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BGSU

Bowling Green 0 at Kansas State 52

KSU
2019 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2019 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Nick Ast pass complete to Joshua Youngblood for 12 yds to the BwGrn 17 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 127Pregame prior+15.3Home team on offense+32.6Score differential+28.1Blowout margin+14.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+11.0Garbage-time factor+10.9
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 11:46: Blake Lynch 24 yd FG GOOD — BGSU win probability +0.6 pts (now 6%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:40: James Gilbert run for 17 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK) — KSU win probability +1.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:26: Harry Trotter run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK) — KSU win probability +1.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 7:42: James Gilbert run for 5 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK) — KSU win probability +1.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 4:02: Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 34 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK) — KSU win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6BGSU made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 11:46KSU 4th & 6 at BGSU 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.2%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    92.7%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:46BGSU 4th & 7 at BGSU 38, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:47BGSU 4th & 10 at BGSU 37, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:27BGSU 4th & 2 at BGSU 33, down 24
    Close callPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:42BGSU 4th & 10 at BGSU 25, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:02KSU 4th & 3 at BGSU 34, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.8%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    98.8%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:56BGSU 4th & 3 at KSU 36, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:54BGSU 4th & 19 at BGSU 9, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:32BGSU 4th & 5 at BGSU 32, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:12KSU 4th & 22 at KSU 49, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:50BGSU 4th & 7 at KSU 32, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00KSU 4th & 1 at BGSU 29, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:45BGSU 4th & 7 at BGSU 38, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:43KSU 4th & 6 at BGSU 46, up 52
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:29BGSU 4th & 9 at BGSU 28, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:44KSU 4th & 2 at KSU 28, up 52
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:21BGSU 4th & 4 at BGSU 36, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 5:57KSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:40KSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:26KSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:42KSU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:02KSU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:37KSU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:45KSU Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KSUDrive 1FG
9 plays · 50 yds · 3:1494% → 94%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+21
94.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 21 yds to the BwGrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
94.2%
James Gilbert run for no gain to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+12
94.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 12 yds to the BwGrn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+17
94.2%
James Gilbert run for 17 yds to the BwGrn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
94.2%
Harry Trotter run for no gain to the BwGrn 6Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
94.2%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Dalton Schoen, broken up by Jamari BozemanSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
94.2%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Malik Knowles, broken up by JaJuan HudsonSimilar
Q1 11:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
93.6%
Blake Lynch 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
93.5%
Bryson Denley run for a loss of 4 yards to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q1 11:46
2ND & 14
OWN 31
-2
93.5%
Bryson Denley run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q1 11:46
3RD & 16
OWN 29
+9
93.6%
Darius Wade run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q1 11:46
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
93.6%
Matt Naranjo punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 3TD
7 plays · 84 yds · 3:5693% → 93%
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
93.1%
Harry Trotter run for 3 yds to the KanSt 19Similar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+11
93.1%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 11 yds to the KanSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
93.1%
Harry Trotter run for 3 yds to the KanSt 33Similar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 7
OWN 33
-2
93.1%
Harry Trotter run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 31Similar
Q1 9:53
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+14
93.0%
Skylar Thompson run for 14 yds to the KanSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
93.2%
Harry Trotter run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 5
50
+50
93.1%
Jordon Brown run for 50 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 1:087% → 7%
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
92.8%
Davon Jones run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+14
92.8%
Davon Jones run for 14 yds to the BwGrn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
92.7%
Darius Wade pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
92.8%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Davon Jones BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
92.9%
Darius Wade pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:47
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
93.2%
Matt Naranjo punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 5TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 3:5893% → 95%
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
93.0%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Chabastin TaylorSimilar
Q1 4:38
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+6
93.0%
Jordon Brown run for 6 yds to the KanSt 28Similar
Q1 4:38
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+10
92.9%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Jordon Brown for 10 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
93.1%
John Holcombe II run for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 34 John Holcombe II fumbled, recovered by KanSt John Holcombe IISimilar
Q1 4:38
2ND & 14
OWN 34
+6
93.0%
Jordon Brown run for 6 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
Q1 4:38
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+37
