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VAN

Vanderbilt 10 at Tennessee 28

TENN
2019 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2019 · Neyland Stadium
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Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadVAN aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreVAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:43 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:51: Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Dominick Wood-Anderson for 6 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK) — TENN win probability +1.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:36: Eric Gray run for 94 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK) — TENN win probability +2.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Paxton Brooks kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — VAN win probability +2.1 pts (now 5%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:34: Riley Neal pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 22 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK) — VAN win probability +6.3 pts (now 10%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:38: Eric Gray run for 4 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK) — TENN win probability +5.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6VAN made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 12:38VAN 4th & 2 at TENN 23, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.0%−0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    7.6%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:38TENN 4th & 8 at TENN 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:36VAN 4th & 5 at VAN 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:28TENN 4th & 10 at TENN 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 9:05VAN 4th & 12 at TENN 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00VAN 4th & 22 at VAN 28, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−0.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:44VAN 4th & 8 at VAN 26, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:28VAN 4th & 7 at VAN 46, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:52TENN 4th & 17 at TENN 25, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.6%−1.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00VAN 4th & 10 at VAN 35, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:15TENN 4th & 2 at VAN 47, up 18
    Close callPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:36VAN 4th & 15 at TENN 44, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    4.4%−0.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00TENN 4th & 9 at midfield, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:53VAN 4th & 5 at TENN 29, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−2.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:38VAN 4th & 9 at VAN 38, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:22TENN 4th & 7 at TENN 43, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:06VAN 4th & 6 at TENN 31, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    1.7%
    54% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TENN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4VAN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 3:04TENN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:51TENN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:36TENN Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:34VAN Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:38TENN Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TENNDrive 1INT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
94.5%
TENNESSEE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 20Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+5
94.5%
Tim Jordan run for 5 yds to the Tenn 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
94.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Dominick Wood-AndersonSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+2
94.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass intercepted Jaylen Mahoney return for 2 yds to the Tenn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 2FG
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:526% → 6%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
94.4%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn rush for loss of 5 yards to the UT36, fumble forced by Taylor,A., fumble by Ke'Shawn Vaughn recovered by VANDY Grant Miller at UT36, PENALTY VANDY personal foul off-setting, PENALTY UT personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
94.4%
Riley Neal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+8
94.4%
Keyon Brooks run for 8 yds to the Tenn 23Similar
Q1 14:30
3RD & 2
OPP 23
0
94.4%
Keyon Brooks run for no gain to the Tenn 23Similar
Q1 12:38
4TH & 2
OPP 23
+41
93.9%
Ryley Guay 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
94.0%
Tim Jordan run for 2 yds to the Tenn 27Similar
Q1 12:38
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
94.0%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Marquez CallawaySimilar
Q1 12:38
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
93.9%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Jauan Jennings, broken up by Jaylen Mahoney TENNESSEE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 12:38
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
93.9%
Paxton Brooks punt for 48 yds, downed at the Vandy 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
93.7%
VANDERBILT Penalty, false start (Grant Miller) to the Vandy 20Similar
Q1 11:36
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+3
93.7%
Keyon Brooks run for 3 yds to the Vandy 23Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+5
93.7%
TENNESSEE Penalty, offside defense (Darel Middleton) to the Vandy 28Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-3
93.7%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 25Similar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
93.7%
