Try the model
OU

Oklahoma 34 at Baylor 31

BAY
2019 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2019 · McLane Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · BAY
modelBAY aheadOU aheadconfidence bandkey playBAY scoreOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:57 · Issac Power punt for 49 yds, downed at the Okla 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 123Pregame prior−8.9Home team on offense+19.3Score differential+8.3Garbage-time factor+6.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.7Time remaining−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:06: Austin Stogner 5 Yd pass from Jalen Hurts (Gabe Brkic Kick) — BAY win probability +17.2 pts (now 60%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:16: Austin Stogner 3 Yd pass from Jalen Hurts (Gabe Brkic Kick) — OU win probability +16.6 pts (now 31%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:58: Theo Wease 19 Yd pass from Jalen Hurts (Gabe Brkic Kick) — OU win probability +18.5 pts (now 36%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:25: Brayden Willis 2 Yd pass from Jalen Hurts (Gabe Brkic Kick) — OU win probability +34.7 pts (now 61%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 1:45: Gabe Brkic 31 Yd Field Goal — OU win probability +29.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BAY made the numbers' call on 4 of 5OU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 12:48BAY 4th & 14 at BAY 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:25OU 4th & 9 at BAY 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.6%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.7%
    72% to make
    Punt
    71.1%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:34OU 4th & 14 at OU 8, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.4%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:03BAY 4th & 4 at OU 11, up 18
    Close callKicked a field goal · 70.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.5%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.9%−0.6
    87% to make
    Punt
    58.6%−11.9
    average punt
  5. Q3 2:57BAY 4th & 4 at BAY 41, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.9%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.1%
    average punt
  6. Q4 13:34OU 4th & 1 at BAY 21, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    11.5%−2.5
    74% to make
    Punt
    2.9%−11.1
    average punt
  7. Q4 11:26BAY 4th & 9 at BAY 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.0%−3.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.1%
    average punt
  8. Q4 4:15BAY 4th & 11 at BAY 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.0%−6.8
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.8%
    average punt
  9. Q4 1:45OU 4th & 3 at BAY 14, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.9 ptsKicked a field goal · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.7%−2.9
    84% to make
    Punt
    15.8%−35.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BAY made the numbers' call on 4 of 4OU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 5:26BAY Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:51BAY Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:56BAY Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:02BAY Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:06OU Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:16OU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:58OU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.4%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.4%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:25OU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.5%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BAYDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 2:0623% → 24%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
23.3%
Charlie Brewer run for 6 yds to the Bayl 31Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
23.5%
Charlie Brewer run for 7 yds to the Bayl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
23.7%
Josh Fleeks run for 2 yds to the Bayl 40Similar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
24.0%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to JaMycal HastySimilar
Q1 13:22
3RD & 8
OWN 40
-6
24.0%
Charlie Brewer sacked by Ronnie Perkins for a loss of 6 yards to the Bayl 34Similar
Q1 12:48
4TH & 14
OWN 34
0
24.2%
Issac Power punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 2FG
9 plays · 31 yds · 3:1676% → 74%
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
24.2%
Kennedy Brooks run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 7
50
+4
24.3%
Kennedy Brooks run for 4 yds to the Bayl 46Similar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 3
OPP 46
-5
24.5%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (Erik Swenson) to the Okla 49Similar
Q1 11:32
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+17
24.7%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to A.D. Miller for 17 yds to the Bayl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
24.7%
Kennedy Brooks run for 11 yds to the Bayl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
24.9%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Nick Basquine for 5 yds to the Bayl 18Similar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 5
OPP 18
0
25.0%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Charleston RamboSimilar
Q1 10:01
3RD & 5
OPP 18
-4
25.2%
Jalen Hurts sacked by Bravvion Roy for a loss of 4 yards to the Bayl 22Similar
Q1 9:25
4TH & 9
OPP 22
+39
25.6%
Gabe Brkic 39 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 3TD
11 plays · 78 yds · 3:4826% → 30%
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
25.6%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel MimsSimilar
Q1 9:08
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+11
25.7%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 11 yds to the Bayl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+14
25.8%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Chris Platt for 14 yds to the Bayl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
26.5%
Charlie Brewer run for 7 yds to the Okla 46Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+5
26.8%
John Lovett run for 5 yds to the Okla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
27.0%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Josh Fleeks for 2 yds to the Okla 39Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+2
27.3%
Charlie Brewer run for 2 yds to the Okla 37Similar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+11
