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KU

Kansas 14 at TCU 51

TCU
2019 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2019 · Amon G. Carter Stadium
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Win probability · TCU
modelTCU aheadKU aheadconfidence bandkey playTCU scoreKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:01 · Jordy Sandy punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Kenny Logan Jr. at the TCU 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 140Home team on offense+32.4Pregame prior+9.9Score differential+28.6Blowout margin+14.9Garbage-time factor+11.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+11.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:12: Max Duggan pass complete to Dylan Thomas for 26 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK) — TCU win probability +0.2 pts (now 86%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:09: Max Duggan pass complete to Pro Wells for 7 yds for a TD KANSAS Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined, (Jonathan Song KICK) — TCU win probability +1.8 pts (now 88%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:54: Darius Anderson run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK) — TCU win probability +0.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 4:44: Sewo Olonilua run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK) — TCU win probability +1.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 0:01: Jonathan Song 25 yd FG GOOD — TCU win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5KU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00KU 4th & 1 at KU 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:12KU 4th & 12 at KU 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:00KU 4th & 8 at KU 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00KU 4th & 13 at KU 26, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−1.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:33KU 4th & 9 at TCU 30, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.9%
    56% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:44KU 4th & 10 at KU 25, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00TCU 4th & 5 at TCU 45, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:57KU 4th & 15 at KU 15, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:25TCU 4th & 18 at KU 37, up 38
    Close callPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:29KU 4th & 2 at KU 18, down 38
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:55TCU 4th & 10 at KU 25, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    66% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00KU 4th & 6 at TCU 48, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:01TCU 4th & 5 at TCU 10, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:08KU 4th & 7 at KU 42, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:01TCU 4th & 3 at TCU 14, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4KU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 11:12TCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:09TCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:44TCU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:10KU Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:13TCU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:50KU Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
86.5%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-2
86.5%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+8
86.5%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Jack Luavasa for 8 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+24
86.5%
Kyle Thompson punt for 49 yds , Jalen Reagor returns for 24 yds to the TCU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 2TD
5 plays · 59 yds · 1:5386% → 86%
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
86.0%
Darius Anderson run for 5 yds to the TCU 46Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+22
86.0%
Darius Anderson run for 22 yds to the Kans 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
86.1%
Darius Anderson run for 3 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+3
86.1%
Sewo Olonilua run for 3 yds to the Kans 26Similar
Q1 11:12
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+26
86.2%
Max Duggan pass complete to Dylan Thomas for 26 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
86.0%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 23Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
86.0%
Carter Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:12
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
86.1%
Carter Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:12
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
86.2%
Kyle Thompson punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 4TD
19 plays · 72 yds · 8:0886% → 88%
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
86.0%
Darius Anderson run for 3 yds to the TCU 31Similar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 7
OWN 31
0
86.0%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Jalen Reagor, broken up by Hasan DefenseSimilar
Q1 10:17
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+11
85.9%
Max Duggan pass complete to Blair Conwright for 11 yds to the TCU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
86.2%
Duggan, Max pass complete to Stephens, John for loss of 1 yard to the TCU41 (Ferguson, Davon), PENALTY TCU holding (Thomas, Dylan) 10 yards to the TCU32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:17
1ST & 20
OWN 32
+17
86.0%
Sewo Olonilua run for 17 yds to the TCU 49Similar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+2
86.2%
Sewo Olonilua run for 2 yds to the Kans 49Similar
Q1 10:17
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+5
86.2%
Darius Anderson run for 5 yds to the Kans 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
86.2%
Darius Anderson run for 11 yds to the Kans 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
86.3%
