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KU

Kansas 48 at Boston College 24

BC
2019 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2019 · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
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Win probability · BC
modelBC aheadKU aheadconfidence bandkey playBC scoreKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of GameFG-4.6BC 17.3%Liam Jones 30 yd FG GOODAWAY 41 - HOME 24 · Q3 0:35
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 0:35 · Liam Jones 30 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+54.0+27.00−27.0−54.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 144Pregame prior+13.6Home team on offense−31.7Score differential−15.4Garbage-time factor−8.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:41: Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 4 yds for a TD (Liam Jones KICK) — KU win probability +6.9 pts (now 26%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:45: CJ Lewis pass complete to Anthony Brown for 12 yds for a TD (Aaron Boumerhi KICK) — BC win probability +5.9 pts (now 84%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:05: Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 3 yds for a TD (Liam Jones KICK) — KU win probability +10.2 pts (now 31%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 10:24: Liam Jones 24 yd FG GOOD — KU win probability +7.6 pts (now 41%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:25: Pooka Williams Jr. run for 12 yds for a TD (Liam Jones KICK) — KU win probability +20.2 pts (now 72%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BC made the numbers' call on 6 of 9KU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 11:09BC 4th & 2 at KU 23, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.0%−0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    89.6%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:31KU 4th & 4 at KU 48, down 10
    Close callPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:21BC 4th & 10 at BC 28, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:56BC 4th & 4 at KU 19, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    84.5%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    82.4%−2.2
    average punt
  5. Q3 10:24KU 4th & 6 at BC 6, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.0%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    22.5%−9.8
    average punt
  6. Q3 8:37BC 4th & 3 at BC 49, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.9%−1.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 4:32BC 4th & 12 at BC 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.3%−2.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:35KU 4th & 9 at BC 12, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%−1.8
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.3%
    86% to make
    Punt
    62.6%−13.7
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:43BC 4th & 12 at KU 14, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−2.9
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.7%
    84% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−9.9
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:53KU 4th & 9 at KU 35, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%−0.8
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:48BC 4th & 1 at BC 48, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.1%−1.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:19KU 4th & 3 at BC 41, up 17
    Close callPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    93.5%−1.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.7%−0.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:50BC 4th & 8 at BC 6, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.4%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:58BC 4th & 6 at BC 29, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:29KU 4th & 17 at KU 14, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BC made the numbers' call on 3 of 3KU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 12:41BC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:27KU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:17BC Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:19KU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:41KU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:45BC Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:05KU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 5:25KU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:44KU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BCDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:0491% → 91%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
91.2%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Chris Garrison for 4 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+46
91.2%
AJ Dillon run for 31 yds to the BOSTCOLL 40 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the Kans 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
91.0%
AJ Dillon run for 5 yds to the Kans 20Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+10
91.0%
AJ Dillon run for 10 yds to the Kans 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
91.0%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds to the Kans 8Similar
Q1 13:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
90.9%
AJ Dillon run for 1 yd to the Kans 7Similar
Q1 12:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
90.8%
Brown, Anthony pass incomplete, PENALTY KANSAS pass interference (Charlot, Daylon) 5 yards to the KANSAS2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOSTCOLL.Similar
Q1 12:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
91.1%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:349% → 9%
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
90.9%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 1 yd to the Kans 25Similar
Q1 11:53
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+17
90.8%
Carter Stanley pass intercepted Mehdi El Attrach return for 17 yds to the Kans 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 3FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4191% → 91%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
91.0%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Zay FlowersSimilar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+4
91.0%
AJ Dillon run for 4 yds to the Kans 23Similar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 2
OPP 23
0
90.9%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to CJ LewisSimilar
Q1 11:09
4TH & 2
OPP 23
+40
90.8%
Aaron Boumerhi 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:249% → 10%
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+16
90.7%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 16 yds to the Kans 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
90.6%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 4 yds to the Kans 46Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 6
OWN 46
-1
90.5%
Khalil Herbert run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 45Similar
Q1 10:18
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+3
90.5%
Khalil Herbert run for 3 yds to the Kans 48Similar
Q1 9:31
4TH & 4
OWN 48
0
90.5%
