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NICH

Nicholls 14 at Kansas State 49

KSU
2019 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2019 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadNICH aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreNICH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFUMBLETDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:15 · Winston Jones punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 12
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+42.0+21.00−21.0−42.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 61Pregame prior+29.3Home team on offense+20.0Score differential+18.1Garbage-time factor+4.4Blowout margin+8.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:45: Skylar Thompson run for 17 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK) — KSU win probability +1.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:35: Jordon Brown run for 14 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK) — KSU win probability +3.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:21: James Gilbert run for 24 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK) — KSU win probability +2.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:46: Kendall Bussey run for 26 yds for a TD, (Gunner Jones KICK) — NICH win probability +2.8 pts (now 4%) (top driver: NICH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:52: Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 38 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK) — KSU win probability +1.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2NICH made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 5:38NICH 4th & 1 at NICH 31, down 14
    Close callPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q2 13:30NICH 4th & 7 at NICH 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%
    average punt
  3. Q2 6:15NICH 4th & 10 at KSU 47, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:58KSU 4th & 6 at NICH 20, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.9%
    75% to make
    Punt
    97.9%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q3 12:36KSU 4th & 1 at NICH 23, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    96.4%−0.4
    70% to make
    Punt
    95.3%−1.5
    average punt
  6. Q3 7:34NICH 4th & 3 at NICH 45, down 21
    Close callPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q4 12:58NICH 4th & 6 at KSU 41, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6NICH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:45KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:45KSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:35KSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:21KSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:46NICH Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:52KSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:41KSU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:01NICH Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KSUDrive 1TD
15 plays · 72 yds · 6:1592% → 91%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
91.9%
James Gilbert run for 3 yds to the KanSt 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+2
91.9%
James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the KanSt 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+10
91.9%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 10 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
91.5%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 6 yds to the KanSt 49Similar
Q1 13:07
2ND & 4
OWN 49
0
91.5%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Malik KnowlesSimilar
Q1 13:07
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+6
91.5%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Jordon Brown for 6 yds to the NicSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
91.5%
Jordon Brown run for 3 yds to the NicSt 42Similar
Q1 13:07
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+10
91.5%
Harry Trotter run for 10 yds to the NicSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
91.5%
Jordon Brown run for 4 yds to the NicSt 28Similar
Q1 13:07
2ND & 6
OPP 28
0
91.5%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Malik KnowlesSimilar
Q1 13:07
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+14
91.5%
Thompson, S. rush for loss of 1 yard to the NICH29, out-of-bounds (Mims, Khristian), PENALTY NICH face mask (Mims, Khristian) 14 yards to the NICH14, 1ST DOWN KS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
91.5%
Harry Trotter run for 5 yds to the NicSt 9Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+9
91.1%
Harry Trotter run for 9 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 2INT
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
90.9%
Kendall Bussey run for 8 yds to the NicSt 33Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+20
90.8%
Chase Fourcade pass intercepted AJ Parker return for 20 yds to the NicSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 3TD
5 plays · 28 yds · 2:2191% → 92%
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
91.2%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Malik KnowlesSimilar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
91.2%
Harry Trotter run for no gain to the NicSt 28Similar
Q1 8:06
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+11
91.1%
Skylar Thompson run for 11 yds to the NicSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
91.2%
Jordon Brown run for no gain to the NicSt 17Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+17
92.2%
Skylar Thompson run for 17 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:008% → 9%
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
91.6%
Kendall Bussey run for 1 yd to the NicSt 23Similar
Q1 5:38
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+6
91.6%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Kendall Bussey for 6 yds to the NicSt 29Similar
Q1 5:38
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+2
91.5%
Julien Gums run for 2 yds to the NicSt 31Similar
Q1 5:38
4TH & 1
OWN 31
+9
91.5%
Winston Jones punt for 49 yds , Phillip Brooks returns for 9 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 5TD
10 plays · 71 yds · 4:4792% → 95%
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
91.6%
Jordon Brown run for 6 yds to the KanSt 35Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+3
91.7%
Jordon Brown run for 3 yds to the KanSt 38Similar
Q1 3:22
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+3
91.7%
James Gilbert run for 3 yds to the KanSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
91.9%
