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ISU

Iowa State 41 at Oklahoma 42

OU
2019 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2019 · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
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Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadISU aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreISU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD-11.9OU 85.2%Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean ShawJr. for 33 yds for a TD (ConnorAssalley KICK)AWAY 35 - HOME 42 · Q4 3:35
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:35 · Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 33 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 164Pregame prior+2.5Home team on offense+11.7Score differential+3.3Garbage-time factor+5.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.3Time remaining+2.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:14: Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 63 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK) — OU win probability +5.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:00: Brock Purdy pass complete to Dylan Soehner for 23 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK) — ISU win probability +5.9 pts (now 14%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:22: Brock Purdy run for 4 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK) — ISU win probability +7.9 pts (now 13%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:35: Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 33 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK) — ISU win probability +11.9 pts (now 15%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:24: Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 13 yds for a TD (Brock Purdy intercepted ) — ISU win probability +22.0 pts (now 35%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4ISU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 12:54ISU 4th & 9 at ISU 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.6%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:01ISU 4th & 3 at ISU 35, down 14
    Close callPunted · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:42OU 4th & 5 at ISU 44, up 14
    Close callPunted · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    84.9%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.2%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:22ISU 4th & 27 at OU 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−1.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:03OU 4th & 5 at OU 22, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:26ISU 4th & 10 at ISU 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:22OU 4th & 7 at OU 27, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:53ISU 4th & 8 at ISU 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:05ISU 4th & 10 at OU 19, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.0%−0.9
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    7.0%
    77% to make
    Punt
    3.2%−3.8
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:37ISU 4th & 13 at OU 13, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.3 ptsWent for it · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.3%−1.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    6.6%
    85% to make
    Punt
    3.2%−3.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:42OU 4th & 4 at OU 40, up 14
    Close callPunted · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6ISU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 13:42OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:28OU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:21ISU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:18OU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:14OU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 6:00ISU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:03OU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 10:22ISU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 3:47OU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 14:56ISU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 3:35ISU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.0%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1TD
5 plays · 72 yds · 1:0685% → 85%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
85.3%
Kennedy Brooks run for 12 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
85.2%
Kennedy Brooks run for 7 yds to the Okla 47Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+5
85.2%
Kennedy Brooks run for 5 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
85.3%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 48 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:4115% → 15%
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
85.3%
Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the IowSt 26Similar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
85.2%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Chase AllenSimilar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
85.2%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Charlie KolarSimilar
Q1 12:54
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
85.3%
Joe Rivera punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 3TD
7 plays · 54 yds · 3:1685% → 86%
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
85.3%
Kennedy Brooks run for 7 yds to the IowSt 47Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 3
OPP 47
-1
85.3%
Jalen Hurts sacked by Mike Rose and Tayvonn Kyle for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 48Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+10
85.2%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 10 yds to the IowSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
85.3%
Kennedy Brooks run for 11 yds to the IowSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
85.3%
Jalen Hurts run for 7 yds to the IowSt 20Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+12
85.3%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 12 yds to the IowSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
86.3%
Jalen Hurts run for 8 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:1214% → 14%
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
85.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 3 yds to the IowSt 31Similar
Q1 8:44
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+4
85.9%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the IowSt 35Similar
Q1 8:12
3RD & 3
OWN 35
0
86.0%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Deshaunte JonesSimilar
Q1 8:01
4TH & 3
OWN 35
+15
86.1%
Joe Rivera punt for 41 yds , CeeDee Lamb returns for 15 yds to the Okla 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:0887% → 87%
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
86.6%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 12 yds to the IowSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
86.8%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Charleston RamboSimilar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+5
86.8%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 5 yds to the IowSt 44Similar
Q1 6:47
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
86.8%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q1 6:42
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
86.7%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Tarique Milton at the IowSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 88 yds · 2:1214% → 16%
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+19
86.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 19 yds to the IowSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
86.2%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 26Similar
Q1 5:54
1ST & 15
OWN 26
0
86.2%
Breece Hall run for no gain to the IowSt 26Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 15
OWN 26
+24
86.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
50
+10
86.0%
Breece Hall run for 10 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
83.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 40 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7TD
12 plays · 74 yds · 4:4984% → 88%
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+19
84.4%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 19 yds to the Okla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
84.8%
Kennedy Brooks run for a loss of 5 yards to the Okla 40Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 15
