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KSU

Kansas State 13 at Oklahoma State 26

OKST
2019 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2019 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadKSU aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreKSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGFGTDFGTDFGEnd of GameFG+6.4OKST 81.4%Matt Ammendola 29 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 16 · Q2 2:06
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:06 · Matt Ammendola 29 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 77Home team on offense+12.6Score differential+6.2Pregame prior+5.2Garbage-time factor+3.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.7Time remaining−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:57: Spencer Sanders pass complete to Logan Carter for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +2.7 pts (now 67%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 8:40: Matt Ammendola 21 yd FG GOOD — OKST win probability +8.6 pts (now 78%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 2:06: Matt Ammendola 29 yd FG GOOD — OKST win probability +6.4 pts (now 81%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:45: Chuba Hubbard run for 84 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +15.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:14: James Gilbert 5 Yd Run (Blake Lynch Kick) — KSU win probability +4.6 pts (now 9%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 6 of 9KSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00OKST 4th & 9 at KSU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:59KSU 4th & 7 at KSU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.8%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:21OKST 4th & 9 at KSU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    61.9%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:29KSU 4th & 5 at KSU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:12OKST 4th & 6 at KSU 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    60.7%−1.3
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:57KSU 4th & 1 at KSU 39, down 10
    Close callPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00OKST 4th & 4 at KSU 34, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    66.9%−0.7
    47% to make
    Punt
    66.4%−1.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:49KSU 4th & 5 at OKST 35, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    32.7%−0.4
    45% to make
    Punt
    32.2%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:40OKST 4th & 4 at KSU 4, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.4%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    63.1%−7.0
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:35KSU 4th & 2 at OKST 28, down 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.3%−0.9
    60% to make
    Punt
    19.9%−4.3
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:06OKST 4th & 6 at KSU 12, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.3%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.6%
    86% to make
    Punt
    68.2%−5.4
    average punt
  12. Q2 2:06KSU 4th & 6 at KSU 29, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:35OKST 4th & 7 at OKST 41, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 15:00KSU 4th & 2 at KSU 38, down 13
    Close callPunted · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.5%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q3 12:30KSU 4th & 4 at KSU 27, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  16. Q3 11:31OKST 4th & 1 at OKST 45, up 20
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.0%−1.4
    average punt
  17. Q3 9:28KSU 4th & 2 at OKST 48, down 20
    Close callPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%−0.9
    average punt
  18. Q4 15:00KSU 4th & 2 at OKST 30, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    2.0%−0.7
    56% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−1.5
    average punt
  19. Q4 12:16KSU 4th & 10 at OKST 19, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.7
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.9%
    77% to make
    Punt
    -0.4%−2.4
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:03OKST 4th & 1 at KSU 1, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.6%−0.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    94.2%−2.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2KSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 3:57OKST Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 12:45OKST Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 7:14KSU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
59.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
-8
59.8%
Spencer Sanders sacked by Wyatt Hubert for a loss of 8 yards to the OKSt 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 18
OWN 42
+5
59.8%
Spencer Sanders run for 5 yds to the OKSt 47Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 47
+4
59.8%
Spencer Sanders run for 4 yds to the KanSt 49Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
59.8%
Tom Hutton punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
59.9%
Skylar Thompson run for no gain to the KanSt 7Similar
Q1 12:59
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+3
59.9%
James Gilbert run for 3 yds to the KanSt 10Similar
Q1 12:59
3RD & 7
OWN 10
0
60.0%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to James GilbertSimilar
Q1 12:59
4TH & 7
OWN 10
0
60.0%
Devin Anctil punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
60.2%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jelani Woods for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 41 for a 1ST down KANSAS ST Penalty, personal foul (Wyatt Hubert) to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
60.3%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
60.3%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q1 11:21
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+1
60.0%