Kyle Thompson punt for 49 yds, downed at the BC 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 1:5991% → 90%
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+9
90.5%
AJ Dillon run for 9 yds to the BC 12Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 1
OWN 12
+4
90.5%
AJ Dillon run for 4 yds to the BC 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
90.4%
AJ Dillon run for 4 yds to the BC 20Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+5
90.3%
David Bailey run for 5 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+3
90.3%
David Bailey run for 3 yds to the BC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
90.3%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Kobay WhiteSimilar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
90.3%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Kobay WhiteSimilar
Q1 7:30
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
90.2%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Kobay WhiteSimilar
Q1 7:21
4TH & 10
OWN 28
+50
90.0%
Grant Carlson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kwamie Lassiter II at the BOSTCOLL 32 KANSAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Kans 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 3:4310% → 12%
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
90.2%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kans 23Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+6
90.1%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 6 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q1 6:24
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+27
90.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 27 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
89.6%
Carter Stanley run for no gain to the BC 44Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+11
89.6%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 11 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
89.3%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 9 yds to the BC 24Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+5
89.1%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the BC 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
87.7%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Jack Luavasa for 19 yds for a TD, (Liam Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 7TD
11 plays · 73 yds · 2:4888% → 90%
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
88.2%
AJ Dillon run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 24Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 13
OWN 24
+6
87.9%
AJ Dillon run for 6 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q1 2:10
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+10
87.5%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Zay Flowers for 10 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
88.0%
AJ Dillon run for 4 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+5
88.0%
Zay Flowers run for 5 yds to the BC 49Similar
Q1 1:13
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+4
87.8%
Anthony Brown run for 4 yds to the Kans 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
88.1%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Kobay WhiteSimilar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+1
87.9%
David Bailey run for 1 yd to the Kans 46Similar
Q1 0:30
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+26
87.5%
Anthony Brown pass complete to David Bailey for 26 yds to the Kans 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
89.8%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Korab Idrizi for 20 yds for a TD (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8TD
4 plays · 43 yds · 0:4211% → 14%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
88.8%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the BC 38Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+37
88.6%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 37 yds to the BC 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
85.8%
Hudson Hall run for 1 yd for a TD (Liam Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 9DOWNS
16 plays · 69 yds · 5:0987% → 85%
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
86.7%
AJ Dillon run for 1 yd to the BC 13Similar
Q2 13:57
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+24
86.6%
AJ Dillon run for 24 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
86.8%
AJ Dillon run for 5 yds to the BC 42Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+3
87.0%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the BC 45Similar
Q2 12:35
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+8
86.7%
David Bailey run for 8 yds to the Kans 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
87.0%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Ben GlinesSimilar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+4
86.8%
David Bailey run for 4 yds to the Kans 43Similar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+8
86.5%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jake Burt for 8 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
86.8%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+7
86.7%
Anthony Brown run for 7 yds to the Kans 26Similar
Q2 10:26
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+1
86.3%
Anthony Brown run for 1 yd to the Kans 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
86.5%
Zay Flowers run for 4 yds to the Kans 21Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+2
86.5%
AJ Dillon run for 2 yds to the Kans 19Similar
Q2 9:24
3RD & 4
OPP 19
0
86.0%
AJ Dillon run for no gain to the Kans 19Similar
Q2 8:56
4TH & 4
OPP 19
0
85.3%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Kobay WhiteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10TD
14 plays · 81 yds · 5:1515% → 26%
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
84.9%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Kans 24Similar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 5
OWN 24
+21
84.4%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 21 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+21
83.8%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 21 yds to the BC 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
83.0%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q2 7:08
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+2
82.0%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the BC 28Similar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+9
82.4%
Carter Stanley run for 9 yds to the BC 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
81.7%
KANSAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BC 24Similar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 15
OPP 24
+10
81.8%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Daylon Charlot for 10 yds to the BC 14Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 5
OPP 14
-1
81.2%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 15Similar
Q2 5:05
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+6
81.5%
Khalil Herbert run for 6 yds to the BC 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
80.7%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 1 yd to the BC 8Similar
Q2 4:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
80.7%
Carter Stanley run for 4 yds to the BC 4Similar
