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UNI

Northern Iowa 26 at Iowa State 29

ISU
2019 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2019 · Jack Trice Stadium
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Win probability · ISU
modelISU aheadUNI aheadconfidence bandkey playISU scoreUNI score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGFGTDFGFGFGFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Joe Rivera punt for 41 yds, downed at the NIowa 9
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseTime remainingDefense timeoutsOffense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 9Pregame prior+44.2Home team on offense+0.0Time remaining+0.0Defense timeouts+0.0Offense timeouts+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q4 0:59: Connor Assalley 23 yd FG GOOD — ISU win probability +29.5 pts (now 63%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  2. FG · OT 0:00: Matthew Cook 49 Yd Field Goal — UNI win probability +16.0 pts (now 71%) (top driver: UNI has the ball).
  3. FG · OT 0:00: Connor Assalley 22 Yd Field Goal — ISU win probability +21.0 pts (now 59%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  4. TD · OT 0:00: Will McElvain pass complete to Trevor Allen for 7 yds for a TD Will McElvain pass complete to Trevor Allen for 7 yds for a TD Will McElvain pass complete to Trevor Allen for 7 yds for a TD, (Matthew Cook KICK) — UNI win probability +36.4 pts (now 57%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Sheldon Croney Jr. 1 Yd Run — ISU win probability +48.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ISU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8UNI made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00ISU 4th & 1 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.8%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:24UNI 4th & 15 at UNI 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:55ISU 4th & 4 at ISU 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 91.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:55UNI 4th & 6 at UNI 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:53ISU 4th & 10 at UNI 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.7%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.8%
    66% to make
    Punt
    88.1%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:15UNI 4th & 29 at ISU 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−0.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:07ISU 4th & 1 at UNI 45, up 3
    Close callPunted · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    84.9%−1.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.4%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:01UNI 4th & 9 at UNI 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:38ISU 4th & 1 at UNI 41, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    84.6%−1.4
    32% to make
    Punt
    84.7%−1.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:40UNI 4th & 10 at ISU 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:56UNI 4th & 13 at ISU 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.7%−1.1
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.8%
    51% to make
    Punt
    15.8%−0.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:44UNI 4th & 1 at ISU 14, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.4%−2.7
    84% to make
    Punt
    6.4%−10.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:49ISU 4th & 4 at UNI 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%−2.0
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.0%
    85% to make
    Punt
    38.3%−16.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:49UNI 4th & 9 at UNI 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.3%−5.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:51ISU 4th & 4 at UNI 38, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    48.1%−2.5
    38% to make
    Punt
    45.5%−5.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:59ISU 4th & 5 at UNI 5, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%−12.3
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.7%
    92% to make
    Punt
    10.9%−36.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ISU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q3 8:31ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ISUDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
94.2%
Johnnie Lang run for 4 yds to the IowSt 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 27
0
94.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for no gain to the IowSt 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+14
94.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 14 yds to the IowSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-11
94.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 4 yds to the IowSt 45 IOWA ST Penalty, personal foul (Johnnie Lang) to the IowSt 30Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 21
OWN 30
+5
94.2%
Johnnie Lang run for 5 yds to the IowSt 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 35
+15
94.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 15 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
50
0
94.2%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Deshaunte JonesSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
50
0
94.2%
Joe Rivera punt for 41 yds, downed at the NIowa 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 2PUNT
11 plays · 32 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
93.6%
Will McElvain pass complete to Briley Moore for 5 yds to the NIowa 14Similar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+2
93.6%
Trevor Allen run for 2 yds to the NIowa 16Similar
Q1 12:24
3RD & 3
OWN 16
+19
93.6%
Will McElvain pass complete to Trevor Allen for 19 yds to the NIowa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
93.6%
Trevor Allen run for 1 yd to the NIowa 36Similar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+6
