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OKST

Oklahoma State 34 at Iowa State 27

ISU
2019 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2019 · Jack Trice Stadium
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Win probability · ISU
modelISU aheadOKST aheadconfidence bandkey playISU scoreOKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Joe Rivera punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 39
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Pregame prior+28.5Home team on offense+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:04: Chuba Hubbard run for 65 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +9.5 pts (now 43%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:18: Breece Hall run for 9 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK) — ISU win probability +15.1 pts (now 70%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 14:56: Matt Ammendola 40 yd FG GOOD — OKST win probability +9.9 pts (now 64%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:06: Breece Hall run for 4 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK) — ISU win probability +25.7 pts (now 66%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:47: Brock Purdy pass intercepted for a TD Malcolm Rodriguez return for 26 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +37.1 pts (now 77%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ISU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10OKST made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00ISU 4th & 14 at ISU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.5%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:33OKST 4th & 5 at OKST 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:17ISU 4th & 3 at OKST 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 77.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.0%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:26ISU 4th & 7 at OKST 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    72.6%−0.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    72.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:51OKST 4th & 4 at OKST 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:31ISU 4th & 11 at OKST 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.6%−1.2
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.8%
    83% to make
    Punt
    55.8%−5.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:04ISU 4th & 3 at OKST 36, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    55.2%−1.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    54.8%−1.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:26ISU 4th & 11 at OKST 22, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%−0.9
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.3%
    72% to make
    Punt
    46.9%−3.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:41OKST 4th & 2 at OKST 30, up 11
    Close callPunted · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.7%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:04ISU 4th & 3 at OKST 12, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.5%−0.7
    86% to make
    Punt
    41.5%−7.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:11OKST 4th & 1 at OKST 32, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.2%−1.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:03ISU 4th & 4 at ISU 30, down 8
    Close callPunted · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.8%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:46OKST 4th & 5 at ISU 32, up 1
    Close callKicked a field goal · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.8%−0.6
    51% to make
    Punt
    38.0%−2.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:42ISU 4th & 8 at ISU 38, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.4%−1.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:56OKST 4th & 5 at ISU 23, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.1%
    70% to make
    Punt
    43.5%−12.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:06OKST 4th & 9 at OKST 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.8%−2.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:41ISU 4th & 20 at ISU 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%−3.8
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.5%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:47OKST 4th & 1 at ISU 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    86.1%−2.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:39OKST 4th & 18 at OKST 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%−1.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ISU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3OKST made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 6:26OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:19ISU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:36OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:04OKST Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:18ISU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:06ISU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.2%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:47OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ISUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
78.5%
Brock Purdy sacked by Israel Antwine for a loss of 5 yards to the IowSt 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
78.5%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+1
78.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 1 yd to the IowSt 21Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
78.5%
Joe Rivera punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
78.1%
Spencer Sanders run for 3 yds to the OKSt 42Similar
Q1 13:33
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+2
78.0%
Spencer Sanders run for 2 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q1 13:33
3RD & 5
OWN 44
0
78.0%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:33
4TH & 5
OWN 44
0
78.1%
Tom Hutton punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 41 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
77.8%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the IowSt 16Similar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+6
77.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 6 yds to the IowSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
77.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Dylan Soehner for 13 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
77.9%
Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the IowSt 37Similar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+9
77.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 9 yds to the IowSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
78.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Johnnie Lang for 3 yds to the IowSt 49Similar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+4
78.0%
Johnnie Lang run for 4 yds to the OKSt 47Similar
Q1 12:17
3RD & 3
OPP 47
0
78.0%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:17
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
77.9%
Joe Rivera punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4TD
4 plays · 90 yds · 1:5923% → 27%
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+11
76.7%
Chuba Hubbard run for 11 yds to the OKSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
76.7%
Chuba Hubbard run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 20Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+9
76.7%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 9 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q1 6:26
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+71
73.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 71 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
73.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 27 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
74.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 3 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 7
OPP 45
0
74.5%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:26
3RD & 7
OPP 45
0
74.4%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:26
4TH & 7
OPP 45
+9
73.7%
Joe Rivera punt for 34 yds , Dillon Stoner returns for 9 yds to the OKSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
72.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 8 yds to the OKSt 28Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+8
72.1%
Chuba Hubbard run for 8 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
72.1%
Chuba Hubbard run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 34Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 12
OWN 34
0
72.6%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:51
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+8
72.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 8 yds to the OKSt 42Similar
Q1 4:51
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
72.4%
Tom Hutton punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 7TD
7 plays · 83 yds · 3:2171% → 75%
