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WVU

West Virginia 14 at Baylor 17

BAY
2019 · Week 10 · Oct 31, 2019 · McLane Stadium
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Win probability · BAY
modelBAY aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playBAY scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:52 · Austin Kendall pass complete to Ali Jennings for 7 yds to the Bayl 33 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 66Pregame prior+28.4Home team on offense+3.3Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3Score differential+1.0Blowout margin+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 6:42: Austin Kendall pass complete to George Campbell for 83 yds for a TD (Casey Legg KICK) — WVU win probability +15.1 pts (now 30%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:34: Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 21 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK) — BAY win probability +11.4 pts (now 88%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:22: Jay Sedwick kickoff for 60 yds , Winston Wright return for 95 yds for a TD (Casey Legg KICK) — WVU win probability +15.7 pts (now 28%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:30: Leddie Brown run for 6 yds to the Bayl 28 — WVU win probability +13.0 pts (now 39%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:30: Hasty, JaMycal rush for 7 yards to the BAYLOR38, PENALTY BAYLOR holding 10 yards to the BAYLOR21, NO PLAY. — BAY win probability +14.9 pts (now 81%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BAY made the numbers' call on 8 of 9WVU made the numbers' call on 12 of 13
  1. Q1 13:37WVU 4th & 9 at WVU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:57BAY 4th & 10 at BAY 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:41WVU 4th & 1 at WVU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.2%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:48WVU 4th & 12 at WVU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 8:01BAY 4th & 15 at BAY 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.7%
    average punt
  6. Q1 6:41WVU 4th & 3 at WVU 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q1 5:24BAY 4th & 3 at BAY 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.9%
    average punt
  8. Q1 4:19WVU 4th & 7 at WVU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 12:05WVU 4th & 15 at WVU 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:52WVU 4th & 2 at BAY 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    14.5%−1.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    14.6%−1.0
    average punt
  11. Q2 6:34WVU 4th & 27 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−1.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%
    average punt
  12. Q2 2:08BAY 4th & 1 at WVU 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    82.8%−1.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    79.3%−5.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:15WVU 4th & 2 at BAY 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    15.2%−2.3
    34% to make
    Punt
    15.5%−1.9
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:53BAY 4th & 10 at WVU 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.4%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.2%
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:34BAY 4th & 21 at BAY 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.2%−6.4
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.6%
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:25WVU 4th & 5 at WVU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.3%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:19BAY 4th & 6 at WVU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%−1.0
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.0%
    77% to make
    Punt
    48.1%−17.9
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:59WVU 4th & 14 at WVU 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−4.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.4%
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:30BAY 4th & 14 at WVU 44, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%−2.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    70.6%−2.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    73.0%
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:42WVU 4th & 9 at WVU 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%−1.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.2%
    average punt
  21. Q4 3:33WVU 4th & 7 at BAY 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%−3.2
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.0%
    54% to make
    Punt
    20.7%−9.3
    average punt
  22. Q4 0:38BAY 4th & 13 at WVU 36, up 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 6.3 ptsPunted · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%−4.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    95.2%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.9%−6.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BAY made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WVU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 0:06BAY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 6:42WVU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:34BAY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:0810% → 10%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
90.1%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Ali Jennings for 1 yd to the WVirg 10Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 9
OWN 10
0
90.0%
Leddie Brown run for no gain to the WVirg 10Similar
Q1 13:51
3RD & 9
OWN 10
0
89.8%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Ali JenningsSimilar
Q1 13:37
4TH & 9
OWN 10
-3
89.8%
Josh Growden punt for 47 yds , R.J. Sneed returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:3590% → 89%
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
89.8%
Charlie Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-3
89.7%
Charlie Brewer sacked by Darius Stills for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 37Similar
Q1 12:25
3RD & 13
OWN 37
+3
