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IOWA

Iowa 18 at Iowa State 17

ISU
2019 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2019 · Jack Trice Stadium
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Win probability · ISU
modelISU aheadIOWA aheadconfidence bandkey playISU scoreIOWA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDFGTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:45 · Joe Rivera punt for 37 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingGarbage-time factor
+21.5+10.80−10.8−21.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 35Home team on offense+1.5Pregame prior−5.7Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 14:03: Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 73 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK) — ISU win probability +13.3 pts (now 68%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 2:15: Keith Duncan 42 yd FG GOOD — IOWA win probability +13.9 pts (now 40%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:10: Nate Stanley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — IOWA win probability +20.2 pts (now 62%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 7:46: Connor Assalley 26 yd FG GOOD — ISU win probability +12.1 pts (now 66%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 4:51: Keith Duncan 39 yd FG GOOD — IOWA win probability +18.2 pts (now 62%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ISU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6IOWA made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 7:37IOWA 4th & 1 at ISU 7, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.0%−0.5
    91% to make
    Punt
    49.8%−1.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:42IOWA 4th & 4 at IOWA 19, down 4
    Close callPunted · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:45ISU 4th & 8 at IOWA 37, up 4
    Close callPunted · 51.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    51.8%−0.2
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    51.7%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:24IOWA 4th & 9 at midfield, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:35ISU 4th & 11 at IOWA 48, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%−0.8
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:23IOWA 4th & 8 at IOWA 6, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:19IOWA 4th & 1 at IOWA 36, down 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsPunted · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%−2.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:21ISU 4th & 13 at IOWA 42, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.4%−1.5
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    71.8%−1.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    72.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:15IOWA 4th & 8 at ISU 24, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%−1.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    9.7%−12.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:24ISU 4th & 10 at ISU 6, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%−4.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:46ISU 4th & 8 at IOWA 9, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%−7.9
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    34.5%−20.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:51IOWA 4th & 4 at ISU 21, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%−6.6
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.9%
    74% to make
    Punt
    22.6%−20.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:00ISU 4th & 13 at IOWA 39, down 1
    Numbers favored field goal by 7.4 ptsWent for it · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.6%−7.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    43.0%
    36% to make
    Punt
    33.5%−9.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:29IOWA 4th & 13 at IOWA 36, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%−9.9
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ISU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2IOWA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 5:44ISU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 14:03ISU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 12:10IOWA Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    55.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    55.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1FG
16 plays · 68 yds · 7:1957% → 56%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
42.7%
Nate Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
42.8%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 1 yd to the Iowa 26Similar
Q1 14:35
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+11
42.8%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 11 yds to the Iowa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
43.0%
Mekhi Sargent run for 5 yds to the Iowa 42Similar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
43.1%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Brandon SmithSimilar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+8
43.2%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
50
+6
43.2%
Mekhi Sargent run for 6 yds to the IowSt 44Similar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+15
43.2%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for 15 yds to the IowSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
43.2%
Tyler Goodson run for 3 yds to the IowSt 26Similar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 7
OPP 26
0
43.3%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Tyrone Tracy Jr.Similar
Q1 10:12
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+10
43.6%
Nate Stanley run for 10 yds to the IowSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
43.4%
Mekhi Sargent run for no gain to the IowSt 16Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+6
43.4%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 6 yds to the IowSt 10Similar
Q1 8:13
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+3
43.8%
Mekhi Sargent run for 3 yds to the IowSt 7Similar
Q1 7:37
4TH & 1
OPP 7
+25
43.7%
Keith Duncan 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2TD
6 plays · 86 yds · 1:3444% → 47%
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+12
43.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 12 yds to the IowSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
44.1%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 12 yds to the IowSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
44.4%
Johnnie Lang run for 7 yds to the IowSt 45Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+4
45.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Johnnie Lang for 4 yds to the IowSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
47.4%
La'Michael Pettway 51 Yd pass from Deshaunte Jones (Connor Assalley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:4953% → 52%
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
46.9%
Mekhi Sargent run for 6 yds to the Iowa 19Similar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 4
OWN 19
0
47.1%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-MarsetteSimilar
Q1 4:49
3RD & 4
OWN 19
0
47.5%
Nate Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:42
4TH & 4
OWN 19
0
48.0%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Tarique Milton at the IowSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:5047% → 48%
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
47.2%
Brock Purdy run for 10 yds to the IowSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
48.2%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Joseph ScatesSimilar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+17
