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ULM

UL Monroe 20 at Iowa State 72

ISU
2019 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2019 · Jack Trice Stadium
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Win probability · ISU
modelISU aheadULM aheadconfidence bandkey playISU scoreULM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG—ISU 99.9%Connor Assalley 24 yd FG GOODAWAY 20 - HOME 58 · Q4 7:36
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:36 · Connor Assalley 24 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 158Pregame prior+5.9Home team on offense+34.1Score differential+30.2Blowout margin+16.3Garbage-time factor+12.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+11.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:49: Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 73 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK) — ISU win probability +3.5 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:26: Caleb Evans pass complete to Josh Pederson for 19 yds for a TD, (Jared Porter KICK) — ULM win probability +4.5 pts (now 13%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 7:46: Connor Assalley 21 yd FG GOOD — ISU win probability +3.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:50: Josh Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD, (TEAM PAT MISSED) — ULM win probability +5.4 pts (now 15%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:40: Brock Purdy run for 13 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK) — ISU win probability +5.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ISU made the numbers' call on 1 of 3ULM made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00ULM 4th & 10 at ULM 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:11ULM 4th & 13 at ISU 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.4%
    85% to make
    Punt
    12.9%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:12ULM 4th & 10 at ISU 32, tied
    Close callWent for it · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.9%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    14.0%
    51% to make
    Punt
    13.9%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:12ULM 4th & 5 at ISU 24, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    12.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    9.8%−2.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:46ISU 4th & 3 at ULM 3, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.3%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    85.1%−3.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:03ISU 4th & 6 at ULM 20, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.9%
    75% to make
    Punt
    85.1%−2.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:34ULM 4th & 6 at ULM 43, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  8. Q4 15:00ULM 4th & 12 at ULM 17, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  9. Q4 7:36ISU 4th & 5 at ULM 7, up 35
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:04ULM 4th & 1 at ULM 21, down 45
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:26ULM 4th & 7 at ISU 27, down 52
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ISU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9ULM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 4:59ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:03ISU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:49ISU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:26ULM Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:50ULM Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    13.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:40ISU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:37ISU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:56ULM Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 0:19ISU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 10:42ISU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 7:09ISU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 2:32ISU Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULMDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
88.3%
Josh Johnson run for 2 yds to the LaMon 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+10
88.3%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Brandius Batiste for 10 yds to the LaMon 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
88.3%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Chandler Whitfield for no gain to the LaMon 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
88.3%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
88.3%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 45
+7
88.3%
Jared Porter punt for 48 yds , Tarique Milton returns for 7 yds to the IowSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+14
87.8%
Brock Purdy pass intercepted Corey Straughter return for 14 yds to the IowSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 3MISSED FG
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:5512% → 13%
Q1 13:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
87.6%
Caleb Evans run for 2 yds to the IowSt 8Similar
Q1 13:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
87.6%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
87.6%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
87.7%
UL MONROE Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 13Similar
Q1 12:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+30
87.5%
Jared Porter 30 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 4FUMBLE
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
87.5%
Kene Nwangwu run for 3 yds to the IowSt 23Similar
Q1 12:11
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+2
87.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Johnnie Lang for 2 yds to the IowSt 25Similar
Q1 12:11
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+6
87.4%
Brock Purdy run for 6 yds to the IowSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
87.5%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 2 yds to the IowSt 33Similar
Q1 12:11
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+14
87.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 14 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
87.6%
Brock Purdy run for a loss of 5 yards to the IowSt 42 Brock Purdy fumbled, recovered by LaMon Ty ShelbySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 5DOWNS
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