89.4%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 3 yds to the Bayl 40Similar
Q1 11:57
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
89.2%
Issac Power punt for 39 yds , Alec Sinkfield returns for no gain to the WVirg 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 2:0211% → 11%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
89.2%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+7
89.2%
Kennedy McKoy run for 7 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+2
89.0%
Austin Kendall run for 2 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q1 10:41
4TH & 1
OWN 30
+2
88.9%
Austin Kendall run for 2 yds to the WVirg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
88.7%
Kennedy McKoy run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 30Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 12
OWN 30
0
88.7%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to T.J. SimmonsSimilar
Q1 9:55
3RD & 12
OWN 30
0
88.7%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Sam JamesSimilar
Q1 9:48
4TH & 12
OWN 30
0
88.8%
Josh Growden punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Bayl 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:3989% → 88%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
88.6%
JaMycal Hasty run for 3 yds to the Bayl 31Similar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+1
88.5%
JaMycal Hasty run for 1 yd to the Bayl 32Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 6
OWN 32
-9
88.0%
Charlie Brewer sacked by Dylan Tonkery for a loss of 9 yards to the Bayl 23Similar
Q1 8:01
4TH & 15
OWN 23
0
87.8%
Issac Power punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Alec Sinkfield at the WVirg 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2012% → 13%
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
87.9%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Kelby Wickline) to the WVirg 24Similar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 15
OWN 24
+12
87.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 12 yds to the WVirg 36Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 3
OWN 36
0
87.5%
Kennedy McKoy run for no gain to the WVirg 36Similar
Q1 6:49
3RD & 3
OWN 36
0
87.4%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Sam JamesSimilar
Q1 6:41
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
87.5%
Josh Growden punt for 40 yds, fair catch by R.J. Sneed at the Bayl 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0388% → 87%
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
87.5%
John Lovett run for 7 yds to the Bayl 31Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 3
OWN 31
0
87.5%
John Lovett run for no gain to the Bayl 31Similar
Q1 5:32
3RD & 3
OWN 31
0
87.1%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Tyquan ThorntonSimilar
Q1 5:24
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
86.9%
Issac Power punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Alec Sinkfield at the WVirg 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5113% → 13%
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
86.7%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
86.3%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to George CampbellSimilar
Q1 4:26
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
86.4%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to T.J. SimmonsSimilar
Q1 4:19
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
86.7%
Josh Growden punt for 45 yds, fair catch by R.J. Sneed at the Bayl 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 8TD
10 plays · 86 yds · 3:5487% → 88%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
86.5%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 9 yds to the Bayl 23Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 1
OWN 23
+6
86.6%
JaMycal Hasty run for 6 yds to the Bayl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-6
86.2%
Charlie Brewer sacked by Dante Stills for a loss of 6 yards to the Bayl 23Similar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 16
OWN 23
+15
86.1%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 15 yds to the Bayl 38Similar
Q1 2:10
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+5
86.3%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Dante Stills) to the Bayl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
86.5%
Brewer, Charlie pass incomplete to Mims, Denzel, PENALTY WESTVIR personal foul (Norwood, Josh) 15 yards to the WESTVIR42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BAYLOR.Similar
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
86.5%
Josh Fleeks run for 3 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q1 1:08
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+26
86.4%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 26 yds to the WVirg 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
86.4%
John Lovett run for no gain to the WVirg 13Similar
Q1 0:06
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+13
88.4%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 13 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 6 yds · 2:4513% → 13%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
87.4%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the WVirg 25Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 8
OWN 25
-1
87.4%
Leddie Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 24Similar
Q2 13:55
3RD & 9
OWN 24
+5
87.6%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Winston Wright for 5 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q2 13:19
4TH & 4
OWN 30
+4
87.5%
Growden, Josh punt 40 yards to the BAYLOR31, Sneed, R.J. return 7 yards to the BAYLOR38, PENALTY BAYLOR running into kicker 4 yards to the WESTVIR34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR.Similar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
86.8%
Kennedy McKoy run for 2 yds to the WVirg 36Similar
Q2 12:23
2ND & 8
OWN 36
-2
86.6%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Ali Jennings for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 34Similar
Q2 12:20
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
87.2%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Ali JenningsSimilar