Jalen Reagor run for 4 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+3
86.3%
Sewo Olonilua run for 3 yds to the Kans 26Similar
Q1 10:17
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+3
86.2%
Emari Demercado run for 3 yds to the Kans 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
86.3%
Darius Anderson run for 2 yds to the Kans 21Similar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+3
86.3%
Darius Anderson run for 3 yds to the Kans 18Similar
Q1 10:17
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+6
86.2%
Max Duggan pass complete to Artayvious Lynn for 6 yds to the Kans 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:17
1ST & 13
OPP 15
+8
86.3%
Emari Demercado run for 8 yds to the Kans 7Similar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 5
OPP 7
0
86.3%
Emari Demercado run for no gain to the Kans 7Similar
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
86.3%
Olonilua, Sewo rush for 1 yard to the KU11 (Kamara, Azur), PENALTY KU substitution infraction 5 yards to the KU7, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:17
1ST & 5
OPP 7
-8
86.3%
Te'Vailance Hunt run for 2 yds to the Kans 5 TCU Penalty, Offensive holding (Pro Wells) to the Kans 15Similar
Q1 2:09
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+7
88.1%
Max Duggan pass complete to Pro Wells for 7 yds for a TD KANSAS Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined, (Jonathan Song KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5PUNT RETURN TD
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:0313% → 8%
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
87.2%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 10 yds to the Kans 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
87.1%
Carter Stanley run for no gain to the Kans 32Similar
Q1 2:03
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+2
87.1%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q1 2:03
3RD & 8
OWN 34
0
87.2%
Carter Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 8
OWN 34
+73
91.6%
Kyle Thompson punt for 39 yds , Jalen Reagor returns for no gain for a TD Jalen Reagor fumbled, recovered by TCU Jalen Reagor , return for 73 yds, (Jonathan Song KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
95.1%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 31
-5
95.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Daylon Charlot for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 26
0
95.4%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Andrew Parchment, broken up by Vernon ScottSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 26
+32
95.4%
Kyle Thompson punt for 58 yds , Jalen Reagor returns for 32 yds to the TCU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 8TD
5 plays · 52 yds · 2:2196% → 97%
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
96.0%
Darwin Barlow run for no gain to the TCU 48Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+1
96.0%
Sewo Olonilua run for 1 yd to the TCU 49Similar
Q2 13:15
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+38
96.0%
Max Duggan pass complete to John Stephens Jr. for 38 yds to the Kans 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
96.1%
Darius Anderson run for 2 yds to the Kans 11Similar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+11
96.6%
Darius Anderson run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9MISSED FG
9 plays · 25 yds · 3:134% → 3%
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
96.1%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Ben MilesSimilar
Q2 10:46
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+14
96.1%
Velton Gardner run for 14 yds to the TCU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
96.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 42Similar
Q2 10:46
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+11
96.1%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Velton Gardner for 11 yds to the TCU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
95.8%
Velton Gardner run for no gain to the TCU 31Similar
Q2 10:46
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+1
95.8%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the TCU 30Similar
Q2 10:46
3RD & 9
OPP 30
0
96.0%
Carter Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:33
4TH & 9
OPP 30
+49
97.4%
Liam Jones 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 10TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 2:4997% → 98%
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
97.4%
Alex Delton pass complete to Jalen Reagor for 15 yds to the TCU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
97.5%
Sewo Olonilua run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 44Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+6
97.4%
Alex Delton run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:33
3RD & 6
50
+49
97.5%
Alex Delton pass complete to Te'Vailance Hunt for 49 yds to the Kans 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
97.1%
TCU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Kans 6Similar
Q2 4:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
98.2%
Sewo Olonilua run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:561% → 1%
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.6%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Andrew ParchmentSimilar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.6%
Carter Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
98.6%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for no gain to the Kans 25Similar
Q2 3:44
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
Kyle Thompson punt for 62 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 12FG
18 plays · 79 yds · 3:3598% → 99%
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
98.2%
Darius Anderson run for 5 yds to the TCU 18Similar
Q2 3:36
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+12
98.2%
Te'Vailance Hunt run for 12 yds to the TCU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
98.2%
Alex Delton run for 1 yd to the TCU 31Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+13
