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BAY

Baylor 61 at Kansas 6

KU
2019 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2019 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadBAY aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreBAY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:12 · Kyle Thompson punt for 35 yds, downed at the Bayl 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 28Home team on offense−3.8Score differential−2.0Pregame prior−31.1Garbage-time factor−0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:47: Gerry Bohanon run for 6 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK) — BAY win probability +1.3 pts (now 83%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 6:48: Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 51 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK) — BAY win probability +2.2 pts (now 85%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 1:15: KANSAS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Hasan Defense) to the Kans 13 for a 1ST down — BAY win probability +4.2 pts (now 89%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 10:31: Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel Mims — BAY win probability +0.2 pts (now 91%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 5:49: Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel Mims — KU win probability +0.3 pts (now 9%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6BAY made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:16KU 4th & 11 at BAY 27, tied
    Close callWent for it · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.5%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    21.6%
    62% to make
    Punt
    21.2%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:57KU 4th & 1 at KU 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.0%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:12KU 4th & 6 at KU 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:23BAY 4th & 6 at BAY 31, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:13BAY 4th & 20 at BAY 4, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%−1.0
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%
    average punt
  6. Q3 8:30BAY 4th & 6 at BAY 48, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 4:09KU 4th & 2 at KU 43, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:00BAY 4th & 8 at BAY 25, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:34KU 4th & 4 at KU 24, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  10. Q4 1:12KU 4th & 1 at BAY 37, down 55
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1BAY made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 8:47BAY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:48BAY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:16BAY Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:59BAY Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:29KU Touchdown, down 42 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    0.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:49BAY Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:13BAY Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Close callKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1DOWNS
12 plays · 48 yds · 4:1916% → 18%
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
15.8%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 21Similar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+5
16.0%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kans 26Similar
Q1 13:58
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
16.0%
BAYLOR Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Kans 31Similar
Q1 13:32
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+19
16.3%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
50
+1
16.5%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the Bayl 49Similar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+2
16.9%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Daylon Charlot for 2 yds to the Bayl 47Similar
Q1 12:01
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+9
17.2%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 9 yds to the Bayl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
17.4%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 12 yds to the Bayl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
17.8%
Velton Gardner run for 3 yds to the Bayl 23Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 7
OPP 23
0
17.9%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Andrew ParchmentSimilar
Q1 10:23
3RD & 7
OPP 23
-4
18.2%
Carter Stanley sacked by Bravvion Roy for a loss of 4 yards to the Bayl 27Similar
Q1 10:16
4TH & 11
OPP 27
0
17.9%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Stephon Robinson Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 2TD
4 plays · 73 yds · 1:1882% → 83%
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+30
17.9%
John Lovett run for 30 yds to the Kans 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+12
18.0%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Josh Fleeks for 12 yds to the Kans 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+25
18.0%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 25 yds to the Kans 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
16.7%
Gerry Bohanon run for 6 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2617% → 18%
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
17.3%
Velton Gardner run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 21Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+5
17.4%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Jack Luavasa for 5 yds to the Kans 26Similar
Q1 7:33
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+8
17.3%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 8 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q1 6:57
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
17.6%
Kyle Thompson punt for 17 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Bayl 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 4TD
1 play · 51 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
15.4%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 51 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:2716% → 16%
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
16.2%
BAYLOR Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Kalon Barnes) to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
16.4%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Daylon CharlotSimilar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
16.3%
Carter Stanley run for no gain to the Kans 36Similar
Q1 5:48
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+4
16.1%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Daylon Charlot for 4 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q1 5:12
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
16.3%
Kyle Thompson punt for 35 yds, downed at the Bayl 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 6TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:3084% → 89%
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
15.6%
JaMycal Hasty run for no gain to the Bayl 25Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
15.7%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Josh FleeksSimilar
Q1 4:21
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+12
15.8%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 12 yds to the Bayl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
15.5%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Josh FleeksSimilar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+25
15.5%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 25 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
15.3%
Josh Fleeks run for 2 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q1 2:18
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+3
15.2%
JaMycal Hasty run for 3 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q1 1:43
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+5
15.3%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 5 yds to the Kans 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
11.1%
KANSAS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Hasan Defense) to the Kans 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7DOWNS