Q2 12:11
4TH & 10
OWN 33
-4
87.4%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the WVirg 29Similar
Q2 12:05
4TH & 15
OWN 29
0
87.5%
Josh Growden punt for 42 yds, fair catch by R.J. Sneed at the Bayl 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 10FUMBLE
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:0987% → 88%
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
87.1%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 9 yds to the Bayl 38Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+3
87.7%
Charlie Brewer run for 3 yds to the Bayl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
87.6%
JaMycal Hasty run for 5 yds to the Bayl 46Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 5
OWN 46
0
87.6%
JaMycal Hasty run for no gain to the Bayl 46Similar
Q2 9:58
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+7
87.2%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Josh Fleeks for 7 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-7
87.7%
R.J. Sneed sacked by Tykee Smith for a loss of 7 yards to the Bayl 48 R.J. Sneed fumbled, forced by Tykee Smith, recovered by WVirg Noah Guzman , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · -2 yds · 2:5615% → 13%
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
85.3%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sam James for 5 yds to the Bayl 43Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 5
OPP 43
-4
85.1%
T.J. Simmons run for a loss of 4 yards to the Bayl 47Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 9
OPP 47
+7
85.7%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 7 yds to the Bayl 40Similar
Q2 7:52
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+7
86.5%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Ali Jennings for 7 yds to the Bayl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
85.3%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sam James for 4 yds to the Bayl 29Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 6
OPP 29
-21
84.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 21 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:41
3RD & 27
50
0
86.8%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Kennedy McKoySimilar
Q2 6:34
4TH & 27
50
0
87.3%
Josh Growden punt for 36 yds, fair catch by R.J. Sneed at the Bayl 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 12DOWNS
14 plays · 85 yds · 4:1887% → 87%
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+12
86.8%
John Lovett run for 12 yds to the Bayl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
86.8%
John Lovett run for 2 yds to the Bayl 28Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+8
86.7%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to John Lovett for 8 yds to the Bayl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+22
87.5%
Charlie Brewer run for 7 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Personal Foul (Tykee Smith) to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
87.7%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 9 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+12
87.7%
John Lovett run for 12 yds to the WVirg 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
87.7%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Jared Atkinson for 8 yds to the WVirg 13Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+10
87.6%
John Lovett run for 10 yds to the WVirg 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
87.6%
Gerry Bohanon run for 2 yds to the WVirg 1Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
87.4%
John Lovett run for no gain to the WVirg 1Similar
Q2 2:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
87.8%
Charlie Brewer run for no gain to the WVirg 1Similar
Q2 2:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
87.3%
Charlie Brewer run for no gain to the WVirg 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13INT
10 plays · 30 yds · 1:1612% → 13%
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
88.0%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Sam JamesSimilar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+2
87.9%
Austin Kendall run for 2 yds to the WVirg 3Similar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 8
OWN 3
+11
88.3%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Leddie Brown for 11 yds to the WVirg 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
87.5%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 9Similar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 15
OWN 9
0
87.9%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Isaiah EsdaleSimilar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 15
OWN 9
+5
88.0%
Leddie Brown run for 5 yds to the WVirg 14Similar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 10
OWN 14
+10
87.9%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Leddie Brown for 10 yds to the WVirg 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
87.3%
Austin Kendall run for 7 yds to the WVirg 31 (Offsetting penalties, Baylor Chris Miller ejected for targeting)Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 3
OWN 31
0
86.6%
Austin Kendall pass intercepted Jameson Houston return for no gain to the Bayl 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 14END OF HALF
5 plays · 26 yds · 0:3587% → 88%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
87.0%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 4 yds to the Bayl 42Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 6
OWN 42
-5
87.3%
Charlie Brewer sacked by Darius Stills for a loss of 5 yards to the Bayl 37Similar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 11
OWN 37
+14
86.1%
Charlie Brewer run for 14 yds to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+13
87.4%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Jared Atkinson for 13 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
87.7%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Jared AtkinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 15FUMBLE
2 plays · 35 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+35
