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OU

Oklahoma 45 at Kansas 20

KU
2019 · Week 6 · Oct 5, 2019 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadOU aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:10 · Kyle Thompson punt for 44 yds , CeeDee Lamb returns for no gain to the Okla 29 OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Chanse Sylvie) to the Okla 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 104Pregame prior−34.8Home team on offense−27.0Score differential−14.0Garbage-time factor−4.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:35: Carter Stanley pass complete to Daylon Charlot for 22 yds for a TD, (Liam Jones KICK) — KU win probability +1.2 pts (now 6%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:26: Trey Sermon run for 2 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) — OU win probability +1.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:51: Jalen Hurts run for 1 yd for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) — OU win probability +2.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:31: Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 10 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) — OU win probability +3.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:19: Jalen Hurts run for 5 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK) — OU win probability +2.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7OU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:49KU 4th & 9 at KU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:49OU 4th & 10 at OU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.4%
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:48KU 4th & 2 at OU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    9.9%−0.4
    32% to make
    Punt
    10.0%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:28KU 4th & 9 at KU 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:36KU 4th & 10 at KU 2, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−2.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:10KU 4th & 6 at KU 29, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 1:37KU 4th & 18 at OU 44, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  8. Q4 10:58KU 4th & 1 at OU 39, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 4:47OU 4th & 6 at KU 15, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    83% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3OU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 3:35KU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:26OU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:51OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:31OU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:19OU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:18OU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:45OU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:35KU Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:46KU Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    0.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 3:062% → 3%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
2.2%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 24Similar
Q1 14:02
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
2.3%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for no gain to the Kans 24Similar
Q1 13:24
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+14
2.4%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jadon Haselwood) to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
2.5%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 2 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 8
OWN 40
-1
2.6%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 39Similar
Q1 11:56
3RD & 9
OWN 39
0
2.7%
Carter Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:49
4TH & 9
OWN 39
0
2.7%
Kyle Thompson punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:4197% → 97%
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.8%
Trey Sermon run for no gain to the Okla 25Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
2.8%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q1 10:50
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+15
2.9%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 15 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
2.9%
Jalen Hurts run for 1 yd to the Okla 41Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 9
OWN 41
-1
3.1%
Jalen Hurts run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 40Similar
Q1 9:02
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
3.3%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Charleston RamboSimilar
Q1 8:49
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
3.3%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 58 yds, downed at the Kans 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3TD
11 plays · 98 yds · 5:143% → 6%
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-1
3.3%
KANSAS Penalty, False Start (Kevin Feder) to the Kans 1Similar
Q1 8:49
1ST & 11
OWN 1
0
3.3%
KANSAS Penalty, False Start ( Yards) to the Kans 1Similar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 11
OWN 1
+7
3.3%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 7 yds to the Kans 8Similar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 4
OWN 8
+24
3.5%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 24 yds to the Kans 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+12
3.7%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 12 yds to the Kans 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
3.9%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kans 45Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+4
4.1%
Velton Gardner run for 4 yds to the Kans 49Similar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+6
4.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to James Sosinski for 6 yds to the Okla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+19
4.5%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 19 yds to the Okla 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
4.7%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 4 yds to the Okla 22Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+22
5.9%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Daylon Charlot for 22 yds for a TD, (Liam Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 4TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 1:5494% → 95%
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
5.6%
Trey Sermon run for 5 yds to the Okla 28Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+11
5.7%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Rhamondre Stevenson for 11 yds to the Okla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+24
5.8%
Trey Sermon run for 24 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
6.0%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Nick BasquineSimilar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+20
6.0%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Brayden Willis for 20 yds to the Kans 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+15
5.9%
KANSAS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Kyron Johnson) to the Kans 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
4.9%
Trey Sermon run for 2 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5DOWNS
11 plays · 39 yds · 5:276% → 8%
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
5.5%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Andrew ParchmentSimilar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
5.5%
Velton Gardner run for no gain to the Kans 20Similar
Q1 0:30
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+11
5.6%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 11 yds to the Kans 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-6
6.1%
