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KU

Kansas 48 at Texas 50

TEX
2019 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2019 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · TEX
modelTEX aheadKU aheadconfidence bandkey playTEX scoreKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG-1.1TEX 91.6%Liam Jones 23 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 14 · Q1 4:01
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:01 · Liam Jones 23 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 33Pregame prior+38.1Home team on offense+2.0Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential+1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3Blowout margin+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 10:06: Pooka Williams Jr. run for 16 yds for a TD, (Liam Jones PAT BLOCKED) — KU win probability +25.6 pts (now 37%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 4:25: Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 11 yds for a TD, (Liam Jones KICK) — KU win probability +35.6 pts (now 53%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 2:47: Keaontay Ingram run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +28.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:11: Carter Stanley pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 22 yds for a TD, (Carter Stanley pass to Daylon Charlot for Two-Point Conversion) — KU win probability +71.8 pts (now 80%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Cameron Dicker 33 yd FG GOOD — TEX win probability +56.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEX made the numbers' call on 5 of 5KU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 9:56KU 4th & 10 at TEX 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.8%
    60% to make
    Punt
    9.4%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:01KU 4th & 4 at TEX 5, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.3%−0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    7.6%−1.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:57TEX 4th & 2 at TEX 49, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    89.8%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:23TEX 4th & 2 at KU 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    86.2%−0.5
    34% to make
    Punt
    86.3%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:38TEX 4th & 17 at TEX 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.1%−1.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:41KU 4th & 5 at KU 46, up 3
    Close callPunted · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:15KU 4th & 8 at TEX 19, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.4%
    77% to make
    Punt
    16.7%−2.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:59TEX 4th & 5 at KU 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    59.1%−9.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:59KU 4th & 23 at KU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%−4.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:42TEX 4th & 2 at KU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    70.2%−3.7
    27% to make
    Punt
    71.9%−2.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:01KU 4th & 17 at TEX 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−2.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:56KU 4th & 10 at TEX 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.4%
    60% to make
    Punt
    5.8%−2.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:19KU 4th & 10 at TEX 36, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.3%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    12.1%
    42% to make
    Punt
    9.6%−2.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:47KU 4th & 5 at KU 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.1%−2.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEX made the numbers' call on 6 of 6KU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 12:56TEX Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:31TEX Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:24KU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:38KU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:19TEX Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:48KU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:01TEX Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:06KU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    32.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.9%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 8:32TEX Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 4:25KU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.4%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.7%
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 2:47TEX Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.1%−1.9
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 1:11KU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 3.3 ptsWent for two · converted
    Kick
    40.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    36.7%−3.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEXDrive 1TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:0493% → 93%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
93.3%
Sam Ehlinger run for 6 yds to the Texas 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+5
93.3%
Sam Ehlinger run for 5 yds to the Texas 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
93.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 6 yds to the Kans 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+6
93.3%
Roschon Johnson run for 6 yds to the Kans 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+28
93.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 28 yds to the Kans 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
93.0%
Roschon Johnson run for 14 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2MISSED FG
9 plays · 47 yds · 3:007% → 8%
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
93.0%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kans 26Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+15
93.0%
Stanley, Carter deep pass incomplete to Robinson, S., PENALTY UT defensive pass interference (Anthony Cook) 15 yards to the KU41, 1ST DOWN KU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+19
92.9%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the Texas 45 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, HF (15 Yards) to the Texas 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
92.9%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 12 yds to the Texas 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
92.9%
Carter Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+1
92.9%
Torry Locklin run for 1 yd to the Texas 27Similar
Q1 9:56
4TH & 10
OPP 28
+46
92.5%
Liam Jones 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 3TD
10 plays · 72 yds · 3:2593% → 93%
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
92.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Cade Brewer for 8 yds to the Texas 36Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+5
92.7%
Keaontay Ingram run for 5 yds to the Texas 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
92.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Cade Brewer for 12 yds to the Kans 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
92.7%
Sam Ehlinger run for 6 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+14
92.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 14 yds to the Kans 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
92.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 8 yds to the Kans 19Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+4
92.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 4 yds to the Kans 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
92.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Collin JohnsonSimilar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+5
