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TTU

Texas Tech 30 at Baylor 33

BAY
2019 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2019 · McLane Stadium
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Win probability · BAY
modelBAY aheadTTU aheadconfidence bandkey playBAY scoreTTU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGFGFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:16 · Issac Power punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexTc 12
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorTime remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsDefense timeouts
+28.0+14.00−14.0−28.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 161Pregame prior+4.6Home team on offense+8.4Garbage-time factor+2.6Time remaining−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.9Defense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 1:37: SaRodorick Thompson run for 30 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK) — TTU win probability +54.4 pts (now 88%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 0:00: John Mayers 19 yd FG GOOD — BAY win probability +28.3 pts (now 69%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  3. TD · OT 0:00: T.J. Vasher 2 Yd pass from Jett Duffey (Trey Wolff Kick) — TTU win probability +39.9 pts (now 59%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  4. FG · OT 0:00: Trey Wolff 35 Yd Field Goal — TTU win probability +20.9 pts (now 74%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: JaMycal Hasty 5 Yd Run — BAY win probability +44.4 pts (now 86%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BAY made the numbers' call on 4 of 6TTU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00TTU 4th & 6 at TTU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:05BAY 4th & 9 at BAY 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:13TTU 4th & 8 at BAY 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    24.0%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 10:35BAY 4th & 1 at BAY 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 75.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.4%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:29TTU 4th & 3 at TTU 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.7%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:00TTU 4th & 9 at BAY 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.3%
    72% to make
    Punt
    26.2%−2.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:08BAY 4th & 7 at TTU 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.3%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.7%
    75% to make
    Punt
    66.0%−3.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:09BAY 4th & 8 at BAY 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%−1.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:09TTU 4th & 4 at BAY 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.7%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    31.3%−4.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:05TTU 4th & 2 at BAY 17, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    28.2%−0.9
    80% to make
    Punt
    21.9%−7.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:42BAY 4th & 6 at TTU 38, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 74.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    74.4%−1.2
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    74.3%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:40TTU 4th & 9 at TTU 21, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.3%−2.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:16BAY 4th & 17 at TTU 42, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.6%−3.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    71.3%−1.9
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    73.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BAY made the numbers' call on 2 of 2TTU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q3 13:03BAY Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 11:05TTU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:05BAY Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 1:37TTU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.4%−3.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TTUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-9
77.9%
Jett Duffey sacked by James Lynch for a loss of 9 yards to the TexTc 5Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 19
OWN 5
+2
77.9%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 7Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 7
+11
77.9%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 11 yds to the TexTc 18Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 18
0
77.9%
Austin McNamara punt for 60 yds, downed at the Bayl 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
77.5%
John Lovett run for 1 yd to the Bayl 23Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 9
OWN 23
0
77.4%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to John LovettSimilar
Q1 13:05
3RD & 9
OWN 23
0
77.4%
Charlie Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:05
4TH & 9
OWN 23
0
77.3%
Issac Power punt for 35 yds, downed at the TexTc 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
77.0%
Jett Duffey run for 1 yd to the TexTc 43Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+10
77.0%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 10 yds to the Bayl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
77.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 4 yds to the Bayl 43Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 6
OPP 43
-2
77.0%
SaRodorick Thompson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 45Similar
Q1 12:13
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
77.0%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete TEXAS TECH Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 12:13
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
77.2%
Austin McNamara punt for 43 yds, downed at the Bayl 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
76.8%