Spencer Sanders run for 1 yd to the KanSt 43Similar
Q1 11:21
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
59.8%
Tom Hutton punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:4640% → 40%
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-2
59.8%
Jordon Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 12Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 12
OWN 12
+7
60.0%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 7 yds to the KanSt 19Similar
Q1 9:29
3RD & 5
OWN 19
0
60.1%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Dalton SchoenSimilar
Q1 9:29
4TH & 5
OWN 19
+4
60.4%
Devin Anctil punt for 44 yds , Dillon Stoner returns for 4 yds to the OKSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5FG
7 plays · 51 yds · 2:1861% → 62%
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
60.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 5 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+22
60.7%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 22 yds to the KanSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+20
61.0%
Spencer Sanders run for 7 yds to the KanSt 25 for a 1ST down KANSAS ST Penalty, face mask (13 yards) (13 Yards) to the KanSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
61.0%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Chuba Hubbard for 2 yds to the KanSt 10Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+1
61.0%
Spencer Sanders run for 1 yd to the KanSt 9Similar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+1
60.8%
Chuba Hubbard run for 1 yd to the KanSt 8Similar
Q1 6:12
4TH & 6
OPP 8
+25
61.5%
Matt Ammendola 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6FUMBLE
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
61.3%
James Gilbert run for 3 yds to the KanSt 24Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+2
61.2%
James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the KanSt 26 James Gilbert fumbled, forced by Samuela Tuihalamaka, recovered by OKSt Brock MartinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7TD
6 plays · 26 yds · 1:2562% → 67%
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
62.4%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+6
62.4%
Chuba Hubbard run for 6 yds to the KanSt 20Similar
Q1 5:22
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+5
62.1%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 5 yds to the KanSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+12
62.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 12 yds to the KanSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
67.1%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Logan Carter for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
66.3%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Harry Trotter for 9 yds to the KanSt 39Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 1
OWN 39
0
65.5%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:57
3RD & 1
OWN 39
0
65.5%
Harry Trotter run for no gain to the KanSt 39Similar
Q1 3:57
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
66.1%
Devin Anctil punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9DOWNS
6 plays · 33 yds · 2:1966% → 67%
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+53
65.7%
Chuba Hubbard run for 53 yds to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
66.7%
LD Brown run for no gain to the KanSt 40Similar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-15
66.6%
Sanders,Spencer pass complete to Wallace, Tylan for 37 yards to the KS3 (Parker, AJ), PENALTY OSU pass interference (Wallace, Tylan) 15 yards to the OSU45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 25
OWN 45
+13
66.1%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 13 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q1 2:19
3RD & 12
OPP 42
+8
66.0%
LD Brown run for 8 yds to the KanSt 34Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 34
-16
67.0%
Spencer Sanders sacked by Wyatt Hubert for a loss of 6 yards to the OKSt 40 Spencer Sanders fumbled, recovered by OKSt Spencer Sanders , return for 0 yards OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, illegal kicking (Spencer Sanders) to the OKSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10DOWNS
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
66.7%
Harry Trotter run for 9 yds to the OKSt 31Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 1
OPP 31
0
66.0%
Jordon Brown run for no gain to the OKSt 31Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 1
OPP 31
-5
66.5%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the OKSt 36Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+1
66.8%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 1 yd to the OKSt 35Similar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 5
OPP 35
0
67.3%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Phillip BrooksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11FG
8 plays · 61 yds · 3:2568% → 78%
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
68.4%
Spencer Sanders run for 7 yds to the OKSt 42Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+33
69.2%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 33 yds to the KanSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
69.8%
Chuba Hubbard run for 1 yd to the KanSt 24Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+25
69.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Landon Wolf for a loss of 8 yards to the KanSt 7 for a 1ST down to Tylan Wallace for 25 yds to the KanSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
69.8%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
69.8%
Spencer Sanders run for 3 yds to the KanSt 4Similar
Q2 12:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
69.2%
Tylan Wallace run for no gain to the KanSt 4Similar
Q2 8:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
77.8%
Matt Ammendola 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12FG
7 plays · 47 yds · 3:0525% → 28%
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