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+23
71.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 23 yds to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
72.1%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 9 yds to the IowSt 49Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+9
72.5%
Breece Hall run for 9 yds to the OKSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+21
72.6%
Breece Hall run for 21 yds to the OKSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
73.1%
Breece Hall run for no gain to the OKSt 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+3
71.3%
Brock Purdy run for 3 yds to the OKSt 18Similar
Q2 14:19
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+18
75.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 18 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8TD
5 plays · 82 yds · 1:3627% → 34%
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+20
73.4%
Spencer Sanders run for 20 yds to the OKSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
72.7%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 7 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+5
72.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
50
+50
65.7%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 50 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 9FG
13 plays · 60 yds · 5:0568% → 68%
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
67.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 4 yds to the IowSt 29Similar
Q2 12:36
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
67.8%
Breece Hall run for 11 yds to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+18
68.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 18 yds to the OKSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
69.3%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
Q2 12:36
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+14
69.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 14 yds to the OKSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
70.0%
Johnnie Lang run for 5 yds to the OKSt 19Similar
Q2 12:36
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+4
70.0%
Brock Purdy run for 4 yds to the OKSt 15Similar
Q2 12:36
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+1
69.3%
Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the OKSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
70.0%
Breece Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 15Similar
Q2 12:36
2ND & 11
OPP 15
0
69.9%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Charlie Kolar, broken up by Kolby Harvell-PeelSimilar
Q2 12:36
3RD & 11
OPP 15
0
69.1%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:31
4TH & 11
OPP 15
+32
67.6%
Connor Assalley 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10TD
5 plays · 89 yds · 1:2333% → 43%
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+15
66.8%
Spencer Sanders run for 15 yds to the OKSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
66.6%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 3 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q2 7:27
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+6
66.2%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 6 yds to the OKSt 35Similar
Q2 6:04
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+65
56.6%
Chuba Hubbard run for 65 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 11MISSED FG
15 plays · 53 yds · 3:3856% → 51%
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
56.1%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 12 yds to the IowSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
56.8%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the IowSt 41Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+16
57.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 16 yds to the OKSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
58.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 7 yds to the OKSt 36Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 3
OPP 36
0
58.4%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:04
3RD & 3
OPP 36
0
58.2%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:04
4TH & 3
OPP 36
+5
56.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 5 yds to the OKSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
59.4%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to La'Michael PettwaySimilar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+10
59.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Landen Akers for 10 yds to the OKSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
59.4%
Breece Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 22Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 11
OPP 22
0
59.3%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:35
3RD & 11
OPP 22
0
53.3%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:26
4TH & 11
OPP 22
+39
51.1%
Connor Assalley 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:4548% → 48%
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
51.6%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+2
51.8%
Spencer Sanders run for 2 yds to the OKSt 24Similar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+6
52.0%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Chuba Hubbard for 6 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q2 1:41
4TH & 2
OWN 30
0
51.7%
Tom Hutton punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Deshaunte Jones at the IowSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 13FG
14 plays · 60 yds · 1:3050% → 53%
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
49.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 13 yds to the IowSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
51.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 14 yds to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
52.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 9 yds to the OKSt 36Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 1
OPP 36
0
52.3%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:34
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+2
52.1%
Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
53.8%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Tarique MiltonSimilar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+15
53.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Landen Akers for 15 yds to the OKSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
53.8%
IOWA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the OKSt 24Similar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 15
OPP 24
+5
53.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 5 yds to the OKSt 19Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+7
52.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 7 yds to the OKSt 12Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 3
OPP 12
0
50.6%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to La'Michael Pettway, broken up by A.J. GreenSimilar
Q2 0:04
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+29
53.3%
Connor Assalley 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:4549% → 50%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
50.7%
Chuba Hubbard run for 2 yds to the OKSt 25Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+2
50.4%
Chuba Hubbard run for 2 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+5
51.0%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Chuba Hubbard for 5 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
Q3 13:11
4TH & 1
OWN 32
0
50.4%
Tom Hutton punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Deshaunte Jones at the IowSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0052% → 51%
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
51.5%
Breece Hall run for no gain to the IowSt 24Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+6
51.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 6 yds to the IowSt 30Similar
Q3 13:03
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
51.0%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Tarique Milton, broken up by Tyler LacySimilar
Q3 13:03
4TH & 4
OWN 30
+7
50.5%
Joe Rivera punt for 53 yds , Dillon Stoner returns for 7 yds to the OKSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0052% → 51%
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
47.9%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tylan Wallace, broken up by Anthony JohnsonSimilar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
48.4%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tylan Wallace, broken up by Mike RoseSimilar
Q3 11:24
3RD & 10
OWN 24
0
49.1%
Spencer Sanders pass intercepted Mike Rose return for no gain to the OKSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 18TD
2 plays · 31 yds · 0:4655% → 70%
Q3 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+22
55.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 22 yds to the OKSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
70.4%
Breece Hall run for 9 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19FG