OWN 40
+6
84.4%
Jalen Hurts run for 6 yds to the Okla 46Similar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 9
OWN 49
-7
84.4%
Jalen Hurts run for 3 yds to the Okla 49 OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Okla 39Similar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 16
OWN 39
+17
83.9%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Lee Morris for 17 yds to the IowSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+16
84.6%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to A.D. Miller for 16 yds to the IowSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
84.7%
Jalen Hurts run for 9 yds to the IowSt 19Similar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+6
84.6%
Kennedy Brooks run for 6 yds to the IowSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
84.6%
Jalen Hurts run for 6 yds to the IowSt 7Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 4
OPP 7
0
84.6%
Jalen Hurts run for no gain to the IowSt 7Similar
Q2 14:18
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+7
87.7%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Trejan Bridges for 7 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 21 yds · 3:4314% → 13%
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+16
86.4%
Breece Hall run for 16 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
86.3%
Deshaunte Jones pass incomplete to Brock PurdySimilar
Q2 13:13
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+22
86.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 22 yds to the Okla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-10
85.8%
IOWA ST Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the Okla 40Similar
Q2 12:26
1ST & 20
OPP 40
-5
86.4%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Okla 45Similar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 25
OPP 45
0
86.5%
Breece Hall run for no gain to the Okla 45Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 25
OPP 45
0
86.5%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Charlie KolarSimilar
Q2 11:16
3RD & 25
OPP 45
-5
86.8%
IOWA ST Penalty, Illegal Shift (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 30
50
+3
86.8%
Brock Purdy run for 3 yds to the Okla 47Similar
Q2 10:22
4TH & 27
OPP 47
+13
87.1%
Joe Rivera punt for 35 yds , CeeDee Lamb returns for 13 yds to the Okla 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 9TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:5788% → 94%
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
87.9%
Jalen Hurts run for 7 yds to the Okla 32Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
88.1%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 2 yds to the Okla 34Similar
Q2 8:50
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
87.9%
Jalen Hurts run for 3 yds to the Okla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+63
93.8%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 63 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:087% → 14%
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
92.8%
Brock Purdy run for 5 yds to the IowSt 30Similar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+16
92.8%
Breece Hall run for 16 yds to the IowSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+22
92.8%
Johnnie Lang run for 22 yds to the Okla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
92.4%
Brock Purdy run for 5 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+14
92.3%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Face Mask (14 yards) (14 Yards) to the Okla 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-10
92.3%
IOWA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Okla 23Similar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 20
OPP 23
+23
86.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Dylan Soehner for 23 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:4288% → 87%
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-7
87.9%
Jalen Hurts sacked by Marcel Spears Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the Okla 10Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 17
OWN 10
-2
87.8%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 8Similar
Q2 4:17
3RD & 19
OWN 8
+14
87.4%
Trey Sermon run for 14 yds to the Okla 22Similar
Q2 4:03
4TH & 5
OWN 22
0
87.2%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tarique Milton at the IowSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:0513% → 12%
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
87.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for no gain to the IowSt 41Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
87.4%
Brock Purdy run for no gain to the IowSt 41Similar
Q2 2:34
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
87.8%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Deshaunte JonesSimilar
Q2 2:26
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
88.2%
Joe Rivera punt for 40 yds , CeeDee Lamb returns for no gain to the Okla 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 13TD
16 plays · 82 yds · 2:0789% → 96%
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
88.8%
Kennedy Brooks run for 7 yds to the Okla 26Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+13
89.1%
Jalen Hurts run for 13 yds to the Okla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
89.5%
Jalen Hurts run for no gain to the Okla 39Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+5
88.5%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 5 yds to the Okla 44Similar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+6
88.1%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
50
-1
88.9%
Jalen Hurts run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 49Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 11
OWN 49
0
88.7%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Charleston RamboSimilar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 11
OWN 49
+24
88.1%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Brayden Willis for 24 yds to the IowSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
88.9%
Jalen Hurts run for 2 yds to the IowSt 25Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+9
90.0%
Jalen Hurts run for 9 yds to the IowSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+15
91.5%
IOWA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the IowSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.2%
Jalen Hurts run for 2 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
95.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 15TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:315% → 13%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
95.0%
Breece Hall run for 10 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
94.9%
Breece Hall run for 8 yds to the IowSt 43Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+16
94.7%
Breece Hall run for 16 yds to the Okla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+20
94.8%
Breece Hall run for 20 yds to the Okla 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
94.5%
Johnnie Lang run for 2 yds to the Okla 19Similar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+3
94.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 3 yds to the Okla 16Similar
Q3 11:43
3RD & 5
OPP 16
-5
95.2%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Okla 21Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+12
95.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 12 yds to the Okla 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
95.3%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the Okla 4Similar
Q3 10:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
87.4%
Brock Purdy run for 4 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:3891% → 90%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
90.8%
Kennedy Brooks run for 3 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 7
OWN 27
0
90.8%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Charleston RamboSimilar
Q3 9:29
3RD & 7
OWN 27
0
90.5%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q3 9:22
4TH & 7
OWN 27
0
90.0%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tarique Milton at the IowSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1311% → 10%
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
89.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 2 yds to the IowSt 39Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
89.1%
Breece Hall run for no gain to the IowSt 39Similar
Q3 8:06
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