Carter Stanley sacked by Ronnie D - Perkins and TEAM for a loss of 6 yards to the Kans 25Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 16
OWN 25
+3
6.3%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q2 13:28
3RD & 13
OWN 28
+23
6.4%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 23 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
7.4%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the Okla 48Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 9
OPP 48
0
7.7%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for no gain to the Okla 48Similar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+7
7.9%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 7 yds to the Okla 41Similar
Q2 10:48
4TH & 2
OPP 41
0
8.1%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to James SosinskiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 6TD
9 plays · 59 yds · 2:5293% → 94%
Q2 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
7.1%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+15
7.3%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 15 yds to the Kans 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+19
7.1%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Lee Morris for 19 yds to the Kans 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-10
7.0%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Brey Walker) to the Kans 34Similar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 20
OPP 35
+16
7.3%
KANSAS Penalty, Personal Foul (Mike Lee) to the Kans 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
7.2%
Trey Sermon run for 5 yds to the Kans 14Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+12
7.4%
Jalen Hurts run for 12 yds to the Kans 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
7.7%
Trey Sermon run for 1 yd to the Kans 1Similar
Q2 7:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
5.6%
Jalen Hurts run for 1 yd for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 37 yds · 2:126% → 7%
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+36
6.3%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 36 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
7.0%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for no gain to the Kans 45Similar
Q2 6:16
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+1
7.1%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kans 46Similar
Q2 5:36
3RD & 9
OWN 46
0
7.1%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to James SosinskiSimilar
Q2 5:28
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
6.9%
Kyle Thompson punt for 46 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 8PUNT
14 plays · 48 yds · 3:4593% → 92%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
7.2%
Trey Sermon run for 3 yds to the Okla 11Similar
Q2 4:43
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+24
7.2%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Nick Basquine for 24 yds to the Okla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
7.1%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 17 yds to the Kans 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+18
6.7%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Brayden Willis for 18 yds to the Kans 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
6.6%
Trey Sermon run for 2 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q2 2:37
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+21
6.6%
Nick Basquine pass complete to Jalen Hurts for 21 yds to the Kans 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-10
6.7%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tyrese Robinson) to the Kans 17Similar
Q2 2:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 17
-8
6.4%
Jalen Hurts sacked by Codey Cole III for a loss of 8 yards to the Kans 25Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 0
OPP 25
-3
6.2%
CeeDee Lamb run for a loss of 20 yards to the Kans 48 Jalen Hurts Rush for loss of 3 yards Similar
Q2 1:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 48
+19
7.2%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 19 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q2 1:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 29
-15
7.6%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Marquis Hayes) to the Kans 44Similar
Q2 1:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 44
0
7.6%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 42 yds, downed at the Kans 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 0:348% → 9%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
7.9%
Carter Stanley run for 3 yds to the Kans 5Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+2
7.9%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kans 7Similar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 5
OWN 7
-5
8.1%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 2Similar
Q2 0:36
4TH & 10
OWN 2
+46
8.5%
Kyle Thompson punt for 61 yds for a 1ST down , CeeDee Lamb returns for 46 yds to the Kans 48 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, Face Mask (7 yards) (Kyle Thompson) to the Kans 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 10TD
1 play · 10 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 0:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
4.6%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 10 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11END OF HALF
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:256% → 5%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
5.7%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 6 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
5.3%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Andrew ParchmentSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-5
5.1%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12TD
12 plays · 84 yds · 4:3695% → 98%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
5.3%
Trey Sermon run for 1 yd to the Okla 17Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 9
OWN 17
0
5.3%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Trey SermonSimilar
Q3 14:11
3RD & 9
OWN 17
+24
5.5%
Jalen Hurts run for 24 yds to the Okla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
5.0%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Nick Basquine for 8 yds to the Okla 49Similar
Q3 13:29
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+7
5.0%
Jalen Hurts run for 7 yds to the Kans 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
4.9%
Trey Sermon run for 9 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+11
4.9%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 11 yds to the Kans 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
4.9%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the Kans 29Similar
Q3 11:19
1ST & 15
OPP 29
+19
5.0%
Trey Sermon run for 19 yds to the Kans 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
4.9%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 5 yds to the Kans 5Similar
Q3 10:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
2.1%
Jalen Hurts run for 5 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:033% → 3%
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
3.3%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Daylon CharlotSimilar
Q3 10:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
3.3%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Stephon Robinson Jr.Similar
Q3 9:56
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+4
3.2%
Carter Stanley run for 4 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q3 9:10
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
3.2%
Kyle Thompson punt for 44 yds , CeeDee Lamb returns for no gain to the Okla 29 OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Chanse Sylvie) to the Okla 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 14TD
7 plays · 83 yds · 2:4798% → 99%
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+19
