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BAY

Baylor 21 at Rice 13

RICE
2019 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2019 · Rice Stadium
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Win probability · RICE
modelRICE aheadBAY aheadconfidence bandkey playRICE scoreBAY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:42 · Wiley Green pass complete to Jack Bradley for 8 yds to the Bayl 5
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 132Pregame prior−15.6Home team on offense−25.2Score differential−11.9Garbage-time factor−8.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 8:09: Will Harrison 28 yd FG GOOD — RICE win probability +3.4 pts (now 11%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:15: Charlie Brewer run for 25 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK) — BAY win probability +3.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 8:42: Tom Stewart run for 21 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK) — RICE win probability +14.0 pts (now 19%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:01: Timeout BAYLOR, clock 06:01 — BAY win probability +7.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:02: JaMycal Hasty run for 3 yds to the Bayl 40 — BAY win probability +7.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RICE made the numbers' call on 8 of 9BAY made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 10:15BAY 4th & 3 at RICE 20, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.9%−<0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    92.5%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:15RICE 4th & 5 at RICE 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00BAY 4th & 1 at RICE 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    90.5%−0.5
    47% to make
    Punt
    90.4%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:09RICE 4th & 6 at BAY 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.3%
    88% to make
    Punt
    8.6%−2.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:02RICE 4th & 9 at RICE 26, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:44RICE 4th & 11 at BAY 26, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    9.4%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00RICE 4th & 3 at RICE 32, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:50RICE 4th & 6 at BAY 6, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−4.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:20BAY 4th & 2 at BAY 32, up 15
    Close callPunted · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.5%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00RICE 4th & 3 at BAY 28, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    9.3%−0.6
    60% to make
    Punt
    5.6%−4.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:42RICE 4th & 10 at BAY 13, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.4%−0.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    8.3%
    85% to make
    Punt
    3.4%−4.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:37BAY 4th & 3 at BAY 12, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:01BAY 4th & 9 at BAY 32, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%−2.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:47RICE 4th & 23 at RICE 22, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−2.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RICE made the numbers' call on 0 of 1BAY made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 3:12BAY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:02BAY Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:15BAY Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 8:42RICE Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.9%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BAYDrive 1MISSED FG
12 plays · 55 yds · 4:4596% → 95%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
3.8%
Chris Platt run for 5 yds to the Bayl 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
3.8%
Charlie Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+12
3.8%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Chris Platt for 12 yds to the Bayl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
3.8%
JaMycal Hasty run for 3 yds to the Bayl 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+2
3.8%
Charlie Brewer run for 2 yds to the Bayl 47Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+11
3.8%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Christoph Henle for 11 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
3.8%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 15 yds to the Rice 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-2
3.8%
Charlie Brewer sacked by Treshawn Chamberlain and Anthony Ekpe for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 29
0
3.8%
Charlie Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 29
+9
3.8%
Charlie Brewer run for 9 yds to the Rice 20Similar
Q1 10:15
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+37
4.9%
John Mayers 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
5.0%
Aston Walter run for 1 yd to the Rice 21Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+19
5.0%
Wiley Green pass complete to Brad Rozner for 19 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
5.1%
Cameron Montgomery run for 1 yd to the Rice 41Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 9
OWN 41
-1
5.0%
Aston Walter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 40Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+5
5.0%
Wiley Green pass complete to Aston Walter for 5 yds to the Rice 45Similar
Q1 10:15
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
5.0%
Chris Barnes punt for 41 yds, downed at the Bayl 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 3TD
9 plays · 86 yds · 4:0194% → 94%
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
5.9%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 2 yds to the Bayl 16Similar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+15
5.9%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 15 yds to the Bayl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
5.8%
John Lovett run for 7 yds to the Bayl 38Similar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+2
5.7%
John Lovett run for 2 yds to the Bayl 40Similar
Q1 7:13
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+2
5.8%
John Lovett run for 2 yds to the Bayl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+35
5.7%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 35 yds to the Rice 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-4
5.6%
JaMycal Hasty run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 27Similar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 14
OPP 27
+21
5.7%
JaMycal Hasty run for 21 yds to the Rice 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
5.9%
Josh Fleeks run for 6 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4FUMBLE
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
6.2%
Wiley Green pass complete to August Pitre III for 12 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
6.3%
Aston Walter run for 11 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
6.5%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Austin Trammell, broken up by James LockhartSimilar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-4
6.5%
Aston Walter run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 43Similar
Q1 3:12
3RD & 14
OWN 43
+1
6.2%
Wiley Green pass complete to Cameron Montgomery for 1 yd Cameron Montgomery fumbled, forced by Bravvion Roy, recovered by Bayl James LockhartSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 5DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1194% → 93%
