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INST

Indiana State 17 at Kansas 24

KU
2019 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2019 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadINST aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreINST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:07 · Kyle Thompson punt for 45 yds , Dante Hendrix returns for 4 yds to the IndSt 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 29Pregame prior+20.2Home team on offense+2.3Garbage-time factor+1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Score differential+0.4Blowout margin−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:40: Carter Stanley pass complete to James Sosinski for 10 yds for a TD, (Liam Jones PAT MISSED) — KU win probability +8.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 10:52: Ryan Boyle pass complete to Dante Jones II for 26 yds for a TD, (Jerry Nunez KICK) — INST win probability +12.7 pts (now 24%) (top driver: INST has the ball).
  3. SACK · Q4 4:24: Carter Stanley sacked by Kaleb Brewer for a loss of 7 yards Carter Stanley fumbled, recovered by IndSt Inoke Moala , return for 0 yards for a TD, (Jerry Nunez KICK) — INST win probability +43.3 pts (now 56%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:24: Khalil Herbert run for 3 yds to the Kans 28 — KU win probability +10.1 pts (now 49%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:20: Carter Stanley pass complete to Daylon Charlot for 22 yds for a TD, (Andrew Parchment pass to Jack Luavasa for Two-Point Conversion) — KU win probability +39.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7INST made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 11:27KU 4th & 7 at INST 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.0%
    54% to make
    Punt
    69.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:27INST 4th & 1 at INST 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    30.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:43INST 4th & 9 at KU 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    28.5%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    28.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:07KU 4th & 9 at KU 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.2%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:21INST 4th & 4 at KU 33, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.8%−0.4
    49% to make
    Punt
    27.4%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:26INST 4th & 9 at KU 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.2%
    62% to make
    Punt
    23.5%−3.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:17KU 4th & 12 at INST 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.9%−1.0
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.9%
    79% to make
    Punt
    69.8%−4.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:13INST 4th & 5 at INST 22, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.3%−0.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:37KU 4th & 15 at KU 13, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.9%−2.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:40INST 4th & 12 at INST 34, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−1.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:04KU 4th & 2 at INST 21, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    89.0%−0.9
    74% to make
    Punt
    83.1%−6.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:52INST 4th & 7 at KU 26, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.4%−0.9
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    9.3%
    64% to make
    Punt
    4.7%−4.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:52KU 4th & 20 at KU 43, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.4%−4.7
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:20INST 4th & 15 at KU 43, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    19.1%−<0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    19.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:39INST 4th & 2 at INST 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.2%−3.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:35KU 4th & 14 at INST 37, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.2%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    93.7%
    40% to make
    Punt
    93.2%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3INST made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 8:43KU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 8:40KU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    87.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 10:52INST Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.8%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.2%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:20KU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    81.4%−1.3
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    82.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1MISSED FG
8 plays · 51 yds · 3:3375% → 74%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+33
75.0%
Khalil Herbert run for 33 yds to the IndSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