93.0%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Wykeen Gill for 22 yds to the KANSASST 38 for a 1ST down BOWLING GREEN Penalty, roughing passer (Karl Brooks) to the BwGrn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
93.3%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Chabastin Taylor for 6 yds to the BwGrn 17Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+17
95.0%
James Gilbert run for 17 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6TD
9 plays · 24 yds · 3:0895% → 97%
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
95.0%
Harry Trotter run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+7
95.0%
Harry Trotter run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 16Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+4
94.9%
Harry Trotter run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-10
95.2%
Trotter, Harry rush for 12 yards to the BGSU0, clock 13:47, PENALTY KS holding (Kaltmayer, Nick) 10 yards to the BGSU22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:47
1ST & 20
OPP 22
-5
95.2%
KANSAS ST Penalty, delay of game (Skylar Thompson) to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q2 13:47
1ST & 25
OPP 27
+12
95.2%
Malik Knowles run for 12 yds to the BwGrn 15Similar
Q2 13:47
2ND & 13
OPP 15
+14
95.2%
Skylar Thompson run for 14 yds to the BwGrn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.8%
Harry Trotter run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:594% → 4%
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.2%
Darius Wade pass complete to Bryson Denley for 4 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
96.1%
Bryson Denley run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q2 11:27
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
96.3%
Davon Jones run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q2 11:27
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
96.3%
Matt Naranjo punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 3:0097% → 99%
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
96.9%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Chabastin Taylor for 2 yds to the KanSt 28Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+8
96.9%
James Gilbert run for 8 yds to the KanSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
96.9%
Jacardia Wright run for 3 yds to the KanSt 39Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+5
97.0%
Jacardia Wright run for 5 yds to the KanSt 44Similar
Q2 10:42
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+51
96.9%
James Gilbert run for 51 yds to the BwGrn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
98.6%
James Gilbert run for 5 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Austin DorrisSimilar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
Darius Wade pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:42
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Quintin MorrisSimilar
Q2 7:42
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
Matt Naranjo punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10TD
7 plays · 56 yds · 3:1899% → 99%
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-2
98.7%
Skylar Thompson sacked by Karl Brooks for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 42Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 12
OWN 42
+17
98.7%
Jacardia Wright run for 17 yds to the BwGrn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
98.7%
Jacardia Wright run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+2
98.7%
Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q2 4:45
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+2
99.0%
Jordon Brown run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q2 4:02
4TH & 3
OPP 34
+34
99.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 34 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 11DOWNS
9 plays · 47 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
99.4%
Davon Jones run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 22Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+16
99.4%
Darius Wade pass complete to Quintin Morris for 16 yds to the BwGrn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+19
99.4%
Davon Jones run for 19 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
99.4%
WADE, Darius pass complete to MORRIS, Quintin for 12 yards to the KS31 (Goolsby, Denzel), PENALTY BGSU ineligible downfield on pass (KRAMER, Jack) 5 yards to the KS48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:56
1ST & 15
OPP 48
+2
99.4%
Darius Wade pass complete to Austin Dorris for 2 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 13
OPP 46
+10
99.4%
Darius Wade pass complete to Bryson Denley for 10 yds to the KanSt 36Similar
Q2 3:56
3RD & 3
OPP 36
0
99.3%
Darius Wade pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:56
4TH & 3
OPP 36
0
99.3%
Darius Wade pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.4%
Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the KanSt 38Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+2
99.4%
Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
Q2 2:08
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+2
99.4%
John Holcombe II run for 2 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · -9 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
99.4%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, delay of game (Darius Wade) to the BwGrn 13Similar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 15
OWN 13
+2
99.4%
Davon Jones run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 15Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 13
OWN 15
-1
99.4%
Davon Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 14Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 14
OWN 14
0
99.4%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Jordan Wayne-PratherSimilar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 14
OWN 14
-5
99.4%
NARANJO, Matt punt 49 yards to the KS37, downed, PENALTY BGSU illegal formation (MARLOW, RB) 5 yards to the BGSU9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 19
OWN 9
+2
99.4%
Matt Naranjo punt for 31 yds , Phillip Brooks returns for 2 yds to the BwGrn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 14TD
4 plays · 38 yds · 1:58100% → 100%
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+13
99.5%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 13 yds to the BwGrn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
99.5%
James Gilbert run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 5
OPP 20
0
99.5%
James Gilbert run for no gain to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q3 11:37
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+20
99.6%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 20 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
99.7%
Davon Jones run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+3
99.7%
Darius Wade pass complete to Christian Sims for 3 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 5
OWN 32
0
99.6%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Jordan Wayne-PratherSimilar
Q3 11:32
4TH & 5
OWN 32
+52
99.7%
Matt Naranjo punt for 44 yds , Phillip Brooks returns for 52 yds to the KanSt 22 Phillip Brooks fumbled, recovered by BwGrn RB Marlow IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16FUMBLE
