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KU

Kansas 31 at Iowa State 41

ISU
2019 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2019 · Jack Trice Stadium
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Win probability · ISU
modelISU aheadKU aheadconfidence bandkey playISU scoreKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:02 · Carter Stanley pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 25 yds to the IowSt 30 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 1:30: Carter Stanley pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 27 yds for a TD, (Liam Jones KICK) — KU win probability +16.0 pts (now 25%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 0:13: Carter Stanley pass complete to Spencer Roe for 2 yds for a TD, (Carter Stanley pass for Two-Point Conversion) — KU win probability +22.1 pts (now 42%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:42: Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 24 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley PAT MISSED) — ISU win probability +13.2 pts (now 85%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:42: Carter Stanley pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 40 yds for a TD, (Liam Jones KICK) — KU win probability +35.2 pts (now 59%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:10: Brock Purdy run for 5 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK) — ISU win probability +22.2 pts (now 84%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ISU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6KU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00ISU 4th & 1 at ISU 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:29KU 4th & 1 at KU 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:45ISU 4th & 1 at ISU 26, tied
    Close callPunted · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:25KU 4th & 9 at ISU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.4%
    79% to make
    Punt
    7.0%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:49KU 4th & 11 at ISU 20, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.5%
    75% to make
    Punt
    7.7%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00ISU 4th & 8 at ISU 31, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.7%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:48KU 4th & 15 at ISU 18, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−0.5
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.7%
    79% to make
    Punt
    9.3%−1.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:39KU 4th & 17 at KU 25, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−1.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:25ISU 4th & 15 at KU 41, up 8
    Close callPunted · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    90.2%
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:10KU 4th & 2 at ISU 13, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%−0.6
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.5%
    85% to make
    Punt
    7.8%−2.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:55KU 4th & 13 at KU 20, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%−1.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:06KU 4th & 4 at KU 37, down 12
    Close callPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:53ISU 4th & 1 at KU 38, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    91.6%−1.3
    38% to make
    Punt
    91.6%−1.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:03KU 4th & 5 at KU 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    22.4%−0.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:09ISU 4th & 4 at KU 4, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    86.3%−2.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    65.0%−23.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:02KU 4th & 22 at KU 20, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.9%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ISU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6KU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 3:44ISU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:44ISU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:12ISU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:30KU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:13KU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    36.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    36.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:42ISU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    80.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:42KU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:10ISU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.1%−0.6
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:09ISU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ISUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
95.2%
Breece Hall run for 8 yds to the IowSt 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
95.2%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
95.2%
Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the IowSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
95.2%
Joe Rivera punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kans 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
94.9%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 5 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q1 13:29
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+4
94.8%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kans 43Similar
Q1 13:29
3RD & 1
OWN 43
0
94.8%
Ben Miles run for no gain to the Kans 43Similar
Q1 13:29
4TH & 1
OWN 43
0
94.9%
Kyle Thompson punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
94.5%
Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the IowSt 22Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+4
94.5%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the IowSt 26Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 1
OWN 26
0
94.5%
Breece Hall run for no gain to the IowSt 26Similar
Q1 11:45
4TH & 1
OWN 26
+8
94.5%
Joe Rivera punt for 40 yds , Kenny Logan Jr. returns for 8 yds to the Kans 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4FG
11 plays · 40 yds · 3:196% → 7%
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
93.9%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 8
OWN 44
-15
93.9%
Gardner,Velton rush for 6 yards to the 50 yardline (Kyle, Tayvonn), PENALTY KU personal foul (Feder,Kevin) 15 yards to the KU29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 23
OWN 29
+31
94.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Daylon Charlot for 31 yds to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
93.9%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 10 yds to the IowSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
93.9%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 9 yds to the IowSt 21Similar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 1
OPP 21
0
93.8%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Daylon CharlotSimilar
Q1 9:44
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+2
93.9%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the IowSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
93.8%