85.8%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 35 yds Denzel Mims fumbled, recovered by WVirg Keith Washington Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16FUMBLE
11 plays · 45 yds · 4:1516% → 19%
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
84.2%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sam James for 3 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+1
83.8%
Austin Kendall run for 1 yd to the WVirg 44Similar
Q3 13:55
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+8
84.3%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Bryce Wheaton for 8 yds to the Bayl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
82.9%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Sam JamesSimilar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+5
83.2%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Bryce Wheaton for 5 yds to the Bayl 43Similar
Q3 12:41
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+3
83.0%
Austin Kendall run for 3 yds to the Bayl 40Similar
Q3 12:15
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+10
83.8%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Bryce Wheaton for 10 yds to the Bayl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
81.5%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 10 yds to the Bayl 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
81.0%
Leddie Brown run for 9 yds to the Bayl 11Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+1
80.9%
Austin Kendall run for 1 yd to the Bayl 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
80.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Bayl 37 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Bayl Blake LynchSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 3:0287% → 86%
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-7
87.0%
John Lovett run for 3 yds to the Bayl 40 BAYLOR Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the Bayl 30Similar
Q3 9:35
1ST & 17
OWN 30
+7
85.8%
Charlie Brewer run for 7 yds to the Bayl 37Similar
Q3 9:01
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+15
86.1%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 15 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
87.3%
John Lovett run for 2 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q3 8:28
2ND & 8
OPP 46
-5
87.2%
BAYLOR Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Bayl 49Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 13
OWN 49
+3
87.1%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Josh Fleeks for 3 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q3 7:20
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
86.7%
Charlie Brewer run for no gain to the WVirg 48Similar
Q3 6:53
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
85.6%
Issac Power punt for 31 yds, downed at the WVirg 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18TD
1 play · 83 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+83
70.5%
Austin Kendall pass complete to George Campbell for 83 yds for a TD (Casey Legg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 19TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:0173% → 88%
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
73.3%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel MimsSimilar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+19
72.9%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 19 yds to the Bayl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
75.5%
Charlie Brewer run for 7 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+15
76.1%
JaMycal Hasty run for 15 yds to the WVirg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
76.8%
JaMycal Hasty run for 9 yds to the WVirg 25Similar
Q3 4:52
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+4
76.4%
Charlie Brewer run for 4 yds to the WVirg 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
87.8%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 21 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 1:3572% → 68%
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
71.9%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel MimsSimilar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 10
OWN 33
-3
71.5%
Charlie Brewer sacked by Darius Stills for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 30Similar
Q3 2:50
3RD & 13
OWN 30
-8
68.5%
Charlie Brewer sacked by Sean Mahone for a loss of 8 yards to the Bayl 22Similar
Q3 2:34
4TH & 21
OWN 22
0
67.5%
Issac Power punt for 43 yds, downed at the WVirg 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0534% → 33%
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
66.0%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Leddie Brown for 3 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+2
64.1%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Winston Wright for 2 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q3 1:32
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
64.2%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Leddie BrownSimilar
Q3 1:25
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
66.8%
Josh Growden punt for 41 yds, fair catch by R.J. Sneed at the Bayl 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 23FG
15 plays · 62 yds · 5:4669% → 78%
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
69.3%
JaMycal Hasty run for 7 yds to the Bayl 26Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+8
70.0%
JaMycal Hasty run for 8 yds to the Bayl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
69.3%
JaMycal Hasty run for 6 yds to the Bayl 40Similar
Q3 0:01
2ND & 4
OWN 40
-1
71.9%
JaMycal Hasty run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 39Similar
Q4 14:40
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+5
69.8%
Charlie Brewer run for 5 yds to the Bayl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 0
+24
68.2%
Charlie Brewer run for 9 yds to the WVirg 47. Baylor Penalty, Offensive Holding (15 Yards) to the Baylor 43. WVirg Penalty personal foul (15 yards) to the WVirg 42. 1ST down BaylorSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
72.4%
Trestan Ebner run for 3 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+5