10 plays · 36 yds · 4:2638% → 47%
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
62.1%
Chuba Hubbard run for 8 yds to the OKSt 40Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+5
60.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for 5 yds to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
60.5%
Chuba Hubbard run for no gain to the OKSt 45Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
61.0%
Spencer Sanders run for 3 yds to the OKSt 48Similar
Q3 10:12
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+15
60.9%
Sanders,Spencer sacked for loss of 5 yards to the OSU43 (Rose, Mike), PENALTY ISU face mask (Rose, Mike) 15 yards to the ISU37, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
59.6%
Chuba Hubbard run for 1 yd to the IowSt 36Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+1
59.7%
Chuba Hubbard run for 1 yd to the IowSt 35Similar
Q3 10:12
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+3
60.0%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jelani Woods for 3 yds to the IowSt 32Similar
Q3 5:46
4TH & 5
OPP 32
+49
52.7%
Matt Ammendola 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0056% → 55%
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
56.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 4 yds to the IowSt 29Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
56.7%
Breece Hall run for 7 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
57.2%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Deshaunte Jones, broken up by Jarrick BernardSimilar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
56.9%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Deshaunte JonesSimilar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+2
55.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Landen Akers for 2 yds to the IowSt 38Similar
Q3 5:42
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
55.0%
Joe Rivera punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21FG
9 plays · 58 yds · 4:0250% → 64%
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+12
50.1%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 12 yds to the OKSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
48.7%
Chuba Hubbard run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 30Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+30
49.9%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Jelani Woods for 30 yds to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
45.7%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 12 yds to the IowSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-10
44.9%
Sanders,Spencer rush for no gain to the ISU28, out-of-bounds (White, Lawrence), PENALTY OSU holding (Woods, Jelani) 10 yards to the ISU38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 20
OPP 38
+2
46.2%
Chuba Hubbard run for 2 yds to the IowSt 36Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 18
OPP 36
+7
46.4%
Chuba Hubbard run for 7 yds to the IowSt 29Similar
Q3 3:58
3RD & 11
OPP 29
+6
46.1%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 6 yds to the IowSt 23Similar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 5
OPP 23
+40
36.2%
Matt Ammendola 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 22TD
13 plays · 76 yds · 5:4540% → 66%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
39.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 12 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
40.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 7 yds to the IowSt 43Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+7
43.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
50
0
44.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 10
50
0
43.6%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Tarique Milton, broken up by Kolby Harvell-PeelSimilar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 10
50
+13
41.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 13 yds to the OKSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
45.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 38Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 11
OPP 38
+25
44.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Landen Akers for 12 yds to the OKSt 26 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, face mask (13 yards) (Jarrick Bernard) to the OKSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
40.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 6 yds to the OKSt 7Similar
Q4 10:32
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+3
40.2%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the OKSt 4Similar
Q4 9:06
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+4
65.9%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0046% → 43%
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
54.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 13 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
50.8%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:06
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+1
51.9%
Spencer Sanders run for 1 yd to the OKSt 49Similar
Q4 9:06
3RD & 9
OWN 49
0
53.3%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Chuba HubbardSimilar
Q4 9:06
4TH & 9
OWN 49
0
56.7%
Tom Hutton punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Deshaunte Jones at the IowSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 24INT TD
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:4559% → 23%
Q4 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
59.4%
Brock Purdy run for 6 yds to the IowSt 21Similar
Q4 7:32
2ND & 4
OWN 21
0
60.3%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to La'Michael PettwaySimilar
Q4 6:47
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+26
23.2%
Brock Purdy pass intercepted for a TD Malcolm Rodriguez return for 26 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:0025% → 21%
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
25.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 11 yds to the IowSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
26.5%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Tarique MiltonSimilar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-3
26.0%
Breece Hall run for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 36Similar
Q4 6:41
3RD & 13
OWN 36
-7
23.3%
Brock Purdy sacked by Mike Scott and Cameron Murray for a loss of 7 yards to the IowSt 29Similar
Q4 6:41
4TH & 20
OWN 29
+25
21.4%
Joe Rivera punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 43 , Dillon Stoner returns for 25 yds to the OKSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 26DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3986% → 90%
Q4 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
13.6%
Chuba Hubbard run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:26
2ND & 3
50
+1
12.4%
Chuba Hubbard run for 1 yd to the IowSt 49Similar
Q4 4:26
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+1
13.4%
Chuba Hubbard run for 1 yd to the IowSt 48Similar
Q4 2:47
4TH & 1
OPP 48
-1
10.1%
Chuba Hubbard run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 27INT
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:0024% → 27%
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
24.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 8 yds to the OKSt 43Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+4
26.9%
Brock Purdy pass intercepted Amen Ogbongbemiga return for 4 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 28PUNT
7 plays · -8 yds · 1:3591% → 97%
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
8.7%
Chuba Hubbard run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 44Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 11
OWN 44
-3
5.5%
Spencer Sanders run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 41Similar
Q4 0:46
3RD & 14
OWN 41
-4
2.9%
Chuba Hubbard run for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 37Similar
Q4 0:39
4TH & 18
OWN 37
0
3.3%
Tom Hutton punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IowSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 29INT
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
8.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 12 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
9.3%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:32
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
9.2%
Brock Purdy pass intercepted Tre Sterling return for 2 yds to the IowSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 30END OF GAME
1 play · -6 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-6
4.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the IowSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:47
Brock Purdy pass intercepted for a TD Malcolm Rodriguez return for 26 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)
-37.1
TD · Q4 9:06
Breece Hall run for 4 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK)
+25.7
TD · Q3 10:18
Breece Hall run for 9 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK)
+15.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com