Carter Stanley run for 1 yd to the IowSt 18Similar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 9
OPP 18
0
93.8%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Andrew Parchment, broken up by Anthony JohnsonSimilar
Q1 9:44
3RD & 9
OPP 18
0
93.9%
Carter Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:25
4TH & 9
OPP 18
+36
92.9%
Liam Jones 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 5TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:4193% → 93%
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
92.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 30 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
93.2%
Breece Hall run for no gain to the Kans 45Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-5
93.2%
Purdy, Brock pass complete to Pettway, La'Michael for 16 yards to the KU29 (Mayberry,Kyle), PENALTY ISU ineligible downfield on pass (Soehner, Dylan) 5 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 15
50
+6
93.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 6 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+19
93.1%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 19 yds to the Kans 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
93.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 25 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6FG
10 plays · 49 yds · 2:497% → 8%
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
92.8%
Velton Gardner run for 3 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q1 3:38
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+11
92.7%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 11 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+21
92.6%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Daylon Charlot for 21 yds to the IowSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
92.4%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 15 yds to the IowSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
92.3%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 21Similar
Q1 3:38
2ND & 12
OPP 21
+6
92.4%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 6 yds to the IowSt 15Similar
Q1 3:38
3RD & 6
OPP 15
0
92.5%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Stephon Robinson Jr., broken up by Jake HummelSimilar
Q1 3:38
4TH & 6
OPP 15
-5
92.7%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 20Similar
Q1 0:49
4TH & 11
OPP 20
+37
91.7%
Liam Jones 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 2 yds · 0:3992% → 91%
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
91.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 11 yds to the IowSt 40 IOWA ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the IowSt 30Similar
Q1 0:39
1ST & 9
OWN 30
-15
91.8%
IOWA ST Penalty, IB (-15 Yards) to the IowSt 15Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 24
OWN 15
+6
91.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 6 yds to the IowSt 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 18
OWN 21
-10
91.5%
Purdy, Brock pass complete to Milton, Tarique for 12 yards to the ISU33 (Potter,Gavin;Lee,Mike), PENALTY ISU holding (Hall, Breece) 10 yards to the ISU11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 28
OWN 11
+20
91.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 20 yds to the IowSt 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 31
0
91.4%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Charlie Kolar, broken up by Ricky ThomasSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 31
0
91.2%
Joe Rivera punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Kenny Logan Jr. at the Kans 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8MISSED FG
10 plays · 63 yds · 3:409% → 10%
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
91.0%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for no gain to the Kans 19Similar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+7
91.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 7 yds to the Kans 26Similar
Q2 13:28
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+48
91.0%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 48 yds to the IowSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
90.1%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Andrew ParchmentSimilar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
90.2%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Kwamie Lassiter II, broken up by Mike RoseSimilar
Q2 13:28
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+13
90.4%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 13 yds to the IowSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
90.1%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 14Similar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 11
OPP 14
-4
90.2%
Velton Gardner run for a loss of 4 yards to the IowSt 18Similar
Q2 13:28
3RD & 15
OPP 18
0
90.7%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Andrew ParchmentSimilar
Q2 9:48
4TH & 15
OPP 18
+35
89.8%
Liam Jones 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 9TD
15 plays · 80 yds · 6:0490% → 92%
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
89.8%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
89.7%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the IowSt 24Similar
Q2 9:48
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+11
89.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 11 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
89.9%
Breece Hall run for 9 yds to the IowSt 44 KANSAS Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+5
90.5%
Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the IowSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
90.4%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the Kans 48Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
90.5%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:48
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+10
90.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 10 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
90.6%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+4
90.7%
Johnnie Lang run for 4 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q2 9:48
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+8
90.4%
Breece Hall run for 8 yds to the Kans 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+16
90.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 16 yds to the Kans 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
90.7%
Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the Kans 5Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
90.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 4 yds to the Kans 1Similar
Q2 3:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.7%
Breece Hall run for 1 yd for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:009% → 8%
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
91.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 3 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
91.1%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete, broken up by Marcel Spears Jr.Similar
Q2 3:39
3RD & 7
OWN 35
-5
91.4%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (Kwamie Lassiter II) to the Kans 30Similar
Q2 3:39
3RD & 12
OWN 30
-5
91.7%