72.3%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 5 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q4 13:05
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+8
71.4%
Gerry Bohanon run for 8 yds to the WVirg 23 Gerry Bohanon fumbled, forced by Sean Mahone, recovered by Bayl Gerry Bohanon for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-15
72.7%
Brewer, Charlie pass complete to Mims, Denzel for 5 yards to the WESTVIR18, PENALTY BAYLOR illegal block 15 yards to the WESTVIR38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 25
OPP 38
0
69.7%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Tyquan ThorntonSimilar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 25
OPP 38
+7
68.9%
JaMycal Hasty run for 7 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q4 10:55
3RD & 18
OPP 31
+12
66.8%
Charlie Brewer run for 12 yds to the WVirg 19Similar
Q4 10:19
4TH & 6
OPP 19
+36
77.5%
John Mayers 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:1428% → 25%
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
72.4%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 21Similar
Q4 10:02
1ST & 15
OWN 21
+9
73.0%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 9 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 6
OWN 30
0
70.6%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Bryce WheatonSimilar
Q4 9:28
3RD & 6
OWN 30
-8
72.2%
Austin Kendall sacked by Terrel Bernard for a loss of 8 yards to the WVirg 22Similar
Q4 8:59
4TH & 14
OWN 22
0
74.8%
Josh Growden punt for 43 yds, fair catch by R.J. Sneed at the Bayl 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 3:2376% → 73%
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
76.4%
JaMycal Hasty run for 8 yds to the Bayl 43Similar
Q4 8:34
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+3
78.7%
JaMycal Hasty run for 3 yds to the Bayl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
78.7%
John Lovett run for 2 yds to the Bayl 48Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+12
78.5%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 12 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
79.0%
Trestan Ebner run for 7 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q4 6:48
2ND & 3
OPP 33
-2
79.8%
Trestan Ebner run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 35Similar
Q4 6:05
3RD & 5
OPP 35
-9
79.3%
Charlie Brewer sacked by Dante Stills for a loss of 9 yards to the WVirg 44Similar
Q4 5:30
4TH & 14
OPP 44
0
73.3%
Issac Power punt for 32 yds, downed at the WVirg 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 26FUMBLE
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:3529% → 26%
Q4 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
70.8%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the WVirg 13Similar
Q4 4:59
2ND & 9
OWN 13
0
71.2%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Bryce WheatonSimilar
Q4 4:55
3RD & 9
OWN 13
0
72.7%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Isaiah EsdaleSimilar
Q4 4:42
4TH & 9
OWN 13
-13
73.7%
Josh Growden punt for 40 yds , R.J. Sneed returns for a loss of 13 yards to the Bayl 34 R.J. Sneed fumbled, recovered by WVirg Kerry Martin Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 27MISSED FG
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5739% → 34%
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
60.6%
Leddie Brown run for 6 yds to the Bayl 28Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+2
59.3%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the Bayl 26Similar
Q4 3:39
3RD & 2
OPP 26
0
61.1%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Isaiah EsdaleSimilar
Q4 3:39
4TH & 2
OPP 26
-5
63.6%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Bayl 31Similar
Q4 3:33
4TH & 7
OPP 31
+48
65.9%
Casey Legg 48 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Bravvion RoySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 28PUNT
13 plays · 33 yds · 2:5281% → 94%
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-10
80.7%
Hasty, JaMycal rush for 7 yards to the BAYLOR38, PENALTY BAYLOR holding 10 yards to the BAYLOR21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 20
OWN 21
+1
83.3%
Trestan Ebner run for 1 yd to the Bayl 22Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 19
OWN 22
+7
84.0%
Trestan Ebner run for 7 yds to the Bayl 29Similar
Q4 2:12
3RD & 12
OWN 29
-5
83.6%
BAYLOR Penalty, False Start (Blake Bedier) to the Bayl 24Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 17
OWN 24
+43
84.6%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 43 yds to the WVirg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-3
89.9%
Trestan Ebner run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 36Similar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 13
OPP 36
+1
90.7%
Trestan Ebner run for 1 yd to the WVirg 35Similar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 12
OPP 35
-1
91.2%
John Lovett run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 36Similar
Q4 0:38
4TH & 13
OPP 36
0
94.0%
Issac Power punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Alec Sinkfield at the WVirg 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 29Uncategorized
4 plays · 34 yds · 0:2911% → 12%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+16
89.1%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Winston Wright for 16 yds to the WVirg 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
88.3%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Isaiah EsdaleSimilar
Q4 0:12
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+10
88.6%
Austin Kendall run for 10 yds to the WVirg 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
87.8%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Winston Wright for 8 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:22
Jay Sedwick kickoff for 60 yds , Winston Wright return for 95 yds for a TD (Casey Legg KICK)
-15.7
TD · Q3 6:42
Austin Kendall pass complete to George Campbell for 83 yds for a TD (Casey Legg KICK)
-15.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 3:30
Hasty, JaMycal rush for 7 yards to the BAYLOR38, PENALTY BAYLOR holding 10 yards to the BAYLOR21, NO PLAY.
+14.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com