75.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 4 yds to the IndSt 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+11
75.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Daylon Charlot for 11 yds to the IndSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-3
75.0%
Khalil Herbert run for a loss of 3 yards to the IndSt 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 37
+4
75.0%
Dom Williams run for 4 yds to the IndSt 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+2
75.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 2 yds to the IndSt 31Similar
Q1 11:27
4TH & 7
OPP 31
+49
74.4%
Liam Jones 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 2INT TD
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:4426% → 25%
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
74.1%
Titus McCoy run for 2 yds to the IndSt 33Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+4
74.1%
Ryan Boyle pass complete to Dante Hendrix for 4 yds to the IndSt 37Similar
Q1 11:27
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+3
74.1%
Ryan Boyle pass complete to Dakota Caton for 3 yds to the IndSt 40Similar
Q1 11:27
4TH & 1
OWN 40
+2
74.2%
Ryan Boyle run for 2 yds to the IndSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
74.0%
Titus McCoy run for 7 yds to the IndSt 49Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+57
74.8%
Ryan Boyle pass intercepted for a TD Hasan Defense return for 57 yds for a TD, (Liam Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
75.3%
KANSAS Penalty, delay of game (5 Yards) to the IndSt 30Similar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+3
75.1%
Ryan Boyle run for 3 yds to the IndSt 33Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+8
75.0%
Ryan Boyle pass complete to Dante Hendrix for 8 yds to the IndSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
75.1%
Titus McCoy run for 3 yds to the IndSt 44Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+9
75.0%
Ryan Boyle pass complete to Dante Hendrix for 9 yds to the Kans 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
74.8%
Ryan Boyle run for no gain to the Kans 47Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-2
75.0%
Ryan Boyle sacked by Darrius Moragne for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 49Similar
Q1 8:43
3RD & 12
OPP 49
+3
75.3%
Ryan Boyle pass complete to Rontrez Morgan for 3 yds to the Kans 46Similar
Q1 8:43
4TH & 9
OPP 46
0
75.4%
Travis Reiner punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:0576% → 76%
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
75.7%
Khalil Herbert run for 5 yds to the Kans 14Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 5
OWN 14
0
75.7%
Khalil Herbert run for no gain to the Kans 14Similar
Q1 3:07
3RD & 5
OWN 14
-4
75.9%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Daylon Charlot for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 10Similar
Q1 3:07
4TH & 9
OWN 10
+4
75.6%
Kyle Thompson punt for 45 yds , Dante Hendrix returns for 4 yds to the IndSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 5MISSED FG
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:5825% → 24%
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
75.0%
Ryan Boyle pass complete to Dante Hendrix for 6 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+6
74.9%
Peterson Kerlegrand run for 6 yds to the Kans 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
74.9%
Ryan Boyle run for 1 yd to the Kans 38Similar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+1
74.9%
Peterson Kerlegrand run for 1 yd to the Kans 37Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+4
75.1%
Ryan Boyle pass complete to Peterson Kerlegrand for 4 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q2 14:21
4TH & 4
OPP 33
+51
76.3%
Jerry Nunez 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6FUMBLE
9 plays · 30 yds · 0:0077% → 78%
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
76.9%
Carter Stanley pass complete to James Sosinski for 15 yds to the Kans 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
77.6%
Dom Williams run for 5 yds to the IndSt 47Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+4
77.7%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Velton Gardner for 4 yds to the IndSt 43Similar
Q2 14:21
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+5
77.4%
Carter Stanley run for 5 yds to the IndSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
77.7%
Carter Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-11
77.6%
Stanley, Carter pass complete to Parchment, A. for 8 yards to the INS30 (Thomas, Michael), PENALTY KU face mask (Sosinski, James) 11 yards to the INS49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 21
OPP 49
+15
77.1%
Stanley, Carter pass incomplete to Parchment, A., PENALTY INS pass interference (Copeland, Khali) 15 yards to the INS34, 1ST DOWN KU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
77.9%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Dom WilliamsSimilar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-3
77.9%
Dom Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the IndSt 37 Dom Williams fumbled, recovered by IndSt Inoke MoalaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 7MISSED FG
7 plays · 36 yds · 2:3023% → 23%