Riley Neal pass complete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn for 5 yds to the Vandy 30 VANDERBILT Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 11:36
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
93.8%
Harrison Smith punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Marquez Callaway at the Tenn 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
93.1%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:28
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
93.1%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh Palmer, broken up by Randall HaynieSimilar
Q1 9:28
3RD & 10
OWN 24
0
93.0%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:28
4TH & 10
OWN 24
0
93.0%
Paxton Brooks punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Justice Shelton-Mosley at the Vandy 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
92.9%
TENNESSEE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Tenn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
92.9%
Riley Neal pass complete to Keyon Brooks for no gain to the Tenn 47Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-10
92.9%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn rush for 4 yards to the UT43, out-of-bounds, PENALTY VANDY holding (Devin Cochran) 10 yards to the VANDY43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 20
OWN 43
+3
93.0%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 3 yds to the Vandy 46Similar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 17
OWN 46
+5
93.0%
Riley Neal pass complete to Cam Johnson for 5 yds to the Tenn 49Similar
Q1 9:05
4TH & 12
OPP 49
0
93.1%
Harrison Smith punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 7TD
7 plays · 84 yds · 3:2292% → 92%
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
92.1%
Tim Jordan run for 9 yds to the Tenn 25Similar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+7
92.2%
Tim Jordan run for 7 yds to the Tenn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
92.1%
Tim Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 31Similar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+6
92.1%
Tim Jordan run for 6 yds to the Tenn 37Similar
Q1 6:26
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+6
92.1%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 6 yds to the Tenn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
92.3%
Tim Jordan run for 1 yd to the Tenn 44Similar
Q1 3:04
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+56
92.1%
Eric Gray run for 56 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 8PUNT
13 plays · 3 yds · 3:048% → 8%
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.9%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Kalija LipscombSimilar
Q1 3:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
91.9%
Riley Neal pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 6 yds to the Vandy 31Similar
Q1 3:04
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+13
91.9%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 13 yds to the Vandy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
91.5%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Chris PierceSimilar
Q1 1:52
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+7
91.6%
Riley Neal pass complete to Cam Johnson for 7 yds to the Tenn 49Similar
Q1 1:52
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+4
91.4%
Riley Neal run for 4 yds to the Tenn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-15
91.4%
VANDERBILT Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Saige Young) to the Vandy 40Similar
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
91.5%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 38Similar
Q1 1:52
2ND & 12
OWN 38
-2
91.7%
Riley Neal sacked by Quavaris Crouch and Deandre Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 36Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 36
-8
91.5%
Riley Neal sacked by Roman Harrison for a loss of 8 yards to the Vandy 28Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 22
OWN 28
0
91.7%
TEAM punt for 19 yds, downed at the Vandy 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 9TD
7 plays · 47 yds · 3:1991% → 93%
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
91.4%
Eric Gray run for 9 yds to the Vandy 38Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+8
91.4%
Eric Gray run for 8 yds to the Vandy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
91.6%
Eric Gray run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 31Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+5
91.5%
Eric Gray run for 5 yds to the Vandy 26Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+20
91.4%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Dominick Wood-Anderson for 14 yds to the Vandy 12 for a 1ST down VANDERBILT Penalty, personal foul (Tae Daley) to the Vandy 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
91.6%
Tim Jordan run for no gain to the Vandy 6Similar
Q2 10:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
93.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Dominick Wood-Anderson for 6 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
92.6%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Vandy 26Similar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 8
OWN 26
0
92.6%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for no gain to the Vandy 26Similar
Q2 10:44
3RD & 8
OWN 26
0
92.7%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Chris PierceSimilar
Q2 10:44
4TH & 8
OWN 26
-5
92.9%
Harrison Smith punt for 57 yds , Marquez Callaway returns for a loss of 5 yards to the Tenn 21 TENNESSEE Penalty, illegal block (Kenneth George Jr.) to the Tenn 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 11TD
1 play · 94 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+94
95.5%
Eric Gray run for 94 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
94.9%
Riley Neal pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 12 yds to the Vandy 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
94.8%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Justice Shelton-MosleySimilar