James Gilbert run for 13 yds to the NicSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
92.0%
James Gilbert run for 6 yds to the NicSt 40Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+6
92.0%
James Gilbert run for 6 yds to the NicSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
92.0%
James Gilbert run for 5 yds to the NicSt 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+7
91.9%
James Gilbert run for 7 yds to the NicSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
91.9%
Phillip Brooks run for 8 yds to the NicSt 14Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+14
95.1%
Jordon Brown run for 14 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+12
94.4%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Dai'Jean Dixon for 12 yds to the NicSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
94.3%
Julien Gums run for a loss of 1 yard to the NicSt 28Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 11
OWN 28
0
94.5%
Chase Fourcade pass incomplete to Dai'Jean DixonSimilar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 11
OWN 28
+4
94.5%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Jordan Talley for 4 yds to the NicSt 32Similar
Q2 13:30
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
94.5%
Winston Jones punt for 41 yds, downed at the KanSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 7TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 5:2095% → 98%
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
95.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Jax Dineen for 9 yds to the KanSt 36Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+5
95.3%
Harry Trotter run for 5 yds to the KanSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
95.4%
Harry Trotter run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 39Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+14
95.3%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 14 yds to the NicSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
95.4%
Harry Trotter run for 5 yds to the NicSt 42Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+15
95.4%
Harry Trotter run for 15 yds to the NicSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
95.4%
James Gilbert run for 6 yds to the NicSt 21Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+6
95.4%
James Gilbert run for 6 yds to the NicSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-9
95.4%
James Gilbert run for 6 yds to the NicSt 9 KANSAS ST Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the NicSt 24Similar
Q2 6:21
1ST & 19
OPP 24
+24
98.1%
James Gilbert run for 24 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.2%
Tahj Smith run for 7 yds to the NicSt 32Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+21
98.0%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Dai'Jean Dixon for 21 yds to the KanSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
98.0%
Kendall Bussey run for no gain to the KanSt 47Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
98.0%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Kendall Bussey for no gain to the KanSt 47Similar
Q2 6:15
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
98.1%
Chase Fourcade pass incomplete to Dai'Jean DixonSimilar
Q2 6:15
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
98.1%
Winston Jones punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 9MISSED FG
9 plays · 68 yds · 2:5998% → 99%
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
98.4%
Jordon Brown run for 5 yds to the KanSt 17Similar
Q2 3:57
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+3
98.4%
Jordon Brown run for 3 yds to the KanSt 20Similar
Q2 3:57
3RD & 2
OWN 20
+34
98.4%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Chabastin Taylor for 34 yds to the NicSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+22
98.5%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Jordon Brown for 22 yds to the NicSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
98.5%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 7 yds to the NicSt 17Similar
Q2 3:57
2ND & 3
OPP 17
-5
98.5%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NicSt 22Similar
Q2 3:57
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+2
98.5%
James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the NicSt 20Similar
Q2 3:57
3RD & 6
OPP 20
0
98.4%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Dalton SchoenSimilar
Q2 0:58
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+37
99.0%
Blake Lynch 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
98.7%
Julien Gums run for 2 yds to the NicSt 22Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+3
98.7%
Julien Gums run for 3 yds to the NicSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 11TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:141% → 4%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.8%
Kendall Bussey run for 2 yds to the NicSt 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+19
98.7%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Stefano Guarisco for 19 yds to the NicSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
98.7%
Chase Fourcade run for 2 yds to the NicSt 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+26
98.7%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Dai'Jean Dixon for 26 yds to the KanSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
95.9%
Kendall Bussey run for 26 yds for a TD, (Gunner Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12DOWNS
12 plays · 49 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
97.3%
James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the KanSt 30Similar
Q3 12:36
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+10
97.3%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 10 yds to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
97.4%
James Gilbert run for 3 yds to the KanSt 43Similar
Q3 12:36
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
97.4%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Dalton SchoenSimilar
Q3 12:36
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+13
97.3%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Landry Weber for 13 yds to the NicSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
97.4%
James Gilbert run for 5 yds to the NicSt 39Similar
Q3 12:36
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+7
97.4%
James Gilbert run for 7 yds to the NicSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
97.4%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Malik KnowlesSimilar
Q3 12:36
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+7