93.6%
Will McElvain pass complete to Deion McShane for 6 yds to the NIowa 42Similar
Q1 12:24
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+4
93.6%
Will McElvain pass complete to Deion McShane for 4 yds to the NIowa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
93.5%
Will McElvain pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
93.6%
Will McElvain run for no gain to the NIowa 46Similar
Q1 12:24
3RD & 10
OWN 46
0
93.6%
Will McElvain pass incomplete to Trevor AllenSimilar
Q1 12:24
4TH & 10
OWN 46
-5
93.6%
NORTHERN IOWA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the NIowa 41Similar
Q1 12:24
4TH & 15
OWN 41
0
93.6%
Zac Kibby punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Deshaunte Jones at the IowSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:0092% → 93%
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
92.4%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the IowSt 19Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+10
92.4%
Purdy, Brock pass incomplete to Soehner, Dylan, dropped pass, PENALTY UNI holding (Thomas, Seth) 10 yards to the ISU29, 1ST DOWN ISU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
92.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 12 yds to the IowSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-10
92.6%
Brock Purdy sacked by Seth Thomas for a loss of 10 yards to the IowSt 31Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 20
OWN 31
+5
92.4%
Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the IowSt 36Similar
Q1 7:55
3RD & 15
OWN 36
+11
92.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 11 yds to the IowSt 47Similar
Q1 7:55
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
92.5%
Joe Rivera punt for 41 yds, downed at the NIowa 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:009% → 8%
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
91.5%
Trevor Allen run for 2 yds to the NIowa 14Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+2
91.5%
Trevor Allen run for 2 yds to the NIowa 16Similar
Q1 4:55
3RD & 6
OWN 16
0
91.6%
Will McElvain pass incomplete to Briley Moore, broken up by Lawrence WhiteSimilar
Q1 4:55
4TH & 6
OWN 16
0
91.7%
Zac Kibby punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Deshaunte Jones at the IowSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 5FG
10 plays · 34 yds · 2:3791% → 91%
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
91.3%
Johnnie Lang run for 1 yd to the IowSt 42Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+10
91.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 10 yds to the NIowa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
91.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 11 yds to the NIowa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+12
91.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 12 yds to the NIowa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-4
91.5%
Johnnie Lang run for 11 yds to the NIowa 14 IOWA ST Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the NIowa 29Similar
Q1 2:07
1ST & 14
OPP 29
0
91.4%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:07
2ND & 14
OPP 29
+4
91.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Darren Wilson for 4 yds to the NIowa 25Similar
Q1 2:07
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
91.3%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete, broken up by Seth ThomasSimilar
Q1 0:53
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+42
90.9%
Connor Assalley 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 6PUNT
15 plays · 28 yds · 6:339% → 11%
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
91.3%
Will McElvain pass complete to Briley Moore for 5 yds to the NIowa 30Similar
Q1 0:48
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
91.1%
Will McElvain pass complete to Jalen Rima for 7 yds to the NIowa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
90.9%
Alphonso Soko run for 2 yds to the NIowa 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+22
90.7%
Will McElvain pass complete to Isaiah Weston for 22 yds to the IowSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
90.5%
Will McElvain pass complete to Jaylin James for 9 yds to the IowSt 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 30
-2
90.3%
Alphonso Soko run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+4
90.5%
Alphonso Soko run for 4 yds to the IowSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
90.3%
Trevor Allen run for no gain to the IowSt 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-10
90.3%
McElvain,Will rush for 2 yards to the ISU26 (Spears, Marcel), PENALTY UNI holding (Penning, Trevor) 10 yards to the ISU38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 20
OPP 38
-5
90.7%
Alphonso Soko run for a loss of 5 yards to the IowSt 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 25
OPP 43
-4
90.9%
Will McElvain sacked by Marcel Spears Jr. and Mike Rose for a loss of 4 yards to the IowSt 47Similar
Q2 9:15
4TH & 29
OPP 47
0
89.5%
Zac Kibby punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Tarique Milton at the IowSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 39 yds · 3:0289% → 89%
Q2 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
88.9%
Breece Hall run for 9 yds to the IowSt 25Similar
Q2 9:09
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+21
89.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Landen Akers for 21 yds to the IowSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
89.6%
Purdy, Brock pass incomplete to Wilson, Darren (Jegen,C.), QB hurry by Brown,Omar, PENALTY ISU ineligible downfield on pass (Meeker, Bryce) 5 yards to the ISU41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:09
1ST & 15
OWN 41
+5
89.1%
Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the IowSt 46Similar
Q2 9:09
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+5
89.3%
Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the NIowa 49Similar