92.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jake Smith for 5 yds to the Kans 10Similar
Q1 6:31
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+10
93.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jake Smith for 10 yds for a TD KANSAS Penalty, defensive holding ( Yards) declined, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4FG
7 plays · 74 yds · 2:257% → 8%
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
92.9%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+65
92.9%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 65 yds to the Texas 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
92.6%
Carter Stanley run for 4 yds to the Texas 7Similar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+2
92.6%
Stephon Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Texas 5Similar
Q1 6:26
3RD & 4
OPP 5
0
92.7%
Carter Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:01
4TH & 4
OPP 5
+23
91.6%
Liam Jones 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 5DOWNS
7 plays · 37 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
92.0%
Roschon Johnson run for 2 yds to the Texas 15Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+26
92.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 11 yds to the Texas 26 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Hasan Defense) to the Texas 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-8
92.2%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Gavin Potter and Azur Kamara for a loss of 8 yards to the Texas 33Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 18
OWN 33
0
92.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete, broken up by Kyle MayberrySimilar
Q1 3:57
3RD & 18
OWN 33
+16
91.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 16 yds to the Texas 49Similar
Q1 3:57
4TH & 2
OWN 49
+1
92.0%
Jake Smith run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6TD
10 plays · 50 yds · 3:179% → 12%
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
50
+4
91.2%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the Texas 46Similar
Q1 1:41
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
91.2%
Velton Gardner run for no gain to the Texas 46Similar
Q1 1:41
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+7
91.3%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 7 yds to the Texas 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
91.2%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Stephon Robinson Jr.Similar
Q1 1:41
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+7
91.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 7 yds to the Texas 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+15
90.9%
Carter Stanley run for 15 yds to the Texas 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
90.6%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 7 yds to the Texas 10Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+8
90.6%
Carter Stanley run for 8 yds to the Texas 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
90.6%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Texas 7Similar
Q2 13:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
87.9%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 7 yds for a TD, (Liam Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 7DOWNS
10 plays · 43 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+16
88.9%
Keaontay Ingram run for 16 yds to the Texas 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
89.0%
Keaontay Ingram run for 5 yds to the Texas 38Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+4
89.4%
Keaontay Ingram run for 4 yds to the Texas 42Similar
Q2 13:23
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+10
89.2%
Keaontay Ingram run for 10 yds to the Kans 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
89.6%
TEXAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Texas 47Similar
Q2 13:23
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+7
89.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 7 yds to the Kans 46Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
89.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Brennan EaglesSimilar
Q2 13:23
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+6
89.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jake Smith for 6 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q2 13:23
4TH & 2
OPP 40
0
89.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Cade BrewerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8TD
4 plays · 60 yds · 1:4713% → 17%
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+50
87.4%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 50 yds to the Texas 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
86.6%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the Texas 8Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
86.6%
Torry Locklin run for 1 yd to the Texas 7Similar
Q2 8:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
83.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Takulve Williams for 7 yds for a TD, (Liam Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:0084% → 83%
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
84.3%
Roschon Johnson run for 1 yd to the Texas 26Similar
Q2 8:38
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
84.2%
Roschon Johnson run for 2 yds to the Texas 28Similar
Q2 8:38
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-10
83.8%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Gavin Potter for a loss of 10 yards to the Texas 18Similar
Q2 8:38
4TH & 17
OWN 18
+14
83.4%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 55 yds , Kenny Logan Jr. returns for 14 yds to the Kans 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0019% → 18%
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
81.1%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Velton Gardner for 5 yds to the Kans 46Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 5
OWN 46
-5
81.1%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (Andrew Parchment) to the Kans 41Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+5
81.4%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 5 yds to the Kans 46Similar
Q2 6:41
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
81.3%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Andrew Parchment, broken up by Kobe BoyceSimilar
Q2 6:41
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
82.3%
Kyle Thompson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Brandon Jones at the Texas 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 11TD
10 plays · 84 yds · 2:5181% → 87%
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+32
81.4%
Keaontay Ingram run for 32 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 5
OPP 47
0
83.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Devin DuvernaySimilar
Q2 5:10
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+24
82.9%
Sam Ehlinger run for 24 yds to the Kans 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
83.8%
Keaontay Ingram run for 3 yds to the Kans 20Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+4
83.8%
Keaontay Ingram run for 4 yds to the Kans 16Similar
Q2 5:10
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+6
83.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 6 yds to the Kans 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
83.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Brennan Eagles, broken up by Hasan DefenseSimilar
Q2 5:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
83.8%
Keaontay Ingram run for 5 yds to the Kans 5Similar
Q2 2:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
86.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 5 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12MISSED FG
17 plays · 56 yds · 2:0415% → 16%
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
85.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 8 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+2
84.1%
Carter Stanley run for 2 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