27.5%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 11 yds to the Okla 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+24
27.9%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to John Lovett for 24 yds to the Okla 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
30.2%
Charlie Brewer 2 Yd Run (John Mayers Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:2970% → 69%
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
29.6%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Theo WeaseSimilar
Q1 4:56
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+4
29.7%
Kennedy Brooks run for 4 yds to the Okla 16Similar
Q1 4:17
3RD & 6
OWN 16
-8
30.4%
Jalen Hurts sacked by Blake Lynch and Terrel Bernard for a loss of 8 yards to the Okla 8Similar
Q1 3:34
4TH & 14
OWN 8
0
31.4%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 46 yds, downed at the Bayl 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 5TD
5 plays · 54 yds · 1:3831% → 36%
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
31.3%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Tyquan Thornton, broken up by Neville GallimoreSimilar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+12
31.1%
Charlie Brewer run for 12 yds to the Okla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
32.1%
JaMycal Hasty run for 9 yds to the Okla 33Similar
Q1 2:24
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+3
32.3%
Charlie Brewer run for 3 yds to the Okla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
36.4%
Denzel Mims 30 Yd pass from Charlie Brewer (John Mayers Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 6FUMBLE
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:4064% → 63%
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+6
36.0%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 6 yds to the Okla 12Similar
Q1 1:16
2ND & 4
OWN 12
+6
36.3%
Jalen Hurts run for 6 yds to the Okla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+22
36.7%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to A.D. Miller for 22 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
36.5%
Kennedy Brooks run for 3 yds to the Okla 43Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 7
OWN 43
-16
36.6%
Jalen Hurts sacked by Blake Lynch for a loss of 16 yards to the Okla 27 Jalen Hurts fumbled, recovered by Bayl Terrel Bernard , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 7TD
2 plays · 27 yds · 0:0439% → 48%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+23
38.9%
Charlie Brewer run for 23 yds to the Okla 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
47.5%
Charlie Brewer 4 Yd Run (John Mayers Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 8INT
9 plays · 39 yds · 3:4053% → 48%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
46.6%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Rhamondre Stevenson for 12 yds to the Okla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+17
46.7%
Jalen Hurts run for 17 yds to the Bayl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
46.5%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 2 yds to the Bayl 44Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+6
47.2%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Nick Basquine for 6 yds to the Bayl 38Similar
Q2 13:06
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+3
47.9%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 3 yds to the Bayl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
48.1%
Jalen Hurts run for no gain to the Bayl 35Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-1
49.4%
Jalen Hurts run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 36Similar
Q2 11:09
3RD & 11
OPP 36
+71
52.3%
Jalen Hurts pass intercepted Grayland Arnold return for 71 yds to the Okla 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 9TD
1 play · 9 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q2 11:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
53.4%
Denzel Mims 9 Yd pass from Charlie Brewer (John Mayers Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 10TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 5:4849% → 40%
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
51.3%
Kennedy Brooks run for 10 yds to the Okla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
51.0%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to A.D. Miller, broken up by Chris MillerSimilar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+14
51.5%
Jalen Hurts run for 14 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
51.2%
Kennedy Brooks run for 3 yds to the Bayl 48Similar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+10
50.6%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Lee Morris for 10 yds to the Bayl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
51.4%
Kennedy Brooks run for no gain to the Bayl 38Similar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+5
55.3%
Jalen Hurts run for 5 yds to the Bayl 33Similar
Q2 7:49
3RD & 5
OPP 33
0
55.5%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Nick BasquineSimilar
Q2 7:45
4TH & 5
OPP 33
+10
53.8%
Hurts, Jalen pass incomplete to Rambo, Charleston (Williams, Jordan), PENALTY BAYLOR holding (Houston, Jameson) 10 yards to the BAYLOR23, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAHOMA.Similar
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
52.0%
Jalen Hurts run for 8 yds to the Bayl 15Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 2
OPP 15
0
43.9%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Charleston RamboSimilar
Q2 7:05
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+5
45.1%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 5 yds to the Bayl 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
54.7%
Jalen Hurts run for 4 yds to the Bayl 6 Jalen Hurts fumbled, forced by Henry Black, recovered by Okla Jalen HurtsSimilar
Q2 5:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
47.3%
Jalen Hurts run for 1 yd to the Bayl 5Similar
Q2 5:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
60.1%
Austin Stogner 5 Yd pass from Jalen Hurts (Gabe Brkic Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 11DOWNS
17 plays · 61 yds · 4:4666% → 84%
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
66.0%
Charlie Brewer run for no gain to the Bayl 28Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+7
66.8%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Chris Platt for 7 yds to the Bayl 35Similar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+14
67.4%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 14 yds to the Bayl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