47.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 17 yds to the Iowa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
48.6%
Breece Hall run for no gain to the Iowa 39Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+4
48.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 4 yds to the Iowa 35Similar
Q1 2:54
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+3
48.8%
Brock Purdy run for 3 yds to the Iowa 32Similar
Q1 2:14
4TH & 3
OPP 32
-5
48.0%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 37Similar
Q1 1:45
4TH & 8
OPP 37
0
48.0%
Joe Rivera punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 3:1352% → 51%
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
48.0%
Toren Young run for 9 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 1
OWN 29
0
47.4%
Toren Young run for no gain to the Iowa 29Similar
Q1 0:33
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
48.4%
Brady Ross run for 2 yds to the Iowa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+18
48.4%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 18 yds to the Iowa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
47.3%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Tyrone Tracy Jr.Similar
Q2 14:22
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-5
47.5%
IOWA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 44Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 15
OWN 44
+6
48.5%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Mekhi Sargent for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:32
3RD & 9
50
0
48.3%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Nico RagainiSimilar
Q2 13:24
4TH & 9
50
0
49.4%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 3:4249% → 50%
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
49.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 7 yds to the IowSt 27Similar
Q2 12:53
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+8
49.8%
Brock Purdy run for 8 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
49.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 1 yd to the IowSt 36Similar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+17
50.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 17 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-3
51.9%
Deshaunte Jones sacked by Kristian Welch for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 13
50
+1
51.1%
Brock Purdy run for 1 yd to the Iowa 49Similar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 12
OPP 49
+1
50.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Sheldon Croney Jr. for 1 yd to the Iowa 48Similar
Q2 9:35
4TH & 11
OPP 48
0
50.1%
Joe Rivera punt for 44 yds, downed at the Iowa 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:5749% → 46%
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
51.0%
Toren Young run for 4 yds to the Iowa 8Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 6
OWN 8
+5
51.4%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Mekhi Sargent for 5 yds to the Iowa 13Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 1
OWN 13
-7
52.6%
Nate Stanley sacked by Anthony Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the Iowa 6Similar
Q2 7:23
4TH & 8
OWN 6
0
54.0%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Deshaunte Jones at the IowSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8FUMBLE
5 plays · 22 yds · 2:1455% → 57%
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
54.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 3 yds to the Iowa 49Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+5
55.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 5 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q2 5:49
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+11
55.3%
Kene Nwangwu run for 11 yds to the Iowa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
56.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 3 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+11
56.8%
Brock Purdy run for 11 yds to the Iowa 19 Brock Purdy fumbled, recovered by IowaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9END OF HALF
15 plays · 59 yds · 4:5447% → 51%
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
52.9%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 8 yds to the Iowa 27Similar
Q2 4:24
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+1
52.0%
Mekhi Sargent run for 1 yd to the Iowa 28Similar
Q2 3:55
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+3
53.2%
Nate Stanley run for 3 yds to the Iowa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+22
52.9%
Mekhi Sargent run for 22 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
50.4%
Mekhi Sargent run for no gain to the IowSt 47Similar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+12
51.7%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Brandon Smith for 12 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
49.6%
Toren Young run for no gain to the IowSt 35Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+7
49.8%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 7 yds to the IowSt 28Similar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+4
50.7%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 4 yds to the IowSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
51.9%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Brandon Smith for 2 yds to the IowSt 22Similar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 8
OPP 22
0
54.5%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Ivory Kelly-Martin for no gain to the IowSt 22Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 22
+40
49.5%
Keith Duncan 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10TD
3 plays · 76 yds · 0:3955% → 68%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
54.7%
Kene Nwangwu run for 3 yds to the IowSt 27Similar
Q3 14:03
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+73
68.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 73 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3434% → 33%
Q3 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
66.0%
Nate Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+9
66.5%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Brandon Smith for 9 yds to the Iowa 36Similar
Q3 13:25
3RD & 1
OWN 36
0
65.0%
Mekhi Sargent run for no gain to the Iowa 36Similar
Q3 12:19
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
67.5%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Deshaunte Jones at the IowSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 45 yds · 3:5168% → 70%
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+18
68.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 18 yds to the IowSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
69.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 7 yds to the IowSt 38Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 3
OWN 38
0
71.6%
Brock Purdy run for no gain to the IowSt 38Similar
Q3 10:35
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+9
70.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 9 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
72.4%
Kene Nwangwu run for 14 yds to the Iowa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
73.5%
Kene Nwangwu run for 2 yds to the Iowa 37Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 8
OPP 37
0
73.9%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Kene NwangwuSimilar
Q3 8:29
3RD & 8
OPP 37
0
72.9%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:29
4TH & 8
OPP 37
-5
71.4%
IOWA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 42Similar
Q3 8:21
4TH & 13
OPP 42
0
70.0%
Joe Rivera punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13FG
12 plays · 56 yds · 5:5730% → 40%
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