86.6%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Xavier Brown for 6 yds to the IowSt 36Similar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+4
86.6%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Chandler Whitfield for 4 yds to the IowSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
86.6%
Josh Johnson run for 1 yd to the IowSt 31Similar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 9
OPP 31
-1
86.6%
Caleb Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 32Similar
Q1 10:12
3RD & 10
OPP 32
0
86.7%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Xavier BrownSimilar
Q1 10:12
4TH & 10
OPP 32
+1
86.9%
Caleb Evans run for 1 yd to the IowSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 2:5286% → 88%
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
86.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 10 yds to the IowSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
86.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Dylan Soehner for 14 yds to the LaMon 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+19
86.5%
Kene Nwangwu run for 19 yds to the LaMon 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
86.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 6 yds to the LaMon 20Similar
Q1 7:51
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+13
86.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 13 yds to the LaMon 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
87.5%
Brock Purdy run for 7 yds for a TD UL MONROE Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined, (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 7INT
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:0013% → 14%
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
86.9%
Isaiah Phillips run for 3 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
86.9%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Zach Jackson for 8 yds to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
86.8%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Isaiah Phillips for 9 yds to the LaMon 45Similar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+25
86.5%
Caleb Evans pass intercepted Lawrence White return for 25 yds to the LaMon 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8TD
3 plays · 40 yds · 1:0987% → 90%
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
87.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 8 yds to the LaMon 32Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+25
87.4%
Brock Purdy run for 25 yds to the LaMon 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
89.5%
Brock Purdy run for 7 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 9DOWNS
8 plays · 51 yds · 1:5112% → 12%
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+46
88.5%
Josh Johnson run for 46 yds to the IowSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
87.8%
UL MONROE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 34Similar
Q1 2:03
1ST & 15
OPP 34
+3
88.2%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Markis McCray for 3 yds to the IowSt 31Similar
Q1 2:03
2ND & 12
OPP 31
+1
88.1%
Caleb Evans run for 1 yd to the IowSt 30Similar
Q1 2:03
3RD & 11
OPP 30
+6
88.4%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Markis McCray for 6 yds to the IowSt 24Similar
Q1 0:12
4TH & 5
OPP 24
0
88.0%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:2089% → 92%
Q1 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
88.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Johnnie Lang for 2 yds to the IowSt 27Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+73
92.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 73 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 11TD
11 plays · 83 yds · 4:178% → 13%
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
92.4%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:43
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+5
92.5%
Caleb Evans run for 5 yds to the LaMon 22Similar
Q2 14:43
3RD & 5
OWN 22
+7
92.5%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Zach Jackson for 7 yds to the LaMon 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
92.3%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Zach Jackson for 8 yds to the LaMon 37Similar
Q2 14:43
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+6
92.0%
Josh Johnson run for 6 yds to the LaMon 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-16
92.1%
Caleb Evans sacked by Matt Leo for a loss of 16 yards to the LaMon 27 UL MONROE Penalty, intentional grounding ( Yards) to the LaMon 27Similar
Q2 14:43
2ND & 26
OWN 27
+14
92.5%
Caleb Evans run for 14 yds to the LaMon 41Similar
Q2 14:43
3RD & 12
OWN 41
+40
92.5%
Caleb Evans run for 40 yds to the IowSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
91.5%
Josh Johnson run for no gain to the IowSt 19Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+19
87.0%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Josh Pederson for 19 yds for a TD, (Jared Porter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 12FG
9 plays · 61 yds · 2:3489% → 93%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+47
89.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 47 yds to the LaMon 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
89.6%
Johnnie Lang run for 9 yds to the LaMon 8Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 1
OPP 8
+2
89.6%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 2 yds to the LaMon 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
89.6%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Charlie Kolar, broken up by Keilos SwinneySimilar
Q2 8:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
89.6%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 3 yds to the LaMon 3Similar
Q2 8:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
89.2%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Chase AllenSimilar
Q2 7:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
93.0%
Connor Assalley 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 13TD
14 plays · 87 yds · 4:569% → 15%
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
91.0%
UL MONROE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Kerry Starks) to the LaMon 13Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+11
90.7%
Caleb Evans run for 11 yds to the LaMon 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
90.6%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Brandius BatisteSimilar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
