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KSU

Kansas State 38 at Kansas 10

KU
2019 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2019 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadKSU aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreKSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:07 · Devin Anctil punt for 45 yds, downed at the Kans 34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 156Home team on offense−55.0Score differential−43.3Pregame prior−0.7Garbage-time factor−20.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−11.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−7.8
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 4:50: Liam Jones 34 yd FG GOOD — KU win probability +1.5 pts (now 39%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:54: Harry Trotter run for 9 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK) — KSU win probability +4.7 pts (now 68%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Blake Lynch 39 yd FG GOOD — KSU win probability +4.3 pts (now 80%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:52: Skylar Thompson run for 12 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK) — KSU win probability +12.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:18: Skylar Thompson run for 4 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK) — KSU win probability +1.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8KSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00KU 4th & 1 at KU 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 38.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:50KU 4th & 8 at KSU 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.5%
    80% to make
    Punt
    36.5%−2.0
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:49KSU 4th & 8 at KU 41, up 11
    Close callPunted · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.2%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    64.8%−0.4
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    65.0%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:29KU 4th & 14 at KU 27, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%−1.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:24KSU 4th & 11 at KU 47, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.0%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:15KU 4th & 8 at KU 24, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.0%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:31KSU 4th & 18 at KSU 24, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.5%−2.4
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00KSU 4th & 7 at KU 21, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.5%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.9%
    74% to make
    Punt
    68.1%−4.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:52KU 4th & 18 at KSU 42, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%−1.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    13.7%−0.6
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:42KSU 4th & 14 at KU 47, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%−1.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00KU 4th & 4 at KU 26, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.6%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:12KU 4th & 3 at KU 32, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:24KU 4th & 21 at KSU 39, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:07KSU 4th & 2 at KSU 21, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1KSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 7:21KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:54KSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:52KSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:18KSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:30KSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:35KU Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
36.4%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
36.4%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
36.4%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 5 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
36.4%
Kyle Thompson punt for 44 yds , Joshua Youngblood returns for no gain to the KanSt 34 KANSAS ST Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the KanSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2TD
11 plays · 88 yds · 5:5463% → 65%
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
37.1%
Harry Trotter run for 5 yds to the KanSt 17Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+4
37.1%
Harry Trotter run for 4 yds to the KanSt 21Similar
Q1 13:15
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+7
37.1%
Harry Trotter run for 7 yds to the KanSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
37.0%
Thompson, Skylar pass incomplete to Knowles, Malik, PENALTY KU pass interference (Defense,Hasan) 15 yards to the KS43, 1ST DOWN KS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
36.9%
Skylar Thompson run for 3 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+9
36.9%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Nick Lenners for 9 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
36.9%
Skylar Thompson run for no gain to the Kans 45Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+8
36.9%
Harry Trotter run for 8 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q1 13:15
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+34
36.9%
Skylar Thompson run for 34 yds to the Kans 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
36.8%
Harry Trotter run for 2 yds to the Kans 1Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
35.4%
Skylar Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3FG
9 plays · 45 yds · 2:2337% → 39%
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
36.7%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 5 yds to the Kans 43Similar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+23
37.1%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 23 yds to the KanSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
37.6%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 9 yds to the KanSt 25Similar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+6
37.6%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 6 yds to the KanSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
37.6%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the KanSt 17Similar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 8
OPP 17
0
37.6%
Carter Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:13
3RD & 8
OPP 17
0
37.3%
Carter Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:50
4TH & 8
OPP 17
+34
38.8%
Liam Jones 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4TD
11 plays · 78 yds · 4:5162% → 68%
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
38.4%
Jordon Brown run for 4 yds to the KanSt 26Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+4
38.3%
Jordon Brown run for 4 yds to the KanSt 30Similar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+5
38.4%
Harry Trotter run for 5 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
38.2%
Harry Trotter run for 7 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+6
37.8%
Phillip Brooks run for 6 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
37.7%
Joe Ervin run for 3 yds to the Kans 49Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+1
37.6%
Skylar Thompson run for 1 yd to the Kans 48Similar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+21
37.8%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 21 yds to the Kans 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+18
37.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Landry Weber for 18 yds to the Kans 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
32.5%
Harry Trotter run for 9 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
33.8%