Q2 3:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
73.8%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 4 yds for a TD (Liam Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 11TD
12 plays · 72 yds · 2:4577% → 84%
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
76.6%
Ben Glines run for 9 yds to the BC 37Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+5
77.8%
AJ Dillon run for 5 yds to the BC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
77.8%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the BC 49 AJ Dillon fumbled, forced by Dru Prox, recovered by BC AJ DillonSimilar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 3
OWN 49
-5
77.9%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BC 44Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 8
OWN 44
-10
77.0%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the BC 34Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 18
OWN 34
+42
74.6%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Hunter Long for 42 yds to the Kans 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
78.5%
David Bailey run for 2 yds to the Kans 22Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+2
78.4%
David Bailey run for 2 yds to the Kans 20Similar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+8
76.4%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Korab Idrizi for 8 yds to the Kans 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
84.3%
CJ Lewis pass complete to Anthony Brown for 12 yds for a TD (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12TD
6 plays · 85 yds · 0:1518% → 31%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+82
81.8%
Khalil Herbert run for 82 yds to the BC 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
78.0%
Dom Williams run for no gain to the BC 3Similar
Q2 0:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
79.4%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Mason FairchildSimilar
Q2 0:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
69.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 3 yds for a TD (Liam Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14FG
13 plays · 69 yds · 4:1628% → 41%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
72.2%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
71.3%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q3 14:05
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
71.1%
Carter Stanley run for 2 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+13
69.2%
Khalil Herbert run for 28 yds to the BOSTCOLL 36 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, Tripping (-15 Yards) to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
69.4%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for no gain to the Kans 49Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+1
69.1%
Khalil Herbert run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:05
3RD & 9
50
+29
69.5%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 29 yds to the BC 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+13
67.0%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 13 yds to the BC 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
66.7%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the BC 6Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
66.5%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Stephon Robinson Jr.Similar
Q3 11:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
66.6%
Carter Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
59.0%
Liam Jones 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:4064% → 61%
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
63.9%
AJ Dillon run for 7 yds to the BC 49Similar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 3
OWN 49
-6
64.8%
Anthony Brown sacked by Azur Kamara for a loss of 6 yards to the BC 43Similar
Q3 9:30
3RD & 9
OWN 43
+7
60.9%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jake Burt for 7 yds Jake Burt fumbled, recovered by BC Jake BurtSimilar
Q3 8:37
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
60.6%
Grant Carlson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Kwamie Lassiter II at the Kans 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16TD
8 plays · 87 yds · 2:5542% → 72%
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+16
57.9%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 16 yds to the Kans 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
55.4%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 6 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 4
OWN 35
0
54.3%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Andrew ParchmentSimilar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+9
54.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Mason Fairchild for 9 yds to the Kans 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
51.9%
Carter Stanley run for 8 yds to the BC 48Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+36
50.3%
Khalil Herbert run for 36 yds to the BC 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
48.7%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for no gain to the BC 12Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
28.5%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 12 yds for a TD (Liam Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:4636% → 32%
Q3 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
36.2%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (Korab Idrizi) to the BC 31Similar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+3
33.7%
AJ Dillon run for 3 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 12
OWN 34
0
33.2%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Korab IdriziSimilar
Q3 4:45
3RD & 12
OWN 34
0
32.3%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to AJ DillonSimilar
Q3 4:32
4TH & 12
OWN 34
0
31.7%
Grant Carlson punt for 38 yds, downed at the Kans 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18FG
9 plays · 60 yds · 3:3571% → 83%
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
28.8%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 4 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+13
28.2%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 13 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
26.3%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+25
25.7%
Khalil Herbert run for 25 yds to the BC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
23.3%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 15 yds to the BC 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
22.8%
Dom Williams run for no gain to the BC 13Similar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
21.9%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Andrew ParchmentSimilar
Q3 1:15
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+1
21.9%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 1 yd to the BC 12Similar
Q3 0:35
4TH & 9
OPP 12
+30
17.3%
Liam Jones 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 19MISSED FG
15 plays · 69 yds · 3:3220% → 13%
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
20.1%
Anthony Brown pass complete to CJ Lewis for 9 yds to the BC 26Similar
Q3 0:01
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+9
20.9%
AJ Dillon run for 9 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