84.9%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Kans 30Similar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 15
OWN 30
0
85.2%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Daylon CharlotSimilar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+13
85.4%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Daylon Charlot for 13 yds to the Kans 43Similar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+25
84.5%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 25 yds to the Texas 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
83.1%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Andrew ParchmentSimilar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+11
82.6%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 11 yds to the Texas 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
82.3%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 2 yds to the Texas 19Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 8
OPP 19
0
81.7%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Andrew ParchmentSimilar
Q2 0:15
4TH & 8
OPP 19
+37
83.7%
Liam Jones 37 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Joseph OssaiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
85.1%
Roschon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Texas 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 5:1216% → 34%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
84.3%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+14
84.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 14 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
83.2%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Ben MilesSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
83.6%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Kwamie Lassiter II, broken up by DeMarvion OvershownSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+11
84.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Daylon Charlot for 11 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
82.3%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+22
83.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 22 yds to the Texas 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
81.5%
Carter Stanley run for 7 yds to the Texas 20Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+2
81.5%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Ben Miles for 2 yds to the Texas 18Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+2
82.2%
Carter Stanley run for 2 yds to the Texas 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
81.5%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Andrew Parchment, broken up by Juwan MitchellSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+9
81.5%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 9 yds to the Texas 7Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+3
82.2%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the Texas 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
81.5%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (Kevin Feder) to the Texas 9Similar
Q3 9:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
66.5%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 9 yds for a TD, (Liam Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 15FG
10 plays · 54 yds · 2:4972% → 78%
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
72.2%
Sam Ehlinger run for 5 yds to the Texas 30Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+17
72.8%
Sam Ehlinger run for 17 yds to the Texas 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
75.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Collin JohnsonSimilar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+13
74.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 13 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+14
75.5%
Keaontay Ingram run for 14 yds to the Kans 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
76.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Collin JohnsonSimilar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-6
76.5%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Jay Dineen for a loss of 6 yards to the Kans 32Similar
Q3 9:48
3RD & 16
OPP 32
+11
73.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 11 yds to the Kans 21Similar
Q3 6:59
4TH & 5
OPP 21
+39
77.5%
Cameron Dicker 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
73.8%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 8 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
72.0%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to James SosinskiSimilar
Q3 6:59
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+20
73.1%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 20 yds to the Texas 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
70.5%
Stanley, Carter rush over right end for 6 yards to the UT41, PENALTY KU offensive holding (Mane, Api) 10 yards to the KU43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 20
OWN 43
+3
72.9%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Velton Gardner for 3 yds to the Kans 46Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 17
OWN 46
+1
73.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 1 yd to the Kans 47Similar
Q3 6:59
3RD & 16
OWN 47
-7
73.6%
Carter Stanley sacked by DeMarvion Overshown for a loss of 7 yards to the Kans 40Similar
Q3 6:59
4TH & 23
OWN 40
0
75.5%
Kyle Thompson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jake Smith at the Texas 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 17TD
13 plays · 79 yds · 4:4174% → 91%
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+13
73.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 13 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
74.1%
Roschon Johnson run for 1 yd to the Texas 35Similar
Q3 3:42
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+8
74.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 8 yds to the Texas 43Similar
Q3 3:42
3RD & 1
OWN 43
-11
75.8%
Sam Ehlinger rush for 4 yards to the UT47 (Moragne, D.), PENALTY UT offensive holding (Samuel Cosmi) 11 yards to the UT32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:42
3RD & 12
OWN 32
+16
72.2%
Sam Ehlinger run for 16 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
76.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 4 yds to the Kans 48Similar
Q3 3:42
2ND & 6
OPP 48
0
77.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Devin DuvernaySimilar
Q3 3:42
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+4
76.4%
Sam Ehlinger run for 4 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q3 3:42
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+4
75.1%
Roschon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
75.0%
Roschon Johnson run for 11 yds to the Kans 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+12
76.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 12 yds to the Kans 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
76.0%
Roschon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Kans 14Similar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+14
90.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 14 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18PUNT
12 plays · 23 yds · 0:0014% → 13%
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-3
86.0%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 27Similar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 13
OWN 27
+5
86.7%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Jack Luavasa for 5 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q4 14:01
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+14
87.1%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 14 yds to the Kans 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
84.5%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for no gain to the Kans 46Similar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-1
85.2%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 45Similar
Q4 14:01