John Lovett run for 3 yds to the Bayl 5Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+5
76.7%
Brewer,Charlie sacked for loss of 4 yards to the BU1 (Benson, Xavier), PENALTY TTU offside defense (Howard, Eli) 5 yards to the BU10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 2
OWN 10
+14
76.8%
John Lovett run for 14 yds to the Bayl 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
76.8%
Gerry Bohanon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+8
76.8%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 8 yds to the Bayl 32Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+1
76.8%
John Lovett run for 1 yd to the Bayl 33Similar
Q1 10:35
4TH & 1
OWN 33
+41
76.7%
Issac Power punt for 46 yds, downed at the BAYLOR 21 BAYLOR Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 1:2824% → 25%
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
76.0%
Jett Duffey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+4
76.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to R.J. Turner for 4 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q1 7:57
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+8
76.1%
Jett Duffey pass complete to KeSean Carter for 8 yds to the TexTc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
75.7%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Armand Shyne for 9 yds to the TexTc 47Similar
Q1 6:29
2ND & 1
OWN 47
-7
74.7%
Jett Duffey sacked by James Lynch and Terrel Bernard for a loss of 7 yards to the TexTc 40Similar
Q1 6:29
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+5
75.2%
Jett Duffey run for 5 yds to the TexTc 45Similar
Q1 6:29
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
75.3%
Austin McNamara punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Bayl 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 6INT
4 plays · 30 yds · 0:0075% → 76%
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+14
75.2%
Brewer,Charlie pass incomplete to Sneed,R.J., PENALTY TTU pass interference (Frye, Adrian) 14 yards to the BU48, 1ST DOWN BU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
75.9%
JaMycal Hasty run for 1 yd to the Bayl 49Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+15
75.8%
Brewer,Charlie pass incomplete to Platt,Chris, PENALTY TTU pass interference (Frye, Adrian) 15 yards to the TTU36, 1ST DOWN BU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+38
76.0%
Charlie Brewer pass intercepted Evan Rambo return for 23 yds to the TexTc 13 TEXAS TECH Penalty, illegal block (15 Yards) to the TexTc 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 7FG
9 plays · 46 yds · 3:5526% → 29%
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
74.3%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 5 yds to the TexTc 37Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+4
74.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to R.J. Turner for 4 yds to the TexTc 41Similar
Q1 3:55
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+24
73.9%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 24 yds to the Bayl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
73.3%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Myller Royals for 7 yds to the Bayl 28Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+5
73.2%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Donta Thompson for 5 yds to the Bayl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
73.2%
Jett Duffey run for 3 yds to the Bayl 20Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 7
OPP 20
-2
73.2%
Jett Duffey sacked by Blake Lynch and Niadre Zouzoua for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 22Similar
Q1 3:55
3RD & 9
OPP 22
0
73.8%
Jett Duffey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 9
OPP 22
+40
71.1%
Trey Wolff 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 8INT
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0071% → 72%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+9
71.1%
JaMycal Hasty run for 9 yds to the Bayl 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 16
+5
71.4%
Charlie Brewer run for 5 yds to the Bayl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
71.5%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Josh Fleeks for 6 yds to the Bayl 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+1
71.7%
JaMycal Hasty run for 1 yd to the Bayl 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+4
71.2%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 4 yds to the Bayl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
71.7%
Charlie Brewer pass intercepted Douglas Coleman III return for no gain to the TexTc 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 9INT
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
68.9%
Jett Duffey pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 1 yd to the TexTc 46Similar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+16
69.0%
Jett Duffey pass intercepted Jordan Williams return for 16 yds to the TexTc 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 10FG
7 plays · 21 yds · 1:4472% → 73%
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
72.0%
John Lovett run for 4 yds to the TexTc 37Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+14
72.0%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 14 yds to the TexTc 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
72.5%
John Lovett run for 3 yds to the TexTc 20Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 7
OPP 20
0
72.5%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Josh FleeksSimilar
Q2 10:18
3RD & 7
OPP 20
0
71.2%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to R.J. SneedSimilar
Q2 10:08
4TH & 7
OPP 20
+37
72.8%
John Mayers 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 11FUMBLE
12 plays · 61 yds · 0:0029% → 32%
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
70.9%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 10 yds to the TexTc 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
70.4%
SaRodorick Thompson run for no gain to the TexTc 34Similar
Q2 10:08
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+9
