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TA&M

Texas A&M 7 at LSU 50

LSU
2019 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2019 · Tiger Stadium (LA)
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Win probability · LSU
modelLSU aheadTA&M aheadconfidence bandkey playLSU scoreTA&M score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDSAFETYEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:19 · Tyrion Davis-Price run for 10 yds to the TexAM 19 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 49Home team on offense+11.5Pregame prior+29.8Score differential+8.3Blowout margin−0.1Garbage-time factor+3.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:50: Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 5 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK) — LSU win probability +0.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 7:00: Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 12 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK) — LSU win probability +1.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 1:47: Joe Burrow pass complete to Ja'Marr Chase for 78 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK) — LSU win probability +2.5 pts (now 92%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 10:46: Tyrion Davis-Price run for 4 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK) — LSU win probability +3.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:13: Isaiah Spiller run for 1 yd for a TD (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +0.2 pts (now 1%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7TA&M made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 11:06TA&M 4th & 16 at TA&M 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:07TA&M 4th & 18 at TA&M 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%−0.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:01TA&M 4th & 18 at TA&M 17, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.7
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:19LSU 4th & 1 at TA&M 29, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    91.9%−0.8
    58% to make
    Punt
    90.3%−2.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:06TA&M 4th & 4 at TA&M 31, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.5
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:58LSU 4th & 8 at TA&M 32, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.6%
    51% to make
    Punt
    97.3%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:27TA&M 4th & 20 at TA&M 15, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:19LSU 4th & 29 at LSU 44, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:11TA&M 4th & 10 at TA&M 38, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:06TA&M 4th & 13 at TA&M 36, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:28LSU 4th & 21 at LSU 35, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:25LSU 4th & 20 at TA&M 32, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.1
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%
    51% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:34TA&M 4th & 5 at TA&M 30, down 34
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:18LSU 4th & 6 at TA&M 39, up 41
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:29LSU 4th & 6 at LSU 28, up 43
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:46TA&M 4th & 5 at LSU 43, down 43
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6TA&M made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:50LSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:00LSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:47LSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:46LSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:13TA&M Touchdown, down 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:31LSU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:36LSU Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LSUDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:0288% → 88%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+16
88.3%
Joe Burrow run for 1 yd to the LSU 26 for a 1ST down TEXAS A&M Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (Justin Madubuike) to the LSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
88.2%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 5 yds to the LSU 46Similar
Q1 13:53
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+10
88.0%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 10 yds to the TexAM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+30
87.9%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Ja'Marr Chase for 30 yds to the TexAM 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
87.9%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 9 yds to the TexAM 5Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 1
OPP 5
+5
88.2%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 5 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 1:4412% → 12%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
88.0%
LSU Penalty, Defensive Offside (Tyler Shelvin) to the TexAM 30Similar
Q1 12:44
1ST & 5
OWN 30
0
88.0%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney DavisSimilar
Q1 12:38
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+14
88.0%
Kellen Mond run for 14 yds to the TexAM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
87.8%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the TexAM 46Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 8
OWN 46
0
87.7%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jalen WydermyerSimilar
Q1 11:13
3RD & 8
OWN 38
-8
87.8%
Kellen Mond sacked by Damone Clark for a loss of 8 yards to the TexAM 38 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Kellen Mond) to the TexAM 38Similar
Q1 11:06
4TH & 16
OWN 38
0
87.9%
Braden Mann punt for 62 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 3TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 3:5588% → 89%
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
87.8%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 15 yds to the LSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
87.8%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Ja'Marr ChaseSimilar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+14
87.8%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Ja'Marr Chase for 14 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
88.0%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 48Similar
Q1 9:26
2ND & 11
OWN 48
+14
87.8%
Joe Burrow run for 14 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
87.8%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 5 yds to the TexAM 33Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+8