69.5%
JaMycal Hasty run for 5 yds to the Okla 46Similar
Q2 2:34
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+6
69.9%
Charlie Brewer run for 6 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
70.3%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Josh Fleeks for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 42Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 12
OPP 42
+1
71.1%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 1 yd to the Okla 41Similar
Q2 1:01
3RD & 11
OPP 41
+13
71.7%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 13 yds to the Okla 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
73.0%
Charlie Brewer run for 6 yds to the Okla 22Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+5
74.7%
Charlie Brewer run for 5 yds to the Okla 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
73.7%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Chris Platt for 6 yds to the Okla 11Similar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 4
OPP 11
0
72.9%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to R.J. SneedSimilar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 4
OPP 11
0
71.5%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to JaMycal HastySimilar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 4
OPP 11
+28
84.1%
John Mayers 28 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 13TD
14 plays · 74 yds · 5:2919% → 31%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
81.5%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 6 yds to the Okla 32Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+4
81.1%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Kennedy Brooks for 4 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
81.5%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Charleston Rambo, broken up by James LynchSimilar
Q3 14:04
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+12
81.8%
Jalen Hurts run for 12 yds to the Okla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
81.7%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Lee Morris for 12 yds to the Bayl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
82.1%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Lee Morris for 12 yds to the Bayl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
81.3%
Kennedy Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 29Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 11
OPP 29
+8
83.1%
Jalen Hurts run for 8 yds to the Bayl 21Similar
Q3 11:23
3RD & 3
OPP 21
-10
84.8%
Hurts, Jalen pass incomplete to Haselwood, Jadon, PENALTY OKLAHOMA holding (Humphrey, Creed) 10 yards to the BAYLOR31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:11
3RD & 13
OPP 31
+28
85.9%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 28 yds to the Bayl 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
85.2%
Kennedy Brooks run for no gain to the Bayl 3Similar
Q3 9:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
86.0%
Kennedy Brooks run for no gain to the Bayl 3Similar
Q3 9:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
69.3%
Austin Stogner 3 Yd pass from Jalen Hurts (Gabe Brkic Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 14FUMBLE
2 plays · 32 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
75.3%
JaMycal Hasty run for 32 yds to the Okla 45 JaMycal Hasty fumbled, forced by Parnell Motley, recovered by Okla Pat Fields , return for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 15FUMBLE
11 plays · 51 yds · 4:2529% → 26%
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
71.1%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Kennedy Brooks for 2 yds to the Okla 47Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+9
71.5%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Lee Morris for 9 yds to the Bayl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
71.3%
Kennedy Brooks run for 5 yds to the Bayl 39Similar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+6
71.3%
Jalen Hurts run for 6 yds to the Bayl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
71.4%
Jalen Hurts run for 5 yds to the Bayl 28Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+4
71.4%
Jalen Hurts run for 4 yds to the Bayl 24Similar
Q3 5:45
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+7
73.3%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 7 yds to the Bayl 17 Rhamondre Stevenson fumbled, forced by Chris Miller, recovered by Okla Rhamondre Stevenson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
72.4%
Jalen Hurts run for 8 yds to the Bayl 9Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+5
73.0%
Jalen Hurts run for 5 yds to the Bayl 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
74.0%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Jadon HaselwoodSimilar
Q3 4:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
74.1%
Jalen Hurts run for 3 yds Jalen Hurts fumbled, forced by James Lynch, recovered by Bayl James LynchSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:3282% → 83%
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
82.4%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Marquis Hayes) to the Bayl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
82.6%
Charlie Brewer run for a loss of 4 yards to the Bayl 31Similar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 14
OWN 31
0
82.9%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Chris PlattSimilar
Q3 3:40
3RD & 14
OWN 31
+10
82.3%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to John Lovett for 10 yds to the Bayl 41Similar
Q3 2:57
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
83.1%
Issac Power punt for 49 yds, downed at the Okla 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 17TD
14 plays · 90 yds · 4:5418% → 36%
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
81.7%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Charleston Rambo, broken up by Jordan WilliamsSimilar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+6
82.2%
Jalen Hurts run for 6 yds to the Okla 16Similar
Q3 2:04
3RD & 4
OWN 16
+15
82.9%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Lee Morris for 15 yds to the Okla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
81.6%
Jalen Hurts run for 5 yds to the Okla 36Similar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 5
OWN 36
0
82.0%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Theo WeaseSimilar
Q3 0:45
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+12
82.8%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Theo Wease for 12 yds to the Okla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