70.7%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 9 yds to the TexTc 43Similar
Q2 10:08
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+1
69.6%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd to the TexTc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
69.5%
Dalton Rigdon run for no gain to the TexTc 44Similar
Q2 10:08
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+11
69.9%
Jett Duffey pass complete to KeSean Carter for 11 yds to the Bayl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
69.0%
Armand Shyne run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 46Similar
Q2 10:08
2ND & 11
OPP 46
-1
69.3%
Dalton Rigdon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 47Similar
Q2 10:08
3RD & 12
OPP 47
+13
70.4%
Jett Duffey pass complete to R.J. Turner for 13 yds to the Bayl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+13
68.4%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Travis Koontz for 13 yds to the Bayl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
68.2%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 3 yds to the Bayl 15 SaRodorick Thompson fumbled, recovered by Bayl Jameson HoustonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 2 yds · 2:0271% → 68%
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
70.6%
John Lovett run for 7 yds to the Bayl 22Similar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 3
OWN 22
-7
70.8%
John Lovett run for 3 yds to the Bayl 25 BAYLOR Penalty, illegal block (Tyquan Thornton) to the Bayl 15Similar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+6
70.5%
Charlie Brewer run for 6 yds to the Bayl 21Similar
Q2 5:11
3RD & 4
OWN 21
-10
69.6%
BAYLOR Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Blake Bedier) to the Bayl 11Similar
Q2 3:58
3RD & 14
OWN 11
+6
69.2%
Charlie Brewer run for 6 yds to the Bayl 17Similar
Q2 3:09
4TH & 8
OWN 17
0
67.9%
Issac Power punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Bayl 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 13FG
8 plays · 33 yds · 2:5436% → 42%
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
63.8%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 3 yds to the Bayl 37Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+7
63.8%
Jett Duffey pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 7 yds to the Bayl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+17
63.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 17 yds to the Bayl 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
62.7%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Bayl 18Similar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 15
OPP 18
+9
63.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 9 yds to the Bayl 9Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+2
62.7%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the Bayl 7Similar
Q2 3:03
3RD & 4
OPP 7
0
63.7%
Jett Duffey run for no gain to the Bayl 7Similar
Q2 0:09
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+25
58.5%
Trey Wolff 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 14MISSED FG
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:0762% → 64%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+21
62.2%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 21 yds to the TexTc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+55
63.7%
Noah Rauschenberg 55 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 15TD
6 plays · 36 yds · 1:5767% → 76%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
66.7%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to R.J. SneedSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+5
66.7%
Charlie Brewer run for 5 yds to the TexTc 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+23
66.4%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Chris Platt for 23 yds Chris Platt fumbled, forced by Adrian Frye, recovered by Bayl Chris Platt for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
67.7%
Gerry Bohanon run for 4 yds to the TexTc 4Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
76.3%
Charlie Brewer run for 4 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 16TD
6 plays · 89 yds · 1:5827% → 45%
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
72.8%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd to the TexTc 12Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 9
OWN 12
-4
73.0%
Jett Duffey sacked by James Lockhart for a loss of 4 yards to the TexTc 8Similar
Q3 13:03
3RD & 13
OWN 8
+79
74.2%
Jett Duffey pass complete to R.J. Turner for 79 yds to the Bayl 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
68.2%
Jett Duffey pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 9 yds to the Bayl 4Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+4
55.3%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 17TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 3:0061% → 78%
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
60.5%
John Lovett run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 25Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+10
60.0%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 10 yds to the Bayl 35Similar
Q3 11:05
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+5
61.5%
Charlie Brewer run for 5 yds to the Bayl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
63.0%
John Lovett run for 3 yds to the Bayl 43Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+24
63.4%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 24 yds to the TexTc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+32
65.4%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 32 yds to the TexTc 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
78.3%
Charlie Brewer run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 18DOWNS
8 plays · 58 yds · 0:0027% → 29%
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+37
73.4%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 37 yds to the Bayl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
69.8%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 7 yds to the Bayl 31Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+6