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:5712% → 12%
Q1 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
12.1%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 21Similar
Q1 0:24
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+12
11.9%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 12 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
11.9%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kans 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 8FG
8 plays · 29 yds · 3:3890% → 91%
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
10.4%
John Lovett run for no gain to the Kans 34Similar
Q2 13:18
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+7
10.2%
Trestan Ebner run for 7 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+10
10.3%
Gerry Bohanon run for 10 yds to the Kans 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
9.8%
Trestan Ebner run for 5 yds to the Kans 12Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+7
9.7%
Gerry Bohanon run for 7 yds to the Kans 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
9.5%
Gerry Bohanon run for no gain to the Kans 5Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
9.2%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel MimsSimilar
Q2 10:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
9.0%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel MimsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9PUNT
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:4110% → 10%
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
10.3%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Stephon Robinson Jr.Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+7
10.3%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Daylon Charlot for 7 yds to the Kans 25Similar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 3
OWN 25
0
10.3%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Stephon Robinson Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 10FUMBLE
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:3891% → 91%
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+5
8.9%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 5 yds to the Bayl 7Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 5
OWN 7
+9
8.8%
JaMycal Hasty run for 9 yds to the Bayl 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
9.0%
JaMycal Hasty run for no gain to the Bayl 16Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+11
9.0%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 11 yds to the Bayl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
8.8%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Josh Fleeks for 4 yds to the Bayl 31Similar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
8.7%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Tyquan ThorntonSimilar
Q2 6:33
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
9.0%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to R.J. SneedSimilar
Q2 6:23
4TH & 6
OWN 31
0
9.1%
Issac Power punt for 39 yds , Kwamie Lassiter II returns for no gain to the Kans 30 Kwamie Lassiter II fumbled, recovered by Bayl Ross MatiscikSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 11TD
2 plays · 30 yds · 0:2192% → 92%
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+16
8.2%
Trestan Ebner run for 16 yds to the Kans 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
8.5%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel MimsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12PUNT
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:518% → 7%
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
7.6%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for no gain to the Kans 25Similar
Q2 4:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
7.1%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Jack Luavasa for 6 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q2 4:34
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
6.7%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Daylon CharlotSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:4792% → 93%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
8.5%
Charlie Brewer run for 2 yds to the Bayl 3Similar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+11
7.0%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 11 yds to the Bayl 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
7.0%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to R.J. SneedSimilar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+4
7.0%
JaMycal Hasty run for 4 yds to the Bayl 18Similar
Q2 2:22
3RD & 6
OWN 18
-14
7.1%
Charlie Brewer sacked by Kyron Johnson for a loss of 14 yards to the Bayl 4Similar
Q2 2:13
4TH & 20
OWN 4
0
7.5%
Issac Power punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Kenny Logan Jr. at the Kans 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14PUNT
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:047% → 7%
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
7.4%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Kwamie Lassiter IISimilar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
7.3%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Jack LuavasaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 15FUMBLE
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:1395% → 94%
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
5.4%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to JaMycal HastySimilar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
5.4%
Josh Fleeks run for no gain to the Bayl 10Similar
Q2 1:29
3RD & 10
OWN 10
+2
5.6%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 2 yds to the Bayl 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 16INT
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
4.6%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 5 yds to the Kans 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17INT
3 plays · 22 yds · 0:273% → 3%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+16
3.1%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Daylon Charlot for 16 yds to the Kans 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
3.2%
Carter Stanley pass incomplete to Andrew ParchmentSimilar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+6
3.0%
Carter Stanley pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 6 yds to the Kans 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 18DOWNS
3 plays · 14 yds · 0:1097% → 97%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+14
3.5%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for 14 yds to the Kans 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
3.5%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to R.J. SneedSimilar
Q2 0:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
3.3%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to JaMycal HastySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 19TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:3797% → 98%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
2.6%
JaMycal Hasty run for 24 yds to the Bayl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
2.3%
JaMycal Hasty run for 12 yds to the Kans 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
2.2%
Trestan Ebner run for 9 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q3 13:01
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+3
2.1%
Trestan Ebner run for 3 yds to the Kans 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
1.9%
Trestan Ebner run for 10 yds to the Kans 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-2
1.8%
JaMycal Hasty run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 19Similar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 12
OPP 19
+19
1.6%
JaMycal Hasty run for 19 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
1.1%
Carter Stanley pass intercepted Grayland Arnold return for 4 yds to the Bayl 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:0899% → 99%
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-4
1.4%
Trestan Ebner run for a loss of 4 yards to the Bayl 40Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 14
OWN 40
+3
1.4%
Gerry Bohanon run for 3 yds to the Bayl 43Similar
Q3 9:09
3RD & 11
OWN 43
-5
1.3%