2.2%
Jalen Hurts run for 19 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
2.1%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Jadon HaselwoodSimilar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+11
2.1%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 11 yds to the Okla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+35
2.1%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 35 yds to the Kans 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
1.8%
Jalen Hurts run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 19Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 11
OPP 19
+4
1.9%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 4 yds to the Kans 15Similar
Q3 6:18
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+15
0.9%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Trey Sermon for 15 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 4:182% → 1%
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
1.6%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+3
1.6%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q3 4:46
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+11
1.4%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Daylon Charlot for 11 yds to the Kans 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
1.5%
Carter Stanley run for 2 yds to the Kans 48Similar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+16
0.9%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 16 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
0.9%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for no gain to the Okla 36Similar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-8
0.9%
Carter Stanley sacked by Brian D - Asamoah and TEAM for a loss of 8 yards to the Okla 44Similar
Q3 1:44
3RD & 18
OPP 44
0
0.8%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Andrew ParchmentSimilar
Q3 1:37
4TH & 18
OPP 44
0
0.8%
Kyle Thompson punt for 28 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 16INT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:3299% → 100%
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
1.0%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 4 yds to the Okla 20Similar
Q3 1:09
2ND & 6
OWN 20
0
1.0%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Charleston RamboSimilar
Q3 1:00
3RD & 6
OWN 20
+10
1.0%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 10 yds to the Okla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
0.4%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Trey Sermon for 5 yds to the Okla 35Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
0.4%
Jalen Hurts pass intercepted Najee Stevens-McKenzie return for no gain to the Kans 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17DOWNS
8 plays · 27 yds · 3:471% → 0%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
0.7%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 3 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+6
0.5%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kans 43Similar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+9
0.5%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 9 yds to the Okla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
0.3%
Velton Gardner run for 1 yd to the Okla 47Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 9
OPP 47
-5
0.3%
KANSAS Penalty, False Start (Andrew Parchment) to the Kans 48Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 14
OWN 48
+12
0.3%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 12 yds to the Okla 40Similar
Q4 11:29
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+1
0.3%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the Okla 39Similar
Q4 10:58
4TH & 1
OPP 39
0
0.2%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Jack LuavasaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18TD
1 play · 61 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+61
0.2%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 61 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:550% → 0%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
0.2%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Roughing Passer (Bryan Mead) to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
0.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 11 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
0.2%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Justin Broiles) to the Okla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
0.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 39 yds for a TD, (Liam Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20FG
13 plays · 60 yds · 4:26100% → 100%
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
0.2%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Drake Stoops for 9 yds to the Okla 34Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+15
0.2%
KANSAS Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Darrius Moragne) to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
0.2%
Tanner Mordecai run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 48Similar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 11
OWN 48
+8
0.2%
Tanner Mordecai run for 8 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q4 7:51
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+14
0.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Trejan Bridges for 14 yds to the Kans 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
0.1%
Marcus Major run for 6 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+5
0.1%
Marcus Major run for 5 yds to the Kans 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
0.1%
Marcus Major run for 4 yds to the Kans 15Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 6
OPP 15
0
0.1%
Marcus Major run for no gain to the Kans 15Similar
Q4 4:52
3RD & 6
OPP 15
0
0.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete to Theo WeaseSimilar
Q4 4:47
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+32
0.1%
Gabe Brkic 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 1:440% → 0%
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
0.1%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 5 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
0.1%
Carter Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:50
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+11
0.1%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 11 yds to the Kans 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+37
0.1%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 37 yds to the Okla 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-7
0.1%
Carter Stanley sacked by Pat Fields for a loss of 7 yards to the Okla 24Similar
Q4 2:46
2ND & 17
OPP 24
+24
0.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 24 yds for a TD, (Liam Jones PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 22END OF 4TH QUARTER
6 plays · 35 yds · 2:30100% → 100%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
0.1%
T.J. Pledger run for 11 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
0.1%
T.J. Pledger run for 7 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 3
OPP 31
0
0.1%
Brayden Willis run for no gain to the Kans 31Similar
Q4 0:45
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+5
0.1%
Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Trejan Bridges for 5 yds to the Kans 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
0.1%
T.J. Pledger run for 12 yds to the Kans 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:31
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 10 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK)
-3.9
TD · Q3 10:19
Jalen Hurts run for 5 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK)
-2.8
TD · Q2 7:51
Jalen Hurts run for 1 yd for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK)
-2.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com