87.8%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 8 yds to the TexAM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
87.8%
Joe Burrow run for 13 yds to the TexAM 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
87.8%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for no gain to the TexAM 12Similar
Q1 7:06
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
87.7%
Joe Burrow pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+12
89.1%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 12 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 3:4611% → 11%
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
88.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 13 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
88.5%
Kellen Mond run for 5 yds to the TexAM 43Similar
Q1 5:54
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+3
88.4%
Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the TexAM 46Similar
Q1 5:10
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+5
88.4%
Kellen Mond run for 5 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
88.4%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney DavisSimilar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+2
88.5%
Kellen Mond run for 2 yds to the LSU 47Similar
Q1 3:49
3RD & 8
OPP 47
-10
88.4%
Kellen Mond sacked by Marcel Brooks and K'Lavon Chaisson for a loss of 10 yards to the TexAM 43Similar
Q1 3:07
4TH & 18
OWN 43
0
88.9%
Braden Mann punt for 48 yds, downed at the LSU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 5TD
3 plays · 91 yds · 1:1389% → 92%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+8
89.1%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 8 yds to the LSU 17Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 2
OWN 17
+5
89.1%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 5 yds to the LSU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+78
91.7%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Ja'Marr Chase for 78 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:418% → 7%
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.0%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney DavisSimilar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
92.1%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 2 yds to the TexAM 27Similar
Q1 0:50
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-10
92.3%
Kellen Mond sacked by K'Lavon Chaisson for a loss of 10 yards to the TexAM 17Similar
Q1 0:01
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
92.6%
Braden Mann punt for 38 yds, downed at the LSU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 7TD
11 plays · 55 yds · 4:1493% → 97%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
92.5%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 9 yds to the TexAM 46Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+8
92.7%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 8 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
92.9%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Terrace Marshall Jr.Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+9
93.2%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Racey McMath for 9 yds to the TexAM 29Similar
Q2 13:38
3RD & 1
OPP 29
0
93.2%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for no gain to the TexAM 29Similar
Q2 13:19
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+10
93.1%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 10 yds to the TexAM 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
93.6%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 20Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+6
93.7%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Tyrion Davis-Price for 6 yds to the TexAM 14Similar
Q2 11:35
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+9
93.7%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 9 yds to the TexAM 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
93.9%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 1 yd to the TexAM 4Similar
Q2 10:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
96.9%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 4 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:333% → 3%
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.6%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the TexAM 27Similar
Q2 10:01
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
96.7%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 4 yds to the TexAM 31Similar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
96.7%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:06
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
96.8%
Braden Mann punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Derek Stingley Jr. at the LSU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 9FG
11 plays · 53 yds · 3:0397% → 98%
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-4
97.3%
Joe Burrow sacked by Justin Madubuike for a loss of 4 yards to the LSU 11Similar
Q2 8:13
2ND & 14
OWN 11
0
97.5%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Stephen SullivanSimilar
Q2 8:04
3RD & 14
OWN 11
+25
97.7%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Ja'Marr Chase for 25 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
97.7%
Burrow, Joe pass incomplete, PENALTY TEXASAM roughing passer (Peevy, Jayden) 15 yards to the TEXASAM49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LSU.Similar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
97.8%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 9 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+6
97.6%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 6 yds to the TexAM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
97.9%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 2 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 8
OPP 32
0
98.0%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Justin JeffersonSimilar
Q2 6:04
3RD & 8
OPP 32
0
98.0%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Ja'Marr ChaseSimilar
Q2 5:58
4TH & 8
OPP 32
+51
98.1%
Cade York 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 1:262% → 2%
Q2 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ryan Renick for 2 yds to the TexAM 27Similar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
98.3%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney DavisSimilar
Q2 5:09
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-5
98.4%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (Ryan McCollum) to the TexAM 22Similar
Q2 5:04
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-7
98.4%
Kellen Mond sacked by Damone Clark for a loss of 7 yards to the TexAM 15Similar