19.8%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Chris Garrison for 9 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+4
21.6%
AJ Dillon run for 4 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
18.6%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to CJ LewisSimilar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-1
16.8%
Anthony Brown pass complete to David Bailey for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 47Similar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 11
OWN 47
+17
15.7%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Kobay White for 17 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
16.7%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Kobay WhiteSimilar
Q4 13:07
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+12
16.1%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Kobay White for 12 yds to the Kans 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
17.2%
Anthony Brown run for 12 yds to the Kans 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
16.7%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Zay FlowersSimilar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 10
OPP 12
-2
14.2%
Anthony Brown pass complete to AJ Dillon for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 14Similar
Q4 11:47
3RD & 12
OPP 14
0
13.1%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Ben GlinesSimilar
Q4 11:43
4TH & 12
OPP 14
+31
12.6%
Aaron Boumerhi 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 3:4690% → 93%
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
10.5%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Andrew ParchmentSimilar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
10.1%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kans 26Similar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 4
OWN 26
-5
10.3%
KANSAS Penalty, False Start (Jack Luavasa) to the Kans 21Similar
Q4 10:25
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+8
9.4%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 8 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q4 10:15
4TH & 1
OWN 24
+10
9.1%
Thompson, Kyle punt 47 yards to the BOSTCOLL24, Levy, Travis return 0 yards to the BOSTCOLL24, PENALTY BOSTCOLL roughing the kicker 10 yards to the KANSAS34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KANSAS.Similar
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
8.8%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for no gain to the Kans 34Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-1
8.6%
Khalil Herbert run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 33Similar
Q4 8:56
3RD & 11
OWN 33
+2
8.0%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q4 7:53
4TH & 9
OWN 35
0
7.0%
Donovan Gagen punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Travis Levy at the BC 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 21DOWNS
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:527% → 7%
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+16
7.2%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Kobay White for 16 yds to the BC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
7.6%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Hunter Long for 6 yds to the BC 45Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 4
OWN 45
0
7.6%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Ben GlinesSimilar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+3
7.4%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Ben Glines for 3 yds to the BC 48Similar
Q4 6:48
4TH & 1
OWN 48
0
7.4%
AJ Dillon run for no gain to the BC 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:2094% → 95%
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
5.6%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the BC 42Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+2
4.9%
Khalil Herbert run for 2 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q4 6:27
3RD & 2
OPP 40
-1
4.6%
Dom Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 41Similar
Q4 6:19
4TH & 3
OPP 41
0
4.7%
Kyle Thompson punt for 37 yds, downed at the BC 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:203% → 2%
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
2.6%
Anthony Brown pass complete to Jake Burt for 2 yds to the BC 6Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 8
OWN 6
0
2.5%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Kobay WhiteSimilar
Q4 6:01
3RD & 8
OWN 6
0
2.5%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Ben GlinesSimilar
Q4 5:50
4TH & 8
OWN 6
0
2.3%
Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Ben GlinesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 24TD
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 5:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
0.6%
Khalil Herbert run for 6 yds for a TD (Liam Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:321% → 1%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.6%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to CJ Lewis for 4 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
0.6%
Dennis Grosel pass incomplete to Hunter LongSimilar
Q4 5:11
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
0.6%
Dennis Grosel pass incomplete to Kobay WhiteSimilar
Q4 4:58
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
0.6%
Grant Carlson punt for 50 yds, downed at the Kans 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 2:0199% → 99%
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
0.7%
Dom Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 20Similar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+1
0.6%
Dom Williams run for 1 yd to the Kans 21Similar
Q4 3:19
3RD & 10
OWN 21
-2
0.6%
Dom Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 19Similar
Q4 2:39
4TH & 12
OWN 19
-5
0.6%
KANSAS Penalty, False Start (Ben Miles) to the Kans 14Similar
Q4 2:29
4TH & 17
OWN 14
0
0.6%
Kyle Thompson punt for 53 yds, downed at the BC 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 27END OF GAME
7 plays · 39 yds · 2:090% → 0%
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
0.4%
Travis Levy run for 1 yd to the BC 34Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+3
0.3%
Travis Levy run for 3 yds to the BC 37Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+8
0.3%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Elijah Robinson for 8 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
0.3%
Travis Levy run for 3 yds to the BC 48Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+15
0.3%
Grosel, Dennis pass incomplete to Dalton, Danny, PENALTY KANSAS personal foul (Potter, Gavin) 15 yards to the KANSAS37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOSTCOLL.Similar
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
0.3%
Travis Levy run for 9 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 1
OPP 28
0
0.3%
Travis Levy run for no gain to the Kans 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:25
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 12 yds for a TD (Liam Jones KICK)
-20.2
TD · Q2 0:05
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 3 yds for a TD (Liam Jones KICK)
-10.2
FG · Q3 10:24
Liam Jones 24 yd FG GOOD
-7.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com