98.6%
Alex Delton pass complete to Blair Conwright for no gain to the TCU 44 for a 1ST down to Derius Davis for 13 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
98.6%
Alex Delton pass complete to Darius Anderson for 3 yds to the TCU 47Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
98.7%
Darius Anderson run for no gain to the TCU 47Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+15
98.7%
Alex Delton pass complete to Dylan Thomas for 15 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+14
98.8%
Alex Delton pass complete to Blair Conwright for 14 yds to the Kans 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
98.8%
Alex Delton pass incomplete to Sewo OloniluaSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+6
98.8%
Darius Anderson run for 6 yds to the Kans 18Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+6
98.8%
Alex Delton pass complete to Pro Wells for 6 yds to the Kans 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
99.0%
Sewo Olonilua run for 4 yds to the Kans 8Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 6
OPP 8
0
98.9%
Alex Delton pass incomplete to Artayvious LynnSimilar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 6
OPP 8
+25
99.1%
Jonathan Song 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
99.3%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 8 yds to the Kans 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.2%
Darius Anderson run for 9 yds to the TCU 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
99.2%
Max Duggan pass complete to Sewo Olonilua for 6 yds to the TCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
99.2%
Darius Anderson run for 5 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
99.2%
Darius Anderson run for no gain to the TCU 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
99.2%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Pro Wells, broken up by Hasan DefenseSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
99.1%
Jordy Sandy punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
99.2%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Kans 15Similar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+5
99.3%
Carter Stanley run for 5 yds to the Kans 20Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
99.3%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Andrew Parchment, broken up by Vernon ScottSimilar
Q3 12:57
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-5
99.3%
Carter Stanley sacked by Ross Blacklock and Shameik Blackshear for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 15Similar
Q3 12:57
4TH & 15
OWN 15
+10
99.3%
Kyle Thompson punt for 40 yds , Jalen Reagor returns for 10 yds to the TCU 25 TCU Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the TCU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 0:00100% → 99%
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+21
99.5%
Darius Anderson run for 21 yds to the Kans 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
99.5%
Darius Anderson run for 2 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+3
99.5%
Max Duggan pass complete to Te'Vailance Hunt for 3 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q3 11:25
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+5
99.5%
Sewo Olonilua run for 5 yds to the Kans 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
99.5%
Max Duggan pass complete to Dylan Thomas for 3 yds to the Kans 26Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 7
OPP 26
0
99.5%
Max Duggan pass incomplete to Te'Vailance Hunt, broken up by Corione HarrisSimilar
Q3 11:25
3RD & 7
OPP 26
-11
99.5%
Max Duggan sacked by Caleb Sampson for a loss of 11 yards to the Kans 37Similar
Q3 11:25
4TH & 18
OPP 37
0
99.4%
Jordy Sandy punt for 27 yds, downed at the Kans 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
99.6%
Carter Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+8
99.6%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 8 yds to the Kans 18Similar
Q3 7:29
3RD & 2
OWN 18
0
99.6%
Carter Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:29
4TH & 2
OWN 18
0
99.6%
Kyle Thompson punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jalen Reagor at the TCU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 18MISSED FG
11 plays · 39 yds · 4:34100% → 100%
Q3 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
99.7%
Darwin Barlow run for 6 yds to the TCU 42Similar
Q3 6:29
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+5
99.7%
Darwin Barlow run for 5 yds to the TCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
99.7%
Alex Delton run for 7 yds to the Kans 46Similar
Q3 6:29
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+5
99.7%
Darwin Barlow run for 5 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
99.7%
Alex Delton pass complete to Pro Wells for 9 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q3 6:29
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+7
99.7%
Darwin Barlow run for 7 yds to the Kans 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.7%
Alex Delton pass incomplete to Blair ConwrightSimilar
Q3 6:29
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
99.7%
Darwin Barlow run for no gain to the Kans 25Similar
Q3 6:29
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
99.7%
Alex Delton pass complete to Darwin Barlow for 10 yds to the Kans 15 TCU Penalty, Offensive holding (John Stephens Jr.) to the Kans 25Similar
Q3 6:29
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
99.7%
Alex Delton pass incomplete to Derius DavisSimilar
Q3 1:55
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+42
99.8%
Jonathan Song 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 1:550% → 0%
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Andrew ParchmentSimilar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Velton Gardner run for 2 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q3 1:55
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+10
99.8%