Q2 9:09
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+4
89.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 4 yds to the NIowa 45Similar
Q2 6:07
4TH & 1
OPP 45
0
88.7%
Joe Rivera punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Xavior Williams at the NIowa 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q2 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
89.2%
Will McElvain pass complete to Deion McShane for 3 yds to the NIowa 15Similar
Q2 6:01
2ND & 7
OWN 15
0
89.2%
Will McElvain pass incomplete to Trevor Allen, broken up by Eyioma UwazurikeSimilar
Q2 6:01
3RD & 7
OWN 15
-2
89.5%
Will McElvain sacked by O'Rien Vance for a loss of 2 yards to the NIowa 13Similar
Q2 6:01
4TH & 9
OWN 13
0
89.8%
Zac Kibby punt for 37 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 9DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
50
+3
88.7%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the NIowa 47Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+6
88.8%
Breece Hall run for 6 yds to the NIowa 41Similar
Q2 4:38
3RD & 1
OPP 41
0
88.7%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Tarique MiltonSimilar
Q2 4:38
4TH & 1
OPP 41
0
88.2%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Chase Allen, broken up by Xavior WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
87.6%
Will McElvain pass complete to Briley Moore for 6 yds to the NIowa 47Similar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+6
87.3%
Trevor Allen run for 6 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
87.0%
Will McElvain pass incomplete to Jaylin James NORTHERN IOWA Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
87.3%
Will McElvain run for no gain to the IowSt 47Similar
Q2 3:40
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
87.7%
Will McElvain pass incomplete, broken up by Anthony JohnsonSimilar
Q2 3:40
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
88.5%
Zac Kibby punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Deshaunte Jones at the IowSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 11END OF HALF
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
85.9%
Johnnie Lang run for 2 yds to the IowSt 14Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 8
OWN 14
0
85.8%
Johnnie Lang run for no gain to the IowSt 14Similar
Q2 1:34
3RD & 8
OWN 14
+7
85.4%
Johnnie Lang run for 7 yds to the IowSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 12FG
8 plays · 33 yds · 2:0416% → 20%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
84.2%
Will McElvain pass incomplete to Briley MooreSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+10
84.4%
Will McElvain pass complete to Deion McShane for 10 yds to the NIowa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+26
83.2%
Will McElvain pass complete to Isaiah Weston for 26 yds to the IowSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-3
82.0%
Trevor Allen run for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 32
0
82.6%
Will McElvain pass incomplete to Deion McShaneSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 32
0
83.7%
Will McElvain pass incomplete to Deion McShaneSimilar
Q3 12:56
4TH & 13
OPP 32
+50
80.1%
Matthew Cook 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 13TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:2582% → 90%
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
81.6%
Kene Nwangwu run for 12 yds to the IowSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
82.2%
Kene Nwangwu run for 9 yds to the IowSt 46Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+2
83.4%
Kene Nwangwu run for 2 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
83.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 14 yds to the NIowa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
83.6%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the NIowa 34Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+4
84.0%
Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the NIowa 30Similar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+20
83.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 20 yds to the NIowa 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
84.0%
Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the NIowa 7Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
89.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 7 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 14FG
16 plays · 75 yds · 6:4513% → 23%
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
86.8%
Alphonso Soko run for 7 yds to the NIowa 18Similar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 3
OWN 18
+3
86.6%
Jaylin James run for 3 yds to the NIowa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+18
86.7%
Will McElvain pass complete to Tristan Bohr for 18 yds to the NIowa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
85.8%
Will McElvain pass complete to Alphonso Soko for 3 yds to the NIowa 42Similar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 7
OWN 42
-1
85.3%
Alphonso Soko run for a loss of 1 yard to the NIowa 41Similar
Q3 8:29
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+10
86.4%
Will McElvain pass complete to Briley Moore for 10 yds to the IowSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
84.8%
Trevor Allen run for no gain to the IowSt 49Similar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+16
85.4%
Will McElvain pass complete to Jaylin James for 16 yds to the IowSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
83.8%
Will McElvain pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
83.9%
Will McElvain run for no gain to the IowSt 33Similar
Q3 8:29
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+10
85.1%
Will McElvain run for 10 yds to the IowSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
83.5%
Will McElvain run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 24Similar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 11