3RD & 11
OWN 45
+15
86.2%
Stanley, Carter deep pass incomplete to Charlot, Daylon, PENALTY UT defensive pass interference (Anthony Cook) 15 yards to the UT40, 1ST DOWN KU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
83.8%
Carter Stanley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 42Similar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 12
OPP 42
0
84.6%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Andrew ParchmentSimilar
Q4 14:01
3RD & 12
OPP 42
0
85.4%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Daylon CharlotSimilar
Q4 14:01
4TH & 12
OPP 42
-5
87.0%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (Bryce Torneden) to the Texas 47Similar
Q4 14:01
4TH & 17
OPP 47
0
87.1%
Kyle Thompson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Brandon Jones at the Texas 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 19INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
89.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass intercepted Najee Stevens-McKenzie return for 2 yds to the Texas 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20TD
2 plays · 16 yds · 0:0037% → 33%
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
63.4%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 16 yds for a TD, (Liam Jones PAT BLOCKED)Similar
Q4 10:06
1ST & 0
OPP 3
+98
66.7%
D'Shawn Jamison Defensive PAT Conversion Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 21TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:3479% → 92%
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
78.8%
Keaontay Ingram run for 4 yds to the Texas 39Similar
Q4 10:06
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-1
80.6%
Keaontay Ingram run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 38Similar
Q4 10:06
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+19
78.3%
Sam Ehlinger run for 19 yds to the Kans 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
92.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 43 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 22FG
8 plays · 47 yds · 1:298% → 13%
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
91.6%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 9 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
90.2%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+36
90.5%
Carter Stanley run for 36 yds to the Texas 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
88.2%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Stephon Robinson Jr.Similar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
88.6%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Andrew ParchmentSimilar
Q4 8:25
3RD & 10
OPP 28
0
89.7%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Daylon CharlotSimilar
Q4 6:56
4TH & 10
OPP 28
+46
86.7%
Liam Jones 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 23FUMBLE
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q4 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
90.5%
Roschon Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 23Similar
Q4 6:56
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+13
90.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jake Smith for 13 yds Jake Smith fumbled, forced by Mike Lee, recovered by Kans Bryce TornedenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 24TD
6 plays · 36 yds · 1:5416% → 53%
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
84.1%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for no gain to the Texas 36Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
84.1%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Andrew ParchmentSimilar
Q4 6:19
3RD & 10
OPP 36
0
85.2%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Daylon Charlot, broken up by Anthony CookSimilar
Q4 6:19
4TH & 10
OPP 36
+23
87.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Daylon Charlot for 23 yds to the Texas 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
82.2%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the Texas 11Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+11
46.6%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 11 yds for a TD, (Liam Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 25TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 1:3862% → 95%
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
61.9%
Keaontay Ingram run for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 32Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 13
OWN 32
0
60.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Keaontay IngramSimilar
Q4 4:25
3RD & 13
OWN 32
+14
58.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 14 yds to the Texas 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+51
65.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Cade Brewer for 51 yds to the Kans 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
94.6%
Keaontay Ingram run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 26TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 1:3612% → 80%
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
88.5%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 1 yd to the Kans 26Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
88.6%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 7 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
89.2%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
89.0%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Kwamie Lassiter IISimilar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
89.2%
Stephon Robinson Jr. run for no gain to the Kans 37Similar
Q4 1:47
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+5
92.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 5 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q4 1:47
4TH & 5
OWN 42
+36
91.4%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 36 yds to the Texas 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
19.6%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 22 yds for a TD, (Carter Stanley pass to Daylon Charlot for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 27FG
14 plays · 60 yds · 1:1146% → 96%
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
45.5%
Sam Ehlinger left side pass complete to Collin Johnson for 5 yards to the UT30, out-of-bounds, PENALTY UT ineligible downfield on pass (Shackelford, Zach) 5 yards to the UT20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+16
45.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 16 yds to the Texas 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
47.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 4 yds to the Texas 40Similar
Q4 0:43
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
45.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Keaontay Ingram, broken up by Caleb SampsonSimilar
Q4 0:43
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+8
41.3%
Sam Ehlinger run for 8 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
46.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Collin JohnsonSimilar
Q4 0:43
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+20
45.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 20 yds to the Kans 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
53.7%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:14
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+11
43.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 11 yds to the Kans 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
38.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 6 yds to the Kans 15Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+33
95.6%
Cameron Dicker 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:11
Carter Stanley pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 22 yds for a TD, (Carter Stanley pass to Daylon Charlot for Two-Point Conversion)
-71.8
FG · Q4 0:00
Cameron Dicker 33 yd FG GOOD
+56.7
TD · Q4 4:25
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 11 yds for a TD, (Liam Jones KICK)
-35.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com