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UTSA

UTSA 14 at Baylor 63

BAY
2019 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2019 · McLane Stadium
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Win probability · BAY
modelBAY aheadUTSA aheadconfidence bandkey playBAY scoreUTSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:09 · Lucas Dean punt for 38 yds , Grayland Arnold returns for 73 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 62Pregame prior+33.6Home team on offense+19.9Score differential+18.4Blowout margin+8.5Garbage-time factor+4.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:22: Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 9 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK) — BAY win probability +0.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:43: Charlie Brewer run for 5 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK) — BAY win probability +0.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:27: Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 30 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK) — BAY win probability +2.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:30: Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 26 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK) — BAY win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:25: Gerry Bohanon run for 3 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK) — BAY win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BAY made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UTSA made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00UTSA 4th & 2 at UTSA 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:30BAY 4th & 8 at BAY 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:13UTSA 4th & 8 at UTSA 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:22UTSA 4th & 7 at BAY 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    7.0%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00UTSA 4th & 12 at UTSA 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−0.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:09UTSA 4th & 10 at UTSA 35, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:09UTSA 4th & 11 at UTSA 24, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:02UTSA 4th & 3 at UTSA 42, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:25UTSA 4th & 1 at UTSA 34, down 42
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00BAY 4th & 9 at BAY 26, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:22BAY 4th & 6 at BAY 45, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:30UTSA 4th & 8 at UTSA 27, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:33UTSA 4th & 2 at UTSA 33, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:07UTSA 4th & 7 at BAY 43, down 49
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BAY made the numbers' call on 8 of 8UTSA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:22BAY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:43BAY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:27BAY Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:30BAY Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:25BAY Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:11BAY Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:03UTSA Touchdown, down 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:22UTSA Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 8:30BAY Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 5:33BAY Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTSADrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.0%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the TexSA 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-6
95.0%
Frank Harris sacked by Clay Johnston for a loss of 6 yards to the TexSA 22Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+5
95.0%
BAYLOR Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the TexSA 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+6
95.0%
Frank Harris run for 6 yds to the TexSA 33Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
95.0%
Lucas Dean punt for 44 yds, downed at the Bayl 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
94.5%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 1 yd to the Bayl 24Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+1
94.5%
Trestan Ebner run for 1 yd to the Bayl 25Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 8
OWN 25
0
94.5%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel MimsSimilar
Q1 12:30
4TH & 8
OWN 25
0
94.4%
Issac Power punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
94.2%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+3
94.2%
B.J. Daniels run for 3 yds to the TexSA 27Similar
Q1 11:13
3RD & 7
OWN 27
-1
94.2%
Frank Harris sacked by Blake Lynch for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 26 UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 11:13
4TH & 8
OWN 26
0
94.2%
Lucas Dean punt for 44 yds, downed at the Bayl 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 4TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 1:2394% → 94%
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+55
93.9%
Trestan Ebner run for 55 yds to the TexSA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
94.0%
Charlie Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+8
94.0%
Brewer,Charlie pass incomplete to Jones,Marques, PENALTY UTSA pass interference (MAYFIELD, Corey) 8 yards to the UTSA7, 1ST DOWN BU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
94.0%
Trestan Ebner run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 9Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
94.3%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 9 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 5PUNT
11 plays · 32 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
94.1%
Frank Harris pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 5 yds to the TexSA 30Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
94.0%
Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the TexSA 34Similar
Q1 8:22
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
94.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 6 yds to the TexSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
94.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Tariq Woolen for 7 yds to the TexSA 47Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+7
93.9%
Sincere McCormick run for 7 yds to the Bayl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
93.9%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSA 49Similar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 15
OWN 49
+3
94.0%
Brenden Brady run for 3 yds to the Bayl 48Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+5
94.0%
Sincere McCormick run for 5 yds to the Bayl 43Similar
Q1 8:22
3RD & 7
OPP 43
0
93.9%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Tariq Woolen, broken up by Raleigh TexadaSimilar
Q1 8:22
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
94.1%
Lucas Dean punt for 22 yds, downed at the Bayl 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 6TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 3:5094% → 95%
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
93.5%
Charlie Brewer run for 2 yds to the Bayl 23Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+16
93.5%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 16 yds to the Bayl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
93.6%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 12 yds to the TexSA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
93.7%
John Lovett run for 9 yds to the TexSA 40Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 1
OPP 40
0
93.7%
John Lovett run for no gain to the TexSA 40Similar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+2
93.7%