75.4%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+39
75.5%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Samuel Wheeler for 39 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
74.0%
Skylar Thompson sacked by Cameron Murray for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 37Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 11
OPP 37
+2
74.6%
Jordon Brown run for 2 yds to the OKSt 35Similar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+7
74.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Jordon Brown for 7 yds to the OKSt 28Similar
Q2 5:35
4TH & 2
OPP 28
+46
71.6%
Blake Lynch 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13FG
10 plays · 58 yds · 3:2973% → 81%
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+18
72.8%
Chuba Hubbard run for 18 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
73.7%
Chuba Hubbard run for 10 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
73.9%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 6 yds to the KanSt 36Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+20
74.1%
Chuba Hubbard run for 20 yds to the KanSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
74.5%
Chuba Hubbard run for 2 yds to the KanSt 14Similar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 8
OPP 14
-5
76.1%
Sanders,Spencer pass complete to Metcalf, Dayton for 14 yards to the KS0, clock 03:31, PENALTY OSU ineligible downfield on pass (Schneider, Ry) 5 yards to the KS19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 13
OPP 19
+4
75.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 4 yds to the KanSt 15Similar
Q2 3:31
3RD & 9
OPP 15
+3
75.1%
Spencer Sanders run for 3 yds to the KanSt 12Similar
Q2 2:06
4TH & 6
OPP 12
+29
81.4%
Matt Ammendola 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.5%
Skylar Thompson run for no gain to the KanSt 25Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
79.6%
Skylar Thompson run for 4 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q2 2:06
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
79.6%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Phillip Brooks, broken up by Jarrick BernardSimilar
Q2 2:06
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
80.0%
Devin Anctil punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:2782% → 82%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
82.1%
Spencer Sanders run for 11 yds to the OKSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
82.7%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Dillon StonerSimilar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+3
82.4%
Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds to the OKSt 41Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
82.5%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tylan Wallace OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 0:35
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
81.7%
Tom Hutton punt for 44 yds, downed at the KanSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-2
79.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
78.2%
James Gilbert run for 4 yds to the KanSt 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+3
78.0%
James Gilbert run for 3 yds to the KanSt 37Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+1
78.1%
Skylar Thompson run for 1 yd to the KanSt 38Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 38
+1
78.4%
Devin Anctil punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 16 , Dillon Stoner returns for 1 yd to the OKSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 18TD
1 play · 84 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+84
94.0%
Chuba Hubbard run for 84 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:088% → 8%
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
91.8%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Jordon BrownSimilar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+6
92.1%
John Holcombe II run for 6 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 4
OWN 27
0
91.8%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Landry Weber, broken up by Tre SterlingSimilar
Q3 12:30
4TH & 4
OWN 27
0
92.2%
Devin Anctil punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
94.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for 2 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 8
OWN 38
-3
94.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Landon Wolf for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 35Similar
Q3 11:31
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+5
94.0%
KANSAS ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Reggie Walker) to the OKSt 40Similar
Q3 11:31
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+5
93.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Chuba Hubbard for 5 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q3 11:31
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
93.5%
Tom Hutton punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 36 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
94.0%
Harry Trotter run for 8 yds to the KanSt 24Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 2
OWN 24
0
93.6%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Joshua YoungbloodSimilar
Q3 9:28
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+20
93.8%
Skylar Thompson run for 20 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-4
93.6%
James Gilbert run for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 40Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 14
OWN 40
+9
94.0%
James Gilbert run for 9 yds to the KanSt 49Similar
Q3 9:28
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+3
93.5%
Skylar Thompson run for 3 yds to the OKSt 48Similar
Q3 9:28
4TH & 2
OPP 48
0
93.6%
Devin Anctil punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 22INT
9 plays · 55 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
96.3%
Spencer Sanders run for 2 yds to the OKSt 22Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+2