Carter Stanley sacked by Will McDonald for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 25 KANSAS Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 3:39
4TH & 17
OWN 25
+24
92.0%
Kyle Thompson punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IowSt 47 , Tarique Milton returns for 24 yds to the IowSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 0:1592% → 91%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
91.6%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to La'Michael PettwaySimilar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
91.6%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Tarique MiltonSimilar
Q2 2:25
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+17
91.1%
Brock Purdy pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 17 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
91.9%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete, broken up by Caleb SampsonSimilar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
91.9%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Sean Shaw Jr.Similar
Q2 2:25
3RD & 10
OPP 36
0
91.5%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Landen AkersSimilar
Q2 2:25
4TH & 10
OPP 36
-5
90.9%
IOWA ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Kans 41Similar
Q2 2:25
4TH & 15
OPP 41
0
90.6%
Joe Rivera punt for 39 yds, downed at the Kans 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12FG
11 plays · 85 yds · 1:269% → 13%
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+33
90.9%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 33 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
90.4%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Stephon Robinson Jr., broken up by Greg EisworthSimilar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+14
90.6%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 14 yds to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+17
89.6%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 17 yds to the IowSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
88.7%
Carter Stanley run for 4 yds to the IowSt 30Similar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+9
88.5%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 9 yds to the IowSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
88.5%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 8 yds to the IowSt 13Similar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 2
OPP 13
0
88.5%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Daylon CharlotSimilar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 2
OPP 13
0
89.1%
Velton Gardner run for no gain to the IowSt 13Similar
Q2 0:10
4TH & 2
OPP 13
+30
87.3%
Liam Jones 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
88.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-3
87.2%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 20Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 13
OWN 20
0
87.4%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Daylon CharlotSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 13
OWN 20
0
87.9%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete, broken up by Braxton LewisSimilar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 13
OWN 20
0
88.2%
Kyle Thompson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tarique Milton at the IowSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 15TD
9 plays · 59 yds · 2:4689% → 94%
Q3 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
88.9%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Tarique Milton, broken up by Kyle MayberrySimilar
Q3 13:58
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+13
88.5%
Breece Hall run for 13 yds to the Kans 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
89.3%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q3 13:58
2ND & 6
OPP 42
0
89.3%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to La'Michael Pettway, broken up by Hasan DefenseSimilar
Q3 13:58
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+15
89.0%
Purdy, Brock pass incomplete, PENALTY KU roughing passer (Sampson,Caleb) 15 yards to the KU27, 1ST DOWN ISU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+16
89.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 16 yds to the Kans 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-3
89.5%
Breece Hall run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 14Similar
Q3 13:58
2ND & 13
OPP 14
+10
89.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 10 yds to the Kans 4Similar
Q3 11:12
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+4
93.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 4 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-4
92.0%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 27Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 14
OWN 27
+10
92.4%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 10 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 4
OWN 37
0
92.0%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Andrew ParchmentSimilar
Q3 11:06
4TH & 4
OWN 37
0
92.2%
Kyle Thompson punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Tarique Milton at the IowSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 17DOWNS
11 plays · 49 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
93.1%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 8 yds to the IowSt 21Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 2
OWN 21
+4
93.1%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the IowSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
93.1%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 5 yds to the IowSt 30Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
93.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Johnnie Lang for 7 yds to the IowSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
93.3%
Brock Purdy run for 3 yds to the IowSt 40Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+3
93.5%
Johnnie Lang run for 3 yds to the IowSt 43Similar
Q3 9:53
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+10
93.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 10 yds to the Kans 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
93.7%
Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
93.6%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Deshaunte JonesSimilar
Q3 9:53
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+7
93.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 7 yds to the Kans 38Similar
Q3 9:53
4TH & 1
OPP 38
0
93.0%
Breece Hall run for no gain to the Kans 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18TD
10 plays · 62 yds · 2:598% → 25%
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
91.9%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Andrew ParchmentSimilar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+7
92.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 7 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q3 4:29
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+6
91.7%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the IowSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
91.4%
Carter Stanley run for 9 yds to the IowSt 40Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 1
OPP 40
0
91.2%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Ben MilesSimilar
Q3 4:29
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+2
91.4%