Carter Stanley pass intercepted Jahron McPherson return for no gain to the KanSt 35 KANSAS ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jahron McPherson) to the KanSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
32.8%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Wykeen Gill for 4 yds to the KanSt 47Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+4
32.8%
Harry Trotter run for 4 yds to the Kans 49Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 2
OPP 49
-10
33.0%
Trotter, Harry rush for 16 yards to the KU33 (Ferguson,Davon), PENALTY KS holding (Holtorf, Adam) 10 yards to the KS41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 12
OWN 41
+16
33.4%
Skylar Thompson run for 16 yds to the Kans 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
32.7%
Joe Ervin run for 4 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 6
OPP 39
-2
32.6%
Joe Ervin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 41Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 8
OPP 41
0
32.9%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Wykeen GillSimilar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
33.3%
Devin Anctil punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kans 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 0:0032% → 31%
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
32.1%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kans 15Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+5
32.3%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kans 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
32.4%
Velton Gardner run for 5 yds to the Kans 25Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+3
32.7%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q2 11:29
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+3
32.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Jack Luavasa for 3 yds to the Kans 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
32.7%
Velton Gardner run for 1 yd to the Kans 32Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 9
OWN 32
-5
32.6%
Carter Stanley sacked by Trey Dishon for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 27Similar
Q2 11:29
3RD & 14
OWN 27
0
31.6%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Stephon Robinson Jr.Similar
Q2 11:29
4TH & 14
OWN 27
+9
31.3%
Kyle Thompson punt for 51 yds , Joshua Youngblood returns for 9 yds to the KanSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
30.1%
Joe Ervin run for 5 yds to the KanSt 36Similar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+18
29.8%
Skylar Thompson run for 18 yds to the Kans 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-13
29.4%
Trotter, Harry rush for 2 yards to the KU44 (Potter,Gavin), PENALTY KS personal foul (Kaltmayer, Nick) 13 yards to the KS41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 23
OWN 41
+3
29.9%
Phillip Brooks run for 3 yds to the KanSt 44Similar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 20
OWN 44
0
29.9%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Dalton SchoenSimilar
Q2 7:24
3RD & 20
OWN 44
+9
30.2%
Skylar Thompson run for 9 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q2 7:24
4TH & 11
OPP 47
0
30.5%
Devin Anctil punt for 25 yds, downed at the Kans 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0029% → 28%
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
28.7%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 5
OWN 27
-8
29.1%
Carter Stanley sacked by Trey Dishon for a loss of 8 yards to the Kans 19Similar
Q2 4:15
3RD & 13
OWN 19
+5
27.8%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Daylon Charlot for 5 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q2 4:15
4TH & 8
OWN 24
+1
27.5%
Kyle Thompson punt for 45 yds , Joshua Youngblood returns for 1 yd to the KanSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · -8 yds · 0:4972% → 71%
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
28.2%
Harry Trotter run for no gain to the KanSt 32Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-10
28.3%
Thompson, Skylar pass complete to Trotter, Harry for 4 yards to the KS36 (Lee,Mike), PENALTY KS holding (Gill, Wykeen) 10 yards to the KS22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 20
OWN 22
-5
28.8%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (Nick Lenners) to the KanSt 17Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 25
OWN 17
+4
28.8%
Harry Trotter run for 4 yds to the KanSt 21Similar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 21
OWN 21
+3
28.6%
Harry Trotter run for 3 yds to the KanSt 24Similar
Q2 1:31
4TH & 18
OWN 24
0
29.0%
Devin Anctil punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kans 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
27.9%
Carter Stanley pass intercepted Da'Quan Patton return for no gain to the Kans 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12FG
10 plays · 25 yds · 1:2075% → 80%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
24.9%
Skylar Thompson run for 10 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
24.8%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 9 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+3
24.5%
Skylar Thompson run for 3 yds to the Kans 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-4
24.5%
Skylar Thompson sacked by Codey Cole III for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 28 Skylar Thompson fumbled, recovered by KanSt Skylar Thompson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 14
OPP 28
0
24.3%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Harry TrotterSimilar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 14
OPP 28
+7
24.7%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 7 yds to the Kans 21Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 7
OPP 21
+39
20.1%
Blake Lynch 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:0878% → 92%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
21.9%
Harry Trotter run for 4 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+46
21.8%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 46 yds to the Kans 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
20.2%
Skylar Thompson run for 6 yds to the Kans 19Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+1
20.2%
Joe Ervin run for 1 yd to the Kans 18Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+5
20.6%
Skylar Thompson run for 5 yds to the Kans 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
20.2%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Dalton SchoenSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+6
20.2%
Skylar Thompson run for 6 yds to the Kans 7Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 7
-5
20.4%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Harry Trotter for 5 yds to the Kans 2 KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Malik Knowles) to the Kans 12Similar
Q3 10:52
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+12
8.3%
Skylar Thompson run for 12 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14PUNT
11 plays · 33 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
12.6%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kans 26Similar
Q3 10:52
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+15
12.5%
Stanley,Carter pass incomplete to Andrew Parchment, PENALTY KS pass interference (Neil Jr., Walter) 15 yards to the KU41, 1ST DOWN KU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
13.6%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 11 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
14.0%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q3 10:52
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+11
14.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Daylon Charlot for 11 yds to the KanSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
14.4%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 7 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
Q3 10:52
2ND & 3
OPP 27
-15
14.6%