90.7%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Josh Pederson for 4 yds to the LaMon 44Similar
Q2 7:46
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+17
90.7%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Josh Pederson for 17 yds to the IowSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
89.9%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Markis McCray, broken up by Jake HummelSimilar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+1
90.0%
Isaiah Phillips run for 1 yd to the IowSt 38Similar
Q2 7:46
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+20
90.4%
Caleb Evans run for 20 yds to the IowSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+17
89.6%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Brandius Batiste for 17 yds to the IowSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
91.0%
Josh Johnson run for 6 yds to the LaMon 19Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+5
91.0%
Josh Johnson run for 5 yds to the LaMon 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
91.0%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Markis McCray for 5 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
Q2 2:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
85.5%
Josh Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD, (TEAM PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 14FG
16 plays · 55 yds · 2:4788% → 91%
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
87.7%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 4 yds to the IowSt 29Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
87.7%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:50
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+9
87.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 9 yds to the IowSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
88.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 4 yds to the IowSt 42Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+4
88.4%
Brock Purdy run for 4 yds to the IowSt 46Similar
Q2 2:50
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+4
87.9%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
50
+26
88.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 26 yds to the LaMon 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
88.6%
IOWA ST Penalty, false start (Charlie Kolar) to the LaMon 29Similar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 15
OPP 29
+9
90.1%
Brock Purdy run for 9 yds to the LaMon 20Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 6
OPP 20
0
89.8%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 6
OPP 20
0
88.8%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Charlie KolarSimilar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+37
90.9%
Connor Assalley 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 16TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:2091% → 97%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
90.7%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 1 yd to the IowSt 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+26
90.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 26 yds to the LaMon 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
91.1%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 4 yds to the LaMon 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+9
91.1%
Brock Purdy run for 9 yds to the LaMon 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+22
91.1%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 22 yds to the LaMon 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
96.9%
Brock Purdy run for 13 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
95.9%
Josh Johnson run for 3 yds to the LaMon 27Similar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 7
OWN 27
-1
95.8%
Caleb Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 26Similar
Q3 12:34
3RD & 8
OWN 26
+13
96.0%
Caleb Evans run for 13 yds to the LaMon 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
95.7%
Caleb Evans sacked by Eyioma Uwazurike and O'Rien Vance for a loss of 5 yards to the LaMon 34Similar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 15
OWN 34
+9
96.0%
Josh Johnson run for 9 yds to the LaMon 43Similar
Q3 12:34
3RD & 6
OWN 43
0
95.7%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Markis McCraySimilar
Q3 12:34
4TH & 6
OWN 43
+6
95.8%
Jared Porter punt for 47 yds , Tarique Milton returns for 6 yds to the IowSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 18TD
3 plays · 84 yds · 0:5797% → 100%
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
97.1%
Breece Hall run for no gain to the IowSt 16Similar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
97.1%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to La'Michael PettwaySimilar
Q3 8:37
3RD & 10
OWN 16
+84
99.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 84 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 19TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 4:351% → 3%
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
99.5%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Jonathan Hodoh for 2 yds to the LaMon 26Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+7
99.5%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Chandler Whitfield for 7 yds to the LaMon 33Similar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+3
99.4%
Caleb Evans run for 3 yds to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
99.5%
Caleb Evans run for 5 yds to the LaMon 41Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
99.4%
Josh Johnson run for no gain to the LaMon 41Similar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+6
99.4%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Jonathan Hodoh for 6 yds to the LaMon 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
99.4%
Josh Johnson run for 4 yds to the IowSt 49Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+4
99.4%
Isaiah Phillips run for 4 yds to the IowSt 45Similar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+7
99.4%
Caleb Evans run for 7 yds to the IowSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
97.5%
Jonathan Hodoh 38 Yd pass from Caleb Evans (Jared Porter Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 20TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:3797% → 100%
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.1%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for no gain to the IowSt 25Similar