Charlie Brewer run for 2 yds to the TexSA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+19
93.7%
John Lovett run for 19 yds to the TexSA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
93.8%
BAYLOR Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSA 24Similar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 15
OPP 24
+19
93.7%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 19 yds to the TexSA 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
94.6%
Charlie Brewer run for 5 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:436% → 6%
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
94.0%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSA 20Similar
Q1 0:43
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-5
94.0%
Frank Harris run for a loss of 5 yards to the TexSA 15 Frank Harris fumbled, recovered by TexSA Frank HarrisSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+3
94.0%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the TexSA 18Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+5
94.1%
Frank Harris run for 5 yds to the TexSA 23Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+5
94.1%
Lucas Dean punt for 54 yds , Grayland Arnold returns for 5 yds to the Bayl 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 8TD
10 plays · 72 yds · 4:0294% → 97%
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
94.3%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for 6 yds to the Bayl 34Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+1
94.4%
Charlie Brewer run for 1 yd to the Bayl 35Similar
Q2 13:29
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+7
94.2%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 7 yds to the Bayl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
94.5%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel Mims, broken up by Corey Mayfield Jr.Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+10
94.4%
Brewer,Charlie pass incomplete to Ebner,Trestan, PENALTY UTSA holding (McFARLAND, L.) 10 yards to the UTSA48, 1ST DOWN BU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-10
94.5%
Brewer,Charlie pass complete to Thornton,Tyquan for 13 yards to the UTSA35 (MAYFIELD, Corey), PENALTY BU holding (Fruhmorgen,Jake) 10 yards to the BU42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 20
OWN 42
+4
94.4%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 4 yds to the Bayl 46Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 16
OWN 46
+22
94.4%
Trestan Ebner run for 22 yds to the TexSA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
94.5%
John Lovett run for 2 yds to the TexSA 30Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+30
97.1%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 30 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 9PUNT RETURN TD
6 plays · 10 yds · 2:184% → 1%
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.5%
Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the TexSA 29Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
96.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Carlos Strickland II for 4 yds to the TexSA 33Similar
Q2 9:27
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-3
96.4%
Frank Harris sacked by Clay Johnston and Bralen Taylor for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 30Similar
Q2 9:27
4TH & 5
OWN 30
-5
96.6%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the TexSA 35Similar
Q2 7:09
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+73
98.8%
Lucas Dean punt for 38 yds , Grayland Arnold returns for 73 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.8%
Sincere McCormick run for a loss of 5 yards to the TexSA 20Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
98.9%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:09
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+4
98.9%
Brenden Brady run for 4 yds to the TexSA 24Similar
Q2 7:09
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+5
98.8%
Lucas Dean punt for 56 yds , Grayland Arnold returns for 5 yds to the Bayl 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 11TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:0699% → 99%
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.8%
JaMycal Hasty run for 6 yds to the Bayl 31Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-2
98.8%
JaMycal Hasty run for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 29Similar
Q2 5:36
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+21
98.9%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
50
+7
98.9%
JaMycal Hasty run for 7 yds to the TexSA 43Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+5
98.8%
JaMycal Hasty run for 5 yds to the TexSA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
98.9%
JaMycal Hasty run for no gain to the TexSA 38Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
98.9%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Denzel Mims, broken up by Corey Mayfield Jr.Similar
Q2 2:02
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+12
98.9%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 12 yds to the TexSA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
99.2%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 26 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 12END OF HALF
8 plays · 30 yds · 1:281% → 1%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 5 yds to the TexSA 30Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
99.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 5 yds to the TexSA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.3%
Brenden Brady run for 6 yds to the TexSA 41Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+1
99.3%
Brenden Brady run for 1 yd to the TexSA 42Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
99.3%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Joshua CephusSimilar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 3
OWN 42
+13
99.4%
Brenden Brady run for 13 yds to the Bayl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 13TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 3:3599% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
99.4%
John Lovett run for 4 yds to the Bayl 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 34
-2
99.4%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Chris Platt for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+38
99.4%
Gerry Bohanon run for 38 yds to the TexSA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+13
99.4%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to John Lovett for 13 yds to the TexSA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-2
99.4%
Gerry Bohanon sacked by Rashad Wisdom for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 19Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 19
+13
99.4%
John Lovett run for 13 yds to the TexSA 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
99.4%
John Lovett run for 3 yds to the TexSA 3Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.7%
Gerry Bohanon run for 3 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+15
99.6%
McCORMICK, S. rush for loss of 4 yards to the UTSA6 (Lockhart,James), PENALTY BU face mask (Lockhart,James) 15 yards to the UTSA25, 1ST DOWN UTSA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Joshua CephusSimilar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.7%
Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd to the TexSA 26Similar
Q3 11:25
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+8
99.7%
Frank Harris run for 8 yds to the TexSA 34Similar
Q3 11:25
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
99.6%
Lucas Dean punt for 48 yds, fair catch by R.J. Sneed at the Bayl 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 15TD
7 plays · 82 yds · 2:50100% → 100%
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-8