1 play · -11 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
99.7%
Darius Wade sacked by Daniel Green for a loss of 11 yards to the KanSt 38 Darius Wade fumbled, recovered by KanSt Khalid Duke , return for 0 yards , return for 5 yds to the KanSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 11 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
99.7%
John Holcombe II run for 6 yds to the KanSt 44Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+5
99.7%
John Holcombe II run for 5 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-10
99.7%
Burns, Tyler rush for 1 yard to the 50 yardline, out-of-bounds (COLEMAN, Kholbe), PENALTY KS holding (Duffie, C.) 10 yards to the KS39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 20
OWN 39
+13
99.7%
John Holcombe II run for 13 yds to the BwGrn 48Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+9
99.7%
John Holcombe II pass complete to Chabastin Taylor for 9 yds to the BwGrn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.7%
John Holcombe II pass incomplete to Chabastin TaylorSimilar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+5
99.7%
Jacardia Wright run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q3 10:12
3RD & 5
OPP 34
-10
99.7%
Holcombe II, J. pass incomplete to Taylor, C., QB hurry by HAIRE, Walter, PENALTY KS holding (Duffie, C.) 10 yards to the BGSU44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:12
3RD & 15
OPP 44
-7
99.7%
John Holcombe II sacked by Jevon Henderson for a loss of 7 yards to the KanSt 49Similar
Q3 10:12
4TH & 22
OWN 49
0
99.6%
Devin Anctil punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18DOWNS
8 plays · 48 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.8%
Bryson Denley run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 22Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+9
99.8%
Darius Wade pass complete to Bryson Denley for 9 yds to the BwGrn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+34
99.8%
Darius Wade pass complete to Rodell Rahmaan for 34 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
99.8%
Bryson Denley run for 5 yds to the KanSt 30Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+1
99.8%
Darius Wade pass complete to Christian Sims for 1 yd to the KanSt 29Similar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+2
99.8%
Darius Wade run for 2 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
Q3 5:50
4TH & 2
OPP 27
-5
99.7%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (RB Marlow III) to the KanSt 32Similar
Q3 5:50
4TH & 7
OPP 32
0
99.8%
Darius Wade pass incomplete to Bryson Denley, broken up by Drew WileySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19TD
14 plays · 68 yds · 8:22100% → 100%
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
99.8%
Joe Ervin run for 3 yds to the KanSt 35Similar
Q3 3:07
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+3
99.8%
Joe Ervin run for 3 yds to the KanSt 38Similar
Q3 3:07
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+12
99.8%
Nick Ast pass complete to Seth Porter for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
50
+5
99.8%
Jacardia Wright run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q3 3:07
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+3
99.8%
Jacardia Wright run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+4
99.9%
Nick Ast pass complete to Chabastin Taylor for 4 yds to the BwGrn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
99.9%
Joe Ervin run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+6
99.9%
Joe Ervin run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+1
99.9%
Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+12
99.9%
Nick Ast pass complete to Joshua Youngblood for 12 yds to the BwGrn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
99.9%
Jacardia Wright run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 9Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+1
99.9%
Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 8Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+2
99.9%
Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Joe Ervin run for 6 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
100.0%
Grant Loy pass complete to Presley Motes for 2 yds to the BwGrn 37Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+1
100.0%
Grant Loy pass complete to RB Marlow III for 1 yd to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
100.0%
Grant Loy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:45
4TH & 7
OWN 38
+8
100.0%
Matt Naranjo punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 31 , Seth Porter returns for 8 yds to the KanSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:53100% → 100%
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+19
99.9%
John Holcombe II run for 4 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST down BOWLING GREEN Penalty, illegal use of hands (Walter Haire) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
50
+4
99.9%
John Holcombe II run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Tyler Burns run for no gain to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q4 6:43
3RD & 6
OPP 46
0
99.9%
John Holcombe II pass incomplete to Seth PorterSimilar
Q4 6:43
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Devin Anctil punt for 19 yds, downed at the BwGrn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
100.0%
Nigel Sealey run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 2
OWN 35
-4
100.0%
Nigel Sealey run for a loss of 4 yards to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q4 6:29
3RD & 6
OWN 31
-3
100.0%
Grant Loy pass complete to Nigel Sealey for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q4 6:29
4TH & 9
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Matt Naranjo punt for 72 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
100.0%
Joe Ervin run for 2 yds to the KanSt 22Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+3
100.0%
Joe Ervin run for 3 yds to the KanSt 25Similar
Q4 4:44
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Joe Ervin run for 3 yds to the KanSt 28Similar
Q4 4:44
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Devin Anctil punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BwGrn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
100.0%
Nigel Sealey run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+4
100.0%
Nigel Sealey run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q4 2:21
3RD & 4
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Grant Loy pass incomplete to Presley Motes, broken up by Nick AllenSimilar
Q4 2:21
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Matt Naranjo punt for 51 yds, downed at the KanSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 11Similar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 12
OWN 11
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 0:40
James Gilbert run for 17 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK)
+1.7
TD · Q2 7:42
James Gilbert run for 5 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK)
+1.7
TD · Q2 12:26
Harry Trotter run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK)
+1.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com