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
76.9%
Titus McCoy run for 4 yds to the IndSt 41Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+12
76.3%
Ryan Boyle pass complete to Dante Hendrix for 12 yds to the Kans 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+19
75.7%
Titus McCoy run for 19 yds to the Kans 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
75.0%
Titus McCoy run for 1 yd to the Kans 27Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 9
OPP 27
0
75.1%
Ryan Boyle pass incomplete to Dante Jones IISimilar
Q2 11:56
3RD & 9
OPP 27
0
75.8%
Ryan Boyle pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:26
4TH & 9
OPP 27
+45
77.4%
Jerry Nunez 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8FG
9 plays · 55 yds · 3:0978% → 79%
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
77.5%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Andrew ParchmentSimilar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+11
77.2%
Khalil Herbert run for 11 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
78.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 14 yds to the IndSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+21
78.5%
Khalil Herbert run for 21 yds to the IndSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+11
78.9%
Khalil Herbert run for 11 yds to the IndSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-4
78.9%
Khalil Herbert run for a loss of 4 yards to the IndSt 20 Khalil Herbert fumbled, recovered by Kans Khalil HerbertSimilar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 14
OPP 20
+3
78.6%
Dom Williams run for 3 yds to the IndSt 17Similar
Q2 9:26
3RD & 11
OPP 17
-1
78.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Velton Gardner for a loss of 1 yard to the IndSt 18Similar
Q2 6:17
4TH & 12
OPP 18
+36
79.4%
Liam Jones 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-5
80.6%
INDIANA ST Penalty, delay of game (Ryan Boyle) to the IndSt 12Similar
Q2 6:13
1ST & 15
OWN 12
+7
80.8%
Ryan Boyle pass complete to Dante Hendrix for 7 yds to the IndSt 19Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+2
80.7%
Titus McCoy run for 2 yds to the IndSt 21Similar
Q2 6:13
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+1
81.0%
Ryan Boyle pass complete to Daijon Collins for 1 yd to the IndSt 22 INDIANA ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 6:13
4TH & 5
OWN 22
+60
81.3%
Travis Reiner punt for 45 yds, downed at the KANSAS 33 KANSAS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Hasan Defense) to the Kans 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:4180% → 79%
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
80.2%
Dom Williams run for 5 yds to the Kans 23Similar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 5
OWN 23
-4
80.4%
Dom Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 19Similar
Q2 3:37
3RD & 9
OWN 19
-5
79.7%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (Andrew Parchment) to the Kans 14Similar
Q2 3:37
3RD & 14
OWN 14
-1
79.7%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Khalil Herbert for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 13Similar
Q2 3:37
4TH & 15
OWN 13
+7
79.1%
Kyle Thompson punt for 56 yds , Dante Hendrix returns for 7 yds to the IndSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 11FG
11 plays · 60 yds · 1:4619% → 25%
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+19
81.0%
Titus McCoy run for 19 yds to the Kans 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
79.1%
Titus McCoy run for 9 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+4
77.7%
Ryan Boyle pass complete to Dante Hendrix for 4 yds to the Kans 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+21
78.0%
Ryan Boyle pass complete to Rontrez Morgan for 21 yds to the Kans 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
77.7%
Ryan Boyle pass incomplete to Dante HendrixSimilar
Q2 1:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
77.7%
Titus McCoy run for 4 yds to the Kans 5Similar
Q2 1:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
78.6%
Boyle, Ryan pass incomplete to Jones II, Dante, PENALTY KU pass interference (Lee, Mike) 3 yards to the KU2, 1ST DOWN INS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
77.7%
Titus McCoy run for no gain to the Kans 2Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
77.9%
Ryan Boyle pass incomplete to Dante HendrixSimilar
Q2 0:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
75.2%
Jerry Nunez 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 13INT
9 plays · 56 yds · 3:0423% → 29%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
76.6%
Titus McCoy run for 1 yd to the IndSt 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
76.6%
Ryan Boyle pass complete to Dante Jones II for 3 yds to the IndSt 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+42
77.0%
Ryan Boyle pass complete to Dante Jones II for 42 yds to the Kans 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
72.7%
Titus McCoy run for 6 yds to the Kans 23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+2
72.7%
Ryan Boyle pass complete to Henry Woodcock for 2 yds to the Kans 21Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+2
74.0%