Q2 4:27
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
98.5%
Braden Mann punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 2:5899% → 99%
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+14
98.7%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 14 yds to the TexAM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
98.8%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 1 yd to the TexAM 36Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 9
OPP 36
-5
98.8%
Joe Burrow sacked by DeMarvin Leal for a loss of 5 yards to the TexAM 41Similar
Q2 2:16
3RD & 14
OPP 41
-5
98.9%
LSU Penalty, Delay of Game (Joe Burrow) to the TexAM 46Similar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 19
OPP 46
-10
99.0%
Joe Burrow sacked by Bobby Brown III and Justin Madubuike for a loss of 10 yards to the LSU 44Similar
Q2 1:19
4TH & 29
OWN 44
0
98.9%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TexAM 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12END OF HALF
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:031% → 1%
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
99.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 3 yds to the TexAM 20Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+18
99.0%
Kellen Mond run for 18 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.0%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
99.0%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Kendrick RogersSimilar
Q2 0:11
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
99.0%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jalen WydermyerSimilar
Q2 0:11
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
99.0%
Braden Mann punt for 62 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 1:511% → 1%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
98.9%
Kellen Mond sacked by Rashard Lawrence for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 23Similar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
99.2%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney DavisSimilar
Q3 14:02
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+16
99.2%
Mond, Kellen pass incomplete to Rogers, Kendrick, PENALTY LSU pass interference (Fulton, Kristian) 16 yards to the TEXASAM39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM.Similar
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-3
99.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 36Similar
Q3 13:28
2ND & 13
OWN 36
0
99.3%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:21
3RD & 13
OWN 36
0
99.3%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Kendrick RogersSimilar
Q3 13:06
4TH & 13
OWN 36
+58
99.3%
Braden Mann punt for 52 yds LSU Penalty, Illegal Block (6 Yards) to the LSU 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 3:3099% → 100%
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+11
99.2%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 11 yds to the LSU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
99.3%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Terrace Marshall Jr.Similar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+5
99.3%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the LSU 22Similar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+12
99.3%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Ja'Marr Chase for 12 yds to the LSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
99.3%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Clyde Edwards-Helaire for 11 yds to the LSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
99.4%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 5 yds to the TexAM 49Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 5
OPP 49
-15
99.4%
Burrow, Joe rush for no gain to the TEXASAM49, PENALTY LSU personal foul (Deculus, Austin) 15 yards to the LSU36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 20
OWN 36
-2
99.4%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 34Similar
Q3 10:05
3RD & 22
OWN 34
+1
99.5%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Clyde Edwards-Helaire for 1 yd to the LSU 35Similar
Q3 9:28
4TH & 21
OWN 35
0
99.5%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TexAM 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 15Uncategorized
1 play · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
99.5%
Kellen Mond pass intercepted Grant Delpit return for no gain to the TexAM 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 16FG
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:55100% → 100%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+18
99.6%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 18 yds to the TexAM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.6%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for no gain to the TexAM 22Similar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-10
99.6%
TEAM sacked by Devin Morris for a loss of 10 yards to the TexAM 32Similar
Q3 7:36
3RD & 20
OPP 32
0
99.7%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Thaddeus MossSimilar
Q3 7:25
4TH & 20
OPP 32
+50
99.6%
Cade York 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 17TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:040% → 1%
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.6%
Isaiah Spiller run for 7 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
Q3 6:39
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
99.6%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q3 5:54
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+45
99.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 45 yds to the LSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
99.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 6 yds to the LSU 15Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+14
99.6%
Isaiah Spiller run for 14 yds to the LSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.3%
LSU Penalty, Substitution Infraction ( Yards) to the LSU 1Similar
Q3 4:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.2%
Isaiah Spiller run for 1 yd for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 2:30100% → 100%
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
99.7%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 11 yds to the LSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+20
99.7%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Ja'Marr Chase for 20 yds to the LSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+26
99.8%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Clyde Edwards-Helaire for 26 yds to the TexAM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
99.8%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 29Similar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 11