89.5%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Charlie KolarSimilar
Q3 7:53
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
90.3%
Joe Rivera punt for 58 yds, downed at the Okla 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18TD
10 plays · 97 yds · 3:4592% → 98%
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
91.5%
Jalen Hurts run for 1 yd to the Okla 4Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+26
91.5%
Kennedy Brooks run for 26 yds to the Okla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-4
91.7%
Jalen Hurts run for a loss of 4 yards to the Okla 26Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 14
OWN 26
+10
91.7%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 10 yds to the Okla 36Similar
Q3 5:31
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+7
91.8%
Jalen Hurts run for 7 yds to the Okla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
92.4%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Nick BasquineSimilar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
92.5%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+13
92.4%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 13 yds to the IowSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-4
93.0%
Jalen Hurts sacked by Zach Petersen for a loss of 4 yards to the IowSt 48Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 14
OPP 48
+48
97.8%
Kennedy Brooks run for 48 yds for a TD (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 19TD
11 plays · 69 yds · 3:413% → 7%
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
97.4%
Re-al Mitchell run for 8 yds to the IowSt 39Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+5
97.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 5 yds to the IowSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
97.5%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Okla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
97.5%
Brock Purdy run for no gain to the Okla 41Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+27
97.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 27 yds to the Okla 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
97.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for no gain to the Okla 14Similar
Q3 0:53
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+1
97.8%
Brock Purdy run for 1 yd to the Okla 13Similar
Q3 0:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+10
98.3%
Brock Purdy run for 6 yds to the Okla 7 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (4 Yards) to the Okla 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
92.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 3 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20FUMBLE
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:0995% → 95%
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
95.0%
Kennedy Brooks run for a loss of 5 yards to the Okla 20Similar
Q4 14:26
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+12
95.1%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 12 yds CeeDee Lamb fumbled, forced by Zach Petersen, recovered by IowSt O'Rien VanceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 21DOWNS
15 plays · 19 yds · 6:237% → 4%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
93.0%
Breece Hall run for 7 yds to the Okla 25Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+1
92.9%
Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the Okla 24Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+5
93.6%
Brock Purdy run for 5 yds to the Okla 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
93.1%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Okla 24Similar
Q4 12:08
1ST & 15
OPP 24
-5
93.6%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Okla 29Similar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 20
OPP 29
0
94.0%
Brock Purdy run for no gain to the Okla 29Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 20
OPP 29
+10
94.2%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Okla 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
93.9%
Deshaunte Jones run for no gain to the Okla 19Similar
Q4 10:19
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
94.5%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to La'Michael PettwaySimilar
Q4 10:13
3RD & 10
OPP 19
0
95.0%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Charlie KolarSimilar
Q4 10:05
4TH & 10
OPP 19
+10
95.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 10 yds to the Okla 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
94.2%
Breece Hall run for 6 yds to the Okla 3Similar
Q4 9:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
94.6%
Brock Purdy run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 4Similar
Q4 8:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-9
95.2%
Breece Hall run for a loss of 9 yards to the Okla 13Similar
Q4 7:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
0
95.6%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Tarique MiltonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 27 yds · 2:3897% → 97%
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+21
96.7%
Kennedy Brooks run for 6 yds to the Okla 19 for a 1ST down IOWA ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Okla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
96.8%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Okla 29Similar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+3
96.9%
Kennedy Brooks run for 3 yds to the Okla 32Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 12
OWN 32
+6
97.0%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Kennedy Brooks for 6 yds to the Okla 38Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+2
97.2%
Jalen Hurts run for 2 yds to the Okla 40Similar
Q4 4:42
4TH & 4
OWN 40
+2
97.3%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 42 yds , Tarique Milton returns for 2 yds to the IowSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 23TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 0:553% → 15%
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+27
96.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 27 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
97.1%
Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+15
97.1%
Brock Purdy run for 15 yds to the Okla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
85.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 33 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 24INT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:3794% → 94%
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.8%
T.J. Pledger run for 2 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
94.4%
Kennedy Brooks run for 1 yd to the Okla 28Similar
Q4 2:43
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
94.4%
Jalen Hurts pass intercepted Lawrence White return for 6 yds to the Okla 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 25TD
10 plays · 35 yds · 2:0613% → 35%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
87.2%
Brock Purdy run for 2 yds to the Okla 33Similar
Q4 2:03
2ND & 8
OPP 33
-5
88.0%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Okla 38Similar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 3
OPP 38
0
88.1%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Deshaunte JonesSimilar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+15
88.3%
Brock Purdy run for 15 yds to the Okla 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
85.7%
Breece Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 24Similar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 11
OPP 24
+16
86.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 16 yds to the Okla 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
85.6%
Brock Purdy run for a loss of 5 yards to the Okla 13 Brock Purdy fumbled, recovered by IowSt Brock PurdySimilar
Q4 0:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
0
87.2%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to La'Michael PettwaySimilar
Q4 0:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+13
65.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 13 yds for a TD (Brock Purdy intercepted )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+26.3
TD · Q4 0:24
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 13 yds for a TD (Brock Purdy intercepted )
-22
TD · Q4 3:35
Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 33 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)
-11.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com