 yds to the TCU 46Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+2
35.7%
Darius Anderson run for 2 yds to the TCU 48Similar
Q1 12:19
3RD & 4
OWN 48
0
35.8%
Max Duggan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:19
4TH & 4
OWN 48
0
35.9%
TEAM punt blocked by Jonathan Alexander blocked by Jonathan AlexanderSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4TD
2 plays · 20 yds · 0:4537% → 39%
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
37.3%
Harry Trotter run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 21Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+21
39.4%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Nick Lenners for 21 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 39 yds · 0:0061% → 62%
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
38.6%
Max Duggan run for 9 yds to the TCU 34Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
38.3%
Darius Anderson run for 2 yds to the TCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
38.4%
Darius Anderson run for 5 yds to the TCU 41Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+18
38.2%
Sewo Olonilua run for 3 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST down KANSAS ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the KanSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
38.1%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Taye BarberSimilar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+5
38.1%
Max Duggan pass complete to Sewo Olonilua for 5 yds to the KanSt 36Similar
Q1 9:56
3RD & 5
OPP 36
0
38.2%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Jalen Reagor, broken up by Johnathan DurhamSimilar
Q1 9:56
4TH & 5
OPP 36
0
38.4%
Jordy Sandy punt for 31 yds, downed at the KanSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 11 yds · 1:3441% → 41%
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
41.1%
James Gilbert run for 5 yds to the KanSt 10Similar
Q1 6:52
2ND & 5
OWN 10
+2
41.1%
James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the KanSt 12Similar
Q1 6:52
3RD & 3
OWN 12
-5
40.7%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 7Similar
Q1 5:18
3RD & 8
OWN 7
+10
41.3%
Skylar Thompson run for 10 yds to the KanSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
42.0%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Nick LennersSimilar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 10
OWN 17
-1
41.9%
Chris Herron run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 16Similar
Q1 5:18
3RD & 11
OWN 16
0
41.5%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Wykeen GillSimilar
Q1 5:18
4TH & 11
OWN 16
0
41.2%
Devin Anctil punt for 60 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 7TD
10 plays · 76 yds · 4:5057% → 63%
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-4
43.3%
Derius Davis run for a loss of 4 yards to the TCU 20Similar
Q1 3:33
2ND & 14
OWN 20
+10
43.6%
Darius Anderson run for 10 yds to the TCU 30Similar
Q1 3:33
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+5
43.2%
Sewo Olonilua run for 5 yds to the TCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
42.9%
Max Duggan sacked by Daniel Green for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 34Similar
Q1 3:33
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+18
43.3%
Max Duggan run for 18 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+16
42.0%
Max Duggan run for 1 yd to the KanSt 47 for a 1ST down KANSAS ST Penalty, personal foul (Elijah Sullivan) to the KanSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+12
43.0%
Max Duggan run for 12 yds to the KanSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
42.8%
Sewo Olonilua run for 8 yds to the KanSt 12Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+4
42.8%
Sewo Olonilua run for 4 yds to the KanSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
37.5%
Sewo Olonilua run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
41.2%
Skylar Thompson sacked by Wyatt Harris for a loss of 6 yards to the KanSt 19Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+13
40.9%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Nick Lenners for 13 yds to the KanSt 32Similar
Q2 13:43
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
40.9%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:43
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
40.4%
Devin Anctil punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jalen Reagor at the TCU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0060% → 59%
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
40.5%
Darius Anderson run for no gain to the TCU 25Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-3
40.7%
Alex Delton pass complete to Darius Anderson for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 22Similar
Q2 12:08
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+9
41.4%
Alex Delton pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 9 yds to the TCU 31Similar
Q2 12:08
4TH & 4
OWN 31
-2
41.3%
Jordy Sandy punt for 41 yds , Joshua Youngblood returns for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10TD
11 plays · 74 yds · 4:3543% → 56%
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
42.8%
TCU Penalty, Defensive offside (Ross Blacklock) to the KanSt 31Similar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 5
OWN 31
+4
43.8%
James Gilbert run for 4 yds to the KanSt 35Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+2
43.8%
James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
43.4%
James Gilbert run for 5 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+25
44.4%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 25 yds to the TCU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
45.4%
Skylar Thompson run for 8 yds to the TCU 25Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+11
45.4%
James Gilbert run for 11 yds to the TCU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-4
45.4%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (James Gilbert) to the TCU 18Similar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 14
OPP 18
+5
45.4%
James Gilbert run for 5 yds to the TCU 13Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 9
OPP 13
0
45.4%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Wykeen GillSimilar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 9
OPP 13
+13