82.3%
Jalen Hurts run for 7 yds to the Bayl 45Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+15
83.1%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Lee Morris for 15 yds to the Bayl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
82.7%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Rhamondre Stevenson for 6 yds to the Bayl 24Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+2
82.6%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 2 yds to the Bayl 22Similar
Q4 14:04
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+1
84.0%
Rhamondre Stevenson run for 1 yd to the Bayl 21Similar
Q4 13:34
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+2
83.1%
Jalen Hurts run for 2 yds to the Bayl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
64.5%
Theo Wease 19 Yd pass from Jalen Hurts (Gabe Brkic Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:1778% → 76%
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
77.8%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Josh Fleeks for 6 yds to the Bayl 28Similar
Q4 12:13
2ND & 4
OWN 28
-5
78.8%
Charlie Brewer sacked by Ronnie Perkins for a loss of 5 yards to the Bayl 23Similar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 9
OWN 23
0
76.9%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Tyquan ThorntonSimilar
Q4 11:26
4TH & 9
OWN 23
0
75.8%
Issac Power punt for 54 yds, downed at the Okla 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 19TD
14 plays · 77 yds · 5:5326% → 61%
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+10
74.5%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 10 yds to the Okla 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
73.5%
Kennedy Brooks run for 2 yds to the Okla 35Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
74.1%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Brayden WillisSimilar
Q4 10:12
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+11
75.6%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Kennedy Brooks for 11 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
71.7%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Kennedy Brooks for 5 yds to the Bayl 49Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 5
OPP 49
-5
70.7%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (Tyrese Robinson) to the Okla 46Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+9
73.5%
Jalen Hurts run for 9 yds to the Bayl 45Similar
Q4 8:25
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+10
70.9%
Kennedy Brooks run for 10 yds to the Bayl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+16
70.1%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 16 yds to the Bayl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
72.1%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to A.D. Miller for 8 yds to the Bayl 11Similar
Q4 6:51
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+3
72.8%
Kennedy Brooks run for 3 yds to the Bayl 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
73.4%
Kennedy Brooks run for no gain to the Bayl 8Similar
Q4 5:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
73.7%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Rhamondre Stevenson for 6 yds to the Bayl 2Similar
Q4 5:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
39.0%
Brayden Willis 2 Yd pass from Jalen Hurts (Gabe Brkic Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 20Uncategorized
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:0053% → 50%
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
52.7%
Brewer, Charlie pass incomplete to Mims, Denzel, PENALTY OKLAHOMA pass interference (Motley, Parnell) 15 yards to the BAYLOR37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BAYLOR.Similar
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
55.0%
Trestan Ebner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 36Similar
Q4 4:29
2ND & 11
OWN 36
0
54.2%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to R.J. SneedSimilar
Q4 4:22
3RD & 11
OWN 36
0
51.4%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel MimsSimilar
Q4 4:15
4TH & 11
OWN 36
0
50.0%
Issac Power punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Drake Stoops at the Okla 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 21FG
12 plays · 59 yds · 2:1954% → 89%
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-4
45.7%
Jalen Hurts sacked by Terrel Bernard and Jordan Williams for a loss of 4 yards to the Okla 23Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 14
OWN 23
+32
48.0%
Kennedy Brooks run for 32 yds to the Bayl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
40.3%
Jalen Hurts run for 11 yds to the Bayl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
38.3%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Theo Wease, broken up by Raleigh TexadaSimilar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+13
38.6%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Lee Morris for 13 yds to the Bayl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
37.4%
Jalen Hurts pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+4
36.8%
Kennedy Brooks run for 4 yds to the Bayl 17Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 6
OPP 17
+3
38.1%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 3 yds to the Bayl 14Similar
Q4 1:45
4TH & 3
OPP 14
+31
11.5%
Gabe Brkic 31 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 22INT
7 plays · 35 yds · 1:0725% → 24%
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
24.9%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 8 yds to the Bayl 33Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-3
26.3%
Charlie Brewer sacked by Ronnie Perkins for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 30Similar
Q4 0:56
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
18.7%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 9 yds to the Bayl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+21
20.2%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 21 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
25.0%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to R.J. Sneed, broken up by Nik BonittoSimilar
Q4 0:29
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
24.3%
Charlie Brewer pass intercepted Nik Bonitto return for no gain to the Okla 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:25
Brayden Willis 2 Yd pass from Jalen Hurts (Gabe Brkic Kick)
-34.7
FG · Q4 1:45
Gabe Brkic 31 Yd Field Goal
-29.8
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-24.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com