68.3%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 6 yds to the Bayl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
68.3%
Jett Duffey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
68.7%
Jett Duffey run for no gain to the Bayl 25Similar
Q3 8:05
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+8
70.1%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 8 yds to the Bayl 17Similar
Q3 8:05
4TH & 2
OPP 17
0
71.1%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to R.J. Turner, broken up by James LynchSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 45 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+41
74.7%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 41 yds to the TexTc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
77.5%
Charlie Brewer sacked by Broderick Washington Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 44Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 12
OPP 44
+6
76.5%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Chris Platt for 6 yds to the TexTc 38Similar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 6
OPP 38
0
77.0%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel MimsSimilar
Q3 5:42
4TH & 6
OPP 38
0
75.2%
Issac Power punt for 30 yds, downed at the TexTc 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0027% → 25%
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
73.1%
Jett Duffey pass complete to R.J. Turner for 7 yds to the TexTc 15Similar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 3
OWN 15
+5
72.6%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 5 yds to the TexTc 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
72.4%
Jett Duffey pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 6 yds to the TexTc 26Similar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 4
OWN 26
-1
71.5%
SaRodorick Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 25Similar
Q3 3:40
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-4
73.3%
Jett Duffey sacked by James Lynch for a loss of 4 yards to the TexTc 21Similar
Q3 3:40
4TH & 9
OWN 21
+12
74.9%
Austin McNamara punt for 54 yds , Grayland Arnold returns for 12 yds to the Bayl 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 21INT
11 plays · 59 yds · 1:1076% → 78%
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
75.8%
Charlie Brewer run for 7 yds to the Bayl 44Similar
Q3 1:10
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+4
77.2%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for 4 yds to the Bayl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
77.3%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Josh Fleeks, broken up by Nelson MbanasorSimilar
Q3 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+12
76.8%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 12 yds to the TexTc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
77.9%
Charlie Brewer run for 8 yds to the TexTc 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+3
78.7%
John Lovett run for 3 yds to the TexTc 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
78.7%
Charlie Brewer run for 4 yds to the TexTc 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+18
78.7%
John Lovett run for 18 yds to the TexTc 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
78.7%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel Mims, broken up by Zech McPhearsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
78.7%
John Lovett run for 3 yds to the TexTc 4Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
77.5%
Charlie Brewer pass intercepted, touchback. Ja'Marcus Ingram return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 22INT
9 plays · 59 yds · 0:0029% → 34%
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
71.5%
Jett Duffey pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 10 yds to the TexTc 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
71.0%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, false start (Terence Steele) to the TexTc 25Similar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 15
OWN 25
0
71.8%
Jett Duffey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 15
OWN 25
+5
72.2%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 5 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q4 12:04
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+27
73.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to McLane Mannix for 12 yds to the Bayl 42 for a 1ST down BAYLOR Penalty, tripping (Chris Miller) to the Bayl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+19
66.6%
Jett Duffey pass complete to Donta Thompson for 19 yds to the Bayl 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-3
64.4%
SaRodorick Thompson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 27Similar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 13
OPP 27
+6
66.5%
Jett Duffey run for 6 yds to the Bayl 21Similar
Q4 12:04
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+8
66.2%
Jett Duffey pass intercepted Clay Johnston return for 8 yds to the Bayl 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 23PUNT
10 plays · 38 yds · 0:0074% → 72%
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
73.9%
John Lovett run for 13 yds to the Bayl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
74.4%
John Lovett run for 3 yds to the Bayl 36Similar
Q4 9:16
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+8
75.8%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for 8 yds to the Bayl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+21
76.6%
JaMycal Hasty run for 21 yds to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
78.6%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Chris Platt for 2 yds to the TexTc 33Similar
Q4 9:16
2ND & 8
OPP 33
-10
78.6%
Brewer,Charlie rush for 9 yards to the TTU24, out-of-bounds (Brooks, Jordyn), PENALTY BU holding (Newman,Xavier) 10 yards to the TTU43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:16
2ND & 18
OPP 43
+8
75.7%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for 8 yds to the TexTc 35Similar
Q4 9:16
3RD & 10