OPP 24
0
83.9%
Will McElvain pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:29
3RD & 11
OPP 24
+10
85.1%
Will McElvain pass complete to Tristan Bohr for 10 yds to the IowSt 14Similar
Q3 1:44
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+31
77.5%
Matthew Cook 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 15FUMBLE TD
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:3882% → 64%
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
82.3%
Kene Nwangwu run for 7 yds to the IowSt 42Similar
Q3 1:44
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+12
83.8%
Johnnie Lang run for 12 yds to the NIowa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
84.4%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Tarique Milton, broken up by Xavior WilliamsSimilar
Q3 1:44
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
84.2%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete, broken up by Seth ThomasSimilar
Q3 0:06
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+53
63.7%
Brock Purdy sacked by Elerson Smith for a loss of 8 yards Brock Purdy fumbled, recovered by NIowa Xavior Williams , return for 0 yards , return for 53 yds, (Matthew Cook KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 16MISSED FG
12 plays · 52 yds · 5:1763% → 54%
Q3 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
62.7%
Johnnie Lang run for 4 yds to the IowSt 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+2
65.6%
Johnnie Lang run for 2 yds to the IowSt 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+4
64.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 4 yds to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
65.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 2 yds to the IowSt 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+5
66.1%
Johnnie Lang run for 5 yds to the NIowa 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+7
66.2%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 7 yds to the NIowa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+22
67.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 7 yds to the NIowa 34 for a 1ST down NORTHERN IOWA Penalty, personal foul (Omar Brown) to the NIowa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
69.1%
Johnnie Lang run for 9 yds to the NIowa 10Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 10
-3
69.1%
Johnnie Lang run for a loss of 3 yards to the NIowa 13Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 13
0
66.7%
Breece Hall run for no gain to the NIowa 13Similar
Q4 9:49
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+31
53.9%
Connor Assalley 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:0054% → 51%
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
45.6%
Trevor Allen run for 8 yds to the NIowa 28Similar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+3
43.6%
Trevor Allen run for 3 yds to the NIowa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
44.8%
Will McElvain pass incomplete to Tristan BohrSimilar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
45.6%
Will McElvain pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:49
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+1
47.3%
Will McElvain run for 1 yd to the NIowa 32 NORTHERN IOWA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 9:49
4TH & 9
OWN 32
0
48.7%
Zac Kibby punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Deshaunte Jones at the IowSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 18FG
19 plays · 74 yds · 6:5249% → 63%
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
48.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 10 yds to the IowSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
49.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Dylan Soehner for 11 yds to the IowSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
52.9%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 4 yds to the IowSt 46Similar
Q4 7:51
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+10
53.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 10 yds to the NIowa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
55.0%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 4 yds to the NIowa 40Similar
Q4 7:51
2ND & 6
OPP 40
0
55.1%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Landen AkersSimilar
Q4 7:51
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+2
54.3%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 2 yds to the NIowa 38Similar
Q4 7:51
4TH & 4
OPP 38
+6
51.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 6 yds to the NIowa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
57.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 7 yds to the NIowa 25Similar
Q4 7:51
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+4
57.3%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 4 yds to the NIowa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
51.3%
Deshaunte Jones run for 3 yds to the NIowa 18Similar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+1
51.3%
Johnnie Lang run for 1 yd to the NIowa 17Similar
Q4 3:46
3RD & 6
OPP 17
+9
48.1%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 9 yds to the NIowa 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
51.3%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Dylan Soehner, broken up by Xavior WilliamsSimilar
Q4 3:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
51.3%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the NIowa 9Similar
Q4 1:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
-10
39.5%
Purdy, Brock rush for 9 yards to the UNI0, clock 01:10, PENALTY ISU holding (Newell, Colin) 10 yards to the UNI19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 19
+14
33.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Sheldon Croney Jr. for 14 yds to the NIowa 5Similar
Q4 0:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
62.9%
Connor Assalley 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 19POSSESSION (FOR OT DRIVES)