Stanley, Carter pass incomplete to Charlot, Daylon, PENALTY TCU holding (Gladney, Jeff) 10 yards to the KU37, 1ST DOWN KU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
99.8%
Carter Stanley sacked by Dee Winters for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 35Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 12
OWN 35
-2
99.8%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 33
+15
99.9%
Stanley, Carter pass incomplete to Williams, Pooka, PENALTY TCU pass interference (Wallow, Garret) 15 yards to the KU48, 1ST DOWN KU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
99.8%
Carter Stanley run for 4 yds to the TCU 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 48
0
99.8%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Daylon CharlotSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 48
0
99.8%
Carter Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 48
0
99.8%
Kyle Thompson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jalen Reagor at the TCU 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
99.9%
Alex Delton pass incomplete to Artayvious LynnSimilar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 10
OWN 5
-2
99.9%
Darwin Barlow run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 3Similar
Q4 14:01
3RD & 12
OWN 3
+7
99.8%
Alex Delton run for 7 yds to the TCU 10Similar
Q4 14:01
4TH & 5
OWN 10
0
99.8%
Jordy Sandy punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Kenny Logan Jr. at the TCU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21TD
2 plays · 45 yds · 0:170% → 0%
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Andrew ParchmentSimilar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+45
99.9%
Velton Gardner run for 45 yds for a TD, (Liam Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 22TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:57100% → 100%
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+52
99.8%
Alex Delton pass complete to Derius Davis for 52 yds to the Kans 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+22
99.8%
Daimarqua Foster run for 22 yds to the Kans 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.8%
Daimarqua Foster run for no gain to the Kans 1Similar
Q4 12:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
99.8%
Foster, D. rush for no gain to the KU1, PENALTY TCU illegal formation 5 yards to the KU6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
99.8%
Te'Vailance Hunt run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 8Similar
Q4 9:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
Daimarqua Foster run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
99.9%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 2 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+1
99.9%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 1 yd to the Kans 42Similar
Q4 9:08
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Carter Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:08
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Kyle Thompson punt for 51 yds, downed at the TCU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:47100% → 100%
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
99.9%
Darwin Barlow run for 6 yds to the TCU 13Similar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 4
OWN 13
-5
99.9%
TCU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TCU 8Similar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 9
OWN 8
+3
99.9%
Darwin Barlow run for 3 yds to the TCU 11Similar
Q4 7:48
3RD & 6
OWN 11
+3
99.9%
Darwin Barlow run for 3 yds to the TCU 14Similar
Q4 6:01
4TH & 3
OWN 14
0
99.9%
Jordy Sandy punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 25TD
5 plays · 52 yds · 2:030% → 0%
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
100.0%
Carter Stanley run for no gain to the Kans 48Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+4
100.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Daylon Charlot for 4 yds to the TCU 48Similar
Q4 5:53
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+23
100.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 23 yds to the TCU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Daylon Charlot, broken up by Hidari CeasarSimilar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+25
99.9%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 25 yds for a TD, (Liam Jones KICK) TCU Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 26TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:50100% → 100%
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Daimarqua Foster run for 4 yds to the TCU 29Similar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-6
99.9%
Daimarqua Foster run for 4 yds to the TCU 33 TCU Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the TCU 23Similar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+11
99.9%
Darwin Barlow run for 11 yds to the TCU 34Similar
Q4 3:50
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+9
99.9%
Darwin Barlow run for 9 yds to the TCU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
99.9%
Darwin Barlow run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 41Similar
Q4 1:19
2ND & 12
OWN 41
+6
100.0%
Daimarqua Foster run for 6 yds to the TCU 47Similar
Q4 1:10
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+20
100.0%
Mike Collins pass complete to Derius Davis for 20 yds to the Kans 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+22
100.0%
Daimarqua Foster run for 22 yds to the Kans 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
100.0%
Daimarqua Foster run for no gain to the Kans 11Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+11
100.0%
Mike Collins run for 11 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 2:09
Max Duggan pass complete to Pro Wells for 7 yds for a TD KANSAS Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined, (Jonathan Song KICK)
+1.8
TD · Q2 4:44
Sewo Olonilua run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK)
+1.1
TD · Q2 10:54
Darius Anderson run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Song KICK)
+0.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com