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
6.3%
Trestan Ebner run for 6 yds to the Rice 37Similar
Q1 1:11
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+1
6.3%
Trestan Ebner run for 1 yd to the Rice 36Similar
Q1 1:11
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+2
6.3%
Trestan Ebner run for 2 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 34
-1
6.8%
John Lovett run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 35 John Lovett fumbled, forced by Blaze Alldredge, recovered by Bayl Connor GalvinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6FG
13 plays · 55 yds · 6:477% → 11%
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
7.1%
Aston Walter run for 3 yds to the Rice 38Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+3
7.3%
Charlie Booker run for 3 yds to the Rice 41Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+6
7.2%
Charlie Booker run for 6 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
7.4%
Tom Stewart pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+3
7.4%
Charlie Booker run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 7
50
+14
7.3%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Brad Rozner for 14 yds Brad Rozner fumbled, forced by Kalon Barnes, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
7.5%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Jordan Myers for 5 yds to the Bayl 31Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 5
OPP 31
0
7.7%
Charlie Booker run for no gain to the Bayl 31Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+17
7.5%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Brad Rozner for 17 yds to the Bayl 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
7.7%
Tom Stewart pass complete to August Pitre III for 4 yds to the Bayl 10Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 6
OPP 10
0
7.7%
Charlie Booker run for no gain to the Bayl 10Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 6
OPP 10
0
7.5%
Tom Stewart pass incomplete to Brad RoznerSimilar
Q2 8:09
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+28
10.9%
Will Harrison 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 7TD
9 plays · 84 yds · 3:0790% → 92%
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
10.3%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 9 yds to the Bayl 25Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+4
10.0%
Charlie Brewer run for 4 yds to the Bayl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-10
10.2%
BAYLOR Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Bayl 19Similar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 20
OWN 19
+10
10.4%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 10 yds to the Bayl 29Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+11
10.3%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 11 yds to the Bayl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
9.8%
JaMycal Hasty run for 9 yds to the Bayl 49Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+1
9.6%
Charlie Brewer run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
50
+50
7.8%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Chris Platt for 50 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
8.0%
Tom Stewart pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
8.0%
Aston Walter run for no gain to the Rice 25Similar
Q2 5:02
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+1
7.7%
Aston Walter run for 1 yd to the Rice 26Similar
Q2 5:02
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
7.6%
Chris Barnes punt for 53 yds, downed at the Bayl 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 9FUMBLE
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
8.5%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to JaMycal HastySimilar
Q2 3:12
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+9
8.5%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Chris Platt for 9 yds to the Bayl 30Similar
Q2 3:12
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+1
8.5%
Charlie Brewer run for 1 yd to the Bayl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-10
8.3%
BAYLOR Penalty, Offensive holding (Connor Galvin) to the Bayl 21Similar
Q2 3:12
1ST & 20
OWN 21
+5
8.5%
RICE Penalty, Defensive offside (Elijah Garcia) to the Bayl 26Similar
Q2 3:12
1ST & 15
OWN 26
-1
8.5%
John Lovett run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 25 John Lovett fumbled, recovered by Rice Anthony EkpeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10MISSED FG
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:5510% → 9%
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
10.0%
Aston Walter run for 2 yds to the Bayl 23Similar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+2
10.0%
Aston Walter run for 2 yds to the Bayl 21Similar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 6
OPP 21
-5
10.1%
Tom Stewart sacked by James Lynch for a loss of 5 yards to the Bayl 26Similar
Q2 0:44
4TH & 11
OPP 26
+44
9.3%
Chris Barnes 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 11TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 0:2992% → 96%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+19
8.5%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 19 yds to the Bayl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
8.1%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Chris Platt for 14 yds to the Rice 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
7.8%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Tyquan ThorntonSimilar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+16
7.8%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 16 yds to the Rice 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
3.9%
Charlie Brewer run for 25 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-4
5.6%
Aston Walter run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
5.2%
Wiley Green pass complete to Brad Rozner for 6 yds to the Rice 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
5.4%
Aston Walter run for 2 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-1
5.4%
Aston Walter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 32Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
5.3%
Adam Nunez punt for 48 yds, fair catch by R.J. Sneed at the Bayl 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 14FUMBLE
8 plays · 41 yds · 0:0095% → 96%
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
4.6%
Charlie Brewer run for 6 yds to the Bayl 26Similar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+7
4.6%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 7 yds to the Bayl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
4.6%
Trestan Ebner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 32Similar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 11
OWN 32
-9
4.6%
Trestan Ebner run for 1 yd to the Bayl 33 BAYLOR Penalty, Offensive holding (R.J. Sneed) to the Bayl 23Similar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 20
OWN 23
0
4.7%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Chris Platt for no gain to the Bayl 23Similar
Q3 13:04
3RD & 20
OWN 23
+44
4.8%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 44 yds to the Rice 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
4.2%
Jared Atkinson pass incomplete to Charlie BrewerSimilar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-6
4.3%
Charlie Brewer sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the Rice 39 Charlie Brewer fumbled, recovered by Rice Antonio Montero , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15FG
