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ISU

Iowa State 34 at Texas Tech 24

TTU
2019 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2019 · Jones AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TTU
modelTTU aheadISU aheadconfidence bandkey playTTU scoreISU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:43 · Trey Wolff 42 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 147Home team on offense−16.6Pregame prior−4.3Score differential−7.8Garbage-time factor−8.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:12: Brock Purdy pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 17 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley PAT MISSED) — ISU win probability +8.0 pts (now 85%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:32: Breece Hall run for 75 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK) — ISU win probability +10.4 pts (now 87%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:00: SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK) — TTU win probability +9.7 pts (now 24%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:54: Breece Hall run for 30 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK) — ISU win probability +9.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:28: Jett Duffey pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 2 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK) — TTU win probability +7.2 pts (now 10%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TTU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8ISU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:43ISU 4th & 13 at TTU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.3%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    68.0%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:43TTU 4th & 3 at ISU 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    31.6%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:58TTU 4th & 5 at TTU 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:25TTU 4th & 5 at TTU 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.6%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:12TTU 4th & 4 at TTU 31, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.1%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:37ISU 4th & 10 at ISU 28, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.7%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:28ISU 4th & 3 at TTU 25, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.0%−0.6
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    74.5%−4.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:45TTU 4th & 4 at ISU 4, down 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.0%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    16.7%−5.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:32TTU 4th & 13 at TTU 16, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−1.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:58ISU 4th & 7 at ISU 41, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.0%−0.9
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:43TTU 4th & 10 at ISU 24, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.1%−1.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.4%
    68% to make
    Punt
    11.9%−6.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:43ISU 4th & 17 at ISU 30, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.5%−4.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:11TTU 4th & 4 at TTU 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TTU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ISU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 4:58ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:25ISU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:12ISU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    81.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:35TTU Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:32ISU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:00TTU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:54ISU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:28TTU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.3%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ISUDrive 1MISSED FG
9 plays · 52 yds · 3:1771% → 70%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
28.7%
Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the IowSt 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+12
28.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 12 yds to the IowSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+38
28.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 38 yds to the TexTc 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
28.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 5 yds to the TexTc 15Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 15
0
28.7%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 15
-15
28.7%
Purdy, Brock pass complete to Milton, Tarique for 5 yards to the TTU10 (Leggett, Thomas), PENALTY ISU pass interference (Allen, Chase) 15 yards to the TTU30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 20
OPP 30
+7
28.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 7 yds to the TexTc 23Similar
Q1 11:43
4TH & 13
OPP 23
+41
30.3%
Brayden Narveson 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 36 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
30.3%
Jett Duffey pass complete to R.J. Turner for 8 yds to the TexTc 31Similar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+5
30.4%
Jett Duffey pass complete to R.J. Turner for 5 yds to the TexTc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
30.3%
Jett Duffey run for 2 yds to the TexTc 38Similar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+14
30.4%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 14 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
30.6%
Jett Duffey pass complete to R.J. Turner for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 49Similar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+8
30.4%
Armand Shyne run for 8 yds to the IowSt 41Similar
Q1 11:43
3RD & 3
OPP 41
0
30.6%
Jett Duffey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:43
4TH & 3
OPP 41
0
30.4%
Austin McNamara punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 3:5569% → 71%
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
31.4%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the IowSt 23Similar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+3
31.4%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the IowSt 26Similar
Q1 8:53
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+9
31.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 9 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
31.2%
Purdy, Brock pass incomplete to Shaw, Sean, PENALTY TTU pass interference (McPhearson, Z.) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN ISU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
50
+10
30.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 10 yds to the TexTc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+19
30.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Dylan Soehner for 19 yds to the TexTc 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-3
30.6%
Breece Hall run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexTc 24Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 13
OPP 24
+24
28.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 24 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
29.9%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Xavier Martin for 5 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
30.1%
Jett Duffey pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 8 yds to the TexTc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
30.2%
Xavier Martin run for 5 yds to the TexTc 43Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 5
OWN 43
0
30.7%
Jett Duffey run for no gain to the TexTc 43Similar
Q1 4:58
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
30.3%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Armand ShyneSimilar
Q1 4:58
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
29.8%
Austin McNamara punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 5TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 5:2170% → 77%
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
29.9%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
29.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 8 yds to the IowSt 28Similar
Q1 2:46
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+4
29.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 4 yds to the IowSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
29.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 8 yds to the IowSt 40Similar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+1
29.1%
Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the IowSt 41Similar
Q1 2:46
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+1
29.2%
Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the IowSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