OPP 29
+11
99.8%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Clyde Edwards-Helaire for 11 yds to the TexAM 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.8%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Thaddeus MossSimilar
Q3 1:31
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+18
99.8%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Ja'Marr Chase for 18 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 19INT
14 plays · 34 yds · 3:340% → 0%
Q3 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney DavisSimilar
Q3 1:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
Isaiah Spiller run for 5 yds to the TexAM 30Similar
Q3 0:42
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.8%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney DavisSimilar
Q3 0:34
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+15
99.8%
Braden Mann run for 15 yds to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.8%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+10
99.8%
Isaiah Spiller run for 10 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
99.8%
Kellen Mond run for 1 yd to the LSU 44Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+5
99.8%
Mond, Kellen pass incomplete to Wydermyer, Jalen, PENALTY LSU offside (Lawrence, Rashard) 5 yards to the LSU39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+19
99.8%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 4 yds to the LSU 35 for a 1ST down LSU Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the LSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
99.8%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Ryan RenickSimilar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-16
99.9%
Kellen Mond sacked by Patrick Queen for a loss of 16 yards to the LSU 36 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Kellen Mond) to the LSU 36Similar
Q4 12:52
3RD & 26
OPP 36
0
99.9%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Kendrick RogersSimilar
Q4 12:52
4TH & 26
OPP 36
-5
99.9%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (Dan Moore Jr.) to the LSU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 20TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:58100% → 100%
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.9%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Derrick Dillon for 2 yds to the LSU 22Similar
Q4 12:28
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+3
99.8%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 3 yds to the LSU 25Similar
Q4 11:49
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+15
99.9%
Myles Brennan pass complete to Derrick Dillon for 15 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
99.9%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 2 yds to the LSU 42Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+58
99.9%
Myles Brennan pass complete to Racey McMath for 58 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 21INT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:560% → 0%
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
99.9%
Spiller, Isaiah rush for 3 yards to the TEXASAM28, PENALTY TEXASAM holding (Moore Jr., Dan) 10 yards to the TEXASAM15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+26
99.9%
Isaiah Spiller run for 26 yds to the TexAM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-6
99.9%
Isaiah Spiller run for a loss of 6 yards to the TexAM 35Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 16
OWN 35
-5
99.9%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 30Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 21
OWN 30
+16
99.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 16 yds to the TexAM 46Similar
Q4 7:31
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Kellen Mond pass intercepted Kary Vincent Jr. return for no gain to the LSU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 3:07100% → 100%
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Chris Curry run for no gain to the LSU 46Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+11
99.9%
Chris Curry run for 11 yds to the TexAM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
99.9%
Chris Curry run for 3 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+1
99.9%
Chris Curry run for 1 yd to the TexAM 39Similar
Q4 4:27
3RD & 6
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Myles Brennan pass incomplete to Derrick DillonSimilar
Q4 4:18
4TH & 6
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 38 yds, downed at the TexAM 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 23SF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:400% → 0%
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
99.9%
James Foster run for 2 yds to the TexAM 3Similar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 8
OWN 3
0
100.0%
James Foster sacked by Neil Farrell Jr. for a loss of 3 yards for a SAFETY James Foster fumbled, recovered by TexAM James Foster , return for 0 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:50100% → 100%
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
99.9%
John Emery Jr. run for 4 yds to the LSU 28Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 6
OWN 28
0
99.9%
John Emery Jr. run for no gain to the LSU 28Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 6
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Myles Brennan pass incomplete to Derrick DillonSimilar
Q4 1:29
4TH & 6
OWN 28
+21
100.0%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 46 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 21 yds to the LSU 49 LSU Penalty, Illegal Motion (-5 Yards) to the LSU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 25DOWNS
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:360% → 0%
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
100.0%
James Foster pass incomplete to Jalen PrestonSimilar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+5
100.0%
James Foster pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 5 yds to the LSU 43Similar
Q4 0:53
3RD & 5
OPP 43
0
100.0%
James Foster pass incomplete to Kam BrownSimilar
Q4 0:46
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
100.0%
James Foster pass incomplete to Jalen WydermyerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 26Uncategorized
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:46
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 4 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK)
+3
TD · Q1 1:47
Joe Burrow pass complete to Ja'Marr Chase for 78 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK)
+2.5
TD · Q1 7:00
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 12 yds for a TD (Cade York KICK)
+1.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com