BAYLOR Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Bayl 38Similar
Q3 9:05
3RD & 16
OWN 38
+10
1.3%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 10 yds to the Bayl 48Similar
Q3 8:30
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
1.5%
Issac Power punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 22INT
4 plays · 19 yds · 1:071% → 1%
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
0.7%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 8 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q3 7:58
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+8
0.7%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 8 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
0.7%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q3 7:15
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+34
0.6%
Carter Stanley pass intercepted Blake Lynch return for 34 yds to the Kans 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 23TD
3 plays · 16 yds · 0:3599% → 99%
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
0.9%
JaMycal Hasty run for no gain to the Kans 16Similar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+8
0.8%
Gerry Bohanon run for 8 yds to the Kans 8Similar
Q3 5:59
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+8
0.9%
JaMycal Hasty run for 8 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 24TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 3:561% → 0%
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
0.5%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+5
0.4%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q3 4:36
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+1
0.4%
Quan Hampton run for 1 yd to the Kans 43Similar
Q3 4:09
4TH & 2
OWN 43
+17
0.4%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 17 yds to the Bayl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
0.4%
Manny Miles pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 11 yds to the Bayl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
0.4%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 7 yds to the Bayl 22Similar
Q3 2:43
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+4
0.3%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the Bayl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+11
0.4%
Velton Gardner run for 11 yds to the Bayl 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-4
0.4%
Velton Gardner run for a loss of 4 yards to the Bayl 11Similar
Q3 1:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
0.4%
Manny Miles pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 11 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:1299% → 99%
Q3 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
0.6%
JaMycal Hasty run for 2 yds to the Bayl 25Similar
Q3 1:12
2ND & 8
OWN 25
0
0.6%
JaMycal Hasty run for no gain to the Bayl 25Similar
Q3 0:02
3RD & 8
OWN 25
0
0.5%
Gerry Bohanon pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 8
OWN 25
0
0.6%
Issac Power punt for 57 yds, downed at the Kans 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:110% → 0%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
0.2%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kans 22Similar
Q4 14:41
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+2
0.2%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q4 13:47
3RD & 4
OWN 24
0
0.2%
Manny Miles pass incomplete to Andrew ParchmentSimilar
Q4 13:34
4TH & 4
OWN 24
0
0.2%
Kyle Thompson punt for 54 yds, downed at the Bayl 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 27TD
16 plays · 78 yds · 6:35100% → 100%
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
0.4%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Tyquan ThorntonSimilar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+3
0.4%
Gerry Bohanon run for 3 yds to the Bayl 25Similar
Q4 12:54
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+10
0.4%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Josh Fleeks for 10 yds to the Bayl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
0.4%
Qualan Jones run for 7 yds to the Bayl 42Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 3
OWN 42
-5
0.3%
BAYLOR Penalty, Illegal Participation (-5 Yards) to the Bayl 37Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-2
0.3%
Qualan Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 35Similar
Q4 10:33
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+16
0.3%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Jared Atkinson for 16 yds to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
0.2%
Qualan Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 49Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+6
0.2%
Abram Smith run for 6 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q4 8:56
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+6
0.2%
Jacob Zeno run for 6 yds to the Kans 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+19
0.2%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Marques Jones for 19 yds to the Kans 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
0.2%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Russell Morrison for 6 yds to the Kans 14Similar
Q4 7:19
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+3
0.2%
Qualan Jones run for 3 yds to the Kans 11Similar
Q4 7:09
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+4
0.2%
Qualan Jones run for 4 yds to the Kans 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
0.2%
Qualan Jones run for 7 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 28INT
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:220% → 0%
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
0.1%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 24Similar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+10
0.1%
Manny Miles pass intercepted Zeke Brown return for 10 yds to the Kans 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 29TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 1:22100% → 100%
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
0.2%
Garret McGuire run for 6 yds to the Kans 19Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+10
0.2%
Qualan Jones run for 10 yds to the Kans 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
0.2%
Qualan Jones run for 8 yds to the Kans 1Similar
Q4 4:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.2%
Jacob Zeno run for 1 yd for a TD (John Mayers PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 30END OF 4TH QUARTER
15 plays · 67 yds · 3:370% → 0%
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
0.1%
Dom Williams run for 9 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+2
0.1%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+16
0.1%
Dom Williams run for 16 yds to the Bayl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
0.1%
Manny Miles pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 2 yds to the Bayl 44Similar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+4
0.1%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the Bayl 40Similar
Q4 1:34
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+3
0.1%
Dom Williams run for 3 yds to the Bayl 37Similar
Q4 1:12
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+13
0.1%
Manny Miles run for 13 yds to the Bayl 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
0.1%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the Bayl 20Similar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 6
OPP 20
0
0.1%
Manny Miles pass incomplete to Andrew ParchmentSimilar
Q4 0:39
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+13
0.1%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 13 yds to the Bayl 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
0.1%
Manny Miles run for 5 yds to the Bayl 2Similar
Q4 0:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-4
0.1%
Manny Miles run for a loss of 4 yards to the Bayl 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 1:15
KANSAS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Hasan Defense) to the Kans 13 for a 1ST down
-4.2
TD · Q1 6:48
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 51 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK)
-2.2
TD · Q1 8:47
Gerry Bohanon run for 6 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK)
-1.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com