99.7%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to JaMycal Hasty for 2 yds JaMycal Hasty fumbled, forced by Jahmal Sam, BAYLOR Penalty, personal foul (JaMycal Hasty) to the Bayl 10Similar
Q3 9:01
2ND & 18
OWN 10
+21
99.7%
Gerry Bohanon run for 21 yds to the Bayl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
99.7%
Bohanon,Gerry pass incomplete to Platt,Chris, QB hurry by CARTER-McLIN, J, PENALTY UTSA roughing passer (CARTER-McLIN, J) 15 yards to the BU46, 1ST DOWN BU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+18
99.7%
John Lovett run for 18 yds to the TexSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+34
99.7%
Gerry Bohanon run for 34 yds to the TexSA 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.7%
JaMycal Hasty run for 1 yd to the TexSA 1Similar
Q3 6:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
JaMycal Hasty run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 16TD
17 plays · 79 yds · 6:080% → 0%
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
99.8%
Sincere McCormick run for 5 yds to the TexSA 26Similar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+6
99.8%
Frank Harris pass complete to Blaze Moorhead for 6 yds to the TexSA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.8%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+9
99.8%
Frank Harris pass complete to Blaze Moorhead for 9 yds to the TexSA 41Similar
Q3 6:11
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+4
99.8%
Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the TexSA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
99.8%
Brenden Brady run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 44Similar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 11
OWN 44
0
99.8%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Sheldon JonesSimilar
Q3 6:11
3RD & 11
OWN 44
+17
99.8%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 17 yds to the Bayl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.8%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to B.J. DanielsSimilar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+5
99.8%
Frank Harris pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 5 yds to the Bayl 34Similar
Q3 6:11
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+7
99.8%
Frank Harris pass complete to Carlos Strickland II for 7 yds to the Bayl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
99.8%
Deven Boston run for 2 yds to the Bayl 25Similar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+7
99.8%
Deven Boston run for 7 yds to the Bayl 18Similar
Q3 6:11
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+13
99.8%
Deven Boston run for 13 yds to the Bayl 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
99.8%
Frank Harris run for 3 yds to the Bayl 2Similar
Q3 0:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.8%
Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:03100% → 100%
Q3 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Tyquan ThorntonSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
John Lovett run for 1 yd to the Bayl 26Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Gerry Bohanon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Issac Power punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 18TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 1:460% → 0%
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 5 yds to the TexSA 40Similar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for no gain to the TexSA 40Similar
Q4 14:08
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+6
99.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Blaze Moorhead for 6 yds to the TexSA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
99.9%
Sincere McCormick run for 54 yds for a TD, (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Gerry Bohanon run for no gain to the Bayl 26Similar
Q4 12:22
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+15
99.9%
Abram Smith run for 15 yds to the Bayl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
99.9%
Gerry Bohanon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 40Similar
Q4 12:22
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+5
99.9%
Abram Smith run for 5 yds to the Bayl 45Similar
Q4 12:22
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Jared AtkinsonSimilar
Q4 12:22
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Issac Power punt for 41 yds , Kirk Johnson Jr. returns for no gain to the TexSA 16 Kirk Johnson Jr. fumbled, recovered by Bayl JT WoodsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 20TD
2 plays · 16 yds · 0:43100% → 100%
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
99.9%
Abram Smith run for 1 yd to the TexSA 15Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+15
99.9%
Chris Platt run for 15 yds for a TD, (Noah Rauschenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 6 yds to the TexSA 31Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-4
99.9%
Frank Harris run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSA 27 Frank Harris fumbled, recovered by TexSA Frank HarrisSimilar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Frank Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:30
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Lucas Dean punt for 38 yds, fair catch by R.J. Sneed at the Bayl 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 22TD
3 plays · 65 yds · 1:37100% → 100%
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.9%
Qualan Jones run for 2 yds to the Bayl 37Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+2
99.9%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Davis Baucum for 2 yds to the Bayl 39Similar
Q4 5:33
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+61
99.9%
Qualan Jones run for 61 yds for a TD, (Noah Rauschenberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 23DOWNS
13 plays · 32 yds · 4:260% → 0%
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Deven Boston run for 3 yds to the TexSA 28Similar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Joshua CephusSimilar
Q4 5:33
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+5
100.0%
Lowell Narcisse run for 5 yds to the TexSA 33Similar
Q4 5:33
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+8
100.0%
Deven Boston run for 8 yds to the TexSA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
100.0%
Lowell Narcisse run for 3 yds to the TexSA 44Similar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+4
100.0%
Lowell Narcisse run for 4 yds to the TexSA 48Similar
Q4 5:33
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+6
100.0%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Deven Boston for 6 yds to the Bayl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
100.0%
Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Tariq Woolen, broken up by Kalon BarnesSimilar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
100.0%
Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Dywan GriffinSimilar
Q4 5:33
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+3
100.0%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Dywan Griffin for 3 yds to the Bayl 43Similar
Q4 1:07
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
100.0%
Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to De'Corian ClarkSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
100.0%
Will Williams run for 2 yds to the Bayl 45Similar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+1
100.0%
Jordan Williams run for 1 yd to the Bayl 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:27
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 30 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK)
+2.6
TD · Q1 0:43
Charlie Brewer run for 5 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK)
+0.9
TD · Q2 1:30
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Denzel Mims for 26 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK)
+0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com