Q3 3:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
97.1%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Sheldon Croney Jr. for 15 yds to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
97.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 16 yds to the LaMon 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
97.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 11 yds to the LaMon 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+21
97.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 21 yds to the LaMon 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
97.3%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for no gain to the LaMon 12Similar
Q3 0:19
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 12 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:140% → 0%
Q3 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
99.8%
Josh Johnson run for 3 yds to the LaMon 22Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+1
99.8%
Josh Johnson run for 1 yd to the LaMon 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 23
-6
99.9%
Caleb Evans sacked by Arnold Azunna for a loss of 6 yards to the LaMon 17Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 17
0
99.8%
Jared Porter punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tarique Milton at the IowSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 22TD
6 plays · 54 yds · 2:53100% → 100%
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+18
99.8%
Re-al Mitchell run for 18 yds to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+13
99.8%
Breece Hall run for 13 yds to the LaMon 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
99.8%
Re-al Mitchell run for 3 yds to the LaMon 20Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+6
99.8%
Breece Hall run for 6 yds to the LaMon 14Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+5
99.8%
Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the LaMon 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
Re-al Mitchell pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 9 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 23FUMBLE
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Isaiah Phillips run for 2 yds to the LaMon 27Similar
Q4 10:42
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Xavier Brown, broken up by Tucker RobertsonSimilar
Q4 10:42
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+10
99.9%
Colby Suits pass complete to Perry Carter Jr. for 10 yds Perry Carter Jr. fumbled, forced by Jatairis Grant, recovered by IowSt D.J. MillerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 24FG
6 plays · 30 yds · 2:23100% → 100%
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
99.9%
Re-al Mitchell run for 15 yds to the LaMon 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+10
99.9%
Jirehl Brock run for 10 yds to the LaMon 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
99.9%
Jirehl Brock run for 2 yds to the LaMon 10Similar
Q4 8:06
2ND & 18
OPP 20
0
99.9%
Re-al Mitchell pass incomplete to Landen AkersSimilar
Q4 8:06
3RD & 18
OPP 20
+13
99.9%
Jirehl Brock run for 13 yds to the LaMon 7Similar
Q4 7:36
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+24
99.9%
Connor Assalley 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 25INT TD
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:270% → 0%
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.9%
Isaiah Phillips run for no gain to the LaMon 25 for a 1ST down IOWA ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Tucker Robertson) to the LaMon 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+48
99.9%
Colby Suits pass intercepted for a TD Jake Hummel return for 48 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
99.9%
Isaiah Phillips run for 2 yds to the LaMon 14Similar
Q4 7:04
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+7
99.9%
Isaiah Phillips run for 7 yds to the LaMon 21Similar
Q4 7:04
3RD & 1
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Isaiah Phillips run for no gain to the LaMon 21Similar
Q4 7:04
4TH & 1
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Jared Porter punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tarique Milton at the IowSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 27TD
5 plays · 63 yds · 2:27100% → 100%
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
99.9%
Landen Akers run for 8 yds to the IowSt 45Similar
Q4 4:59
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+10
99.9%
Jirehl Brock run for 10 yds to the LaMon 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
99.9%
Jirehl Brock run for 5 yds to the LaMon 40Similar
Q4 4:59
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+11
99.9%
Breece Hall run for 11 yds to the LaMon 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
100.0%
Re-al Mitchell run for 29 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 28DOWNS
9 plays · 55 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
100.0%
Isaiah Phillips run for 9 yds to the LaMon 27Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 1
OWN 27
+11
100.0%
Colby Suits pass complete to Zach Jackson for 11 yds to the LaMon 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
100.0%
Isaiah Phillips run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 37 for a 1ST down IOWA ST Penalty, personal foul (Tucker Robertson) to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+18
100.0%
Chandler Whitfield run for 18 yds to the IowSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
100.0%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Zach Jackson, broken up by D.J. MillerSimilar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+3
100.0%
Colby Suits run for 3 yds to the IowSt 27Similar
Q4 2:26
3RD & 7
OPP 27
0
100.0%
Colby Suits pass incomplete, broken up by Jared GescheidlerSimilar
Q4 2:26
4TH & 7
OPP 27
0
100.0%
Colby Suits pass incomplete, broken up by Jared GescheidlerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 29END OF GAME
1 play · -4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-4
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the IowSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:40
Brock Purdy run for 13 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK)
+5.8
TD · Q2 2:50
Josh Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD, (TEAM PAT MISSED)
-5.4
TD · Q2 10:26
Caleb Evans pass complete to Josh Pederson for 19 yds for a TD, (Jared Porter KICK)
-4.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com