Stanley,Carter pass complete to Charlot,Daylon for 15 yards to the KS12 (Parker, AJ), PENALTY KU pass interference (Charlot,Daylon) 15 yards to the KS42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:52
2ND & 18
OPP 42
0
13.5%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Daylon Charlot, broken up by AJ ParkerSimilar
Q3 10:52
3RD & 18
OPP 42
0
13.3%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Stephon Robinson Jr.Similar
Q3 10:52
4TH & 18
OPP 42
0
13.1%
Kyle Thompson punt for 35 yds, downed at the KanSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15PUNT
13 plays · 46 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
7.1%
Joe Ervin run for 5 yds to the KanSt 12Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 5
OWN 12
+7
7.0%
Joe Ervin run for 7 yds to the KanSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
7.0%
Joe Ervin run for 4 yds to the KanSt 23Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+9
7.1%
Harry Trotter run for 9 yds to the KanSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
7.0%
Harry Trotter run for 3 yds to the KanSt 35Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 7
OWN 35
-1
7.0%
Harry Trotter run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 34Similar
Q3 7:42
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+10
7.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Nick Lenners for 10 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
6.7%
Joe Ervin run for 13 yds to the Kans 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-4
6.7%
Joe Ervin run for 6 yds to the Kans 37 KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Kans 47Similar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 14
OPP 47
0
6.7%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Malik KnowlesSimilar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 14
OPP 47
0
6.8%
Phillip Brooks run for no gain to the Kans 47 KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 7:42
3RD & 14
OPP 47
0
6.8%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Wykeen Gill, broken up by Bryce TornedenSimilar
Q3 7:42
4TH & 14
OPP 47
0
7.3%
Devin Anctil punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16DOWNS
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:455% → 4%
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
4.9%
Williams,Pooka rush for 19 yards to the KU39 (Goolsby, Denzel), PENALTY KU holding (Clark,Malik) 10 yards to the KU10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+1
4.9%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kans 11Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 19
OWN 11
+13
4.9%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 13 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q3 1:45
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+2
4.9%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kans 26Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
4.1%
Carter Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17TD
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:3698% → 99%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
2.5%
Harry Trotter run for 7 yds to the Kans 19Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 3
OPP 19
0
2.5%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Nick LennersSimilar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+10
2.6%
Harry Trotter run for 10 yds to the Kans 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
2.5%
Skylar Thompson run for 3 yds to the Kans 6Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
2.5%
Harry Trotter run for 2 yds to the Kans 4Similar
Q4 12:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
0.6%
Skylar Thompson run for 4 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.6%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 4 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-14
0.5%
Carter Stanley sacked by Kyle Ball for a loss of 14 yards to the Kans 15Similar
Q4 12:12
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+17
0.5%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 17 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q4 12:12
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
0.6%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Stephon Robinson Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19TD
2 plays · 32 yds · 0:48100% → 100%
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+18
0.4%
Tyler Burns run for 18 yds to the Kans 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
0.3%
Tyler Burns run for 14 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20PUNT
11 plays · 30 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
0.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Daylon Charlot for 1 yd to the Kans 32Similar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+6
0.2%
Carter Stanley run for 6 yds to the Kans 38Similar
Q4 9:24
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+10
0.2%
Velton Gardner run for 10 yds to the Kans 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
0.3%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 11 yds to the KanSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+13
0.3%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 13 yds to the KanSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
0.3%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Daylon Charlot, broken up by Reggie WalkerSimilar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-15
0.3%
KANSAS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the KanSt 43Similar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 25
OPP 43
-6
0.2%
Carter Stanley sacked by Khalid Duke for a loss of 6 yards to the KanSt 49Similar
Q4 9:24
3RD & 31
OPP 49
+10
0.2%
Manny Miles run for 10 yds to the KanSt 39Similar
Q4 9:24
4TH & 21
OPP 39
0
0.2%
Kyle Thompson punt for 38 yds, downed at the KanSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:48100% → 100%
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
0.3%
Nick Ast run for 2 yds to the KanSt 3Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+5
0.3%
Tyler Burns run for 5 yds to the KanSt 8Similar
Q4 5:55
3RD & 3
OWN 8
+5
0.3%
Tyler Burns run for 5 yds to the KanSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
0.2%
Tyler Burns run for 4 yds to the KanSt 17Similar
Q4 3:07
2ND & 6
OWN 17
0
0.1%
Harry Trotter run for no gain to the KanSt 17Similar
Q4 3:07
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+4
0.1%
Tyler Burns run for 4 yds to the KanSt 21Similar
Q4 3:07
4TH & 2
OWN 21
0
0.2%
Devin Anctil punt for 45 yds, downed at the Kans 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 22TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 0:550% → 0%
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+33
0.1%
Manny Miles pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 33 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
0.1%
Manny Miles pass incomplete to Stephon Robinson Jr.Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+32
0.1%
Manny Miles pass complete to Daylon Charlot for 32 yds to the KanSt 1 for a 1ST down KANSAS ST Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
0.1%
Ben Miles run for no gain to the KanSt 1Similar
Q4 0:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
0.1%
Miles,Manny rush for no gain to the KS1, fumble by Miles,Manny recovered by KU Miles,Manny at KS1, PENALTY KS offside defense (Mittie, Jordan) 0 yards to the KS1, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.1%
Manny Miles run for 1 yd for a TD (Liam Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
0.1%
Tyler Burns run for 8 yds to the Kans 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:52
Skylar Thompson run for 12 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)
-12.1
TD · Q2 14:54
Harry Trotter run for 9 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)
-4.7
FG · Q2 0:00
Blake Lynch 39 yd FG GOOD
-4.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com