28.9%
Breece Hall run for 6 yds to the IowSt 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+49
28.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 49 yds to the TexTc 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
28.5%
Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the TexTc 2Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-4
28.5%
Kene Nwangwu run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexTc 6Similar
Q2 12:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
23.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 6 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
24.8%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 27Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
24.9%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 3 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
24.8%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Travis Koontz, broken up by D.J. MillerSimilar
Q2 12:25
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
24.6%
Austin McNamara punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IowSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 7TD
2 plays · 78 yds · 0:5277% → 85%
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+61
23.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 61 yds to the TexTc 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
15.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 17 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
18.4%
Jett Duffey pass complete to R.J. Turner for 5 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
18.8%
Jett Duffey run for 1 yd to the TexTc 31Similar
Q2 10:12
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-5
18.6%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 26Similar
Q2 10:12
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-11
18.2%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Ta'Zhawn Henry for 4 yds to the TexTc 30 TEXAS TECH Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the TexTc 15Similar
Q2 10:12
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+16
18.2%
Jett Duffey pass complete to R.J. Turner for 16 yds to the TexTc 31Similar
Q2 10:12
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
18.3%
Austin McNamara punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Deshaunte Jones at the IowSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:1085% → 85%
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
15.4%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to La'Michael PettwaySimilar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
15.5%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to La'Michael PettwaySimilar
Q2 7:37
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
15.2%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Charlie KolarSimilar
Q2 7:37
4TH & 10
OWN 28
0
15.4%
Joe Rivera punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexTc 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 10TD
11 plays · 69 yds · 3:5118% → 25%
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
17.6%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 11 yds to the TexTc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
18.4%
Jett Duffey pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 2
50
+5
18.8%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 5 yds to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
18.7%
Jett Duffey pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 4 yds to the IowSt 41Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+4
18.8%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Dalton Rigdon for 4 yds to the IowSt 37Similar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+13
18.8%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 13 yds to the IowSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
19.1%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Armand Shyne for 5 yds to the IowSt 19Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+9
19.1%
Jett Duffey pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 9 yds to the IowSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
19.1%
Jett Duffey pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 12Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+6
18.9%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 6 yds to the IowSt 6Similar
Q2 3:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
24.5%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 6 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 11MISSED FG
11 plays · 50 yds · 3:0777% → 81%
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
22.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 6 yds to the IowSt 31Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+17
22.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 17 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+20
21.9%
Breece Hall run for 20 yds to the TexTc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
21.3%
IOWA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 37Similar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 15
OPP 37
+4
21.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 4 yds to the TexTc 33Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 11
OPP 33
+4
21.4%
Brock Purdy run for 4 yds to the TexTc 29Similar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+4
21.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 4 yds to the TexTc 25Similar
Q2 0:28
4TH & 3
OPP 25
+42
19.4%
Brayden Narveson 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0024% → 23%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
23.5%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to T.J. Vasher, broken up by Greg EisworthSimilar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
23.4%
Jett Duffey pass complete to R.J. Turner for 2 yds to the TexTc 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 13FG
17 plays · 90 yds · 6:1523% → 24%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
22.7%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 6 yds to the TexTc 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+1
23.0%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd to the TexTc 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+4
22.6%
Jett Duffey pass complete to R.J. Turner for 4 yds to the TexTc 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
23.1%
Jett Duffey pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 3 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+7
23.2%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Dalton Rigdon for 7 yds to the TexTc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
23.6%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Dalton Rigdon for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
50
+5
24.3%
Jett Duffey run for 5 yds to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+25
24.4%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 25 yds to the IowSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
25.4%
Armand Shyne run for 4 yds to the IowSt 16Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+5
25.4%
Armand Shyne run for 5 yds to the IowSt 11Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+2
24.3%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 2 yds to the IowSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
25.4%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, false start (Dawson Deaton) to the IowSt 14Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
+7
25.3%
Armand Shyne run for 7 yds to the IowSt 7Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
25.4%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to R.J. TurnerSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
24.2%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Armand Shyne for 3 yds to the IowSt 4Similar
Q3 8:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
23.9%
Trey Wolff 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 14TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
13.1%
Breece Hall run for 75 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
13.9%
Jett Duffey pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 1 yd to the TexTc 20Similar
Q3 8:32
2ND & 9
OWN 20
0
13.8%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete, broken up by Tucker RobertsonSimilar
Q3 8:32
3RD & 9
OWN 20
-10
13.7%
Duffey, Jett rush for 20 yards to the TTU40 (Lewis, Braxton), PENALTY TTU holding (Steele, Terence) 10 yards to the TTU10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:32
3RD & 19
OWN 10
+6
13.6%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 6 yds to the TexTc 16Similar
Q3 8:32
4TH & 13
OWN 16
+6
13.6%
Austin McNamara punt for 52 yds , Deshaunte Jones returns for 6 yds to the IowSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
11.7%
Brock Purdy run for 3 yds to the IowSt 41Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
11.6%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Dylan SoehnerSimilar
Q3 6:58
3RD & 7
OWN 41
-5
11.8%