Ryan Boyle run for 2 yds to the Kans 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+13
71.5%
Ryan Boyle pass intercepted Jeremiah McCullough return for 13 yds to the Kans 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14TD
7 plays · 87 yds · 3:0577% → 88%
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
76.7%
Khalil Herbert run for 5 yds to the Kans 18Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+27
76.6%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 27 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
79.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Daylon Charlot for 12 yds to the IndSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+32
79.5%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 32 yds to the IndSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
79.8%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to James SosinskiSimilar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+1
79.8%
Khalil Herbert run for 1 yd to the IndSt 10Similar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 9
OPP 10
+10
87.9%
Carter Stanley pass complete to James Sosinski for 10 yds for a TD, (Liam Jones PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:0014% → 13%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
86.1%
Titus McCoy run for 11 yds to the IndSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
84.9%
McCoy, Titus rush for 8 yards to the INS44 (Torneden, Bryce), PENALTY INS holding (Lang, James) 10 yards to the INS26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 20
OWN 26
0
86.1%
Ryan Boyle pass incomplete to Dominique DafneySimilar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 20
OWN 26
+12
86.5%
Peterson Kerlegrand run for 12 yds to the IndSt 38Similar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 8
OWN 38
-4
85.1%
Ryan Boyle sacked by Azur Kamara for a loss of 4 yards to the IndSt 34Similar
Q3 8:40
4TH & 12
OWN 34
+11
86.8%
Travis Reiner punt for 39 yds , Kwamie Lassiter II returns for 11 yds to the Kans 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16FUMBLE
12 plays · 39 yds · 4:2289% → 90%
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
88.9%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Stephon Robinson Jr.Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+1
88.8%
Dom Williams run for 1 yd to the Kans 39Similar
Q3 6:26
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+12
88.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Daylon Charlot for 12 yds to the IndSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
89.3%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Stephon Robinson Jr., broken up by Keawvis CummingsSimilar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+20
89.1%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 20 yds to the IndSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
89.2%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the IndSt 34Similar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 15
OPP 34
-4
89.2%
Khalil Herbert run for a loss of 4 yards to the IndSt 38Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 19
OPP 38
+16
89.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 16 yds to the IndSt 22Similar
Q3 2:38
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+1
92.4%
Khalil Herbert run for 1 yd to the IndSt 21Similar
Q3 2:04
4TH & 2
OPP 21
-2
90.2%
Carter Stanley run for a loss of 2 yards to the IndSt 23 Carter Stanley fumbled, recovered by IndSt Dayveon HiggsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 17TD
16 plays · 77 yds · 6:0810% → 24%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
89.7%
Ryan Boyle pass complete to Dante Jones II for 8 yds to the IndSt 31Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+3
88.7%
Peterson Kerlegrand run for 3 yds to the IndSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
88.8%
Ryan Boyle pass complete to Dominique Dafney for 6 yds to the IndSt 40Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+5
88.4%
Ryan Boyle run for 5 yds to the IndSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
88.5%
Peterson Kerlegrand run for no gain to the IndSt 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+7
90.5%
Ryan Boyle pass complete to Dante Hendrix for 7 yds to the Kans 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+8
90.1%
Ryan Boyle pass complete to Dakota Caton for 8 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
89.4%
Ryan Boyle run for 5 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+3
88.3%
Chris Childers run for 3 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+3
89.1%
Chris Childers run for 3 yds to the Kans 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
88.3%
KANSAS Penalty, offside defense (Jelani Brown) to the Kans 24Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 5
OPP 24
0
88.3%
Peterson Kerlegrand run for no gain to the Kans 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+3
88.3%
Ryan Boyle run for 3 yds to the Kans 21Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 21
0
89.1%
Ryan Boyle pass incomplete to Dominique Dafney, broken up by Caleb SampsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 21
-5
89.2%