15 plays · 55 yds · 6:356% → 8%
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
5.6%
Charlie Booker run for 5 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+3
5.8%
Charlie Booker run for 3 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+12
5.8%
Wiley Green pass complete to Austin Trammell for 12 yds to the Bayl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
5.9%
Charlie Booker run for no gain to the Bayl 41Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+7
5.8%
Wiley Green pass complete to Brad Rozner for 7 yds to the Bayl 34Similar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+3
6.0%
Charlie Booker run for 3 yds to the Bayl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
6.1%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Austin Trammell, broken up by Raleigh TexadaSimilar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+6
6.0%
Wiley Green run for 6 yds to the Bayl 25Similar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+4
6.0%
Wiley Green run for 4 yds to the Bayl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+15
6.1%
Wiley Green pass complete to Austin Trammell for 15 yds to the Bayl 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
6.4%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Brad RoznerSimilar
Q3 4:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
6.4%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Brad Rozner, broken up by Raleigh TexadaSimilar
Q3 4:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
6.2%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q3 3:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
7.6%
Will Harrison 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 1:3094% → 95%
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
5.7%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for 6 yds to the Bayl 30Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 4
OWN 30
-10
5.5%
BAYLOR Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Bayl 20Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 14
OWN 20
+9
5.8%
Charlie Brewer run for 9 yds to the Bayl 29Similar
Q3 2:20
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+3
5.3%
Charlie Brewer run for 3 yds to the Bayl 32Similar
Q3 2:20
4TH & 2
OWN 32
0
5.5%
Issac Power punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rice 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17DOWNS
14 plays · 57 yds · 4:478% → 8%
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
7.5%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Charlie BookerSimilar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
7.1%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q3 1:29
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+27
6.9%
Wiley Green pass complete to Brad Rozner for 27 yds to the Bayl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
8.4%
Charlie Booker run for 4 yds to the Bayl 31Similar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+3
8.5%
Wiley Green pass complete to Jordan Myers for 3 yds to the Bayl 28Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 28
0
8.6%
Charlie Booker run for no gain to the Bayl 28Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+5
8.2%
Wiley Green pass complete to Jordan Myers for 5 yds to the Bayl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
8.8%
Wiley Green run for 8 yds to the Bayl 15Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 15
+2
8.8%
Charlie Booker run for 2 yds to the Bayl 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
8.8%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Brad RoznerSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
8.8%
Wiley Green run for no gain to the Bayl 13Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 13
0
8.3%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Aston Walter, broken up by Jameson HoustonSimilar
Q4 11:42
4TH & 10
OPP 13
+8
7.5%
Wiley Green pass complete to Jack Bradley for 8 yds to the Bayl 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0097% → 96%
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
3.5%
JaMycal Hasty run for 5 yds to the Bayl 10Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 5
OWN 10
+2
3.6%
JaMycal Hasty run for 2 yds to the Bayl 12Similar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 3
OWN 12
0
3.9%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to R.J. SneedSimilar
Q4 11:37
4TH & 3
OWN 12
0
3.9%
Issac Power punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Bayl 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19TD
6 plays · 46 yds · 1:176% → 19%
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
5.8%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Brad RoznerSimilar
Q4 9:59
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+9
5.8%
Wiley Green pass complete to Aston Walter for 9 yds to the Bayl 37Similar
Q4 9:27
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+1
5.4%
Aston Walter run for 1 yd to the Bayl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+15
5.1%
BAYLOR Penalty, personal foul (Terrel Bernard) to the Bayl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
19.1%
Tom Stewart run for 21 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 2:4189% → 96%
Q4 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
11.5%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Tyquan ThorntonSimilar
Q4 8:42
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
11.7%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 5 yds to the Bayl 25Similar
Q4 8:42
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+6
11.7%
Charlie Brewer run for 6 yds to the Bayl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
11.1%
Trestan Ebner run for 1 yd to the Bayl 32Similar
Q4 8:42
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
11.2%
Trestan Ebner run for no gain to the Bayl 32Similar
Q4 6:01
3RD & 9
OWN 32
0
4.3%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel Mims, broken up by Tyrae ThorntonSimilar
Q4 6:01
4TH & 9
OWN 32
0
4.5%
Issac Power punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rice 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
11.4%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Brad Rozner for 10 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
11.9%
Aston Walter run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 33Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 12
OWN 33
-1
11.1%
Tom Stewart sacked by James Lockhart for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 32Similar
Q4 5:47
3RD & 13
OWN 32
-10
10.6%
Tom Stewart sacked by James Lynch for a loss of 10 yards to the Rice 22Similar
Q4 5:47
4TH & 23
OWN 22
0
10.1%
Chris Barnes punt for 41 yds, downed at the Bayl 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 22END OF GAME
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0097% → 98%
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
2.6%
JaMycal Hasty run for 3 yds to the Bayl 40Similar
Q4 3:02
2ND & 7
OWN 40
-1
2.5%
Josh Fleeks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 39Similar
Q4 3:02
3RD & 8
OWN 39
-5
2.8%
BAYLOR Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Bayl 34Similar
Q4 3:02
3RD & 13
OWN 34
+13
3.2%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 13 yds to the Bayl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
2.5%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:42
Tom Stewart run for 21 yds for a TD, (Will Harrison KICK)
+14
KEY PLAY · Q4 3:02
JaMycal Hasty run for 3 yds to the Bayl 40
-7.5
KEY PLAY · Q4 6:01
Timeout BAYLOR, clock 06:01
-7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com