Q2 8:28
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+3
94.9%
Riley Neal pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 3 yds to the Vandy 35Similar
Q2 8:28
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+8
94.8%
Riley Neal run for 8 yds to the Vandy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
94.7%
VANDERBILT Penalty, false start (Ben Bresnahan) to the Vandy 38Similar
Q2 8:28
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+4
94.9%
Keyon Brooks run for 4 yds to the Vandy 42Similar
Q2 8:28
2ND & 11
OWN 42
+4
94.8%
Riley Neal pass complete to Justice Shelton-Mosley for 4 yds to the Vandy 46Similar
Q2 8:28
3RD & 7
OWN 46
0
94.7%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Justice Shelton-MosleySimilar
Q2 8:28
4TH & 7
OWN 46
0
94.8%
Harrison Smith punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Marquez Callaway at the Tenn 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 13PUNT
12 plays · 17 yds · 3:3195% → 95%
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
95.3%
Eric Gray run for 5 yds to the Tenn 13Similar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+3
95.2%
Eric Gray run for 3 yds to the Tenn 16Similar
Q2 4:23
3RD & 2
OWN 16
+4
95.0%
Eric Gray run for 4 yds to the Tenn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
95.2%
Tim Jordan run for 2 yds to the Tenn 22Similar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+10
95.2%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 10 yds to the Tenn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
95.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Eric GraySimilar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+1
95.2%
Eric Gray run for 1 yd to the Tenn 33Similar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 9
OWN 33
-5
95.2%
TENNESSEE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 28Similar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 14
OWN 28
-3
95.2%
Eric Gray run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 25Similar
Q2 0:52
4TH & 17
OWN 25
-3
95.2%
Paxton Brooks punt for 53 yds , Justice Shelton-Mosley returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 14END OF HALF
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
96.8%
Riley Neal pass complete to Keyon Brooks for 4 yds to the Vandy 23Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 6
OWN 23
0
96.8%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Justice Shelton-MosleySimilar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 6
OWN 23
+13
96.9%
Riley Neal pass complete to Cam Johnson for 13 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.9%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Kalija Lipscomb, broken up by LaTrell BumphusSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
95.0%
Keyon Brooks run for 9 yds to the Vandy 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
94.7%
Keyon Brooks run for 1 yd to the Vandy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
94.7%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Ben BresnahanSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
94.9%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Kalija LipscombSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
95.0%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Cam JohnsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
95.1%
Harrison Smith punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 35 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
96.1%
VANDERBILT Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Tenn 23Similar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 5
OWN 23
+6
96.2%
Eric Gray run for 6 yds to the Tenn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+16
96.1%
Eric Gray run for 16 yds to the Tenn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
96.3%
Eric Gray run for 2 yds to the Tenn 47Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+6
96.3%
Eric Gray run for 6 yds to the Vandy 47Similar
Q3 13:15
3RD & 2
OPP 47
0
96.2%
Eric Gray run for no gain to the Vandy 47Similar
Q3 13:15
4TH & 2
OPP 47
0
95.9%
Paxton Brooks punt for 38 yds, downed at the Vandy 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 47 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+7
96.0%
Riley Neal run for 7 yds to the Vandy 16Similar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 3
OWN 16
+4
95.9%
Keyon Brooks run for 4 yds to the Vandy 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
95.8%
Keyon Brooks run for 4 yds to the Vandy 24Similar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+22
95.7%
Riley Neal pass complete to Chris Pierce for 22 yds to the Vandy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
95.5%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Kalija Lipscomb, PENALTY UT pass interference (Thompson,B.) 15 yards to the UT39, 1ST DOWN VANDY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
95.3%
Keyon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Tenn 37Similar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 8
OPP 37
0
95.3%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Ben BresnahanSimilar
Q3 9:36
3RD & 8
OPP 37
-7
95.4%
Riley Neal sacked by Kivon Bennett for a loss of 7 yards to the Tenn 44Similar
Q3 9:36
4TH & 15
OPP 44
0
95.9%
Harrison Smith punt for 41 yds, downed at the Tenn 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 18PUNT
11 plays · 47 yds · 5:1796% → 97%
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
96.3%
Tim Jordan run for 5 yds to the Tenn 8Similar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 5
OWN 8
+4
96.7%
Tim Jordan run for 4 yds to the Tenn 12Similar
Q3 5:17
3RD & 1
OWN 12
+1
96.7%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 1 yd to the Tenn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+25
96.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Dominick Wood-Anderson for 25 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
97.0%
Eric Gray run for 9 yds to the Tenn 47Similar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 1
OWN 47
0
97.0%