OPP 35
-2
76.3%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Chris Platt for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 37Similar
Q4 9:16
4TH & 12
OPP 37
-5
72.5%
BAYLOR Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 42Similar
Q4 9:16
4TH & 17
OPP 42
0
71.8%
Issac Power punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexTc 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 24TD
9 plays · 88 yds · 2:4225% → 88%
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-1
75.1%
SaRodorick Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 11Similar
Q4 4:19
2ND & 11
OWN 11
0
75.5%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to SaRodorick ThompsonSimilar
Q4 4:19
3RD & 11
OWN 11
+12
77.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 12 yds to the TexTc 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
74.8%
Jett Duffey pass complete to McLane Mannix for 7 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q4 4:19
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+14
72.3%
Jett Duffey pass complete to R.J. Turner for 14 yds to the TexTc 44 for a 1ST down BAYLOR Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+17
70.8%
Jett Duffey pass complete to R.J. Turner for 17 yds to the Bayl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
68.6%
Jett Duffey pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 9 yds to the Bayl 30Similar
Q4 4:19
2ND & 1
OPP 30
0
66.0%
Jett Duffey pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for no gain to the Bayl 30Similar
Q4 1:37
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+30
11.6%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 30 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 25FG
19 plays · 89 yds · 1:2931% → 69%
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-8
31.3%
Charlie Brewer sacked by Eli Howard for a loss of 8 yards to the Bayl 1Similar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 18
OWN 1
+20
26.8%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 20 yds to the Bayl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
28.1%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Trestan EbnerSimilar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+9
27.6%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 9 yds to the Bayl 30Similar
Q4 1:21
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+3
29.2%
Charlie Brewer run for 3 yds to the Bayl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+19
28.9%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 19 yds to the TexTc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+27
34.7%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 27 yds to the TexTc 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
37.4%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 6 yds to the TexTc 15Similar
Q4 0:26
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+10
37.4%
Charlie Brewer run for 10 yds to the TexTc 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
35.4%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel MimsSimilar
Q4 0:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
34.3%
Brewer,Charlie pass incomplete to Mims,Denzel, PENALTY TTU holding (Frye, Adrian) 3 yards to the TTU2, 1ST DOWN BU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
68.6%
John Mayers 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 26TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:0065% → 78%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-3
64.7%
John Lovett run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexTc 28Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 13
OPP 28
-5
63.4%
BAYLOR Penalty, false start (Jake Fruhmorgen) to the TexTc 33Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 18
OPP 33
+32
78.1%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 32 yds to the TexTc 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 27TD
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0017% → 59%
OT 0:00
1ST & 15
OPP 30
+5
83.5%
Jett Duffey pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 5 yds to the Bayl 25Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
82.4%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+8
88.2%
Jett Duffey run for 8 yds to the Bayl 17Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+2
88.3%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the Bayl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
80.4%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 1 yd to the Bayl 14Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+5
80.4%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 5 yds to the Bayl 9Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
40.6%
T.J. Vasher 2 Yd pass from Jett Duffey (Trey Wolff Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 28FG
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0060% → 74%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-4
40.5%
SaRodorick Thompson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Bayl 29Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 14
OPP 29
0
43.4%
Jett Duffey pass incomplete to McLane MannixSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 14
OPP 29
+12
47.4%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 12 yds to the Bayl 17Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+35
26.5%
Trey Wolff 35 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 29TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:0041% → 86%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
41.3%
John Lovett run for 2 yds to the TexTc 23Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+18
41.3%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for 18 yds to the TexTc 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
85.7%
JaMycal Hasty 5 Yd Run Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:37
SaRodorick Thompson run for 30 yds for a TD, (Trey Wolff KICK)
-54.4
TD · OT 0:00
JaMycal Hasty 5 Yd Run
+44.4
TD · OT 0:00
T.J. Vasher 2 Yd pass from Jett Duffey (Trey Wolff Kick)
-39.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com