56.1%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Wykeen Gill for 13 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 11FG
13 plays · 54 yds · 4:5647% → 47%
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
53.0%
Darius Anderson run for 2 yds to the TCU 29Similar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+5
52.9%
Max Duggan pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 5 yds to the TCU 34Similar
Q2 5:29
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+9
52.8%
Sewo Olonilua run for 9 yds to the TCU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+21
51.8%
Max Duggan pass complete to John Stephens Jr. for 6 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST down KANSAS ST Penalty, personal foul (Elijah Sullivan) to the KanSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
50.5%
Max Duggan run for no gain to the KanSt 36Similar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+4
50.7%
Sewo Olonilua run for 4 yds to the KanSt 32Similar
Q2 5:29
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+15
50.7%
Duggan, Max pass incomplete to Reagor, Jalen, QB hurry by Goolsby, Denzel, PENALTY KS pass interference (Parker, AJ) 15 yards to the KS17, 1ST DOWN TCU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
48.8%
Sewo Olonilua run for 3 yds to the KanSt 14Similar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 7
OPP 14
0
48.8%
Max Duggan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:29
3RD & 7
OPP 14
-5
50.2%
Max Duggan run for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 19Similar
Q2 0:33
4TH & 12
OPP 19
+36
52.7%
Jonathan Song 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
52.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13FG
10 plays · 59 yds · 3:2354% → 63%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
53.5%
Thompson, S. pass incomplete to Knowles, Malik, QB hurry by Mathis, Ochaun, PENALTY TCU holding (Lewis, Julius) 10 yards to the KS48, 1ST DOWN KS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
54.7%
Skylar Thompson run for no gain to the KanSt 48Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+13
54.3%
Thompson, S. pass incomplete to Schoen, Dalton (Stewart, K.), QB hurry by Gladney, Jeff, PENALTY TCU pass interference (Stewart, K.) 13 yards to the TCU39, 1ST DOWN KS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
55.3%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 10 yds to the TCU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+22
55.9%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Wykeen Gill for 22 yds to the TCU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
55.9%
James Gilbert run for 4 yds to the TCU 3Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
55.9%
James Gilbert run for no gain to the TCU 3Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
54.7%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Joshua YoungbloodSimilar
Q3 11:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
62.5%
Blake Lynch 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 14TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:4839% → 58%
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
60.8%
Darius Anderson run for 3 yds to the TCU 28Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
60.4%
Max Duggan run for 2 yds to the TCU 30Similar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
61.1%
TCU Penalty, false start (Anthony McKinney) to the TCU 25Similar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+24
62.2%
Max Duggan run for 24 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
57.8%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 5 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+46
41.7%
Max Duggan run for 46 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0049% → 46%
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
48.9%
James Gilbert run for 1 yd to the KanSt 25Similar
Q3 8:38
2ND & 9
OWN 25
0
48.7%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Dalton SchoenSimilar
Q3 8:38
3RD & 9
OWN 25
-9
47.1%
Skylar Thompson sacked by Ross Blacklock for a loss of 9 yards to the KanSt 16Similar
Q3 8:38
4TH & 18
OWN 16
0
46.2%
Devin Anctil punt for 62 yds, downed at the TCU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
46.0%
Darius Anderson run for 5 yds to the TCU 27Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+10
45.2%
Max Duggan pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 10 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
44.8%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 6 yds to the TCU 43Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
42.8%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Te'Vailance HuntSimilar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
43.2%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Taye BarberSimilar
Q3 7:11
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
46.3%
Jordy Sandy punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Joshua Youngblood at the KanSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:0050% → 49%
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
50.2%
Skylar Thompson run for a loss of 7 yards to the KanSt 18 Skylar Thompson fumbled, recovered by KanSt Skylar ThompsonSimilar
Q3 5:28
2ND & 17
OWN 18
0
49.6%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:28
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+33
47.9%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 33 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
54.5%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (Dalton Schoen) to the KanSt 46Similar
Q3 5:28
1ST & 15
OWN 46
0
51.7%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Wykeen Gill, broken up by Trevon MoehrigSimilar
Q3 5:28
2ND & 15
OWN 46
+4
51.2%
Harry Trotter run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:28
3RD & 11
50
0
51.2%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Wykeen GillSimilar
Q3 5:28
4TH & 11
50
0
48.9%
Devin Anctil punt for 41 yds, downed at the TCU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:3852% → 51%
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
47.6%
Sewo Olonilua run for 2 yds to the TCU 11Similar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+10
47.6%
Max Duggan run for 10 yds to the TCU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
46.9%