4 plays · 17 yds · 0:0047% → 48%
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+13
52.8%
Will McElvain pass complete to Tristan Bohr for 13 yds to the NIowa 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
52.3%
Will McElvain pass incomplete to Isaiah WestonSimilar
Q4 0:51
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+4
52.5%
Trevor Allen run for 4 yds to the NIowa 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 20FG
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0060% → 71%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
40.5%
Will McElvain pass complete to Deion McShane for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 27Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 27
0
41.1%
Will McElvain pass incomplete to Isaiah WestonSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 27
-4
44.9%
Will McElvain sacked by O'Rien Vance for a loss of 4 yards to the IowSt 31Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 16
OPP 31
+49
28.9%
Matthew Cook 49 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 21FG
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:0041% → 59%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
41.3%
IOWA ST Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the NIowa 30Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 15
OPP 30
+14
32.8%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 14 yds to the NIowa 16Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+12
41.3%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 12 yds to the NIowa 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
41.3%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 1 yd to the NIowa 3Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
41.3%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the NIowa 5Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
37.8%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Deshaunte JonesSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
58.8%
Connor Assalley 22 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 22TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:0065% → 80%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+14
64.7%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 14 yds to the NIowa 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
64.7%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for 2 yds to the NIowa 9Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 9
0
64.7%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to La'Michael Pettway, broken up by Deion McShaneSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 9
+9
79.6%
La'Michael Pettway 9 Yd pass from Brock Purdy (Connor Assalley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 23TD
9 plays · 25 yds · 0:0020% → 57%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
80.4%
Trevor Allen run for no gain to the IowSt 25Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+5
82.4%
Will McElvain pass complete to Deion McShane for 5 yds to the IowSt 20Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+2
86.0%
Will McElvain pass complete to Tristan Bohr for 2 yds to the IowSt 18Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+12
88.9%
Will McElvain pass complete to Deion McShane for 12 yds to the IowSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
79.3%
Trevor Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 7Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
79.3%
Will McElvain pass incomplete to Isaiah WestonSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
43.0%
Will McElvain pass complete to Trevor Allen for 7 yds for a TD Will McElvain pass complete to Trevor Allen for 7 yds for a TD Will McElvain pass complete to Trevor Allen for 7 yds for a TD, (Matthew Cook KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 24FG
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0060% → 72%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
40.5%
Trevor Allen run for no gain to the IowSt 25Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+12
41.1%
Will McElvain pass complete to Jaylin James for 12 yds to the IowSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
40.5%
Trevor Allen run for 2 yds to the IowSt 11Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 11
0
40.5%
Will McElvain pass complete to Tristan Bohr for no gain to the IowSt 11Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 11
0
43.0%
Will McElvain pass incomplete to Jaylin JamesSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 8
OPP 11
+28
28.5%
Matthew Cook 28 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 25TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0041% → 86%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+14
41.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 14 yds to the NIowa 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
41.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Sheldon Croney Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the NIowa 12Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 12
+10
37.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Sheldon Croney Jr. for 10 yds to the NIowa 2Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 2
0
37.7%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for no gain to the NIowa 1 Sheldon Croney Jr. fumbled, forced by Jared Brinkman, recovered by IowSt Brock Purdy for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.4%
Sheldon Croney Jr. 1 Yd Run Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT 0:00
Sheldon Croney Jr. 1 Yd Run
+48.7
TD · OT 0:00
Will McElvain pass complete to Trevor Allen for 7 yds for a TD Will McElvain pass complete to Trevor Allen for 7 yds for a TD Will McElvain pass complete to Trevor Allen for 7 yds for a TD, (Matthew Cook KICK)
-36.4
FG · Q4 0:59
Connor Assalley 23 yd FG GOOD
+29.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com