Boyle, Ryan pass complete to Morgan, Rontrez for 2 yards to the KU19, PENALTY INS illegal formation 5 yards to the KU26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:52
4TH & 7
OPP 26
+26
76.5%
Ryan Boyle pass complete to Dante Jones II for 26 yds for a TD, (Jerry Nunez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0084% → 82%
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
83.8%
Khalil Herbert run for 1 yd to the Kans 26Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+27
83.5%
Dom Williams run for 27 yds to the IndSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-4
86.3%
Dom Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 49Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 14
OWN 49
-6
84.8%
Carter Stanley sacked by Isaac Fotu for a loss of 6 yards to the Kans 43Similar
Q4 10:52
3RD & 20
OWN 43
0
83.4%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Daylon CharlotSimilar
Q4 10:52
4TH & 20
OWN 43
+4
82.1%
Kyle Thompson punt for 46 yds , Dakota Caton returns for 4 yds to the IndSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 42 yds · 0:0019% → 18%
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
81.1%
Peterson Kerlegrand run for 1 yd to the IndSt 16Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 9
OWN 16
0
81.5%
Ryan Boyle pass incomplete to Dakota Caton, broken up by Mike LeeSimilar
Q4 8:20
3RD & 9
OWN 16
+28
82.6%
Ryan Boyle pass complete to Peterson Kerlegrand for 28 yds to the IndSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+18
78.1%
Ryan Boyle run for 18 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
76.1%
Peterson Kerlegrand run for 7 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 3
OPP 31
0
73.6%
Ryan Boyle pass incomplete to Dante Jones IISimilar
Q4 8:20
3RD & 3
OPP 31
-12
75.6%
Ryan Boyle sacked by Dru Prox for a loss of 12 yards to the Kans 43Similar
Q4 8:20
4TH & 15
OPP 43
0
81.7%
Travis Reiner punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kans 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20FUMBLE TD
3 plays · -6 yds · 1:2187% → 44%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
87.2%
Khalil Herbert run for 2 yds to the Kans 8Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 8
OWN 8
+1
86.9%
Khalil Herbert run for 1 yd to the Kans 9Similar
Q4 4:24
3RD & 7
OWN 9
0
43.7%
Carter Stanley sacked by Kaleb Brewer for a loss of 7 yards Carter Stanley fumbled, recovered by IndSt Inoke Moala , return for 0 yards for a TD, (Jerry Nunez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:0449% → 95%
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
48.6%
Khalil Herbert run for 3 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
48.8%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 9 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
50.7%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Daylon Charlot, broken up by Inoke MoalaSimilar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+26
49.9%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Daylon Charlot for 26 yds to the IndSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
55.9%
Khalil Herbert run for 4 yds to the IndSt 33Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 6
OPP 33
0
58.2%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Stephon Robinson Jr.Similar
Q4 4:24
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+11
55.3%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 11 yds to the IndSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
95.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Daylon Charlot for 22 yds for a TD, (Andrew Parchment pass to Jack Luavasa for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 22DOWNS
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:4111% → 9%
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
88.6%
Peterson Kerlegrand run for 1 yd to the IndSt 26Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
88.7%
Ryan Boyle pass incomplete to Dominique DafneySimilar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+7
89.4%
Ryan Boyle pass complete to Joe Wildt for 7 yds to the IndSt 33Similar
Q4 1:39
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
91.3%
Ryan Boyle pass incomplete to Joe WildtSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 23DOWNS
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:0096% → 94%
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
95.7%
Carter Stanley run for a loss of 1 yard to the IndSt 34Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 11
OPP 34
-1
95.6%
Carter Stanley run for a loss of 1 yard to the IndSt 35Similar
Q4 1:35
3RD & 12
OPP 35
-2
95.3%
Carter Stanley run for a loss of 2 yards to the IndSt 37Similar
Q4 1:35
4TH & 14
OPP 37
-3
93.9%
Carter Stanley run for a loss of 3 yards to the IndSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
SACK · Q4 4:24
Carter Stanley sacked by Kaleb Brewer for a loss of 7 yards Carter Stanley fumbled, recovered by IndSt Inoke Moala , return for 0 yards for a TD, (Jerry Nunez KICK)
-43.3
TD · Q4 2:20
Carter Stanley pass complete to Daylon Charlot for 22 yds for a TD, (Andrew Parchment pass to Jack Luavasa for Two-Point Conversion)
+39.8
TD · Q4 10:52
Ryan Boyle pass complete to Dante Jones II for 26 yds for a TD, (Jerry Nunez KICK)
-12.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com