Sewo Olonilua run for 3 yds to the TCU 24Similar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 7
OWN 24
0
46.9%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Al'Dontre DavisSimilar
Q3 2:38
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+6
48.3%
Max Duggan pass complete to Jeff Gladney for 6 yds to the TCU 30Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
49.5%
Jordy Sandy punt for 33 yds, downed at the KanSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0054% → 53%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
53.7%
Joshua Youngblood run for no gain to the KanSt 37Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
53.2%
James Gilbert run for 1 yd to the KanSt 38Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+6
52.1%
Skylar Thompson run for 6 yds to the KanSt 44Similar
Q4 14:52
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
52.5%
Devin Anctil punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jalen Reagor at the TCU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 20PUNT
12 plays · 39 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
48.2%
Darius Anderson run for 4 yds to the TCU 22Similar
Q4 13:04
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+4
48.1%
Max Duggan pass complete to Darius Anderson for 4 yds to the TCU 26Similar
Q4 13:04
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+4
48.2%
Sewo Olonilua run for 4 yds to the TCU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
47.6%
Sewo Olonilua run for 3 yds to the TCU 33Similar
Q4 13:04
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
46.9%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Artayvious LynnSimilar
Q4 13:04
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+13
48.7%
Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 13 yds to the TCU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
44.0%
Olonilua, Sewo rush for 2 yards to the TCU48 (Wiley, Drew), PENALTY KS 12 men on the field 5 yards to the KS49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:04
1ST & 5
OPP 49
+5
42.7%
Darius Anderson run for 5 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
43.2%
Max Duggan pass complete to Darius Anderson for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 46Similar
Q4 13:04
2ND & 12
OPP 46
+3
44.7%
Darius Anderson run for 3 yds to the KanSt 43Similar
Q4 13:04
3RD & 9
OPP 43
0
44.5%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Te'Vailance HuntSimilar
Q4 13:04
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
48.2%
Jordy Sandy punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Joshua Youngblood at the KanSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 21TD
11 plays · 95 yds · 5:1853% → 94%
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
53.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 5 yds to the KanSt 10Similar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 5
OWN 10
+61
53.5%
Skylar Thompson run for 61 yds to the TCU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
61.6%
James Gilbert run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 30Similar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 11
OPP 30
0
61.3%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to James GilbertSimilar
Q4 8:03
3RD & 11
OPP 30
+10
58.4%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Chabastin Taylor for 10 yds to the TCU 20Similar
Q4 8:03
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+2
56.9%
Skylar Thompson run for 2 yds to the TCU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
61.6%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Dalton SchoenSimilar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+1
61.6%
James Gilbert run for 1 yd to the TCU 17Similar
Q4 8:03
3RD & 9
OPP 17
+10
59.4%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 10 yds to the TCU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
61.6%
Harry Trotter run for 4 yds to the TCU 3Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
93.8%
Skylar Thompson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 22DOWNS
9 plays · 38 yds · 1:0013% → 11%
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
86.9%
Max Duggan pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 9 yds to the TCU 34Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+12
84.4%
Max Duggan pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 12 yds to the TCU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+18
83.8%
Max Duggan pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 18 yds to the KanSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-9
82.6%
Max Duggan sacked by Wyatt Hubert for a loss of 9 yards to the KanSt 45Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 19
OPP 45
+8
88.4%
Max Duggan run for 8 yds to the KanSt 37Similar
Q4 1:45
3RD & 11
OPP 37
0
87.8%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Taye Barber, broken up by Daniel GreenSimilar
Q4 1:45
4TH & 11
OPP 37
0
89.3%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Jalen ReagorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · -16 yds · 0:5796% → 96%
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-7
95.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the KanSt 31Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 17
OWN 31
-5
96.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 26Similar
Q4 0:55
3RD & 22
OWN 26
-4
96.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 22Similar
Q4 0:09
4TH & 26
OWN 22
0
96.0%
Devin Anctil punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Jalen Reagor at the TCU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 24Uncategorized
2 plays · 18 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q4 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+18
93.1%
Max Duggan pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 18 yds to the TCU 41 for a 1ST down TCU Penalty, illegal forward pass ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:45
Skylar Thompson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK)
+32.2
TD · Q3 8:42
Max Duggan run for 46 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK)
-16.1
TD · Q2 5:30
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Wykeen Gill for 13 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK)
+10.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com