Purdy, Brock pass complete to Kolar, Charlie for 4 yards to the ISU45 (Coleman, D.), PENALTY ISU illegal motion (Kolar, Charlie) 5 yards to the ISU36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:58
3RD & 12
OWN 36
+5
12.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 5 yds to the IowSt 41Similar
Q3 6:58
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
12.5%
Joe Rivera punt for 41 yds , Kevin Terry returns for no gain to the TexTc 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 17TD
17 plays · 82 yds · 4:4712% → 24%
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
12.4%
Jett Duffey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+5
12.3%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 5 yds to the TexTc 23Similar
Q3 4:47
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+9
12.3%
Jett Duffey pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 9 yds T.J. Vasher fumbled, forced by Arnold Azunna, recovered by TexTc for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
12.7%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 3 yds to the TexTc 35Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+10
13.0%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 10 yds to the TexTc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
13.8%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 4 yds to the TexTc 49Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+9
13.9%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 9 yds to the IowSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
14.2%
Jett Duffey pass complete to McLane Mannix for 5 yds to the IowSt 37Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+6
14.4%
Jett Duffey pass complete to KeSean Carter for 6 yds to the IowSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+13
14.7%
Jett Duffey pass complete to R.J. Turner for 13 yds to the IowSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
14.9%
Armand Shyne run for 5 yds to the IowSt 13Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+5
14.9%
Armand Shyne run for 5 yds to the IowSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
14.9%
Armand Shyne run for 3 yds to the IowSt 5Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
14.9%
Jett Duffey run for 3 yds to the IowSt 2Similar
Q3 4:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
14.6%
Armand Shyne run for no gain to the IowSt 2Similar
Q3 4:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
14.4%
Duffey, Jett pass incomplete to Vasher, T.J., PENALTY ISU pass interference (Johnson, An.) 0 yards to the ISU2, 1ST DOWN TTU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
24.1%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 18INT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0080% → 81%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
20.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 10 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
20.0%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Tarique Milton, broken up by Zech McPhearsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+11
20.1%
Brock Purdy pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 11 yds to the IowSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
18.4%
Breece Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 45
0
18.7%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to La'Michael Pettway, broken up by Evan RamboSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 45
+21
19.2%
Brock Purdy pass intercepted Damarcus Fields return for 21 yds to the IowSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 19MISSED FG
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:1122% → 17%
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
21.6%
Jett Duffey pass complete to R.J. Turner for 9 yds to the IowSt 28Similar
Q4 12:54
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+4
23.3%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 4 yds to the IowSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
23.3%
Jett Duffey pass complete to R.J. Turner for no gain to the IowSt 24Similar
Q4 12:54
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
22.7%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q4 12:54
3RD & 10
OPP 24
0
20.9%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to SaRodorick ThompsonSimilar
Q4 11:43
4TH & 10
OPP 24
+42
17.2%
Trey Wolff 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q4 11:43
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+12
18.0%
Breece Hall run for 12 yds to the IowSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
17.9%
Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the IowSt 25Similar
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
16.8%
Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the IowSt 38Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 9
OWN 38
-15
16.6%
Purdy, Brock pass complete to Pettway, L. for 12 yards to the 50 yardline, PENALTY ISU pass interference (Pettway, L.) 15 yards to the ISU23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 24
OWN 23
0
18.3%
Brock Purdy run for no gain to the IowSt 23Similar
Q4 11:43
3RD & 24
OWN 23
+7
18.9%
Breece Hall run for 7 yds to the IowSt 30Similar
Q4 11:43
4TH & 17
OWN 30
0
19.5%
Joe Rivera punt for 42 yds , Zech McPhearson returns for no gain to the TexTc 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0014% → 13%
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
13.7%
Jett Duffey pass complete to McLane Mannix for 4 yds to the TexTc 32Similar
Q4 8:11
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+2
13.8%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Ta'Zhawn Henry for 2 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q4 8:11
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
13.2%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete, broken up by Marcel Spears Jr.Similar
Q4 8:11
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
12.6%
Austin McNamara punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Deshaunte Jones at the IowSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 22TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 1:2288% → 97%
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
12.5%
Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the IowSt 26Similar
Q4 7:16
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+44
12.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 44 yds to the TexTc 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
3.5%
Breece Hall run for 30 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 23TD
16 plays · 73 yds · 4:264% → 10%
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
4.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for no gain to the TexTc 27Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
3.9%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to Dalton RigdonSimilar
Q4 5:54
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+15
3.8%
Jett Duffey pass complete to R.J. Turner for 15 yds to the TexTc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
4.2%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+8
4.1%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:54
3RD & 2
50
+4
4.3%
Armand Shyne run for 4 yds to the IowSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
4.4%
Jett Duffey run for 9 yds to the IowSt 37Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+15
3.1%
Ta'Zhawn Henry run for 15 yds to the IowSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+12
3.5%
Jett Duffey run for 12 yds to the IowSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
3.5%
Jett Duffey sacked by Eyioma Uwazurike for a loss of 5 yards to the IowSt 15Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+5
3.2%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Ta'Zhawn Henry for 5 yds to the IowSt 10Similar
Q4 4:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
-3
3.1%
Jett Duffey run for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 13Similar
Q4 4:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+11
2.9%
Duffey, Jett pass incomplete to Carter, KeSean, PENALTY ISU pass interference (Kyle, Tayvonn) 11 yards to the ISU2, 1ST DOWN TTU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
10.2%
Jett Duffey pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 2 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · 16 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
4.5%
Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the TexTc 39Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+18
4.5%
Breece Hall run for 18 yds to the TexTc 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-4
4.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexTc 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:32
Breece Hall run for 75 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK)
-10.4
TD · Q3 0:00
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK)
+9.7
TD · Q4 5:54
Breece Hall run for 30 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK)
-9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com