96.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for 2 yds to the OKSt 24Similar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+6
96.3%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Landon Wolf for 6 yds to the OKSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
96.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for 6 yds to the OKSt 36Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+29
96.3%
Spencer Sanders run for 29 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
96.4%
Chuba Hubbard run for 6 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+4
96.5%
Chuba Hubbard run for 4 yds to the KanSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
96.5%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
96.4%
Spencer Sanders pass intercepted Elijah Sullivan return for no gain to the KanSt 25 OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 23FG
12 plays · 61 yds · 4:553% → 5%
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+18
96.9%
James Gilbert run for 18 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
96.8%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 9 yds to the KanSt 47Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+15
96.9%
James Gilbert run for no gain to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, personal foul (Samuela Tuihalamaka) to the OKSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
97.0%
James Gilbert run for 5 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 5
OPP 33
0
96.6%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Wykeen GillSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+3
97.6%
Elijah Sullivan run for 3 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+11
97.6%
Joshua Youngblood run for 11 yds to the OKSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
97.3%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Wykeen GillSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-4
97.4%
James Gilbert run for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 23
+4
97.6%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 4 yds to the OKSt 19Similar
Q4 12:16
4TH & 10
OPP 19
+37
95.1%
Blake Lynch 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 24INT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0096% → 97%
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for 4 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
96.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for 5 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
96.4%
Spencer Sanders run for 3 yds to the OKSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
96.4%
Chuba Hubbard run for 2 yds to the OKSt 39Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+26
96.5%
Spencer Sanders pass intercepted Darreyl Patterson return for 26 yds to the OKSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 25TD
7 plays · 49 yds · 3:074% → 9%
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+19
95.9%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Nick Lenners for 19 yds to the OKSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
95.4%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 7 yds to the OKSt 23Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+5
95.4%
Jordon Brown run for 5 yds to the OKSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
95.4%
Thompson, S. pass incomplete to Gill, Wykeen, PENALTY KS ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the OSU23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:21
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+8
95.6%
Harry Trotter run for 8 yds to the OKSt 15Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+10
95.4%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 10 yds to the OKSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
90.8%
James Gilbert 5 Yd Run (Blake Lynch Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 26FG
14 plays · 74 yds · 6:1192% → 99%
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
91.7%
Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds to the OKSt 28Similar
Q4 7:14
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
91.9%
Chuba Hubbard run for 4 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
Q4 7:14
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
91.7%
Chuba Hubbard run for 5 yds to the OKSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+44
92.1%
Chuba Hubbard run for 44 yds to the KanSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
93.1%
LD Brown run for 7 yds to the KanSt 12Similar
Q4 7:14
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+3
93.1%
Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds to the KanSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-10
96.2%
Hubbard, Chuba rush for 9 yards to the KS0, clock 03:28, PENALTY OSU holding (Anthony, Hunter) 10 yards to the KS19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 19
+1
96.1%
Chuba Hubbard run for 1 yd to the KanSt 18Similar
Q4 3:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
+10
96.1%
LD Brown run for 10 yds to the KanSt 8Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
97.4%
Chuba Hubbard run for 7 yds to the KanSt 1Similar
Q4 1:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+18
98.6%
Matt Ammendola 18 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 27END OF GAME
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
97.7%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Jordon Brown for 6 yds to the KanSt 19Similar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 4
OWN 19
0
97.7%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Phillip BrooksSimilar
Q4 1:03
3RD & 4
OWN 19
-5
97.8%
KANSAS ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 14Similar
Q4 1:03
3RD & 9
OWN 14
+7
97.8%
Jordon Brown run for 7 yds to the KanSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:45
Chuba Hubbard run for 84 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)
+15.6
FG · Q2 8:40
Matt Ammendola 21 yd FG GOOD
+8.6
FG · Q2 2:06
Matt Ammendola 29 yd FG GOOD
+6.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com