69.7%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nate Wieting for 6 yds to the Iowa 26Similar
Q3 7:49
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+5
69.2%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 5 yds to the Iowa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-16
70.5%
Nate Stanley sacked by TEAM for a loss of 16 yards to the Iowa 15 IOWA Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the Iowa 15Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 26
OWN 15
+4
71.1%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 4 yds to the Iowa 19Similar
Q3 6:12
3RD & 22
OWN 19
+27
74.1%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 27 yds to the Iowa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
69.9%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 9 yds to the IowSt 45Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+5
69.8%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 5 yds to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+14
70.8%
Tyler Goodson run for 14 yds to the IowSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
68.8%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Brandon SmithSimilar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
69.6%
Ihmir Smith-Marsette run for no gain to the IowSt 26Similar
Q3 2:54
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+2
74.3%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 2 yds to the IowSt 24Similar
Q3 2:15
4TH & 8
OPP 24
+42
60.4%
Keith Duncan 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:3565% → 63%
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-1
64.9%
Johnnie Lang run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 5Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 11
OWN 5
+1
64.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 1 yd to the IowSt 6Similar
Q3 0:34
3RD & 10
OWN 6
0
63.7%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:24
4TH & 10
OWN 6
+15
62.8%
Joe Rivera punt for 34 yds , Nico Ragaini returns for 15 yds to the IowSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15TD
7 plays · 25 yds · 3:0144% → 62%
Q3 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
56.0%
Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 26Similar
Q4 14:57
2ND & 11
OPP 26
0
56.9%
Nate Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 11
OPP 26
+14
59.2%
Nate Stanley run for 14 yds to the IowSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
56.3%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 2 yds to the IowSt 10Similar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+6
56.6%
Nate Stanley run for 6 yds to the IowSt 4Similar
Q4 12:48
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+3
58.7%
Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 3 yds to the IowSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
38.5%
Nate Stanley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 16FG
14 plays · 66 yds · 4:1947% → 66%
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
46.6%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Deshaunte JonesSimilar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
46.3%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:52
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+11
44.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Darren Wilson for 11 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
48.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 13 yds to the IowSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
51.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 15 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
52.8%
Brock Purdy run for 4 yds to the Iowa 32Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+7
55.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 7 yds to the Iowa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
55.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 8 yds to the Iowa 17Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+6
55.7%
Kene Nwangwu run for 6 yds to the Iowa 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
55.8%
Brock Purdy run for 2 yds to the Iowa 9Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 8
OPP 9
0
56.0%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Charlie KolarSimilar
Q4 7:51
3RD & 8
OPP 9
0
53.4%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to La'Michael PettwaySimilar
Q4 7:46
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+26
65.5%
Connor Assalley 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17FG
9 plays · 54 yds · 2:4937% → 62%
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.7%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-MarsetteSimilar
Q4 7:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
62.8%
Mekhi Sargent run for 6 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q4 6:46
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+14
61.1%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Mekhi Sargent for 14 yds to the Iowa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+28
57.9%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Brandon Smith for 28 yds to the IowSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
53.6%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Shaun BeyerSimilar
Q4 5:39
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+6
54.3%
Mekhi Sargent run for 6 yds to the IowSt 21Similar
Q4 4:56
3RD & 4
OPP 21
0
56.2%
Nate Stanley pass incomplete to Nico RagainiSimilar
Q4 4:51
4TH & 4
OPP 21
+39
38.0%
Keith Duncan 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 36 yds · 2:4147% → 47%
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
47.1%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 21 yds to the IowSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+18
52.7%
Kene Nwangwu run for 18 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
54.1%
IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 41Similar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 15
OPP 41
+7
50.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 7 yds to the Iowa 34Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 8
OPP 34
-5
55.5%
Brock Purdy run for a loss of 5 yards to the Iowa 39Similar
Q4 2:13
3RD & 13
OPP 39
0
47.6%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 13
OPP 39
0
46.6%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19FUMBLE
8 plays · -3 yds · 0:2771% → 68%
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
29.0%
Mekhi Sargent run for 2 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+1
26.5%
Mekhi Sargent run for 1 yd to the Iowa 42Similar
Q4 1:37
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+4
25.6%
Nate Stanley pass complete to Nate Wieting for 4 yds to the Iowa 46Similar
Q4 1:37
4TH & 3
OWN 46
-5
27.1%
IOWA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 41Similar
Q4 1:37
4TH & 8
OWN 41
-5
29.5%
IOWA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 36Similar
Q4 1:29
4TH & 13
OWN 36
0
31.6%
Michael Sleep-Dalton punt for 42 yds , Datrone Young returns for no gain to the IowSt 22 Datrone Young fumbled, recovered by IowaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 20END OF GAME
3 plays · -8 yds · 0:5780% → 84%
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-2
19.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 24Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 12
OPP 24
-3
15.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 27Similar
Q4 0:28
3RD & 15
OPP 27
-3
15.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:10
Nate Stanley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-20.2
FG · Q4 4:51
Keith Duncan 39 yd FG GOOD
-18.2
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-15.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com