97.4%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Landry Weber for 7 yds to the NicSt 25Similar
Q3 12:36
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+2
97.4%
Skylar Thompson run for 2 yds to the NicSt 23Similar
Q3 12:36
4TH & 1
OPP 23
0
97.2%
Harry Trotter run for no gain to the NicSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
97.3%
Julien Gums run for a loss of 1 yard to the NicSt 22Similar
Q3 7:34
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+16
97.4%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Dai'Jean Dixon for 16 yds to the NicSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
97.2%
Chase Fourcade pass incomplete to Dai'Jean Dixon, broken up by Walter Neil Jr.Similar
Q3 7:34
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
97.2%
Chase Fourcade run for 2 yds to the NicSt 40Similar
Q3 7:34
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+5
97.3%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Kendall Bussey for 5 yds to the NicSt 45Similar
Q3 7:34
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
97.3%
Winston Jones punt for 52 yds, downed at the KanSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 14TD
10 plays · 97 yds · 5:0998% → 100%
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
97.8%
Jordon Brown run for 4 yds to the KanSt 7Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 6
OWN 7
+5
97.7%
Jordon Brown run for 5 yds to the KanSt 12Similar
Q3 5:01
3RD & 1
OWN 12
+2
97.8%
Jordon Brown run for 2 yds to the KanSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+13
97.8%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 13 yds to the KanSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
97.9%
James Gilbert run for 9 yds to the KanSt 36Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+12
97.9%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Nick Lenners for 12 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
98.0%
Harry Trotter run for 3 yds to the NicSt 49Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+3
98.0%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 3 yds to the NicSt 46Similar
Q3 5:01
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+8
98.0%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 8 yds to the NicSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
99.8%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 38 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 15FUMBLE TD
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:160% → 0%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Chase Fourcade pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+25
99.9%
Julien Gums run for no gain Julien Gums fumbled, forced by Jonathan Alexander, recovered by KanSt Jonathan Alexander , return for 25 yds, (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 16DOWNS
8 plays · 34 yds · 1:380% → 0%
Q4 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.9%
Kendall Bussey run for 13 yds to the NicSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+17
99.9%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Dai'Jean Dixon for 17 yds to the KanSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
99.9%
Kendall Bussey run for 4 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
Q4 14:36
2ND & 6
OPP 41
0
99.8%
Chase Fourcade pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:58
3RD & 6
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Chase Fourcade pass incomplete to Dai'Jean DixonSimilar
Q4 12:58
4TH & 6
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Chase Fourcade pass incomplete to Tahj Smith, broken up by Daniel GreenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17TD
10 plays · 59 yds · 6:05100% → 100%
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
99.9%
Tyler Burns run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:46
2ND & 1
50
+7
99.9%
Tyler Burns run for 7 yds to the NicSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
99.9%
Tyler Burns run for 9 yds to the NicSt 34Similar
Q4 12:46
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+6
99.9%
Tyler Burns run for 6 yds to the NicSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
99.9%
Tyler Burns run for 4 yds to the NicSt 24Similar
Q4 12:46
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+4
99.9%
Tyler Burns run for 4 yds to the NicSt 20Similar
Q4 12:46
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+19
99.9%
Tyler Burns run for 19 yds to the NicSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
99.9%
Nick Ast run for a loss of 1 yard to the NicSt 2Similar
Q4 12:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.9%
Tyler Burns run for 1 yd to the NicSt 1Similar
Q4 6:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
100.0%
Tyler Burns run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 18TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:400% → 0%
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
100.0%
Julien Gums run for 7 yds to the NicSt 32Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
100.0%
Julien Gums run for 6 yds to the NicSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
100.0%
NICHOLLS ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the NicSt 33Similar
Q4 6:41
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+12
100.0%
Julien Gums run for 12 yds to the NicSt 45Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+1
100.0%
Julien Gums run for 1 yd to the NicSt 46Similar
Q4 6:41
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+10
100.0%
Kohen Granier run for 10 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+41
100.0%
Julien Gums run for 41 yds to the KanSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Julien Gums run for 3 yds for a TD, (Gunner Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19END OF GAME
6 plays · 50 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
100.0%
John Holcombe II run for 12 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
100.0%
Tyler Burns run for 4 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+7
100.0%
Dylan Wentzel run for 7 yds to the NicSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+21
100.0%
John Holcombe II run for 21 yds to the NicSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
100.0%
John Holcombe II run for 6 yds to the NicSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:35
Jordon Brown run for 14 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK)
+3.2
TD · Q3 12:46
Kendall Bussey run for 26 yds for a TD, (Gunner Jones KICK)
-2.8
TD · Q2 6:21
James Gilbert run for 24 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK)
+2.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com