Velton Gardner run for 2 yds to the IowSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
91.4%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 3 yds to the IowSt 35Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+2
90.7%
Torry Locklin run for 2 yds to the IowSt 33Similar
Q3 4:29
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+6
91.5%
Stephon Robinson Jr. run for 6 yds to the IowSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
75.5%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 27 yds for a TD, (Liam Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 19INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
82.7%
Brock Purdy pass intercepted Mike Lee return for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20TD
5 plays · 38 yds · 1:1023% → 42%
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+31
77.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 31 yds to the IowSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
80.2%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Stephon Robinson Jr., broken up by Tayvonn KyleSimilar
Q3 0:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
80.2%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the IowSt 2Similar
Q3 0:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
58.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Spencer Roe for 2 yds for a TD, (Carter Stanley pass for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 21TD
5 plays · 57 yds · 1:2168% → 85%
Q3 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+14
68.0%
Breece Hall run for 14 yds to the Kans 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
69.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 13 yds to the Kans 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
72.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Landen Akers for 6 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+24
85.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 24 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 22TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 2:5421% → 59%
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
79.2%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 7 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q4 13:36
2ND & 3
OWN 34
0
77.3%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Jack LuavasaSimilar
Q4 13:36
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+8
78.8%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 8 yds to the Kans 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
77.3%
Velton Gardner run for 3 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q4 13:36
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+6
76.1%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 6 yds to the IowSt 49Similar
Q4 13:36
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+9
76.0%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 9 yds to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
40.8%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 40 yds for a TD, (Liam Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 23TD
12 plays · 71 yds · 5:2754% → 84%
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+14
54.1%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 14 yds to the IowSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+14
57.1%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 14 yds to the Kans 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
59.1%
Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+10
59.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 10 yds to the Kans 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
61.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Landen Akers for 4 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+2
61.8%
Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the Kans 25Similar
Q4 10:37
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+21
59.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 21 yds to the Kans 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
61.8%
IOWA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Kans 9Similar
Q4 10:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
61.8%
Breece Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 10Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
61.8%
Purdy, Brock rush for loss of 3 yards to the KU13 (Potter,Gavin), PENALTY KU holding (Kamara,Azur) 5 yards to the KU5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
84.0%
Brock Purdy run for 5 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 24DOWNS
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0027% → 25%
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
73.2%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 5
OWN 37
0
71.0%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete, broken up by Anthony JohnsonSimilar
Q4 5:03
3RD & 5
OWN 37
0
73.2%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Daylon CharlotSimilar
Q4 5:03
4TH & 5
OWN 37
0
75.3%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Daylon Charlot, broken up by Anthony JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 25TD
11 plays · 37 yds · 3:0586% → 97%
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
86.1%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 6
OPP 33
-2
87.4%
Breece Hall run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 35Similar
Q4 2:51
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+25
87.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 25 yds to the Kans 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
88.5%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the Kans 7Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
91.4%
Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the Kans 5Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
90.6%
Brock Purdy run for 1 yd to the Kans 4Similar
Q4 1:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
97.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 4 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 26END OF GAME
7 plays · 38 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
96.9%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 8 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 2
OWN 40
-10
96.8%
Stanley,Carter pass incomplete to Charlot,Daylon, PENALTY KU holding (Adeniji,Hakeem) 10 yards to the KU30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 12
OWN 30
0
97.2%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Andrew ParchmentSimilar
Q4 1:02
3RD & 12
OWN 30
-10
97.3%
Carter Stanley sacked by Will McDonald for a loss of 10 yards to the Kans 20Similar
Q4 1:02
4TH & 22
OWN 20
+25
97.5%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 25 yds to the Kans 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+25
96.9%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 25 yds to the IowSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:42
Carter Stanley pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 40 yds for a TD, (Liam Jones KICK)
-35.2
TD · Q4 5:10
Brock Purdy run for 5 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK)
+22.2
TD · Q3 0:13
Carter Stanley pass complete to Spencer Roe for 2 yds for a TD, (Carter Stanley pass for Two-Point Conversion)
-22.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com