Eric Gray run for no gain to the Tenn 47Similar
Q3 5:17
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+2
96.9%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 2 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
97.0%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Tim JordanSimilar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+1
97.0%
Eric Gray run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:17
3RD & 9
50
0
96.9%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Jauan JenningsSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
50
0
97.4%
Paxton Brooks punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 19TD
11 plays · 90 yds · 3:193% → 10%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+26
96.9%
Riley Neal pass complete to Ben Bresnahan for 26 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+20
96.7%
Keyon Brooks run for 20 yds to the Tenn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
96.6%
Riley Neal pass complete to Cam Johnson for 10 yds to the Tenn 34 for a 1ST down TENNESSEE Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
96.3%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Kalija LipscombSimilar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
96.3%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Cam JohnsonSimilar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+5
96.6%
Riley Neal run for 5 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 5
OPP 29
+9
96.6%
Riley Neal run for 9 yds to the Tenn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
96.1%
Keyon Brooks run for 3 yds to the Tenn 17Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 7
OPP 17
0
96.1%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Keyon BrooksSimilar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 7
OPP 17
-5
96.4%
VANDERBILT Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 22Similar
Q4 11:34
3RD & 12
OPP 22
+22
90.1%
Riley Neal pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 22 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 20TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:5692% → 98%
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
91.7%
Eric Gray run for 5 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q4 11:34
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+19
91.7%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 19 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
92.4%
TENNESSEE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 44Similar
Q4 11:34
1ST & 15
OWN 44
+3
92.2%
Eric Gray run for 3 yds to the Tenn 47Similar
Q4 11:34
2ND & 12
OWN 47
0
92.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Dominick Wood-AndersonSimilar
Q4 11:34
3RD & 12
OWN 47
+50
91.6%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 50 yds to the Vandy 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
92.4%
Quavaris Crouch run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 4 Quavaris Crouch fumbled, recovered by Tenn Jarrett GuarantanoSimilar
Q4 7:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.2%
Eric Gray run for 4 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.6%
Keyon Brooks run for 5 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
97.5%
Keyon Brooks run for 7 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
97.5%
Deuce Wallace pass incomplete, broken up by Matthew ButlerSimilar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-10
97.5%
Deuce Wallace pass complete to Ben Bresnahan for 13 yards to the 50 yardline, PENALTY VANDY holding (Tyler Steen) 10 yards to the VANDY27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 20
OWN 27
0
97.7%
Deuce Wallace pass incomplete to Cam JohnsonSimilar
Q4 7:38
3RD & 20
OWN 27
+11
97.7%
Deuce Wallace pass complete to Keyon Brooks for 11 yds to the Vandy 38Similar
Q4 7:38
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
97.7%
Harrison Smith punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:0099% → 98%
Q4 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
98.5%
TENNESSEE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 35Similar
Q4 5:22
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+3
98.4%
Eric Gray run for 3 yds to the Tenn 38Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 12
OWN 38
-5
98.5%
TENNESSEE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 33Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 17
OWN 33
+4
98.4%
Eric Gray run for 4 yds to the Tenn 37Similar
Q4 5:22
3RD & 13
OWN 37
+6
98.4%
Eric Gray run for 6 yds to the Tenn 43Similar
Q4 5:22
4TH & 7
OWN 43
+18
98.4%
Paxton Brooks punt for 36 yds , Justice Shelton-Mosley returns for 18 yds to the Vandy 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 23DOWNS
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
98.3%
Deuce Wallace pass complete to Keyon Brooks for 15 yds to the Tenn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
98.3%
Deuce Wallace run for 7 yds to the Tenn 39Similar
Q4 3:06
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+4
98.1%
Deuce Wallace pass complete to Keyon Brooks for 4 yds to the Tenn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
98.0%
Deuce Wallace pass incomplete to Ben BresnahanSimilar
Q4 3:06
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+6
98.0%
Deuce Wallace run for 6 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
Q4 3:06
3RD & 4
OPP 29
-2
98.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 31 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Vandy Grant MillerSimilar
Q4 3:06
4TH & 6
OPP 31
0
98.2%
Deuce Wallace pass incomplete to Cam JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
99.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:34
Riley Neal pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 22 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK)
-6.3
TD · Q4 7:38
Eric Gray run for 4 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)
+5.9
TD · Q2 8:36
Eric Gray run for 94 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)
+2.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com